Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Caribou, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
326 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SLOWLY ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE OVERNIGHT.
THE LOW WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER NOVA SCOTIA TUESDAY. A
WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR LATE TUESDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FOR MID TO LATE WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
INTENSE CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED TORRENTIAL RNFL RATES OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARD STABILITY AS THE
COMPLEX MOVES ENE TOWARD NEW BRUNSWICK. OTHER SHWRS AND SCT EVE
TSTMS COULD CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF FLOODING RNFL TO PARTS OF
THE FA WELL INTO THE OVRNGT HRS. CONVECTIVE RNFL RATES SHOULD
SHOULD DIMINISH BY DAYBREAK MON.&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE SLOWLY EXITING UPPER LOW MOVING OVR
SRN PTNS OF THE REGION INTO THE MARITIMES WILL BRING CONTINUED
SHWRS THE REGION ON MON...WITH ENOUGH CAPE PRESENT (ABOUT 1000 J/KG)
FOR AFT TSTMS OVR DOWNEAST AREAS. BEST SHWR CVRG...THOUGH APPEARS
TO BE THE N WHICH WILL BE BEST PSND IN THE TROWL ZONE.

OTHERWISE...SHWRS SHOULD DIMINISH IN CVRG MON NGT AND EXIT ERN
PTNS OF THE FA TUE MORN. SKIES SHOULD BRIGHTEN ACROSS ALL OF THE
FA BY LATE TUE AFT.

CLRG SKIES AND DRIER AIR SHOULD ALLOW FOR LOWER OVRNGT LOWS TUE
NGT....WITH MSLY FAIR CONDITIONS CONTG INTO WED...WITH INCREASING
HI CLDS LATE.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL RETREAT EAST AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL AREA AT THE START OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THIS LOW IS A REFLECTION OF THE A QUASI-
STATIONARY UPPER LEVEL LOW...AND IT WILL SETUP OVER THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES REGION AND SPINOFF TROUGHS THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. BOTH GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT OVER THE PATTERN FOR THE
LONG RANGE FCST WITH ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES IN SPEED OF MOVEMENT
&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
XPCT MAINLY LOW MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS TNGT RECOVERING TO MVFR ALL
TAF SITES BY MON AFT. MVFR CLGS SHOULD RECOVER TO VFR LATE MON NGT
AND TUE MORN. VFR CONDITONS SHOULD THEN CONT THRU WED...FOLLOWED
BY MVFR CLGS/VSBYS IN SHWRS WED NGT INTO FRI.
&&

.MARINE...
NO HDLNS ANTICIPATED. WENT WITH A BLEND OF 12Z GFS40/NAM12 WINDS
AND WENT WITH SMOOTHED WNA WW3 WV HTS...WHICH LOWERED WV HTS FOR
THE INNER COASTAL WATER SEGMENT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR MEZ001>006-010-011-015-
     031.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/VJN
SHORT TERM...VJN
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...BLOOMER/VJN
MARINE...BLOOMER/VJN/VJN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
325 AM EDT SUN AUG 3 2008

MEZ001>006-010-011-015-031-040730-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-
325 AM EDT SUN AUG 3 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS PLEASE REPORT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BY CALLING THE SPOTTER
HOTLINE. ALL OTHERS PLEASE CALL IN REPORTS USING THE AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM BY CALLING TOLL FREE 877-633-6772.

MEZ016-017-029-030-032-040730-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
325 AM EDT SUN AUG 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS PLEASE REPORT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BY CALLING THE SPOTTER
HOTLINE. ALL OTHERS PLEASE CALL IN REPORTS USING THE AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM BY CALLING TOLL FREE 877-633-6772.

ANZ050>052-040730-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
325 AM EDT SUN AUG 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FITZSIMMONS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
102 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2008

MEZ016-029-031800-
COASTAL HANCOCK-INTERIOR HANCOCK-
102 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT HANCOCK COUNTY THROUGH 200 PM
EDT...

AT 102 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 6 MILES WEST OF BAR
HARBOR...SLOWLY MOVING EAST. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN HANCOCK COUNTY INCLUDING BAR HARBOR THROUGH
200 PM EDT.

EXPECT VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER DIRECTLY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...
DIAL 1-877-633-6772 OR CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE IN CARIBOU MAINE.

BLOOMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
120 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     HAIL             SURRY                   44.50N 68.50W
08/03/2008  E0.75 INCH       HANCOCK            ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

STUREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
203 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     FLOOD            ELLSWORTH               44.54N 68.42W
08/03/2008                   HANCOCK            ME   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING IN PARTS OF ELLSWORTH

&&

STUREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
226 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BLUE HILL               44.41N 68.59W
08/03/2008                   HANCOCK            ME   NEWSPAPER

            TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH WATER STANDING AROUND 3 FEET IN
            DOWNTOWN BLUE HILL.

&&

STUREY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
303 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BLUE HILL               44.41N 68.59W
08/03/2008                   HANCOCK            ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORT OF WATER UP TO THE LEVEL OF ONE FOOT ON THE
            OUTSIDE OF A DOWNTOWN BUILDING IN BLUE HILL. SIDEWALKS
            WASHED OUT. WATER OVERFLOWING MANY ROADS. WATER BRIEFLY
            UP TO A CAR WINDOW, IN A VERY LOW SPOT, NEAR THE BLUE
            HILL HOSPITAL.

&&

STUREY

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