Gale Warning 22, NWS Cleveland, OH

000
WHUS71 KCLE 062033
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
333 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

LEZ142>148-070445-
/O.UPG.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-081207T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0022.081206T2028Z-081207T1600Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
333 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO
35 KNOT GALES. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST
THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT 
OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ149-070445-
/O.UPG.KCLE.SC.Y.0081.000000T0000Z-081207T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0022.081206T2033Z-081207T2100Z/
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
333 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO
35 KNOT GALES. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO WEST AND THEN
NORTHWEST AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT 
OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-169-070445-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0022.081206T2033Z-081207T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
333 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO
35 KNOT GALES. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO WEST AND THEN
NORTHWEST AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT 
OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ162>168-070445-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0022.081206T2028Z-081207T1600Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
333 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING TO
35 KNOT GALES. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO WEST AND THEN
NORTHWEST AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT 
OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY

578 
WHUS71 KCLE 070241
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
941 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

LEZ142>148-162>168-071000-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T1600Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
941 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY.

WEST WINDS TO 35 KNOT GALES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AND
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO NORTHWEST. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-149-169-071000-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
941 PM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY.

SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

580 
WHUS71 KCLE 070933
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
433 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

LEZ142>148-162>168-071600-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T1600Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
433 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
THE WEST HALF OF LAKE ERIE.

NORTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS WILL DECREASE BELOW GALE FORCE BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING.

&&

$$

LEZ061-149-169-071745-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
433 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
THE EAST HALF OF LAKE ERIE.

NORTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BY LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING.

&&

$$

000
WHUS71 KCLE 071455
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
955 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

LEZ142>144-072300-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0082.081207T1455Z-081208T0200Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
955 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH
THIS EVENING. WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL ALSO SUBSIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN
PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-071600-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T1600Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
955 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

THE GALE FORCE WINDS HAVE DECREASED.

$$

LEZ145>148-165>168-072100-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T2100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
955 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

NORTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS WILL DECREASE BELOW GALE FORCE BY
LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING.

&&

$$

LEZ061-149-169-072100-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
955 AM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

NORTHWEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH BY LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING.

&&

$$

KIELTYKA

000
WHUS71 KCLE 072029
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
329 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

LEZ145>149-080430-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-081208T0800Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
329 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST MONDAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND
DECREASE THE WAVES WILL DECREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN
PORT OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-165>169-072130-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081207T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
329 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

THE WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW GALE FORCE. 

$$

LEZ142>144-080200-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-081208T0200Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
329 PM EST SUN DEC 7 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH THIS
EVENING. WAVES WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET LATE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KIELTYKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
702 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT TRAILING THIS LOW WILL SWEEP EAST
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA BY LATE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY
DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
APPEARS GFS HAS A LITTLE BIT BETTER HANDLE ON AREA OF SNOW HEADING
THIS WAY.  THUS WILL USE THE GFS TO TIME PRECIP ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. AS IS TYPICAL FOR A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM SNOW ACCUMS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE. ALL AREAS WILL GET 100
PERCENT POPS AND SNOW DEVELOPING WORDING. SNOW SHOULD REACH I-71
CORRIDOR BY LATE MORNING AND NW PA BY LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT AND THIS ALONG WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS HAS ALLOWED TEMPS TO WARM SOME FROM THE EVENING HOURS. MOST
LOCATIONS SHOULD GET INTO THE UPPER 20S FOR HIGHS TODAY WHICH
AGREES NICELY WITH GUIDANCE NUMBERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CLIPPER SHOULD PASS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA THIS EVENING
WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION EXPECTED BEHIND THE TRAILING COLD
FRONT. RESIDUAL SYNOPTIC SCALE MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE
SNOWBELT WELL INTO SUNDAY SO A GOOD ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT A GOOD
BET. THUS HAVE DECIDED TO HOIST A LAKE EFFECT WATCH FOR OUR NW PA
ZONES BEGINNING LATE THIS EVENING. HAVE DECIDED TO USE GFS WINDS
TODAY AS IT SEEMS TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE CLIPPER. FETCH
WILL NOT GREAT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW HOUR PERIOD EARLY
SUNDAY WHEN THERE COULD BE A LAKE HURON FETCH. THUS HAVE LIMITED
WATCH TO PA ZONES. NE OH WILL LIKELY NEED A HEADLINE AT SOME POINT
BUT WILL LET DAY CREW TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT THAT. ANYWAY...VERY
COLD TEMPS ALOFT EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH LAKE TO 500
MB TEMP DIFFERENCES WELL IN EXCESS OF 40 DEGREES SO HAVE ADDED
THUNDER TO THE FORECAST. REALLY THINK INLAND NW PA HAS THE BEST
CHANCES FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOW. LESS SO CLOSER TO THE LAKE. BUFKIT
SHOWS BEST SNOW GROWTH POTENTIAL SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT THINGS TO
GET GOING FAIRLY QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND THEN PICK UP EVEN
MORE SUNDAY MORNING AS THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES ALOFT. THERE COULD
BE SOME DECREASE IN ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS SOME DRIER AIR
MOVES IN. SURFACE RIDGING WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
FINALLY BRING AN END TO THE SNOW.

ELSEWHERE...SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLIPPER WILL WIND DOWN FROM
WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. CANT IMAGINE THERE WILL BE MUCH SNOW
WEST OF I-71 BY MIDNIGHT. WILL NEED TO LEAVE AT LEAST CHANCES POPS
IN ALL AREAS ON SUNDAY AS SOME SNOW SHOWERS ORIGINATING FROM LAKE
MICHIGAN COULD FIND THEIR WAY TO WESTERN OHIO.

NEXT CONCERN IS SYSTEM FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK. LOTS OF
CHANGES WITH THIS STORM SINCE YESTERDAY AND CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY
LOW. IF NEW GFS AND ECMWF ARE CORRECT...THIS COULD BE A MAINLY
RAIN EVENT. HOWEVER...WOULD LIKE TO SEE A LITTLE MORE RUN TO RUN
CONTINUITY BEFORE MAKING BIG CHANGES TO FORECAST. FOR NOW ALL
AREAS WILL GET LIKELY RAIN OR SNOW WORDING BY EARLY TUESDAY.

PERIOD WILL BE COLD WITH TEMPS AVERAGING WELL BELOW NORMAL.
GUIDANCE NUMBERS MAY BE A TAD TOO WARM.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MAIN CHALLENGE FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK IS RESOLVING THE
INTENSITY AND DIFFERENCES OF THE INDIVIDUAL WEATHER SYSTEMS AND THE
MODELS. GFS HAS A DEEPER AND SLOWER MOVING WAVE ON THE FRONT TUE
INTO WED. CANADIAN GEM LOOKS MORE LIKE THE ECMWF WITH A FLATTER
FASTER MOVG WAVE. NCEP GUIDANCE HAS FRONT CLOSER TO THE EAST COAST
WHICH MIGHT BE REASONABLE. FORECAST WILL ALLOW FOR SOME LEFTOVER
SNOW...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. GFS RETURNS A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS
DROPPING H8 TEMPS TO -16C BY WED EVENING. ECMWF CONSIDERABLY WARMER
AT -5C WITH THE GEM IN BETWEEN. FORECAST WILL ALSO BE A
COMPROMISE...ENDING THE SNOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BUILDING IN
CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE BY THURSDAY. IF THE GFS IS RIGHT AND THE
AIRMASS IS COLDER THEN OBVIOUSLY THERE WILL BE MORE OF A LAKE EFFECT
THREAT.

NEXT CLIPPER COMING FAST LATER THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT. ECMWF IS
FASTER AND STRONGER WITH THE SYSTEM BUT WILL LEAN TOWARD A WEAKER
SYSTEM SINCE ALL MODELS SHOW A SECOND STRONGER SYSTEM ON FRIDAY.
SHOULD BE LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND WILL INCLUDE A CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY NE OH/NW PA. NEXT CLIPPER ON FRIDAY TO CROSS
THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND WILL ESSENTIALLY ACT AS A WARM FRONT
ENHANCING THE SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALTHOUGH IT CERTAINLY
WILL NOT WARM UP MUCH AS COLD AIR MASS WILL BE ALL THE WAY TO THE
GULF COAST STATES.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH A FEW PATCHES
OF MODERATE SNOW. CEILINGS AND VSBY WILL LOWER TO MVFR WITH THE
ONSET OF SNOW. VSBY SHOULD LOWER TO IFR FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING
STEADIER SNOW WITH LOCAL IFR CEILINGS AS WELL. WILL IMPROVE VSBY
FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS SNOW SHOULD
LIGHTEN UP AS COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA AND DRIER AIR FILTERS IN
FROM THE WEST. LAKE EFFECT/LAKE ENHANCED SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF
AND ON THRU TONIGHT MAINLY AT KCLE... KYNG AND KERI.

OUTLOOK...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. NW
FLOW WILL AFFECT MOST NE OH/NW PA LOCATIONS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
TAPER OFF LATE SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT AND WE COULD SEE VFR CONDITIONS
FOR A SHORT WHILE. WARM ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP QUICKLY ON
MONDAY AND LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES WILL BREAK OUT. A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT SHOULD SAG ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY/TUE NIGHT. ENOUGH WARM
AIR IS LIKELY FOR SOME RAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALTHOUGH THERE IS
STILL A CHANCE OF SNOW OR MIXED RAIN AND SNOW. IFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE. COLDER AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SNOW
SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
PROBABLY DO NOT NEED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY RIGHT AT THE MOMENT...
THE LIGHT SOUTH WIND WILL KEEP THE WAVES AT A MINIMUM ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE... BUT THE SSW WIND IS BLOWING OUT OVER THE OPEN WATERS
AND SHOULD INCREASE TODAY AS THE WEAK CLIPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
PUSHES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. GRADIENT BEHIND THE LOW TIGHTENS UP
AS A 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE AREA PUSHES SE FROM CANADA. SHOULD BE
ENOUGH WIND FOR GALES AT LEAST ON THE EAST HALF OF THE LAKE. WILL
DELAY THE ONSET OF THE GALE WATCH A FEW HOURS AS THE COLD FRONT WILL
NOT CROSS THE LAKE UNTIL EARLY TONIGHT.

NW GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN LATER SUNDAY. FLOW WILL BACK TO THE SOUTH BY
MONDAY. STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM FOR TUESDAY. WILL KEEP THE SOUTH FLOW GOING TUESDAY AS IT
LOOKS AS THOUGH WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE NEXT COLD FRONT EARLY
WEDNESDAY TO SHIFT THE FLOW BACK TO THE NNW.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     EVENING FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     LEZ061-146>149-166>169.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     LEZ146>149.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ142>145.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KUBINA
NEAR TERM...KUBINA
SHORT TERM...KUBINA
LONG TERM...KOSARIK
AVIATION...KOSARIK
MARINE...KOSARIK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
539 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-071045-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
539 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-071045-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
539 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ON MOST OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKE ERIE SUNDAY...MAINLY FOR
THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF LAKE ERIE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ001>003-071045-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
539 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.