Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2008

Small Craft Advisory 78, NWS Buffalo, NY

October 28, 2008

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Oct 28, 2008, 3:58 PM EDT. It took effect at Oct 29, 2008, 3:28 AM EDT. It was in force for 33 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 28, 2008, 3:58 PM EDT (19:58 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 29, 2008, 3:28 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 30, 2008, 12:00 PM EDT
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WHUS71 KBUF 281958
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

LOZ042>045-290400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0900Z-081030T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
358 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST WILL LIFT ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND TO QUEBEC THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND
REACH GALE FORCE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-290400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0900Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
358 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY. 

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST WILL LIFT ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND TO QUEBEC THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND
REACH GALE FORCE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ062>065-SLZ022-024-290400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
358 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST WILL LIFT ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND TO QUEBEC THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND
REACH GALE FORCE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
000
WHUS71 KBUF 290159
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

LOZ042>045-291000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0900Z-081030T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
959 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
2 PM EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
2 PM EDT THURSDAY. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO GALE FORCE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-291000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0900Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
959 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO GALE FORCE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ062>065-SLZ022-024-290900-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
959 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE
000
WHUS71 KBUF 290728
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
328 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

LOZ042-291530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0728Z-081030T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
328 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TODAY BUT STILL RESULT IN BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS AND
WAVES IN EXCESS OF 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-291530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0728Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
328 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TODAY BUT STILL RESULT IN BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-291530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0728Z-081030T1000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
328 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TODAY BUT STILL RESULT IN BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ062-290830-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T0900Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
328 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TODAY BUT STILL RESULT IN BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS.


$$

LOZ043>045-291400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T1400Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.081029T0900Z-081030T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
328 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TODAY BUT STILL RESULT IN BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS. THEY
WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE BY THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-291400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
328 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TODAY BUT STILL RESULT IN BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS. THEY
WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE BY THIS AFTERNOON.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
000
WHUS71 KBUF 291420
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

LOZ043>045-292230-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T1400Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WAVES IN EXCESS OF 6 FEET THROUGH
TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO AROUND 5 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-291530-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081029T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW GALE FORCE.

$$

LOZ042-292230-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WAVES IN EXCESS OF 6 FEET TODAY
AND AROUND 5 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-SLZ022-024-292230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1020 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY.

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING 4 TO 6 FOOT WAVES TODAY AND
TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
000
WHUS71 KBUF 291945
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

SLZ022-024-292045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1000Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
345 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED.

$$

LOZ043>045-300345-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
345 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WAVES IN EXCESS OF 6 FEET
THROUGH TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO AROUND 5 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-300345-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
345 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY.

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET TONIGHT
SUBSIDING TO AROUND 4 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
000
WHUS71 KBUF 300133
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
933 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

LOZ043>045-300945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
933 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WAVES IN EXCESS OF 6 FEET
THROUGH TONIGHT...SUBSIDING TO AROUND 5 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-300945-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
933 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY.

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING WAVES OF UP TO 6 FEET TONIGHT
SUBSIDING TO AROUND 4 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE
000
WHUS71 KBUF 300751
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2008

LOZ043>045-301600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
351 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST AND DIMINISH TO
10 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-301000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
351 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS...THEN SWITCH TO
THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON 10 TO 20 KNOTS. WAVES WILL SUBSIDE TO
2 TO 4 FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
000
WHUS71 KBUF 301006
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
606 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2008

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-301115-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
606 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE WIND AND WAVES EARLY THIS MORNING HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW THE
CRITERIA NEEDED FOR A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

LOZ043>045-301600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-081030T1600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
606 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST AND DIMINISH
TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3
FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 28, 3:46 PM EDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 3:46 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES NORTH ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND INTO QUEBEC TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL HAVE A MAJOR IMPACT ON
CENTRAL NEW YORK THE POTENTIAL OF A HEAVY SNOWFALL EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW
WILL FOLLOW THIS LOW WITH SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. MORE SEASONABLE CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN LATER THIS WEEK AND ON THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A MAJOR EARLY SEASON RAIN/SNOW STORM ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL
IMPACT OUR REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO POSSIBLY RECEIVING A FOOT OR MORE OF HEAVY WET SNOW.
AS A RESULT...THE FIRST WINTER STORM WARNINGS OF THE SEASON HAVE
BEEN HOISTED FOR OSWEGO...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES FOR LATER
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. AS IS TYPICALLY THE CASE EARLY IN
THE SEASON...THIS WILL BE AN ELEVATION DRIVEN SNOWSTORM.

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BECOMING
ANOMALOUSLY DEEP (SUB 990MB OR -3 STD FROM NORM) BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WHEN IT WILL COME ASHORE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST.

STRONG DIFFLUENT FLOW TO THE NORTH OF THE PARENT H5 LOW (NR THE ERN
VA AT 07Z) HAS ALREADY ALLOWED THE SHIELD OF STEADY RAIN TO PROGRESS
AND EXPAND ACROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES OF NEW YORK...AND THIS TREND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY AS THE UPPER LOW WILL MAKE ITS WAY TO
THE NEW JERSEY COAST. THE RAIN WILL BE ENHANCED DURING THIS PERIOD
DUE TO THE EXTRA LIFT PROVIDED BY A 130KT H25 JET.

THE PCPN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE FORM OF RAIN INTO THE MIDDAY
HOURS...THEN AS COLDER AIR ENTRAINS INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST...
THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO VERY WET SNOW. THIS CHANGEOVER WILL FIRST
TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...GENERALLY ABV 1500 FT. DURING
THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON...H85 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO
ABOUT -6C WHICH WILL LOWER THE SNOW LEVEL AND ALLOW THE SNOW TO
ACCUMULATE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. WHILE ALL PCPN ACROSS THE
REGION SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW BY 00Z...THE STEADY
ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD BE FOUND FROM THE FINGER LAKES EAST.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY NIGHTFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS
THE TUG HILL PLATEAU TO ABOUT AN INCH OR LESS OVER THE HIGHER
TERRINA OF THE FINGER LAKES.

FOR TONIGHT...THE STILL DEEPENING SCF LOW WILL LIFT ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND AND THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO EASTERN QUEBEC. COLD
ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE SFC LOW WILL GARAUNTEE THAT ANY PCPN IN
OUR REGION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW AS H85 TEMPS WILL BE IN THE
VCNTY OF -8 TO -10C. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE THOUGH WILL BE PULLING
OUT...WITH ACCUMS GENERALLY LIMITED TO THE FINGER LAKES AND
PARTICULARLY THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM ANOTHER INCH OR SO IN THE FINGER
LAKES TO 4 TO 7 MORE INCHES ON THE TUG.

THIS HEAVY WET SNOW WILL NOT ONLY PRESENT MAJOR TRAVEL PROBLEMS OVER
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION...BUT IT WILL ALSO LIKELY BRING DOWN
POWER LINES (TREE BRANCHES) AND RESULT IN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES.

THE WIDESPREAD SYNOPTIC SNOW THAT WILL GREATLY IMPACT OUR EASTERN
ZONES WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME MESOSCALE LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER
CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. A MULTI-LAKE SINGLE BAND OF
MODERATE TO POTENTIALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL STRETCH FROM THE
UPPER LAKES AND LAKE HURON ACROSS LAKE ERIE. SNOW ACCUMS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR THESE TWO COUNTIES TONIGHT...
WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY WILL BE RAISED FOR THESE COUNTIES TO COVER THIS EVENT.

ALONG WITH THE PCPN...WINDS WILL BECOME QUITE STRONG DURING THE
COURSE OF TODAY THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL AVERAGE 20 TO 35 MPH DURING THE PERIOD. THESE WINDS WILL BE
SUPPORTED BY A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET...WHICH WILL BE 3 STD ABOVE
NORMAL VALUES.

THESE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD ALSO INHIBIT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT...THUS POPS FOR THE DOWNWIND
AREAS WILL BE MINIMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A DRYING AND WARMING CAP ALOFT BUILDS IN QUICKLY ON WED NIGHT WITH
MUCH OF THE LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL DIMINISHING EARLY OFF LAKE ERIE
AND BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF LAKE
ONTARIO. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN WILL ALSO CLEAR THE SKIES BY
THURSDAY MORNING FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH FAIR SKIES
LASTING THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE HIGH SLIDES TO OUR
EAST ON FRIDAY AND ALLOWS A WARMING TREND WITH HIGH TEMPS CLIMBING
BACK TO THE MIDDLE OR UPPER 50S FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION...TO
THE LOWER OR MID 50S EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

MODELS THEN BRING A RATHER INACTIVE COLD FRONT THROUGH ON FRIDAY
NIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING WITH ONLY LOW CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN
SHOWERS...THEN HIGH ON SATURDAY BACK IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE PASSES ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND WITH SEASONABLE TEMPS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A STRONG UPPER
RIDGE SLIDES ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKES ON MONDAY NIGHT AND ALLOWS A
WARMING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. TUESDAY WILL BE A MILD DAY FOR
MOST OF THE AREA WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A MAJOR EARLY SEASON RAIN AND SNOW STORM ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL
PRESENT MAJOR IMPACTS TO THE AVIATION COMMUNITY THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT... BOTH DUE TO PRECIPITATION TYPES/AMOUNTS AS WELL AS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS.

FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...THE AREA THAT WILL BE
DIRECTLY AFFECTED WILL BE THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION (IE. KART)
AND AS FAR WEST AS THE EASTERN FINGER LKS BUT THE ACTIVITY FROM THE
COASTAL SYS IS NOT EXPECTED TO GET AS FAR WEST AS KROC THIS
AFTERNOON. OTHER SITES IN OUR REGION WILL HAVE INDIRECT IMPACTS
FROM TRAFFIC HEADING TO/OR COMING FROM THE NORTHEAST CORRIDOR.
DELAYS FOR THESE FLIGHTS WILL BE LIKELY.

STEADY RAIN WILL CONTINUE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE TAF PERIOD FROM
THE EASTERN FINGER LKS EASTWARD WHERE CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY IN
THE MVFR RANGE. MVFR CIGS ARE GENLY EXPECTED FURTHER TO THE WEST AS
WELL. AS COLDER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE WEST THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW AND THEN FINALLY TO ALL SNOW BY
THIS EVENING. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS... WITH SFC GUSTS IN
THE RANGE OF 30 TO 35 KTS. WINDS JUST A COUPLE THOUSAND FEET OFF THE
DECK WILL RANGE FROM 40 TO 45 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS
EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW ARE POSSIBLE FOR KART
     AS WELL AS THE SMALLER PRIVATE AIR STRIPS THAT SIT ON
ELEVATED TERRAIN EAST OF DANSVILLE.

THE MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO MVFR CONDITIONS
LATER THIS EVENING AS THE STORM LIFTS INTO EASTERN CANADA. SFC WINDS
WILL REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE THOUGH THROUGH 04Z-06Z.

THE WORST CONDITIONS LATER TONIGHT WILL BE FOUND SOUTHEAST OF LK
ERIE WHERE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN IFR/LOW IFR CONDITIONS AT
KJHW. CONDITIONS THERE AT KJHW SHLD IMPROVE TO MVFR TWD THE END OF
THE TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...MVFR/AREAS OF IFR IN LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/AREAS IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SE OF THE
LAKES.
THURSDAY...VFR.
FRIDAY...VFR.
SATURDAY...VFR. CHC OF SHWRS
SUNDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
LOOK FOR NORTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS TO OUR EAST. STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD BE THIS EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT...A BIT STRONGER ON LAKE
ONTARIO THAN ON LAKE ERIE. WAVES WILL BUILD TO A 10 TO 12 FOOT RANGE
ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO. WINDS WILL ONLY SLOWLY
DIMINISH AS THEY BACK A BIT WEDNESDAY WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT...AND THEN DIMINISH SUBSTANTIALLY
THURSDAY AS A SURFACE HIGH BUILDS CLOSER.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ019-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
         THURSDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 2 PM EDT
         THURSDAY FOR LOZ042>045.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WCH
NEAR TERM...RSH
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...WCH
AVIATION...JJP/RSH/WCH
MARINE...WCH
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 28, 12:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

NYZ001>003-010>013-021-085-291600-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-291600-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-291600-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
1200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-291600-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-014-291600-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
1200 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

LIGHT RAIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH A SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3
INCHES...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOW ON WEDNESDAY MORNING MAY PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
SNOW ACCUMULATION FROM SODUS BAY TO NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY. AFTER
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 28, 3:17 AM EDTGale WarningBUF31 hr
Oct 28, 3:33 AM EDTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Oswego, Wayne36 hr
Oct 28, 3:33 AM EDTWinter Storm WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2008Every small craft advisory in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.