Severe Thunderstorm Warning 34, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 310656
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
255 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

OHC043-077-143-147-310715-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-080531T0715Z/
SENECA OH-HURON OH-SANDUSKY OH-ERIE OH-
255 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM EDT 
FOR ERIE AND NORTHERN HURON COUNTIES...SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY AND 
NORTHEASTERN SENECA COUNTIES...

AT 251 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MILAN...OR ABOUT NEAR
NORWALK...MOVING EAST AT 47 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BERLIN
HEIGHTS AND WAKEMAN

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 4135 8294 4141 8254 4140 8252 4139 8249
      4141 8242 4142 8240 4143 8235 4115 8234
      4112 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 0655Z 258DEG 41KT 4130 8252

$$

WILLARD

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 310717
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
315 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

OHC043-077-143-147-310725-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-080531T0715Z/
SENECA OH-HURON OH-SANDUSKY OH-ERIE OH-
315 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ERIE AND NORTHERN HURON
COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...AND SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY AND
NORTHEASTERN SENECA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST OHIO EXPIRED AT 315 AM
EDT...

THE STORMS HAVE WEAKENED AND DAMAGING WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. BRIEF 
WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE STILL LIKELY.

LAT...LON 4135 8294 4141 8254 4140 8252 4139 8249
      4141 8242 4142 8240 4143 8235 4115 8234
      4112 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 0656Z 258DEG 41KT 4130 8250

$$

KOSARIK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
130 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT WILL BRING A
THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN OHIO TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AN THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE ANOTHER PIECE OF JET ENERGY BRINGS ADDITIONAL CHANCES OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
FOR EVENING UPDATE HAVE ADJUSTED TIMING FOR REST OF THE NIGHT. IN
GENERAL HAVE LEFT HIGHEST POP FOR THE NIGHT ABOUT THE SAME AS STILL
THINK MOST OF AREA WILL HAVE MEASURABLE PRECIP BY 10Z.  LEFT HEAVY
RAIN THREAT IN AND KEPT DAMAGING WINDS THREAT FOR JUST WEST HALF.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING
AND SHOULD SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE CWA. FRONT SHOULD BE
THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA BUT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO PICK OUT WITH
THE OUTFLOW FROM THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BE AHEAD
OF THIS BOUNDARY. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY WILL MAKE FOR A
DIFFICULT FORECAST WITH THE WET GROUNDS AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS
CLOUDS. ANOTHER WAVE WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE TROUGH ON SUNDAY AND
COULD BRING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTHWESTERN CWA. MONDAY
APPEARS TO BE DRY ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN OHIO BUT ANOTHER SHORT
WAVE WILL APPROACH ON TUESDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
EXPECT SEASONAL TEMPERATURES SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
CONSENSUS HERE IN THE LONG TERM IS TO LEAN TOWARD THE EUROPEAN.  A
WARM UP IS IN STORE AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE EAST
COAST BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.  THIS WILL SET UP THE FIRST LARGE
WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE AREA. FORECAST AREA WILL SETTLE INTO
A WARM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALONG WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN DEW
POINTS ACROSS THE AREA.

THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EACH DAY IN THE
EXTENDED PERIODS AS ATMOSPHERE BECOMES UNSTABLE IN THE SOUTHERLY
FLOW.  GULF MOISTURE OPENS UP ALLOWING MOISTURE TO STREAM NORTH INTO
THE REGION. INCREASING HUMIDITY WILL ALSO BE NOTICEABLE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE 80S BY MID WEEK FOR HIGHS
WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.  ENSEMBLE MOS GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES SUPPORT
CURRENT EUROPEAN TRENDS OVER THE EXTENDED PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
TAFS WILL DEAL WITH CONVECTION OVERNIGHT MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE AREA. CONDITIONS GENERALLY VFR ACROSS THE AREA ALTHOUGH
IN AND NEAR STORMS EXPECT IFR OR LIFR. COLD FRONT WILL BE IN THE
EAST HALF OF THE AREA ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW AN
ABUNDANCE OF ENERGY IN THE SOUNDINGS SO EXPECT STORMS TO REDEVELOP
ON SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK...DRIER AIR SHOULD CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. GFS AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE NAM/WRF MODEL BRING ANOTHER
TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY WITH THE SMALL CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/STORMS. WITH DRIER AND SOMEWHAT MORE STABLE AIR MOST OF
THE DAY SUNDAY SHOULD BE DRY WITH VFR CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH CANNOT
TOTALLY RULE OUT A SHOWER AT INLAND LOCATIONS. WARM FRONTAL TYPE
SHOWERS/STORMS COULD ARRIVE AS EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING AND THERE
SEEMS TO BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STARTING TUESDAY
AND ESSENTIALLY FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK NEXT WEEK. SOME MORNING
FOG/HAZE MAY ALSO GRADUALLY DEVELOP LATER NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL U.S. WILL MOVE EAST ONTO LAKE ERIE LATE
TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD
BE SEVERE WITH HIGHS WINDS. WINDS AND WAVES MAY APPROACH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA ON SATURDAY AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
INCREASE AFTER FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN TO THE
LAKE ON SUNDAY WITH GENERALLY LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH MID WEEK
EVEN WITH WEAK COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO DROP SE ACROSS THE LAKE ON
TUESDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MULLEN
NEAR TERM...MULLEN
SHORT TERM...MULLEN
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...TK
MARINE...RANDEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
340 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-311945-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
340 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT FOR ALL OF
NORTHERN OHIO. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER ILLINOIS AND INDIANA
WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWESTERN OHIO DURING THE LATE EVENING AND MOVE
EASTWARD THROUGH SUNRISE. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE THREAT OF STRONG DAMAGING WINDS
WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY MORNING FOR AREAS EAST OF A CLEVELAND TO
MANSFIELD LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.