Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Dodge City, KS

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 022207
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
404 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

KSC007-022230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080302T2230Z/
BARBER KS-
404 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BARBER COUNTY...

AT 403 PM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING 
NICKEL SIZE HAIL 6 MILES WEST OF HARDTNER. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL BARBER COUNTY...OR 4 MILES NORTH OF 
HARDTNER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. 

LAT...LON 3705 9880 3712 9882 3718 9865 3709 9851
      3705 9858 3702 9862 3702 9864 3701 9865
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 242DEG 49KT 3710 9857

$$

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 022213
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
413 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

KSC007-022223-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080302T2230Z/
BARBER KS-
413 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BARBER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3705 9880 3712 9882 3718 9865 3709 9851
      3705 9858 3702 9862 3702 9864 3701 9865
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 251DEG 37KT 3710 9852

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
328 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

UPPER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE DIGGING SE EARLY TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE
EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY. THE SFC-700MB FRONTAL ZONE IS FURTHER
SOUTH THAN THE MODELS HAD FORECASTED AND WAS THROUGH ALL BUT THE SW
TIP OF BARBER COUNTY AS OF 21 UTC. SOME MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL
LAG BEHIND TONIGHT AND A BAND OF SNOW COULD STILL SET UP ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL KS. ANOTHER AREA OF SNOW MAY DEVELOP CLOSER TO THE UPPER SYSTEM
IN OUR FAR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES, BUT THIS TOO COULD BE JUST TO OUR SOUTH.
A FEW PLACES COULD SEE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IN THESE AREAS. A SNOW
AND BLOW ADVISORY WILL BE CANCELLED FURTHER NORTH AND REPLACED WITH
A WIND ADVISORY.

TEMPERATURES THE NEXT TWO DAYS WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS. WE
STAYED CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS NUMBERS DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY.

DAYS 3-7...

MODELS REMAIN SIMILAR REGARDING OVERALL PATTERN TO START THE PERIOD.
UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH WESTERN KANSAS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH ASSOCIATED S/WV MOVING ACROSS THE AREA DURING
THE DAY WEDNESDAY. AT THE SURFACE, COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
STATE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, H85 TEMPERATURE
READINGS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE 0C. ONCE FRONTAL PASSAGE
OCCURS, H85 TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW 0C.
THERE CONTINUES TO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIP ACROSS THE WESTERN
FA WEDNESDAY. THERE IS NOT A LOT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE POST FRONTAL
PASSAGE. MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE ALSO TRENDING DRIER. MODELS CONTINUE TO
MOVE THE PRECIP FURTHER WEST AS WELL. SLIGHT CHANCE DOES LOOK
WARRANTED CONSIDERING RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY REGARDING PRECIP
CHANCES. WILL MAKE A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE EASTWARD EXTENT OF
PRECIP. DO EXPECT TO SEE A BRIEF BREAK FROM THE S/WVS MOVING THROUGH
THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AS THAT TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD. PATTERN
EXPECTED TO BECOME ZONAL BY LATE WEEKEND BEFORE YET ANOTHER UPPER
TROUGH TRIES TO MOVE ACROSS KANSAS. WILL SHOW A WARMING TREND ACROSS
THE REGION BY WEEKEND.

.AVIATION...

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SITES THROUGH
THE PERIOD. MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS WILL ACCOMPANY SOME -SN AFTER 23Z
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES SOUTHEAST
INTO WESTERN KANSAS BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE SITES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  27  40  20  59 /  60   0   0   0
GCK  26  40  19  60 /  60   0   0   0
EHA  26  37  20  60 /  70   0   0   0
LBL  27  38  21  60 /  70   0   0   0
HYS  27  38  19  53 /  60   0   0   0
P28  31  38  23  56 /  70   0   0   0

&&

FN24/30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
500 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-031100-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
500 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008 /400 AM MST SUN MAR 2 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST KANSAS TODAY.
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM
LIBERAL THROUGH DODGE CITY AND LARNED. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
COULD PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON RAIN WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FROM WAKEENEY
TO SCOTT CITY AND JOHNSON AND THIS CHANGEOVER WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
AT 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CAUSE SOME AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WHICH COULD REDUCE
VISIBILITIES AND MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN OPEN AREAS FOR A TIME THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

GERARD