Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 100227
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1026 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

OHC007-PAC039-049-100245-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-080610T0245Z/
CRAWFORD PA-ASHTABULA OH-ERIE PA-
1026 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN ASHTABULA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OHIO...AND ERIE AND
CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...

AT 1024 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF ERIE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WATERFORD...TITUSVILLE...UNION CITY...SPARTANSBURG...CORRY AND NORTH
EAST

LAT...LON 4161 7965 4162 7982 4148 8001 4147 8027
      4150 8074 4196 8062 4210 8019 4217 8012
      4217 8009 4215 8007 4216 8004 4222 7993
      4227 7976 4200 7976 4200 7964 4191 7961
      4162 7961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0226Z 238DEG 52KT 4205 8010

$$

THOMPSON

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 100243
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1044 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

OHC007-PAC039-049-100254-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-080610T0245Z/
CRAWFORD PA-ASHTABULA OH-ERIE PA-
1044 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ASHTABULA COUNTY IN
NORTHEAST OHIO...AND ERIE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA EXPIRES AT 1045 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 4161 7965 4162 7982 4148 8001 4147 8027
      4150 8074 4196 8062 4210 8019 4217 8012
      4217 8009 4215 8007 4216 8004 4222 7993
      4227 7976 4200 7976 4200 7964 4191 7961
      4162 7961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 238DEG 52KT 4219 7980

$$

THOMPSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
810 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
UPDATING TO EXTEND THE WATCH...VERY STRONG WINDS.

PRE-FRONTAL LINE OF CONVECTION HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED ALONG A LINE
FROM SOUTHERN LAKE HURON TO PADUCAH KY AND IS SLOWLY MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 35MPH. SYNOPTIC FRONT REMAINS WELL TO THE WEST OF
THESE STORMS BUT THEY SHOULD EVENTUALLY BLOSSOM AS THEY MOVE INTO
THE ABUNDANT INSTABILITY PRESENT ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE
FORECAST AREA. A LOT OF DRY AIR ALOFT ACROSS MICHIGAN INDIANA AND
WESTERN OHIO AND THINK THAT DAMAGING WINDS ARE GOING TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH HOW TO HANDLE THIS EVENT TONIGHT
FOLLOWING SUNSET. GFS SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON THE PRESENT
SITUATION BUT IT SUSPICIOUSLY SHOWS ALL CONVECTION DISSIPATING AFTER
00Z WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING AT ALL SITES THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. IT HINTS AT SOME NEW CONVECTION OVERNIGHT BETWEEN 06Z AND
12Z BUT ITS HARD TO SAY IF THIS BRIEF BREAK WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN.
WILL TRY AND PUT SOME TIMING IN THE FORECAST THIS EVENING WITH
HIGHEST POPS ACROSS NW OH AND HOLD OFF ON ANY SIGNIFICANT MENTION OF
PRECIP IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES UNTIL CLOSER TO MIDNIGHT.

MEANWHILE THE NAM DOES SHOW THIS AFTERNOONS CONVECTION...BUT NOTHING
ELSE AFTERWARD. FEEL THAT THE GFS SOLUTION IS THE BEST SOLUTION
SINCE WE NEVER REALLY LOSE THE INSTABILITY OVERNIGHT AND I HAVE A
HARD TIME THINKING THAT ALL STORMS WILL DISAPPEAR SUDDENLY AFTER
SUNSET.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT SHOULD BE ON TOP OF THE FORECAST AREA TOMORROW MORNING
AND SHOULD SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY EAST OF THE OH/PA BORDER BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. SHOULD ACTUALLY DRY OUT WEST OF INTERSTATE 71 TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WHILE THERE WILL STILL BE A LINGERING CHANCE OF A SHOWER
FURTHER EAST. A LITTLE WORRIED ABOUT WHAT COULD HAPPEN IF THE FRONT
STALLS OVERHEAD TOMORROW MORNING GIVEN INCREASING DESTABILIZATION
ACROSS WESTERN OHIO. QUESTION IS WHETHER ANY SEVERE STORMS COULD
DEVELOP ACROSS FAR EASTERN OHIO/WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA TOMORROW
AFTERNOON BUT THIS IS STILL UP FOR DEBATE. BY TUESDAY NIGHT...ALL
SITES SHOULD BE DRY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

TEMPS DROP OFF QUITE A BIT TOMORROW WITH HIGHS NEAR NORMAL BOTH
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LONG TERM BEGINS THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER.  THE HIGH WILL EXTEND SOUTH THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND AND THE EASTERN OHIO VALLEY.  ALOFT AN UPPER RIDGE WILL
EXTEND THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE GREAT LAKES.  WITH THIS
SYNOPTIC SETTING WOULD EXPECT FAIR WX THROUGH THE DAY.  GFS AND
ECMWF SHOWING ENOUGH MOISTURE TO MAKE AFTERNOON/EVENING SCT/ISOLD
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE HOWEVER WL LEAVE OUT FOR NOW.  NEXT
SIGNIFICANT CHANCE FOR SYNOPTIC SHWRS/TSTMS WILL COME FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO ONTARIO WITH AN UPPER TROF
MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.  AT THE SURFACE MODELS SHOW AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION.  ALTHOUGH THERE ARE
TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF WOULD EXPECT A LINE OF
SHWRS/TSTMS WITH THE FRONT DURING THE PERIOD.  UPPER TROF WILL
REMAIN OVER THE ONTARIO/QUEBEC AREA WHICH WILL BRING COOLER AIR AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THUNDERSTORMS RACING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. SOME
OF THE STORMS ARE SEVERE. WILL GO WITH GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH
OCCASIONAL HIGH WIND GUSTS AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. EASTERN PORTIONS AT CAK AND YNG
WILL NOT MENTION SEVERE THREAT. REST OF THE PERIOD WILL SEE
BASICALLY VFR CONDITIONS AFTER ABOUT 16Z WITH IMPROVING
CONDITIONS DURING THE MORNING.

OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. FRIDAY EVENING ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AND LIKELY BRING IN MVFR CONDITIONS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...
SSW WINDS OF ABOUT 10 TO 20 KTS WILL CONTINUE INTO LATE TONIGHT WHEN
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS LAKE ERIE SHIFTING THE FLOW TO SW OR
WEST. THE NEARSHORE WILL SEE A LITTLE HIGHER WINDS INTO THIS EVENING
SO SCA WILL BE LEFT GOING UNTIL 10 PM.  HIGH PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS
OHIO SHOULD PROVIDE FAIRLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS UNTIL A NE FLOW
STARTS TO SET UP WED AFTERNOON AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH ESTABLISHES
ITSELF NEAR LAKE ONTARIO. EAST TO SE WINDS THU WILL VEER TO SE THEN
S FRI INTO FRI NIGHT AHEAD OF ANOTHER APPROACHING WEAK COLD FRONT.
THE MODELS START TO BECOME MORE UNCERTAIN ON HOW AND WHETHER THIS
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LAKE ERIE SAT SO LOW CONFIDENCE IN A S TO W
WIND SHIFT IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     LEZ142>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LEINS
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA/LEINS
SHORT TERM...LEINS
LONG TERM...TK
AVIATION...LOMBARDY
MARINE...ADAMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
640 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

LEZ061-147>149-167>169-OHZ012>014-021>023-032-033-089-PAZ001>003-
102245-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-
ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
640 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTHEAST OHIO
AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  SPREADING ACROSS
NORTHERN OHIO THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE MAY BE A THREAT OF STRONG DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING AS A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES FROM NORTHEASTERN OHIO
INTO NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

LEZ142>146-162>166-OHZ003-006>011-017>020-027>031-036>038-047-102245-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
640 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 496 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  SPREADING ACROSS
NORTHERN OHIO THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE MAY BE A THREAT OF STRONG DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING AS A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES FROM NORTHEASTERN OHIO
INTO NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
527 PM EDT MON JUN 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATERVILLE              41.50N 83.73W
06/09/2008                   LUCAS              OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

KIELTYKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
937 PM EDT MON JUN 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATERVILLE              41.50N 83.73W
06/09/2008                   LUCAS              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VERY LARGE LIMB DOWN ESTIMATED WIND UP TO 60 MPH.

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOWLING GREEN           41.38N 83.65W
06/09/2008                   WOOD               OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0625 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E CLAY CENTER         41.57N 83.30W
06/09/2008                   OTTAWA             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            16 TRAINS DERAILED AND A LARGE TREE UPROOTED.

0651 PM     TSTM WND GST     FINDLAY                 41.04N 83.64W
06/09/2008  M67.00 MPH       HANCOCK            OH   ASOS

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN THE AREA.

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S SANDUSKY            41.41N 82.71W
06/09/2008                   ERIE               OH   PUBLIC

            A FEW LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 N UPPER SANDUSKY      40.93N 83.28W
06/09/2008                   WYANDOT            OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND ONE FELL ON A HOUSE.

0735 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SYLVANIA                41.71N 83.71W
06/09/2008                   LUCAS              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HUNDREDS OF TREES DOWN.

&&

KIELTYKA