Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

000 
WWUS84 KCRP 260934
RFWCRP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
330 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

TXZ229>234-239>247-270000-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FW.W.0007.080226T1200Z-080227T0000Z/
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
330 AM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS 
AFTERNOON...

VERY DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION 
TODAY...LEADING TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 TO 20 PERCENT 
ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND 20 TO 30 PERCENT ACROSS THE COASTAL 
BEND AND COASTAL PLAINS.

MEANWHILE...STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO SOUTH
TEXAS WILL LEAD TO WINDY CONDITIONS WITH WINDS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30 
MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES. 
THIS COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND STRONG WINDS 
WILL LEAD TO A HIGH WILD FIRE DANGER ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS 
TODAY...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND DRY 
VEGETATION.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS AND FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

TM

000 
WWUS84 KCRP 270024
RFWCRP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
624 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

TXZ229>234-239>247-270130-
/O.EXP.KCRP.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080227T0000Z/
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
624 PM CST TUE FEB 26 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND WINDY CONDITIONS
NEEDED TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS HAS SUBSIDED AS HUMIDITIES
HAVE BEGUN TO RECOVER WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. HUMIDITIES
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RECOVER DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS.
HOWEVER...BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

$$

JAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
247 PM CST MON FEB 25 2008

.SHORT TERM...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH MANY LOCATIONS UP INTO THE 90S WITH FULL SUN
HELPING TO MIX DOWN DRIER AIR AND UNUSUALLY WARM 8H TEMPERATURES.
WEAK COLD FRONT/WIND SHIFT LINE PUSHING THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS AT
THIS HOUR...AND MODELS CONTINUE IN FAIR AGREEMENT IN PUSHING IT
THROUGH OUR AREA LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. WITH VERY LIMITED
MOISTURE AVAILABLE...WILL ONLY FORECAST ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG AND
JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

BEHIND THE FRONT...VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS. AS A
RESULT...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR TUESDAY. IN
ADDITION...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED BEGINNING
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS WINDS AND WAVES INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY...AND WITH VERY
DRY AIR TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF RAPIDLY...BOTTOMING OUT IN THE
30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN COUNTIES AND LOWER 40S OVER MUCH OF THE
REST OF THE AREA EXCEPT RIGHT ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND PICK UP
SIGNIFICANTLY.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND WAVES TO INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY AFTER FRONTAL
PASSAGE AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT...OTHERWISE NO PRECIPIATION
IS ANTICIPATED.

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT IN MAINTAINING A PROLONGED MOIST S/SE FLOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.  INITIALLY THE CWA WL BE VERY DRY AND COOL ON WED IN THE
WAKE OF AN EARLIER STRONG COLD FNT.  CONTINUED MOISTENING OF THE
BOUNDARY LYR AND WK ISENTROPIC LIFT WL PRODUCE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHC
OF SHOWERS BEGINNING ON FRIDAY AND THEN CONTINUING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.  SEVERAL WK S/WVS PUHSING THROUGH THE SRN STREAM WL ADD TO
THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AREAS.  A MORE SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED ON MON AHEAD OF A DIGGING NRN STREAM S/WV AND ASSCTD COLD
FNT.  THE MODELS STILL DIFFER ON THE TIMING OF THE FNT.  THE
CONSENSUS SOLN FOR FROPA IS MON AFTN.  WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN
PLACE AND DYNAMICAL FORCING EXPECTED...THE COVERAGE OF STORMS MAY BE
DECENT.  WL NOT GO TOO HIGH RIGHT NOW SINCE THIS IS THE LAST DAY OF
THE FCST.  BEGINNING THURSDAY...TEMPS WL BE ABV NORMAL THROUGH THE
PD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    56  71  42  66  45  /  20   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          52  67  34  64  39  /  20   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            60  75  42  72  46  /   0   0   0   0   0
ALICE             58  72  37  68  42  /  10   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          58  68  43  63  48  /  20   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           55  72  34  70  39  /   0   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        58  72  39  67  44  /  20  10   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       58  69  47  64  49  /  20   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL...GOLIAD...JIM
     WELLS...KLEBERG...LA SALLE...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN...NUECES...
     REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA...WEBB.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY
     TO PORT ARANSAS...BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
     PORT OCONNOR...COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

JV/71...SHORT TERM
MB/80...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
530 AM CST MON FEB 25 2008

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-261130-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
530 AM CST MON FEB 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY PROVIDE TREACHEROUS BOATING
CONDITIONS FOR AREA LAKES AS WELL AS OVER THE BAYS AND GULF WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED AS WINDS INCREASE TO
20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF GALE FORCE. THE GUSTY WINDS
AND DRY ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A HIGH WILD FIRE DANGER ON
TUESDAY AS WELL.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE REGION
BY NEXT WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE A LOW CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TM/MJG