Storm Warning 4, NWS Caribou, ME

430 
WHUS71 KCAR 210827
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
327 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

ANZ050>052-211630-
/O.EXT.KCAR.SR.W.0004.081221T2100Z-081222T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
327 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$


MIGNONE

650 
WHUS71 KCAR 211600
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1100 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

ANZ050>052-220000-
/O.CON.KCAR.SR.W.0004.081221T2100Z-081222T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1100 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST MONDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

699 
WHUS71 KCAR 212132
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
432 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

ANZ050>052-220600-
/O.CON.KCAR.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
432 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

918 
WHUS71 KCAR 220305
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1005 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

ANZ050>052-221115-
/O.CON.KCAR.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1005 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

776 
WHUS71 KCAR 220823
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
323 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

ANZ050>052-221500-
/O.CON.KCAR.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
323 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

MIGNONE

272 
WHUS71 KCAR 221438
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
938 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

ANZ050>052-222200-
/O.CAN.KCAR.SR.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081222T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.GL.W.0039.081222T1438Z-081222T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
938 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
216 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE STATE TONIGHT WITH
SUBZERO TEMPERATURES. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THEN TRACK OVER DOWNEAST MAINE
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...BEFORE EXITING TOWARD THE MARITIMES MONDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LATEST SAT IMAGERY SHOWS MID CLD CVR MSLY OVR CNTRL AND SRN PTNS
OF THE FA. RADAR INDICATES LITTLE IF ANY SN SHWER ACTIVITY
AFFECTING THE FA LATE THIS AFT...WITH PERHAPS WRN DOWNEAST AREAS
EXPERIENCING FLURRIES. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE GRADUALLY THINS/CLRS THIS
CLD CVR FROM N TO S ACROSS THE FA OVRNGT...LEAVING MCLR SKIES FROM
LATE EVE INTO THE LATE NGT HRS...XCPT PCLDY OVR DOWNEAST AREAS.

WITH A PTN OF THE STRONG SFC HI MOVING OVR THE NRN PN OF THE FA
LATE TNGT...FAIRLY IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS SHOULD
EXIST SPCLY ACROSS NRN PTNS OF THE FA. SUBSEQUENTLY...WE WENT WELL
BELOW ALL MOS GUIDANCE...BY UP TO 10 DEG F...SPCLY ACROSS LOW
LYING AREAS...USING THE SFC TO 925 MB DELTA TEMP METHOD WITH A
14 TO 17 DEG INVERSION FROM THE THE SFC FROM THE PREDICTED 06-12Z
925 MB TEMPS LATE TNGT. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR THE LOWEST MORN
TEMPS OVR THE NRN FA...TO -25 DEG F OR SO...WILL BE THE ERN ST
JOHN VLY OF ZONE 2 WHERE THE SFC HI IS BEST CNTRD LATE TNGT AND HI
CLD ARRIVAL VERY LATE TNGT FROM THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL HAVE
THE LEAST IMPACT.

OTHERWISE...HI CLD AND THEN MID CLD CVR SHOULD ADVANCE ACROSS THE
ENTIRE FA SUN WITH SN BEGINNING ACROSS DOWNEAST AND W CNTRL AREAS
LATE IN THE AFT.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MAJOR NOREASTER TO AFFECT THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
MODELS CONSISTENT WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE MID ATLC COAST
EARLY SUNDAY AND THEN RAPIDLY DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS SOUTH OF THE
BAR HARBOR AREA BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. PRESSURE FALLS OF OVER 20 MB
IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS CLASSIFIES THIS AS A BOMB. SNOW WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST STARTING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON OVER DOWNEAST SECTIONS REACHING THE VALLEY BY EARLY
SUNDAY EVENING. VERY EXPLOSIVE DYNAMICS WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE, LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT MID
LEVEL FRONTOGENICAL FORCING WILL PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW BANDS OVER
DOWNEAST SECTIONS SUNDAY EVENING WHERE SNOWFALL RATES MAY APPROACH
2 INCHES AN HOUR. HEAVY SNOW ACROSS DOWNEAST SECTIONS SUNDAY
EVENING WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DURING THE NIGHT REACHING NORTHERN
SECTIONS AROUND MIDNIGHT. LOW WILL TRACK FROM BAR HARBOR AREA THROUGH
CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY BY 12Z MONDAY MORNING. TRACK OF STORM
WILL ALLOW UPPER DRY SLOT TO CROSS DOWNEAST SECTIONS AFTER
MIDNIGHT CUTTING OFF HEAVY SNOW THERE AT THAT TIME. AS LOW MOVES
INTO NEW BRUNSWICK EARLY MONDAY, EXPECT WRAP AROUND SNOW TO
CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. AS LOW DEEPENS GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE REGION
ALLOWING FOR STRONG WINDS WHICH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT TIMES ACROSS THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. USED HPC FOR THE QPF WITH DOWNEAST
RECEIVING AROUND 1.5 INCHES OF LIQUID TAPERING TO AROUND AN INCH
ACROSS THE NORTH. USED A BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS FOR SNOW AMOUNTS
WITH MOST LOCATIONS RECEIVING AROUND A FOOT OF SNOW. SNOW RATIO
TOOLS OF 25 TO 1 APPEAR TO BE OVERDONE CONSIDERING THE WIND SPEEDS
WHICH WILL BREAK SNOW FLAKES APART KEEPING SNOW RATIO BETWEEN 12
AND 15 TO 1. EVEN WITH A TRACK INLAND, THE DYNAMIC COOLING OF THIS
SYSTEM AS IT EXPLODES ALONG THE COAST SHOULD KEEP PRECIP MAINLY AS
SNOW FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT FOR THE WASHINGTON COASTLINE WHERE SNOW
MAY CHANGE TO RAIN AS PRECIP WINDS DOWN LATER SUNDAY NIGHT. THE
QUICK MOVEMENT OF THE STORM ALONG WITH THE WINDS SHOULD KEEP
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UNDER RECORD VALUES. DYNAMICS ARE SO STRONG
SUNDAY NIGHT THAT A CLAP OF THUNDER MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION
FOR DOWNEAST SECTIONS WITH THE CORE OF THE STORM. AS STORM EXITS
THE REGION MONDAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON
TUESDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
USED THE GMOS FOR THE EXTENDED. WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION IN ADVANCE
OF COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS DOWNEAST
ON WEDNESDAY AND MAINLY SNOW OVER THE NORTH BUT EXPECT AMOUNTS TO
BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE. COLD FRONT CROSSES THE STATE CHRISTMAS
MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION LATE CHRISTMAS
DAY.
&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS XPCTD TNGT WITH MID CLD THINNING TO HI CLD OR EVEN
BECOMING CLR OVR NRN SITES. HI TRANSITIONING TO MID CLDS WILL
ARRIVE ON SUN...WITH CLGS AND VSBYS LOWERING TO MVFR/IFR OVR DOWNEAST
SITES BY LATE SUN AFT WITH ARRIVAL OF LEADING EDGE OF SNFL CANOPY.
IFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT IMPROVING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
TO VFR DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. VFR TO CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS RETURNING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
XMAS MORNING. COLD FRONT EARLY XMAS MORNING WILL IMPROVE CONDITIONS
TO VFR FOR THE REMAINDER OF XMAS DAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: INITIALLY...SCA WINDS WILL CONT BRIEFLY LATE THIS AFT
ACROSS OUTER WATERS BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW 25 KT BY ERLY EVE.
SEAS WILL ALSO CONT AOA 5 FT INTO THE ERLY EVE. SCA HDLN WAS
DROPPED TO HIGHLIGHT APCHG STORM HDLNS FOR THE UPCOMING STORM.
SEAS MAY BRIEFLY FALL BELOW 5 FT EVEN ACROSS OUTER WATERS LATE
TNGT AND SUN MORN BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN BY MIDDAY SUN.

SHORT TERM: UPGRADED STORM WATCH TO STORM WARNING FOR SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE BACK SIDE OF
EXITING LOW EARLY MONDAY IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH GUSTS TO 50
KT POSSIBLE. USED A BLEND OF THE NAM12 AND GFS FOR WINDS AND
WNAWAVE SWAM BLEND FOR SEAS. A PD OF GALES LATER ON MON POSSIBLY
INTO MON EVE AND SCA CONDITIONS LATE MON NGT INTO TUE IS ALSO
LIKELY BEHIND THE STORM.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR
     MEZ001>006.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     MEZ010-011-015>017-029>032.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     ANZ050>052.

&&

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...FOSTER
LONG TERM...FOSTER
AVIATION...VJN
MARINE...VJN/FOSTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
639 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

MEZ001>006-211145-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
639 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ010-011-015>017-029>032-211145-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
639 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE AND SOUTHEAST MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ050>052-211145-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
639 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.