Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Cleveland, OH

Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 200228
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
928 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

OHZ011-201030-
/O.UPG.KCLE.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.080120T0300Z-080120T1700Z/
CUYAHOGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLEVELAND
928 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
REST OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS EAST OF CLEVELAND. LOCATIONS FROM EUCLID
TO MAYFIELD HEIGHTS CAN EXPECT TO SEE 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW
BY SUNDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE WESTERN SUBURBS OF
CUYAHOGA COUNTY...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR
LESS. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. 

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS
WIND CHILL VALUES OF 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OVERNIGHT. THE
WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER
FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON
SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS
COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO
PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-201030-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.080120T0500Z-080120T1700Z/
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON...
ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
928 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO
8 INCHES ARE LIKELY BY SUNDAY MORNING WHERE SQUALLS PERSIST.
SIMILAR AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

BY MONDAY MORNING LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET OF
SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SNOWIEST AREAS. IN LOCATIONS OUTSIDE OF
THE SQUALLS HOWEVER...AMOUNTS WILL BE MUCH LESS.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES MAKING TRAVEL
DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS. DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES OF 10 TO
20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW...THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY
SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU
WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID
CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. 

THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR
COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE
COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN
IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO
PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-201030-
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080120T1700Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-
MEDINA-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...
MEDINA...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...
WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON
928 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO
PRODUCE DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES OF 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW
ZERO OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY
TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

OHZ021>023-032-033-201030-
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.080120T0300Z-080120T1700Z/
SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON...
YOUNGSTOWN
928 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. 

GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES TO
PRODUCE DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES OF 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW
ZERO OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE
WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES
BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL
BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT
ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED
EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY
TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 200956
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
456 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

OHZ011>014-089-PAZ001>003-201800-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080120T1700Z/
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
456 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY 
FROM THE EAST SIDE OF CLEVELAND ACROSS THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME
NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY FOR ALL OF NORTHERN OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALIZED SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED TODAY WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST WITH AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES
ACROSS ERIE COUNTY PENNSYLVANIA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90. TWO TO
FOUR INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

WEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH
TODAY. THE SNOW WILL BE POWDERY AND LIGHT AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL OCCUR TODAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. 

THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO THIS
MORNING. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS... USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY. MAKE SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. AVOID
PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND
HYPOTHERMIA.

IF YOUR VEHICLE BECOMES STUCK IN THE SNOW AND YOU CANNOT FIND
NEARBY ALTERNATE SHELTER...STAY WITH THE VEHICLE. RUN THE ENGINE 
ENOUGH TO KEEP WARM. MAKE SURE TO KEEP THE EXHAUST CLEAR OF SNOW. 



$$

OHZ003-006>010-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-201700-
/O.CON.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080120T1700Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-
MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-
WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...
MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...
BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...
MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON
456 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY FOR ALL
OF NORTHERN OHIO.

WEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 20 MPH...MAKING IT FEEL LIKE IT IS
10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS... USE
COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY. MAKE SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS
COVERED. AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE
AND HYPOTHERMIA.

$$


KOSARIK

000 
WWUS41 KCLE 201708
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1208 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

OHZ011>014-089-PAZ001>003-210115-
/O.EXP.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080120T1700Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080121T1100Z/
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
1208 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY FROM 
THE EAST SIDE OF CLEVELAND ACROSS THE SNOWBELT OF EXTREME NORTHEAST 
OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALIZED SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
TONIGHT. AFTERNOON ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
WITH AS MUCH MUCH AS 6 INCHES WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST. AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH
UP TO 8 INCHES WHERE SNOW SQUALLS PERSIST.

WEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH
TODAY. THE SNOW WILL BE POWDERY AND LIGHT AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL OCCUR TODAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED
TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. 

WIND CHILLS WILL REMAIN AROUND FIVE BELOW ZERO THIS AFTERNOON. IF 
YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS... USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY. MAKE SURE 
THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE 
COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

IF YOUR VEHICLE BECOMES STUCK IN THE SNOW AND YOU CANNOT FIND
NEARBY ALTERNATE SHELTER...STAY WITH THE VEHICLE. RUN THE ENGINE 
ENOUGH TO KEEP WARM. MAKE SURE TO KEEP THE EXHAUST CLEAR OF SNOW. 


$$

OHZ003-006>010-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-201815-
/O.EXP.KCLE.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080120T1700Z/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-
MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-
WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...
MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...
BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...
MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON
1208 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA HAVE RISEN INTO THE DOUBLE
DIGITS...WITH WIND CHILLS LINGERING AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.
WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO AGAIN DROP TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO TONIGHT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
326 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY ON
SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY. MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TO LOWER MICHIGAN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LAKE EFFECT/ENHANCED BAND EARLIER TODAY FROM ERIE COUNTY NE MOVED
OFF THE LAKE AS EXPECTED AS WINDS TURNED MORE WESTERLY BEHIND THE
ARCTIC COLD FRONT. THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
WILL BE EXPECTING THE RETURN OF A LAKE BAND...POSSIBLY TWO.
ACCORDING TO OUR HIGH RESOLUTION IN-HOUSE MODEL THE ARL-GFS...A
NEW BAND WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EAST LAKESHORE
CENTERED OVER NRN LORAIN COUNTY EAST THROUGH CUYAHOGA CO INTO
GEAUGA AND ACROSS THE ASHTABULA/TRUMBULL COUNTY LINE. ANOTHER
INTENSIFIES ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ASHTABULA COUNTY INTO ERIE COUNTY
PA. THE NAM12 DEVELOPS ITS BEST LIFT NORTH AND EAST OF CLEVELAND
INTO ERIE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN PA. WHILE WINDS DO VEER 10 TO
20 DEGREES NORTH OF WEST TONIGHT FEEL THAT THE ARL-GFS MAY BE A
BIT TOO FAR SOUTH INTO CENTRAL CUYAHOGA COUNTY ALTHOUGH I CAN
ACCEPT THE PRECISION OF 2 MAIN BANDS...BUT MORE IN LINE WITH THE
LOCATION FAVORED ON THE NAM12. LOTS OF DRY AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
TO BE A CONCERN. LAKE MICHIGAN IS PRODUCING SNOW HOWEVER DRY AIR
EFFECTS CAN BE SEEN IN A LACK OF HIGH DBZ VALUES ON THE RADAR. AM
CONFIDENT THAT OUR LONG FETCH AND CONVERGENT FLOW ALONG THE SOUTH
SHORE WILL FURTHER HELP TO ENHANCE THE SNOW. ALSO BUFKIT CONTINUES
TO SHOW THE INVERSION LIFTING THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
WHICH SUPPORTS THE ARL-GFS AND NAM12 INTENSIFICATION OF THE UVV
THIS EVG. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE EXPECTATION OF UP TO 8 INCHES
OVERNIGHT UNDER SQUALLS. WILL ALSO GO WITH AN ADVISORY FOR LAKE
EFFECT SNOW IN CUYAHOGA PRIMARILY FOR THE NORTHEAST PORTION. ELSEWHERE
SUNSHINE HAS HELPED TO CREATE INSTABILITY CU ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITH THE HELP OF LAKE MICHIGAN MOISTURE.
THINK AFTER SUNSET THE SYNOPTIC SUBSIDENCE WILL KICK IN AND THIS
BROKEN DECK WILL SCATTER OUT. TEMPS OVERNIGHT WILL DROP TO 0 TO 5
ABOVE GENERALLY ALTHOUGH NO BIG SHOCK IF LOCAL AREAS SLIP BELOW
ZERO. ACROSS THE NERN LAKESHORE COUNTIES EXPECT CLOUDS TO HOLD
TEMPS UP CLOSER TO 10. WITH WINDS AND TEMPS WHAT THEY ARE...WILL
ISSUE AND WIND CHILL ADVISORY OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE FROM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WILL END THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY AROUND NOON AS TEMPS RISE BACK UP OVER 10F. WINDS
SHOULD DROP OFF SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT SO MAY NOT NEED ANOTHER
ADVISORY THEN. EXPECT THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO BE CONTINUING
THROUGH THE DAY. INVERSION REMAINS AT ABOUT 8 TO 9 KFT AND LAKE
850MB TEMP DIFFERENCE REMAINS IN THE EXTREME CATEGORY. WILL GO
WITH SIMILAR SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ON SUNDAY WITH UP TO 8 INCHES UNDER
SQUALLS. DRY AIR MIXING IN COULD MAKE IT LESS. WINDS COULD MAKE IT
SEEM LESS. HIGH INVERSION...LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE
SNOW GROWTH TEMPERATURES COULD MAKE IT MORE.  FOR NOW...A GOOD
COMPROMISE. NEW NAM12 SHOWS AFTER 10PM OR SO LIFT DECREASED INTO
THE SNOWBELT ALTHOUGH BUFKIT STILL SHOWS LOW LEVEL LIFT AND
FAVORABLE WINDS INTO NWRN PA THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT. WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE SNOW BUT GIVEN THE BUILDING HIGH ACROSS THE
LOWER OHIO VALLEY SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF AT LEAST LATE.
MONDAY THE HIGH WILL SLIP EAST FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TO THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC COAST AND END THE SNOW AS WINDS BACK TO WSW.
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT STRENGTHENS
AS RETURN FLOW SETS UP BEHIND THE HIGH TO OUR EAST AND DEVLOPING
LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. GFS AND NAM BOTH SHOW
THICK MID LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING BACK ACROASS THE AREA DURING THE
DAY. WILL BRING A SMALL CHC FOR SNOW INTO THE WEST DURING THE DAY
MONDAY AND THEN INCREASE TO LIKELY IN THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT AND
CHC ELSEWHERE AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN SETTING UP WITH A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVING
THOUGH IN RAPID FIRE.  MODELS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT MOVING
THE NEXT SYSTEM THROUGH ON TUESDAY.  OF THE 3 MODELS NAM APPEARS TO
BE THE FASTEST...WITH THE GFS THE SLOWEST.  FOR THIS FORECAST HPC
TRENDED TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION.  NEXT SYSTEM FORECAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WITH THE ECMWF AND ENSEMBLE A LITTLE
FASTER THAN THE LATEST GFS.  LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES FRIDAY.  ON SATURDAY MODELS
DIVERGE.  ENSEMBLE AND ECMWF KEEP RIDGE REMAINING OVER THE AREA ON
SATURDAY.  HPC FORECAST HAS LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN LAKES...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA.  THUS
PUT CHANCE POPS IN FOR SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
COLD FRONT NOW EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH WESTERLY FLOW OVER
THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPING
OVER LAKE ERIE WILL HAMMERE SNOWBELT EAST OF CLEVELAND THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON
BUT HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE IN THE SNOWBELT.

LATE THIS EVENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS AREA GIVING
WIDESPREAD DUSTING. ONCE TROUGH MOVES EAST OF AREA WINDS ALOT
TURN TO THE NW BEHIND THE TROUGH. EXPECT MEASURABLE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
OVER NE OH TONIGHT...AROUND AN INCH. AGAIN THE HEAVIEST SNOWS
WILL BE IN THE SNOWBELT EAST OF CLEVELAND WHERE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...W-NW FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH BEST
LOCATIONS FOR LES WILL BE KERI. CONDITIONS VARYING FROM POSSIBLE
VFR ACROSS THE WEST TO LIKELY MAINLY MVFR FROM CLE- MFD EAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ON MONDAY BUT
ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT ON
TUESDAY. THIS FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND
FAVORABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
ARCTIC COLD FRONT NOW EAST OF THE LAKE AND LAKE EFFECT BANDS
BEGINNING TO SET UP FROM CLEVELAND EAST.  LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND SNOW
SQUALLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY.  WINDS HAVE DIED DOWN BEHIND
THE FRONT...BUT WILL PICK UP AGAIN TO 30 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AS THE
COLDER AIR MOVES OVER THE LAKE.

FREEZING SPRAY IS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS
TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW 15 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITH
WINDS/WAVES UP.  HAVE TRANSITIONED THE ADVISORY TO A WARNING.

TEMPERATURES SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WILL ALLOW FOR
RAPID ICE FORMATION AROUND LAKE ERIE...ESPECIALLY IN THE PROTECTED
AREAS AT MOUTHS OF RIVERS...IN BAYS AND EVENTUALLY IN THE SHALLOWER
WATERS IN THE WESTERN BASIN FROM THE ISLANDS WEST.

NEXT COLD FRONT FOR TUESDAY AND THEREFORE WINDS WILL BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND RETURN TO A WNW DIRECTION
POST-FRONTAL.  HIGH PRESSURE PASSES TO THE SOUTH OF THE LAKE
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 6AM EST MONDAY FOR OHZ011
   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR OHZ012>014-
   089.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY
   FOR OHZ012>014-089.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY
   FOR OHZ011-021>023-032-033.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY
   FOR OHZ003-006>010-017>020-027>031-036>038-047.

PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR
   PAZ001>003.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST
   SUNDAY FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6
   AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ061-142>149-162>169. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
   UNTIL 3 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ142>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...TK
SHORT TERM...TK
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...DJB
MARINE...DJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
522 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

OHZ003-006>008-010-011-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-201030-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-
MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-
WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
522 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND CHILL READINGS COULD POSSIBLY DROP DOWN TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO TONIGHT. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS WILL OCCUR
WITH THE HIGHEST WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WIND CHILL READINGS COULD REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS OF 10 TO 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-201030-
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
522 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-201030-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
522 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING

OHZ009-201030-
ERIE OH-
522 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND CHILL READINGS COULD POSSIBLY DROP DOWN TO BETWEEN 10 AND 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO TONIGHT. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS WILL OCCUR
WITH THE HIGHEST WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WIND CHILL READINGS COULD REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS OF 10 TO 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LOMBARDY