River Flood Warning 31, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WGUS81 KCLE 181610
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1110 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...

  KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK

REMEMBER...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE WATER 
MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND AND FIND ANOTHER ROUTE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


OHC075-169-190010-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0030.080218T2000Z-080220T2100Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.080218T2000Z.080219T1800Z.080220T1500Z.NO/
1110 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KILLBUCK CREEK NEAR KILLBUCK
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 15.5 FEET EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN LOWLYING AREAS WEST OF WATER 
  STREET IN THE VILLAGE OF KILLBUCK.

$$

OHC085-181640-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-080219T0040Z/
/PNVO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1110 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER AT PAINESVILLE.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 6.4 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 8.0 FEET...WATER REACHES VROOMAN ROAD.  LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  IN THE METROPARKS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
333 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER EASTERN ONTARIO WITH A COLD FRONT SOUTH
THROUGH WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST
LATER TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE OHIO VALLEY FROM THE
SOUTH ON TUESDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO
SOUTHERN OHIO WEDNESDAY MORNING...MOVING INTO THE EAST COAST BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
COLD FRONT JUST ABOUT EXITING FAR EASTERN AREAS AND TAKING THE RAIN
SHOWERS ALONG WITH IT. JUST EXPECTING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION. TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER 30S FAR WEST EARLY THIS MORNING MAY RECOVER A LITTLE TODAY
OR REMAIN STEADY. IN THE FAR EAST TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY IN THE 40S
SHOULD BE IN THE UPPER 30S BY SUNRISE AND WILL HAVE TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO THE LOWER 30S OR SO LATER TODAY. WILL LET THE WIND
ADVISORY EXPIRE FOR WESTERN AREAS AND CONTINUE UNTIL 7AM IN THE EAST
AS THERE HAVE BEEN A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 40KT EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL KEEP SNOW SHOWERS GOING TONIGHT. BEST CHANCE
WILL BE NEAR THE LAKE SHORE NE OHIO AND NW PA WHERE THERE WILL BE
SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT DESPITE LAKE BEING MOSTLY ICE COVERED.
DECREASING MOISTURE...WIND DIRECTION AND ICE COVER WILL HELP LIMIT
LAKE EFFECT...BUT COUPLE OF INCHES COULD FALL. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTH TUESDAY BUT WILL KEEP CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS MAINLY FOR EASTERN AREAS.  TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO THE
UPPER TEENS LOWER 20S TONIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY RECOVERING A
FEW DEGREES ON TUESDAY WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLDER AIR. HIGHS IN
THE LOW TO MID 20S OR ABOUT 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WEAK LOW MOVES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...MOVING QUICKLY EAST ON
WEDNESDAY. SHOULD SEE LIGHT SNOWFALL GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS
ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN AREAS WITH THIS LOW. THEN CHANCE OF LINGER
FLURRIES OR SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
STILL EXPECTED TO BE UNDER SPLIT FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED
GIVING RISE TO TIMING ISSUED AND SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
MODEL AND MODEL RUNS. COLD FRONT EXITING AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND
SHOULD SEE SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISH BY EVENING WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LATEST ECMWF KEEPS THE
PRECIP SOUTH OF THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WHILE LATEST GFS
BROUGHT IT LITTLE FURTHER NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN AREAS. WILL DROP
THE CHANCE OF SNOW NORTHERN AREAS BUT KEEP A CHANCE GOING IN THE
SOUTH. BRING PRECIP BACK IN ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT...COULD BE WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MVFR CEILINGS SPREADING IN BEHIND COLD FRONT THAT WAS LOCATED OVER
THE EXTREME EAST END OF THE FORECAST AREA. MAINLY DRY WEATHER
AFTER FROPA. ANOTHER TROF MOVES THROUGH MONDAY CAUSING SOME SNOW
SHOWERS. WENT WITH MVFR CEILINGS AND SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES IN
SNOW SHOWERS. THE FLOW IS SOUTHWEST IT WILL BE BECAUSE OF A SHORT
WAVE MOVING THROUGH. CONDITIONS WILL TRY TO IMPROVE AFTER DARK MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS LIKELY INTO AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY AND
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NE OH/NW PA BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS
LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH MVFR/IFR SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN THURSDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 30 KNOTS WEST END TODAY. THEN
COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE LAKE TONIGHT. EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE
TO MARGINAL GALES BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON.
WILL HAVE GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 08Z MONDAY THROUGH 00Z
TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA ON THURSDAY. WITH THE LAKE MOSTLY
ICE COVERED GALE FORCE WINDS MONDAY AND MODERATE WINDS THEN INTO
WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY CAUSE CONSIDERABLE MOVEMENT AND RIDGING OF THE
ICE.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR OHZ011>014-
     020>023-031>033-038-089.
PA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ061-142>149-
     162>169.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RANDEL
NEAR TERM...RANDEL
SHORT TERM...RANDEL
LONG TERM...KUBINA
AVIATION...KIELTYKA
MARINE...KUBINA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
458 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

OHZ011>014-020>023-031>033-038-089-PAZ001>003-191000-
CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
458 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-191000-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
458 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-191000-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
458 AM EST MON FEB 18 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.