Alert archive / Ohio / Flood Watches in 2008
Flood Watch 3, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this flood watch at Mar 17, 2008, 4:09 PM EDT for 28 counties in Ohio. It took effect at Mar 18, 2008, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 38 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2008, 4:09 PM EDT (20:09 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 18, 2008, 2:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 19, 2008, 4:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 38 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
- Flood severity
- None
All 28 counties
Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1024 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 74 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -113 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -60 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS61 KCLE 172009
FFACLE
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
409 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008
OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-180415-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FA.A.0003.080318T0600Z-080319T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...
UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...
WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON
409 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST
OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...ASHLAND...CRAWFORD...ERIE OH...HURON...
KNOX...MARION...MORROW AND RICHLAND. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...
HOLMES AND WAYNE. IN NORTHWEST OHIO...HANCOCK...LUCAS...
OTTAWA...SANDUSKY...SENECA...WOOD AND WYANDOT.
* FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
THIS EVENING AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES FROM
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO
4 INCHES POSSIBLE.
* THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT
SNOWMELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT
FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.
$$
OHZ010>014-020>023-032-033-089-180415-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FA.A.0003.080318T0600Z-080319T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-
PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON...
YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA
409 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST
OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...
LORAIN. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA
LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...GEAUGA...LAKE...MAHONING...MEDINA...
PORTAGE...STARK...SUMMIT AND TRUMBULL.
* FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY. WARM AIR DRAWN NORTHWARD
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL MELT ANY REMAINING SNOWPACK BY TUESDAY
EVENING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LIKELY. ISOLATED
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
* THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT
SNOWMELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY R.
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CORPUS CHRISTI FAIR 82 70 66 SE37G45 29.70F HAZE
NAS CORPUS CHR CLOUDY 78 69 73 S26G36 29.73F
ROCKPORT FAIR 79 69 71 SE21G32 29.74F
KINGSVILLE NAS PTSUNNY 88 69 53 SE29G40 29.64F HX 92
ALICE PTSUNNY 91 67 44 S28G43 29.63F HX 94
FALFURRIAS PTSUNNY 91 64 40 SE29G39 29.60F HX 93
$$
...VICTORIA AREA OBSERVATIONS...
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
PORT LAVACA CLOUDY 82 72 69 S29G38 29.78F
VICTORIA PTSUNNY 81 68 65 S29G40 29.76F
SAN ANTONIO CLOUDY 83 67 58 SE16 29.71F
$$
...LAREDO AREA OBSERVATIONS...
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
LAREDO FAIR 98 63 31 S18G26 29.61F HX 99
COTULLA FAIR 93 65 39 SE14G22 29.61F HX 95
DEL RIO FAIR 88 54 31 SE12G22 29.59F
MCALLEN FAIR 92 69 47 S31G48 29.63F HX 97
HEBBRONVILLE N/A 93 64 38 SE22 29.64F HX 95
$$
...OTHER TEXAS OBSERVATIONS...
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BROWNSVILLE FAIR 84 70 62 SE33G45 29.71F
HOUSTON CLOUDY 81 67 62 S26G35 29.84F
COL. STATION PTSUNNY 82 67 60 S24G31 29.76F
AUSTIN CLOUDY 77 67 71 SE17G24 29.73F
WACO CLOUDY 76 63 64 S18G28 29.74F
FORT WORTH CLOUDY 79 61 53 S24G30 29.74F
WICHITA FALLS NOT AVBL
LUBBOCK PTSUNNY 65 42 43 N14G21 29.77F
EL PASO MOSUNNY 55 11 17 W13G18 29.86F
$$
...MARINE OBSERVATIONS...
STATION/POSITION TIME SKY/WX TEMP WIND PRES VSBY WAVE SWELL
AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER
(UTC) (F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (MI) (FT/S) (FT/S)
PORT ARANSAS 1900 71 68 140/ 19/ 21 1008.0F
BUOY 90 E PORT A 1900 68 VRB 21/ 25 1009.5F 10/ 8
BUOY 45 SE BAFFI 2000 71 68 140/ 17/ 21 1006.6F 10/ 8 7/ 8
BUOY 200 E PT IS 2000 76 75 140/ 23/ 27 1011.4F 9/ 8
BUOY 15 E GALVES 2000 68 64 120/ 16/ 17 1011.5F 5/ 7 3/ 7
$$6 follow-up statements
000 WGUS61 KCLE 180125 FFACLE FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 925 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008 OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-180930- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.080318T0600Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON... FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND... WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON 925 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... ASHLAND...CRAWFORD...ERIE OH...HURON...KNOX...MARION...MORROW AND RICHLAND. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...HOLMES AND WAYNE. IN NORTHWEST OHIO...HANCOCK...LUCAS...OTTAWA...SANDUSKY... SENECA...WOOD AND WYANDOT. * FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ010>014-020>023-032-033-089-180930- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.080318T0600Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT- PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... JEFFERSON...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON... YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA 925 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...LORAIN. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE... CUYAHOGA...GEAUGA...LAKE...MAHONING...MEDINA...PORTAGE... STARK...SUMMIT AND TRUMBULL. * FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY. WARM AIR MOVING NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL MELT ANY REMAINING SNOW PACK BY TUESDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LIKELY. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ LOMBARDY
000 WGUS61 KCLE 180818 FFACLE FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 418 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-181630- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON... FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND... WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON 418 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... ASHLAND...CRAWFORD...ERIE OH...HURON...KNOX...MARION...MORROW AND RICHLAND. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...HOLMES AND WAYNE. IN NORTHWEST OHIO...HANCOCK...LUCAS...OTTAWA...SANDUSKY... SENECA...WOOD AND WYANDOT. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * OFF AND ON RAIN WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED TO BE WELL SOUTH OF LAKE ERIE...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF ROUTE 30. TONIGHT ANYWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA COULD HAVE SOME HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDER. RAINFALL TOTALS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED 4 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ010>014-020>023-032-033-089-181630- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT- PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... JEFFERSON...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON... YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA 418 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...LORAIN. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE... CUYAHOGA...GEAUGA...LAKE...MAHONING...MEDINA...PORTAGE... STARK...SUMMIT AND TRUMBULL. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * OFF AND ON RAIN WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED TO BE WELL SOUTH OF LAKE ERIE...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF ROUTE 30. TONIGHT ANYWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA COULD HAVE SOME HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDER. RAINFALL TOTALS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED 4 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ KIELTYKA
000 WGUS61 KCLE 181612 FFACLE FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1212 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-190015- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON... FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND... WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON 1212 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... ASHLAND...CRAWFORD...ERIE OH...HURON...KNOX...MARION...MORROW AND RICHLAND. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...HOLMES AND WAYNE. IN NORTHWEST OHIO...HANCOCK...LUCAS...OTTAWA...SANDUSKY... SENECA...WOOD AND WYANDOT. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE INTENSITY AND COVERAGE OF THIS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AS A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT... WITH RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF ROUTE 30. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ010>014-020>023-032-033-089-190015- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT- PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... JEFFERSON...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON... YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA 1212 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...LORAIN. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE... CUYAHOGA...GEAUGA...LAKE...MAHONING...MEDINA...PORTAGE... STARK...SUMMIT AND TRUMBULL. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE INTENSITY AND COVERAGE OF THIS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AS A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT... WITH RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE ONGOING SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ ASTIFAN
000 WGUS61 KCLE 190007 FFACLE FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 807 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-190815- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON... FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND... WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON 807 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... ASHLAND...CRAWFORD...ERIE OH...HURON...KNOX...MARION...MORROW AND RICHLAND. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...HOLMES AND WAYNE. IN NORTHWEST OHIO...HANCOCK...LUCAS...OTTAWA...SANDUSKY... SENECA...WOOD AND WYANDOT. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST OHIO AS A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES UP THE OHIO VALLEY. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED IF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ010>014-020>023-032-033-089-190815- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT- PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... JEFFERSON...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON... YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA 807 PM EDT TUE MAR 18 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...LORAIN. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE... CUYAHOGA...GEAUGA...LAKE...MAHONING...MEDINA...PORTAGE... STARK...SUMMIT AND TRUMBULL. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON * RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AS A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES UP THE OHIO VALLEY. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE ONGOING SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WGUS61 KCLE 190756 FFACLE FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 356 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2008 OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-191600- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON... FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND... WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON 356 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... ASHLAND...CRAWFORD...ERIE OH...HURON...KNOX...MARION...MORROW AND RICHLAND. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...HOLMES AND WAYNE. IN NORTHWEST OHIO...HANCOCK...LUCAS...OTTAWA...SANDUSKY... SENECA...WOOD AND WYANDOT. * THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON * RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST OHIO THIS MORNING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS OHIO. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO SNOW. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ010>014-020>023-032-033-089-191600- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT- PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... JEFFERSON...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON... YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA 356 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...LORAIN. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE... CUYAHOGA...GEAUGA...LAKE...MAHONING...MEDINA...PORTAGE... STARK...SUMMIT AND TRUMBULL. * THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON * RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS OHIO. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE ONGOING SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WGUS61 KCLE 191525 FFACLE FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1125 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2008 OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-192000- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT- CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON... FREMONT...SANDUSKY...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND... WOOSTER...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON 1125 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... ASHLAND...CRAWFORD...ERIE OH...HURON...KNOX...MARION...MORROW AND RICHLAND. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...HOLMES AND WAYNE. IN NORTHWEST OHIO...HANCOCK...LUCAS...OTTAWA...SANDUSKY... SENECA...WOOD AND WYANDOT. * UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON * RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST OHIO THIS AFTERNOON THOUGH IT MAY BECOME MIXED WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW OVER WESTERN AREAS. HOWEVER SOME MODERATE RAINFALL MAY STILL OCCUR BEFORE THE CHANGE TO SNOW TAKES PLACE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING THE AFTERNOON MAY BE UP TO ONE HALF INCH. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE RECENT SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ OHZ010>014-020>023-032-033-089-192000- /O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-080319T2000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT- PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON... JEFFERSON...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...WARREN...CANTON... YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA 1125 AM EDT WED MAR 19 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHEAST OHIO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...LORAIN. IN NORTHEAST OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE... CUYAHOGA...GEAUGA...LAKE...MAHONING...MEDINA...PORTAGE... STARK...SUMMIT AND TRUMBULL. * UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON * RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO THIS AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS OHIO. PERIODS OF MODERATE RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING THE AFTERNOON UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE ONGOING SNOW MELT. RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY RESPOND TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 17, 3:24 PM EDT, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 3:24 PM EDT, 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
324 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EASTWARD TONIGHT WHILE
LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION FROM THE WEST
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL POSITION
ITSELF ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO ON TUESDAY WITH A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
RAIN EXPECTED REGION-WIDE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT AND
PRECIPITATION WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE EAST OF THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WEATHER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA REMAINS QUIET AT THE MOMENT WITH
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUING TO STREAM IN FROM THE WEST. RADAR NOT
SHOWING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAIN EXCEPT FOR SOUTHWEST INDIANA BUT WE
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE PRECIP SPREAD NORTHWARD THIS EVENING.
TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON NEVER REALLY CLIMBED ABOVE THE MID AND UPPER
30S HOWEVER THE WARMEST AIR HAS YET TO ARRIVE. IT WILL CERTAINLY BE
A RACE TO SEE IF WARM AIR ARRIVES AHEAD OF THE PRECIP (IN WHICH CASE
PRECIP WILL BEGIN AS RAIN) OR IF WE SEE A FEW HOURS OF A RAIN/SNOW
MIX IF THE WARM AIR LAGS BEHIND. FOR NOW WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST AS
RAIN AT THE ONSET AT ALL SITES EXCEPT EXTREME NE OH/NW PA WHERE ILL
GO WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX. COULD EVEN SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET IN
THESE AREAS BUT WITH SOUTHEASTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW...HAVE A HARD TIME
BELIEVING THAT WINTRY-TYPE PRECIPITATION WILL HANG ON FOR AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME.
AFTER 06Z THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET SNEAKS INTO SOUTHERN OHIO
WITH STRONG WARM/MOIST ADVECTION EXPECTED INTO THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA. TEMPS AFTER MIDNIGHT SHOULD RISE NICELY INTO THE LOWER 40S
WITH RAIN DEVELOPING. ALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF
ELEVATED CAPE TONIGHT AS WELL...ALTHOUGH THIS APPEARS TO BE CONFINED
PRIMARILY ACROSS NW OH. WILL MENTION A CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THE WEST
BUT KEEP THE MENTION OUT ELSEWHERE.
WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THE SURFACE AND
ALOFT...AND STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH WITH THE AFTERNOON
PACKAGE. THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE
TONIGHT BUT WILL RAMP UP QUICKLY TOWARD DAYBREAK TOMORROW.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
FLOOD WATCH WILL RUN THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY WITH A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
MODERATE/OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. SERIES OF WAVES WILL MOVE ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY
ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE BOUNDARY WILL
SLIDE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A STRONG COLD
FRONT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT AND SUBSEQUENT COLD
ADVECTION WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE PRECIP TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS NW
OH WEDNESDAY MORNING AND A MIX FURTHER EAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. AREAS
ALONG THE OH/PA BORDER MAY END UP STAYING AS ALL RAIN THROUGH THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY AS TEMPS SLOWLY FALL INTO THE 30S BUT SHOULD
QUICKLY MIX WITH AND TURN TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
TEMPS TUESDAY WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
BUT DESPITE STRONG WARM ADVECTION...WILL LIKELY BE HELD IN CHECK DUE
TO CLOUD COVER AND ONGOING PRECIPITATION. SHOULD SEE A PRONOUNCED
DROP IN TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES IN THE LONG RANGE FORECAST WITH TIMING
OF A COUPLE LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE REGIONS CAUSING SOME PROBLEMS.
INITIALLY ON THURSDAY DEEP LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT NEAR THE EAST
COAST WITH COLD CYCLONIC FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN. WILL
HAVE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NE FOR THURSDAY. WEAK LOW TO MOVE
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECIP FROM THIS LOW MAY START
TO SPREAD IN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT THAT ANY PRECIP WOULD BE ALL
SNOW NORTHERN AREAS AND RAIN/SNOW SOUTH...WITH JUST SNOW THEN FRIDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW MOVES THROUGH THE MID OHIO VALLEY OR TENNESSEE
VALLEY LATE SUNDAY. BOTH 12Z OPERATIONAL GFS AND ECMWF KEEP THIS
SYSTEM FAR ENOUGH SOUTH THAT PRECIP MIGHT ONLY TOUCH SOUTHERN
AREAS...THOUGH PREVIOUS RUNS OF GFS GFSENS AND ECMWF HAD TRACKED IT
LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THAT ENTIRE AREA WOULD HAVE HAD PRECIP.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THIS PERIOD.
WENT CLOSER TO HPC MANUAL PROGS GUID TEMPERATURES THAN MOSGUID WHICH
SEEMED TOO WARM ESPECIALLY FOR HIGHS.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH LARGE AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFF TO THE EAST. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA
TONIGHT WITH CIGS AND VSBYS GRADUALLY LOWERING TO MVFR
OVERNIGHT...THEN TO IFR OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BY 12Z-15Z ON
TUESDAY. AS A WARM FRONT MOVES INTO OHIO AND STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
NOSES INTO REGION THERE IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT
OR TUESDAY MORNING PRIMARILY SOUTHERN AREAS. HOWEVER TIMING AND
CONFIDENCE LOW ENOUGH THAT I WONT MENTION IN THE TAF FOR NOW.
.OUTLOOK...WET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS LIKELY
THROUGH THIS PERIOD WHILE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW WILL TAKE
PLACE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS COLD FRONT MOVES EAST. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY AND WILL SEE IMPROVING CONDITIONS
THEN.ANOTHER LOW MOVES EAST THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT.
NON VFR WEATHER LIKELY FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO AT LEAST THE
EARLY PART OF SATURDAY WITH MAINLY SNOW EXPECTED.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS WILL VEER FROM EAST TO SE TONIGHT INTO TUE AND INCREASE TO 10
TO 20 KNOTS AND MAYBE 15 TO 25 KNOTS IN SOME AREAS. THE TRACK OF
LOW PRESSURE THAT IS SUPPOSED TO BE MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS OR NEAR
LAKE ERIE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY REMAINS UNCERTAIN BUT THE
TREND HAS BEEN FOR THE FRONT TO GET PUSHED SE THROUGH LAKE ERIE THEN
HAVE THE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVE NE ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL
MEAN WINDS SHOULD TURN TO MAINLY A NORTHERLY DIRECTION WED MORNING
THEN INCREASE WED AFTERNOON AND EVE AND TURN NW AS THE LOW DEPARTS
TO THE NE. THE WIND SPEEDS BEHIND THE SYSTEM VARY CONSIDERABLY BUT
THINK 20 TO 30 KTS SEEM MOST LIKELY.
WINDS SHOULD THEN DIMINISH OUT OF THE NW THU AND THU NIGHT AS A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SE INTO LAKE ERIE. LIGHT
NORTH WINDS FRI WILL INCREASE A BIT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES SE THROUGH THE LAKE.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...LEINS
NEAR TERM...LEINS
SHORT TERM...LEINS
LONG TERM...RANDEL
AVIATION...RANDEL
MARINE...ADAMSHazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 3:47 PM EDT, 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 347 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008 LEZ061-142>149-162>169-182000- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA- ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 347 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-182000- LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA- ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL- WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW- HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE- 347 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ001>003-182000- NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- 347 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.