Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 16, NWS Buffalo, NY

April 11, 2008Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Apr 11, 2008, 12:42 PM EDT for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It took effect at Apr 12, 2008, 7:17 AM EDT. It was in force for 71 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2008, 12:42 PM EDT (16:42 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 12, 2008, 7:17 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 15, 2008, 6:25 AM EDT
In force
71 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black River at Watertown (ARTN6). The gauge peaked at 10.72 ft at Apr 14, 2008, 2:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate8101204/1104/1204/1304/1404/1504/16
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
12 ft
Major stage
14 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04260500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS41 KBUF 111642
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1242 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-112242-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0016.080412T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0900Z.080413T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1242 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT NOON TODAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AND CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.5 FEET EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
16 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 120236
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1036 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-120836-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.080412T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0900Z.080413T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 120704
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
304 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-121304-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0016.080412T1117Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T1117Z.080413T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
304 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 121258
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
858 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-121858-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080413T0600Z.080412T1107Z.NO/
858 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 121824
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
224 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-130024-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080413T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
224 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 130038
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
838 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-130638-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080413T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 130722
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
322 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.

NYC045-049-131322-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080413T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
322 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET 
  THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 131146
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
746 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.

NYC045-049-131746-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
746 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 131739
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
139 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-132339-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
139 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 140036
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
836 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-140636-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080413T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.5 FEET UNTIL ABOUT
  NOON ON MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 140319
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1119 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-140919-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080416T0800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T1200Z.080416T0200Z.NO/
1119 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.8 FEET
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 140949
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
549 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.

NYC045-049-141549-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080416T0800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T1200Z.080416T0200Z.NO/
549 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.8 FEET
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 141517
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1117 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-142117-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080416T0901Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T0215Z.080416T0301Z.NO/
1117 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND SOME ADJACENT LOCAL ROADWAYS FLOODED. SOME ROAD CLOSURES 
  IN LEWIS COUNTY...ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 142101
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
501 PM EDT MON APR 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-150301-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080416T0901Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T0215Z.080416T0301Z.NO/
501 PM EDT MON APR 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 150238
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1038 PM EDT MON APR 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-150838-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080415T1800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T0215Z.080415T1200Z.NO/
1038 PM EDT MON APR 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL AND IS EXPECTED
  TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 150910
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
510 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-151510-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080415T1638Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T0215Z.080415T1038Z.NO/
510 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 7 AM THIS MORNING. IT WILL DROP TO
  AROUND 9 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$
000 
WGUS81 KBUF 151025
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
625 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC045-049-151055-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080415T1638Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.080412T0945Z.080414T0215Z.080415T0947Z.NO/
625 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN.
* AT 620 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.98 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 615 AM
  THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 9.0 FEET BY
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ADJACENT ROADWAYS FLOODED. MINOR DAMAGES TO RIVERFRONT 
  COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES. SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN LEWIS COUNTY...
  ESPECIALLY EAST MARTINSBURG RD.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 11, 10:18 AM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 10:18 AM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES DURING THE DAY WITH AN
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT MOVING NORTHWARD INTO OUR REGION. THE FRONT
WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS OVER MOST OF THE AREA WITH A THREAT OF THUNDER
ESPECIALLY FROM THE FINGER LAKES WEST.

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL PERIST OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW MOVES EAST
BRINGING AND END TO OUR STRETCH OF WARMER THAN NORMAL WEATHER.
FAIR AND COOL WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST THEN A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN
WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH SLIDES TO THE EAST COAST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
BROAD AREA OF RAIN IS MOVING EAST FRIDAY MORNING. NAM BUFKIT SHOWS
ELEVATED CAPE DURING THE MORNING, AND THERE WERE A FEW STRIKES WEST
OF DUBOIS PA, SO WE HAVE LEFT A CHANCE OF THUNDER IN. SATELLITE
SHOWS CLEARING MOVING TOWARD THE AREA, AND BOTH THE 06Z GFS AND 12Z
NAM SHOW DRYING THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT A BREAK IN THE STEADY RAIN TO
DEVELOP FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS WESTERN NY. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS...BUT THE BULK OF THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOULD BE RAIN FREE. THIS WILL ALLOWING SOME SURFACE
HEATING, AND WITH GOOD INSTABILITY THIS EVENING, WE HAVE ADDED
THUNDER THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

LATER TONIGHT THE MAIN MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW WILL LIFT INTO THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES. RENEWED CONVECTION WILL FIRE ACROSS
MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING ATOP A MOIST/MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. THIS CONVECTION WILL SPREAD EAST AND TEND
TO WEAKEN WITH TIME AT IT PUSHES INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES...BUT
FORCING WILL STILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS FROM
WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

VERY INTERESTING TEMPERATURE FORECAST TODAY WITH PSEUDO-WARM FRONT
ADVANCING NORTH INTO THE CWA. EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO HANG TOUGH
ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE FLOW OFF THE COLD
LAKE WATERS WILL HOLD TEMPS IN THE LOW 40S ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE
WEST OF ROCHESTER TODAY. COMPLETELY DIFFERENT STORY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER WHERE THE WARM FRONT SHOULD PUSH NORTH THIS AFTERNOON
AND ALLOW TEMPS TO SOAR INTO THE 60S. AREAS FROM BUF-ROC WILL BE
RIGHT ALONG THE DIVIDING LINE WITH HIGH BUST POTENTIAL. HAVE BROUGHT
THESE AREAS INTO THE LOW 50S...AND EXPECT THE BULK OF THE DAY TO BE
INFLUENCED BY COOL LOW LEVEL NE FLOW BUT IT WILL BE A CLOSE CALL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THIS WILL BE AN UNSETTLED AND COLDER PERIOD AS A COMPLEX GREAT LAKES
LOW MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS US. FIRST...AN OCCLUDED FRONT AND WEAK LOW
WILL MOVE EAST OF US SATURDAY MORNING ALONG WITH LIGHT AND SCATTERED
RAINFALL THEN A SECOND LOW...LOCATED UNDERNEATH A CLOSED UPPER
LOW...WILL MOVE IN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIR WILL
BUILD IN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THIS SECOND LOW DEEPENS OFF
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH SETTLES
EASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION. THE VARIOUS MODELS
ARE QUITE CONSISTENT WITH THIS PATTERN. ALTHOUGH POPS WILL BE LOWER
AND QPF IS EXPECTED TO BE SPARSE AFTER SATURDAY...THE SOUNDINGS GET
COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW OR A RAIN SNOW MIX BOTH SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. SUNDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY...SOME 10 TO 12 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL BUILD EAST OVER US
SUNDAY NIGHT. CLEARING SKIES WILL LEAD TO OVERNIGHT LOWS BELOW
FREEZING.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ALTHOUGH MONDAY WILL CONTINUE MORE THAN 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL...THE NEWS IS BETTER AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM THE
CENTRAL LAKES REGION WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED.

TUESDAY AND WEDESDAY LOOK FINE WITH THE HIGH CONTINUING TO BUILD
SLOWLY EAST...REACHING THE COAST BY THURSDAY. 850 MB TEMPS WARM TO
-3C TUE AND +2C ON WED. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO RETURN CLOSER TO
NORMAL (50) TUES AFTERNOON AND ABOVE ON WED...NR 60...BUT SW WIND
WILL INCREASE AND KEEP BUF/ART COOLER. PLENTY OF SUN BOTH DAYS.
THURSDAY LOOKS GOOD AT THIS TIME AS WELL WITH POPS REMAINING LOW AND
TEMPERATURES BACK UP INTO THE 60S IN MOST AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
RAIN CONTINUES TO SPREAD EAST THROUGH MOST OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NY EARLY THIS MORNING AS A WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTHEAST
TOWARDS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. ANOTHER AREA OF MODERATE RAIN OVER
CENTRAL LAKE ERIE AND EASTERN OHIO WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM
WEST TO EAST FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING. CIGS/VSBY ARE GENERALLY
VFR DUE TO A DRY WEDGE IN THE LOW LEVELS PREVENTING THE BOTTOM OF
THE COLUMN FROM SATURATING. THE EXCEPTION IS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER WHERE A COOL/MOIST NE FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO IS
PRODUCING SOME SCATTERED MVFR CIGS/VSBY. EXPECT CIGS TO DETERIORATE
TO MVFR ACROSS MUCH OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER THIS MORNING IN THE COOL
NORTHEAST FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO. TO THE SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY CIGS
SHOULD IMPROVE BACK TO VFR AFTER THE RAIN ENDS AS A WARM SECTOR
MIXES NORTHWARD.

THE STEADY RAIN WILL PUSH EAST THIS AFTERNOON WITH A BREAK IN THE
RAIN ACROSS WESTERN NY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR CIGS TO RECOVER BACK
TO VFR FOR AWHILE TO THE SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY AS THE WARM SECTOR
MIXES NORTHWARD. CLOSER TO LAKE ONTARIO CIGS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN
MVFR AS THE COOL NORTHEAST FLOW OFF THE LAKE KEEPS THE LOW LEVELS
NEAR SATURATION. TONIGHT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN
NY AS THE MAIN MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW MOVES TOWARDS THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES AND SPREADS LIFT BACK INTO WESTERN NY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
FORECAST TO INCREASE IN NORTHEAST FLOW THIS EVENING WITH CIGS
DROPPING BACK INTO MVFR. CIGS MAY DETERIORATE FURTHER TO IFR LATE
TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR LIKELY IN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS.
SATURDAY...VFR TO OCCASIONALLY MVFR CIGS IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT.
SUNDAY...MVFR CIGS WITH SCATTERED -SHRA/-SHSN...IMPROVING TO VFR
AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON.
MONDAY...VFR WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS IN AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING NORTH INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION WILL
PRODUCE A BRISK EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW MAINLY ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO
TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED A FEW HOURS FOR
THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO SODUS UNTIL PAST
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. WINDS HAVE ALSO INCREASED MORE THAN EARLIER
FORECAST OVER LAKE ERIE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED ON LAKE ERIE.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT WITH NO REAL MARINE CONCERNS AGAIN
UNTIL AT LEAST MONDAY WHEN NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASE.

OF NOTE IS THE RAPID DIMINISHING OF LAKE ERIE ICE COVER. ANOTHER
CLEAR DAY THURSDAY ALLOWED FOR A GREAT SATELLITE VIEW AND ICE NOW IS
RESTRICTED TO NORTH SHORE OF THE LAKE FROM ABOUT POINT ABINO/PORT
COLBORNE AREA TO BUFFALO...AND EXTENDING SOUTH ABOUT 5 TO 8
MILES...SO MAYBE 100-150 SQ MILES AT MOST. CANT SEE THIS LASTING
MORE THAN ANOTHER FEW DAYS. NORMAL DAY OF ICE OUT AT BUF HARBOR
IS APRIL 14...SO WERE RIGHT ON SCHEDULE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
TOTAL QPF EVENT LOOKS TO BE IN THE 0.5 TO 0.75 INCH RANGE OVER MOST
OF THE REGION...WITH A FEW SPOTS POSSIBLY CATCHING A LITTLE MORE.
BULK OF THIS SHOULD FALL THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY.

THIS AMT OF QPF WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT RESPONSES TO RIVERS AND
CREEKS IN WESTERN NY BUT ALL SHOULD STAY WITHIN THEIR BANKS AS
THEY HAVE RECEDED TO MODERATE FLOWS FOR APRIL...AS A WEEK OF DRY
AND WARM WX HAS DONE THE TRICK. ANY QPF OVER 1.5 INCHES WOULD
CAUSE TROUBLE THOUGH.

HOWEVER...THE BLACK RIVER EAST OF LK ONTARIO CONTINUES TO RUN
HIGH. LEVELS ARE IN THE 9 FOOT RANGE...JUST A FOOT BELOW FLOOD
STAGE. THIS RISE HAS ALMOST ALL BEEN THE RESULT OF SNOWMELT...BUT
THIS HAS JUST ABOUT BEEN DEPLETED AS ONLY PATCHY SNOW REMAINS ON
THE TUG HILL. BOONVILLE HAS CRESTED TODAY BUT WATERTOWN IS A SLOWER
RESPONDER AND WILL NOT CREST FROM SNOWMELT UNTIL FRIDAY. LATEST
ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS FROM THE NERFC INDICATE THAT THIS
ADDITIONAL QPF SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE THE BLACK RIVER TO REACH
FLOOD STAGE AT THE WATERTOWN GAGE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WE WILL
THEREFORE ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BLACK RIVER STARTING AT 6 PM
FRIDAY FOR 48 HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POTENTIAL. ANY FLOODING
THAT DOES OCCUR SHOULD BE RESTRICTED TO THE BLACK RIVER AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES AND SHOULD NOT BE WIDESPREAD ELSEWHERE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ007-008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR LOZ042-043.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SAGE
NEAR TERM...APB/HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...SAGE/SFM
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...JJP/SAGE/SFM
HYDROLOGY...SFM
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 6:05 AM EDT, 6 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
605 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-121015-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
605 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-121015-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
605 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-121015-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
605 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SAGE

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.