Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Watches in 2008

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 11, 200816 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm watch at Feb 11, 2008, 12:10 PM EST for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 12, 2008, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2008, 12:10 PM EST (17:10 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2008, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 12, 2008, 4:22 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-02-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-02-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 152 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1041 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
92 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 111710
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1210 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER 
WINTER STORM IMPACTS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF LAKE ONTARIO INTO TONIGHT.

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUESDAY 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM SYSTEM 
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR 
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 
TUESDAY EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY 
NIGHT. 

NYZ004-120115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080211T2200Z/
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080211T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
1210 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE
WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE MOVED NORTH OF THE COUNTY.

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUESDAY 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM SYSTEM 
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR 
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 
TUESDAY EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY 
NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ005-120115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080211T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080211T2200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
1210 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE 104A
WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS BAND WILL MOVE NORTH
OUT OF THE COUNTY BY LATE AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON MAY REACH 1 FOOT NORTH OF ROUTE 104A.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY SNOW...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35
MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. 

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUESDAY 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM SYSTEM 
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR 
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 
TUESDAY EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY 
NIGHT. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ006-120115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080211T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080212T0500Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1210 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE COUNTY WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DRIFT BACK
INTO THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY BY MID TO LATE 
AFTERNOON...BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY LATE THIS EVENING MAY REACH 2 FEET IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS.

SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON WITHIN
THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY
SNOW...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT
TIMES. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND WORST BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
WILL BE ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW BAND.

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
TUESDAY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS
STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA BY LATE
TUESDAY MORNING OR EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>003-010>014-019>021-085-120115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080211T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...
OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1210 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUESDAY 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM SYSTEM 
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR 
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 
TUESDAY EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY 
NIGHT. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ007-008-120115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080211T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1210 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUESDAY 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM SYSTEM 
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING OR 
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 
TUESDAY EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY 
NIGHT. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

TMA
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 112054
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
354 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT EAST AND SOUTHEAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE ENTIRE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL ALLOW
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT EAST
AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
FINALLY DIMINISH AND END BY TUESDAY MORNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. 

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND THEN
TRACK TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL START FIRST IN THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER BY MID OR LATE MORNING TUESDAY AND THEN REACH THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. IF THE SYSTEM TRACKS A LITTLE
FURTHER NORTH THAN CURRENT FORECASTS...WARMER AIR MOVING IN ALOFT
MAY CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.

NYZ005-120500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080211T2200Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
354 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE
WILL LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE COUNTY BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND BRING
AN END TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON MAY REACH AROUND 1 FOOT IN EXTREME NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTY NORTH OF ROUTE 104A.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY SNOW...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 MPH WILL CONTINUE PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A
SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ006-120500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080212T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
354 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF
OSWEGO COUNTY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE COUNTY BY EARLY EVENING. THE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER
ACROSS THE COUNTY OVERNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING AND ENDING
OVERNIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL REACH 2 TO 3 FEET IN
AREAS WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS PERSISTED THE LONGEST.

SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON WITHIN
THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY
SNOW...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THE
STRONGEST WINDS AND WORST BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE ALONG
THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND.

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A
SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-120500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
354 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE MOVED NORTH OF THE COUNTY.

A WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY
EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO
THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS. A SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH TRACK MAY ALLOW SNOW TO CHANGE
TO A WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ007-008-120500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
354 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A
SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 112315
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
615 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE ENTIRE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL ALLOW
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT EAST
AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO FINALLY DIMINISH AND END BY TUESDAY MORNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND THEN
TRACK TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL START FIRST IN THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER BY MID OR LATE MORNING TUESDAY AND THEN REACH THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. IF THE SYSTEM TRACKS A LITTLE
FURTHER NORTH THAN CURRENT FORECASTS...WARMER AIR MOVING IN ALOFT
MAY CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.

NYZ006-120715-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080212T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
615 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF
OSWEGO COUNTY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE COUNTY BY EARLY EVENING. THE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER
ACROSS THE COUNTY OVERNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING AND ENDING
OVERNIGHT. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL REACH 2 TO 3 FEET IN
AREAS WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS PERSISTED THE LONGEST.

SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON WITHIN
THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY
SNOW...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THE
STRONGEST WINDS AND WORST BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE ALONG
THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND.

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST
A SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-120715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
615 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE
WILL LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE COUNTY BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND BRING
AN END TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON MAY REACH AROUND 1 FOOT IN EXTREME NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTY NORTH OF ROUTE 104A.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY SNOW...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 MPH WILL CONTINUE PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST
A SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ007-008-120715-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
615 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST
A SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 112354
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
654 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE ENTIRE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...

A WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL ALLOW
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT EAST
AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO FINALLY DIMINISH AND END BY TUESDAY MORNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND THEN
TRACK TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD SNOW TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL START FIRST IN THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER BY MID OR LATE MORNING TUESDAY AND THEN REACH THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. IF THE SYSTEM TRACKS A LITTLE
FURTHER NORTH THAN CURRENT FORECASTS...WARMER AIR MOVING IN ALOFT
MAY CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.

NYZ008-120800-
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080212T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
654 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. A
WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN PART OF
THE COUNTY WITH SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY
MIDNIGHT BEFORE IT MOVES FARTHER SOUTH. 

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST
A SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ006-120800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080212T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
654 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
OSWEGO COUNTY WILL PERSIST THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT THEN IT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER ACROSS THE COUNTY OVERNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING
AND ENDING. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL REACH 2 TO 3 FEET IN
AREAS WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS PERSISTED THE LONGEST.

SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON WITHIN
THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY
SNOW...BRISK WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. THE
STRONGEST WINDS AND WORST BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE ALONG
THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND.

A MORE WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST
A SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT
IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-120800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
654 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A
SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ007-120800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
654 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY EXCEED 6 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A
SMALL CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 120303
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1003 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WAS WINDING DOWN LATE THIS EVENING...

...ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE ENTIRE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION TONIGHT HAS CONSIDERABLY
WEAKENED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. ALTHOUGH
WE EXPECT CONTINUING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS OSWEGO AND NORTHERN
CAYUGA COUNTIES THROUGH THE WEE HOURS OF THE MORNING AND A CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS FURTHER WEST ALONG THE SHORELINE...THE INTENSITY
WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN DURING THE LAKE EFFECT EVENT.

A NEW STORM SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR TEXAS WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD SNOW
TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL START FIRST
IN THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER BY MID OR LATE MORNING TUESDAY AND
THEN REACH THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. IF THE SYSTEM TRACKS A LITTLE
FURTHER NORTH THAN CURRENT FORECASTS...WARMER AIR MOVING IN ALOFT
MAY CHANGE THE SNOW TO A WINTRY MIX LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER.

NYZ006-008-121115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080212T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1003 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS BECOME MUCH WEAKER. A
WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A STORM SYSTEM DEEPENING OVER TEXAS MONDAY EVENING WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST AND SPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A GENERAL SNOWFALL OF
MORE THAN 7 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO
THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-121115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1003 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MID TO LATE MORNING
ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND THEN SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD...
REACH THE FINGER LAKES BY MID AFTERNOON. IT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING MAY EXCEED 7 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN
THE FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON EXPECTED
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ007-121115-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1003 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

A STORM SYSTEM DEEPENING OVER TEXAS MONDAY EVENING WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST AND SPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A GENERAL SNOWFALL OF
MORE THAN 7 INCHES. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO
THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE. JUST A SMALL CHANGE IN THE
FORECAST TRACK WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON EXPECTED SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU
ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 120922
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING... 

ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL ONTARIO TO THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC STATES THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO A STORM
SYSTEM THAT IS SLOWLY BECOMING ORGANIZED OVER THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY. AS A RESULT...THE VERY COLD AIR ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS
OUR REGION WILL AWAIT THE SHIELD OF SNOW THAT WAS MAKING ITS WAY
ACROSS WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND OHIO DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS.

SNOW WILL THEN SPREAD FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS OUR
REGION TODAY WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SNOW REACHING THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION TOWARDS EVENING.

AS THE OHIO VALLEY STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES AND CROSSES THE FINGER
LAKES TONIGHT...WARMER AIR AHEAD OF THE STORM WILL LIKELY CHANGE
THE SNOW TO A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES REGION. THIS WILL LIMIT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS FOR THOSE AREAS.

IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING STORM ON WEDNESDAY...COLDER AIR WILL
CHANGE THE PRECIPITATION BACK TO SNOW REGION WIDE WITH LITTLE 
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. THE SNOW WILL THEN TAPER OFF TO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

NYZ019>021-121730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.080212T1500Z-080213T1600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE COURSE OF
THIS MORNING BEFORE BECOMING STEADY DURING THE MIDDAY AND
AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED BY
THE END OF THE DAY...WITH POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTERS.

THE STEADY SNOW THIS EVENING WILL THEN CHANGE TO A MIX OF SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN FOR THE BULK OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH TRAVEL CONDITIONS BECOMING EVEN MORE TREACHEROUS FROM
THE POSSIBLE BUILD UP OF ICE.

THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL THEN END AS SNOW SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY
WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL GENERALLY ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR SO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ003-012>014-085-121730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.080212T1700Z-080213T1600Z/
MONROE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE
MORNING AND MIDDAY BEFORE BECOMING STEADY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED BY THE END OF
THE DAY...WITH POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COMMUTERS.

THE STEADY SNOW EARLY TONIGHT WILL THEN LIKELY CHANGE TO A MIX OF
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FOR THE BULK OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
AREAS EAST OF WARSAW AND SOUTH OF ROCHESTER WILL BE MOST PRONE TO
AN ICY CHANGEOVER. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH TRAVEL CONDITIONS
BECOMING EVEN MORE TREACHEROUS FROM ANY POSSIBLE BUILD UP OF ICE.

THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL THEN END AS SNOW SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY
WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL GENERALLY ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR SO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-121730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.080212T1700Z-080213T1600Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS THE BUFFALO METROPOLITAN AREA AND 
NIAGARA FRONTIER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING STEADY
LATER IN THE DAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS
EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE DAY...WITH POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTERS.

THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT AND COULD EVEN BRIEFLY
MIX WITH SOME SLEET AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH TRAVEL
CONDITIONS BECOMING EVEN MORE TREACHEROUS.

THE STEADY SNOW EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL THEN TAPER OFF TO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON WITH 
ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL GENERALLY ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR SO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-121730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.080212T2100Z-080213T2100Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON 
BEFORE BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER THIS EVENING. NEW ACCUMULATIONS
OF ONLY AN INCH OR TWO CAN BE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...WITH
DETERIORATING TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
COMMUTERS.

STEADY SNOW TONIGHT MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH THE SNOW POSSIBLY
BECOMING MIXED WITH SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 8
INCHES WITH TRAVEL CONDITIONS BECOMING EVEN MORE TREACHEROUS.

ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL CHANGE BACK
TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE
MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004-005-121730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1500Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.080212T2100Z-080213T2100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON 
BEFORE BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER THIS EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS
OF ONLY AN INCH OR TWO CAN BE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...WITH
DETERIORATING TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
COMMUTERS.

STEADY SNOW TONIGHT MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH THE SNOW POSSIBLY
BECOMING MIXED WITH SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 8
INCHES WITH TRAVEL CONDITIONS BECOMING EVEN MORE TREACHEROUS.

ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL CHANGE BACK
TO SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE
MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ007-008-121730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0002.080212T1800Z-080213T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0004.080212T2300Z-080213T2100Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
422 AM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING BEFORE BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. 
ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER AN INCH BY NIGHTFALL. 

STEADY SNOW WILL THEN FALL TONIGHT WITH HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE AT
TIMES. THERE WILL EVEN BE THE CHANCE FOR A LITTLE SLEET OVER
SOUTHERN SECTIONS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO
AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS FORECAST TO BE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PARTS OF BOTH LEWIS AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES.

THE STEADY SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL THEN TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS
OR UPDATES.

$$

RSH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 11, 9:43 AM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 9:43 AM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
943 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL CONTINUE TO PULL
AWAY FROM THE REGION TODAY...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST ACROSS
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL KEEP A WEST TO
NORTHWEST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR INTACT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING STRUGGLING TO
REACH THE MID TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS
DIMINISH OFF OF LAKE ERIE.

TONIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD AND DISRUPT THE LAKE
SNOWS...BEFORE LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE OHIO VALLEY AND
BRINGS A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE ENTIRE REGION TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO FAIR WEATHER FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HAVE EXTENDED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON FOR ALL AREAS AND
MADE A SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT TO THE SNOW POPS OVER WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO
SHORE ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR NARROW REGION OF LAKE SNOWS FROM NIAGARA
TO WESTERN MONROE COUNTIES. LITTLE NEED TO CHANGE ANY OTHER AREAS OF
LAKE SNOW OVER THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO...SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 3
INCHES PER HOUR OVER OSWEGO COUNTY AND EXPECT THIS BAND TO MOVE ONLY
SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE DAY.

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS IN THIS PERIOD ARE TWO-FOLD...LAKE EFFECT
SNOW AND BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES/WIND CHILLS THIS MORNING. FIRST
WELL DEAL WITH THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW...

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE DIMINISHED GREATLY IN INTENSITY
SINCE YESTERDAY EVENING DUE TO A DROPPING SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION...SHORTENING FETCH ACROSS THE LAKE...AND INCREASING SHEAR
BELOW THE INVERSION. THE REMNANT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS
MORNING WILL WIND DOWN AND DISSIPATE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE
INVERSION DROPS A LITTLE MORE /TO ABOUT 3 KFT/...AND DAYTIME DIURNAL
INFLUENCES TAKE HOLD. WITH THE SNOWS HAVING WEAKENED AND SURFACE OBS
BOTH IN THE ADVISORY AREA AND UPSTREAM INDICATING THAT WINDS HAVE
ALSO DIMINISHED A BIT FROM WHAT THEY WERE EARLIER...WE WILL CANCEL
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY A LITTLE EARLY.

MEANWHILE OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...A STRONG SINGLE BAND OF LES
CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY AS THE STEERING
WINDS BECOME MORE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY...WITH THE CORE OF THE BAND
NOW SITUATED ACROSS SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY FROM OSWEGO TO
CONSTANTIA...WHERE RADAR-ESTIMATED SNOWFALL RATES RANGE FROM 1 TO
2 INCHES PER HOUR. AS WINDS VEER FURTHER TO ABOUT 300 DEGREES
EARLY THIS MORNING...THIS BAND WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SAG
SOUTHWARD...EVENTUALLY SETTLING INTO SOUTHERN OSWEGO/NORTHERN
CAYUGA/EASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...WHILE WEAKENING A BIT AS THE FETCH
SHORTENS...THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION DROPS FROM AROUND 10 KFT TO
6-7 KFT...AND THE SHEAR BENEATH THE INVERSION INCREASES. THE BAND
SHOULD THEN DRIFT A LITTLE NORTHWARD AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS
BACK SLIGHTLY...BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING IN PLACE TONIGHT WITH
CONTINUED DROPPING OF THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND INCREASING
SHEAR.

AS SUCH...HAVE LEFT CURRENT WARNINGS INTACT FROM OSWEGO TO WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES...AS THE BAND SHOULD REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE SNOWFALL RATES OF AT LEAST A HALF INCH TO AN INCH OF AN
HOUR FOR A GOOD CHUNK OF TODAY...IF NOT HIGHER. THE ONLY POTENTIAL
FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THE POTENTIAL FOR THE LAKE SNOWS TO SNEAK BACK
INTO FAR SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BACK A
LITTLE...BUT FEEL AT THIS TIME THAT THIS WOULD BE BRIEF ENOUGH AND
LIMITED ENOUGH IN EXTENT TO NOT WARRANT AN ADDITIONAL ADVISORY.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT A GENERALLY DRY AND PARTLY SUNNY DAY ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA TODAY...WITH JUST A FEW FLURRIES/SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE BITTERLY COLD SINGLE DIGITS EARLY THIS
MORNING...THEN WILL SLOWLY AND ONLY GRUDGINGLY CLIMB TO THE MID AND
UPPER TEENS FOR THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN 850 MB TEMPS OF APPROXIMATELY
-20C. COMBINED WITH BRISK WINDS...THE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL STILL
YIELD WIND CHILLS AT OF BELOW -15F THIS MORNING...BEFORE DAYTIME
WARMING/SLACKENING OF THE WINDS ALLOWS THESE TO CLIMB ABOVE ADVISORY
LEVELS BY MIDDAY. CURRENT WIND CHILL ADVISORIES HAVE THIS SCENARIO
COVERED WELL...THEREFORE NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THOSE AT THIS
TIME.

OUTSIDE OF ANY LINGERING LAKE ONTARIO LAKE EFFECT TONIGHT...THE
NIGHT WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY DRY...BUT STILL COLD CONDITIONS AND A
GENERAL SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER...AS MID AND
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE BEGINS SPREADING IN AHEAD OF DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
IN THIS PERIOD...THE ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST INTO PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK STATE...BEFORE
SLIDING EAST TO THE ATLANTIC COAST AND NEW ENGLAND. PLENTY OF
MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...RESULTING
IN A STEADY SNOW SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST DURING TUESDAY...THEN CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY EVENING
BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SHORT TERM
MODELS DO EXHIBIT DIFFERENCES IN THE DURATION OF THE SNOW AND AS A
RESULT DIFFER WITH RESPECT TO QPF...WITH THE GFS A LITTLE WETTER. AT
THIS POINT...FEEL A GENERAL AREA-WIDE ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL IS A
GOOD BET TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH 24-HOUR TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES LIKELY. DUE TO SUCH THINKING AND
EXISTING LES/WIND CHILL HEADLINES...WILL NOT ISSUE A WATCH AT THIS
TIME...AS WE FEEL THAT WARNING-CRITERIA SNOWS WOULD BE MORE LIKELY
IN AREAS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR CWA.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...GENERALLY DRY AND FAIR WEATHER WITH SEASONABLY
COLD TEMPERATURES SHOULD FINALLY RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES ALOFT LIKELY NOT COLD ENOUGH FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT LAKE RESPONSE. SHOULD THIS OCCUR...IT WOULD BE MOST
LIKELY SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT HAVE KEPT POPS BELOW THE CHANCE THRESHOLD FOR NOW
GIVEN THE VERY MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE SEASONABLY COLD WEATHER OF THE PAST FEW DAYS LOOKS AS IF IT WILL
CONTINUE TO HANG ON THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

THE ULTIMATE CULPRIT FOR THE PROLONGED COLD SPELL IS A LONG WAVE
TROUGH OVER EASTERN CANADA THAT IS NOW FORECAST TO BE LOCKED IN
PLACE. FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW...MEDIUM RANGE ECMWF/GFS GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN ADVERTISING A RIDGE OVER WESTERN EUROPE. GUIDANCE IS NOW
SUGGESTING MORE OF A TYPICAL GREENLAND BLOCK PATTERN AS A GENERAL
RIDGE IS BEING DEPICTED OVER ICELAND AND NORTHERN GREENLAND. THIS IS
NOT A STRONG BLOCK...BUT ENOUGH TO KEEP THE EASTERN CANADIAN TROUGH
INTACT. AS A RESULT WE CAN EXPECT TEMPS TO AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL
DURING THIS PERIOD. SO MUCH FOR OUR STRONG INFLUENCING LA NINA
SOME LOCAL DETAILS...

WHILE A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL BE FOUND OVER EASTERN CANADA ON
THURSDAY...A RELATIVELY FLAT SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL CROSS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL KEEP THE BULK OF OUR FORECAST
AREA SNOW FREE...ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT LAKE EFFECT -SHSN/FLURRIES MAY
BE FOUND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. WITH THE HELP OF A LITTLE SUN...
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

ON FRIDAY...A SHORTWAVE WILL DROP THROUGH THE BASE OF THE
CANADIAN LONGWAVE TROUGH AND HELP TO CARVE OUT AND DEEPEN THE
LARGE SCALE FEATURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THE RESULTING SFC COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND
THIS WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WHILE
ALSO RECHARGING THE COLD AIR TO PRODUCE SOME LAKE SNOWS. THESE
LAKE SNOWS LATER FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE FOUND
IN THE TYPICAL LAKE SNOWBELT AREAS SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN.
SFC TEMPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PROBABLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING
FOR A FEW HOURS (EXCEPT ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY) IN THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE BEING SLAPPED BACK DOWN INTO THE TEENS FRIDAY NIGHT.

A SFC-MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS OUR REGION ON SATURDAY. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR A COLD...BUT UNEVENTFUL DAY FOR THE BULK OF THE
REGION ON SATURDAY. THE EXCEPTION COULD BE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES
WHERE SOME RESIDUAL LAKE EFFECT -SHSN COULD PERSIST.

FOR SUNDAY...THE ECMWF AND GFS IS SPLIT ON HOW TO HANDLE A SOUTHERN
STORM SYSTEM. THE ECMWF IS TRYING TO PHASE THE POLAR AND
SUB-TROPICAL JETS...AND IS THUS NOTABLY SLOWER AT BRINGING AN
ORGANIZED STORM OUT OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE GFS DOES NOT PHASE
THE JETS...AND DEPICTS A LOW THAT BOMBS OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC
COAST. WILL SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THESE MODELS AND BRING A
CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS THE REGION. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF NOVA SCOTIA AT 12Z WILL
CONTINUE TO HAVE A BIG INFLUENCE ON OUR REGION AS FAR AS SURFACE
WINDS SPEEDS GO AS IT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY TOWARDS LABRADOR.
GUSTS WILL BE CLOSE TO 30 KNOTS FOR AWHILE THIS MORNING.

OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES...CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. HOWEVER...
WITHIN THE LAKE AFFECT BANDS THE FLYING CONDITIONS WILL BE LIFR WITH
VSBYS FREQUENTLY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE. A SLOW SOUTHWARD DRIFT TO THE
BANDS IS STILL EXPECTED THIS MORNING AS THE STEERING WINDS SHIFT.

LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES MONDAY NIGHT AND PROVIDE VFR CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE
REGION. A WAVY FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL THEN APPROACH THE REGION ON
TUESDAY WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...RESULTING IN MVFR TO
IFR CONDITIONS. DELAYS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
GUSTY WINDS WILL KEEP MANY FLAGS IN PLACE TODAY.

A DEEP STORM SYSTEM MOVING AWAY ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL
COMBINE WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
TO KEEP GUSTY WINDS IN PLACE ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. WHILE
WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS THOSE FROM SUNDAY...THEY WILL BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP SOME FLAGS IN PLACE.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS MORNING OVER THE EASTERN TWO
THIRDS OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE 30 KNOTS
THIS MORNING BUT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT GUSTS TO/OVER 35.
THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON
SO THE GALE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DROPPED WITH THE NEXT FORECAST
PACKAGE WITH GALE BEING REPLACED BY SMALL CRAFTS FOR THE NEARSHORE
WATERS.

THE GALE HAS ALREADY BEEN DROPPED OVER THE WEST THIRD OF LAKE
ONTARIO...WHERE THE NEARSHORES FOR END OF THE LAKE HAVE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT.

ON LAKE ERIE...WINDS AND WAVES ARE AT SCA LEVELS. THESE ADVISORIES
ARE ONLY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD
DROP BELOW SCA LEVELS BY LATE AFTERNOON.

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE DURING THE COURSE OF
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO OUR WEST WILL CROSS
THE LAKES AND MOVE AWAY ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR NYZ001>008-
     010>014-019>021-085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NYZ006.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ004-005.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ020-
         040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
         LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR/WCH
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...RSH/SAGE
MARINE...RSH
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 9:58 AM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

NYZ001-002-010-011-121000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING TO
THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019>021-085-121000-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING TO
THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-121000-
LIVINGSTON-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING TO
THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-014-121000-
MONROE-ONTARIO-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING TO
THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-121000-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING TO
THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-121000-
OSWEGO-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING TO
THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-121000-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIFTING TO
THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD
GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-121000-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-121000-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-121000-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-121000-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
958 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 11, 6:27 AM EST, 5 hours 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
627 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

NYZ005-006-111315-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
627 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY...

AN INTENSE...WELL ORGANIZED PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW
OVER THE HEART OF OSWEGO COUNTY AT 6:30 AM WILL NUDGE A BIT
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH BETWEEN 7 AND 9 AM. THIS WILL PLACE SOUTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTY AND THE NORTHERN TIP OF CAYUGA COUNTY UNDER THE AREA
OF HEAVIEST SNOW...WHICH INCLUDES THE TOWNS OF OSWEGO...PARISH...
FULTON...CENTRAL SQUARE AND FAIR HAVEN. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO
TWO INCHES AN HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS.

THE SITUATION WILL BE COMPLICATED BY WESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS, WHICH WILL CREATE FREQUENT WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL SHOULD BE AVOIDED. THOSE WHO MUST TRAVEL SHOULD
HAVE SUFFICIENT PROVISIONS AND PROPER CLOTHING AND BLANKETS IN THE
EVENT OF BECOMING STRANDED. WIND CHILLS WILL BE DANGEROUSLY COLD.

RSH
Special weather statement, Feb 11, 8:38 AM EST, 3 hours 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
838 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

NYZ005-006-111645-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
838 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE THIS MORNING...

AN INTENSE...WELL ORGANIZED PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW
IS LOCATED FROM JUST SOUTH OF NINE MILE POINT, THE CITY OF OSWEGO
AND HANNIBAL INLAND TOWARDS PARISH, PALERMO AND CONSTANTIA. THE
HEAVIEST PORTION OF THIS BAND IS EFFECTING THE CITY OF OSWEGO
SOUTHWARD TOWARDS HANNIBAL AND INLAND TOWARDS PALERMO AND PHOENIX. THIS
BAND WILL REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD THIS MORNING,
AND SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES AN HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED. FALLING SNOW,
ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. USE EXTRA CAUTION ON ROADS, INCLUDING ROUTE 104
AND 481 BETWEEN OSWEGO AND PHOENIX. THOSE WHO MUST TRAVEL SHOULD
HAVE SUFFICIENT PROVISIONS AND PROPER CLOTHING AND BLANKETS IN THE
EVENT OF BECOMING STRANDED. WIND CHILLS WILL BE DANGEROUSLY COLD.
Special weather statement, Feb 11, 11:49 AM EST, 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1149 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

NYZ005-006-111900-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1149 AM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...HEAVY LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...

AN INTENSE WELL ORGANIZED PLUME OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOW IS
LOCATED FROM THE CITY OF OSWEGO, MINETTO AND JUST NORTH OF FAIR
HAVEN INLAND TOWARDS FULTON AND PALERMO. THE HEAVIEST PORTION OF
THIS BAND IS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OSWEGO SOUTHWARD TOWARDS
HANNIBAL AND INLAND TOWARDS FULTON AND PALERMO. THIS BAND WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STEADY INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS, AND SNOWFALL RATES
OF 2 INCHES AN HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIEST PORTION OF THE
BAND. FALLING SNOW, ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION ON ROADS, INCLUDING ROUTE 104 AND 481 BETWEEN OSWEGO AND
PHOENIX. THOSE WHO MUST TRAVEL SHOULD HAVE SUFFICIENT PROVISIONS
AND PROPER CLOTHING AND BLANKETS IN THE EVENT OF BECOMING
STRANDED.

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in New York, 2008Every winter storm watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.