Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2008
Lake Effect Snow Warning 8, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Feb 19, 2008, 3:32 AM EST for 8 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 19, 2008, 4:51 AM EST. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 19, 2008, 3:32 AM EST (08:32 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 19, 2008, 4:51 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 20, 2008, 3:50 PM EST
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 702 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 51 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 190832 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 332 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO... .A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING USHERING IN ANOTHER BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS. A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONSOLIDATE INTO A MORE INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STEER THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND EXTREME NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY EXTENDING EAST INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LEWIS COUNTY. NYZ006>008-191645- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0003.080219T1700Z-080220T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0008.080219T1900Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 332 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME ORGANIZED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT, THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE TUG HILL REGION BETWEEN LACONA...REDFIELD AND ADAMS...EXTENDING INLAND TOWARDS BARNES CORNERS AND MARTINSBURG. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH AND BECOME DISORGANIZED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$
8 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 190951 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 451 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW RESUMES... .A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING USHERING IN ANOTHER BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS. A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONSOLIDATE INTO A MORE INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. OFF LAKE ONTARIO WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STEER THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND EXTREME NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY EXTENDING EAST INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LEWIS COUNTY. NYZ019-020-085-191800- /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0008.080219T0951Z-080220T1000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 451 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHWEST CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. THE SNOW SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY STATIONARY INTO TONIGHT...BUT COULD DRIFT NORTH TO THE SOUTHERN BUFFALO SUBURBS FOR A WHILE. UP TO 7 INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE TODAY WITH ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL BRING VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY. . IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ006>008-191800- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.080219T1900Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 451 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME ORGANIZED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT... THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE TUG HILL REGION BETWEEN LACONA...REDFIELD AND ADAMS...EXTENDING INLAND TOWARDS BARNES CORNERS AND MARTINSBURG. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH AND BECOME DISORGANIZED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 191426 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 926 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW RESUMES... .A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING USHERING IN ANOTHER BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS. A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONSOLIDATE INTO A MORE INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. OFF LAKE ONTARIO WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STEER THE BULK OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF JEFFERSON COUNTY AND EXTREME NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY EXTENDING EAST INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LEWIS COUNTY. NYZ012-192230- /O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1000Z/ WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW 926 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS WYOMING COUNTY. THE SNOW SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY STATIONARY INTO TONIGHT. UP TO 7 INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE TODAY WITH ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL BRING VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ019-020-085-192230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 926 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHWEST CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. THE SNOW SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY STATIONARY INTO TONIGHT...BUT COULD DRIFT NORTH TO THE SOUTHERN BUFFALO SUBURBS FOR A WHILE. UP TO 7 INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE TODAY WITH ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL BRING VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ006>008-192230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.080219T1900Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 926 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME ORGANIZED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT... THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE TUG HILL REGION BETWEEN LACONA...REDFIELD AND ADAMS...EXTENDING INLAND TOWARDS BARNES CORNERS AND MARTINSBURG. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH AND BECOME DISORGANIZED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 192051 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 351 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW RESUMES... .A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING USHERING IN ANOTHER BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR. A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY SETTING THE STAGE FOR MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS. BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THESE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT OFF LAKE ERIE AND THROUGH WEDNESDAY OFF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ012-019-020-085-200500- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 351 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA... NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS... SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS. STRONG WINDS WILL BRING VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ006>008-200500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 351 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME ORGANIZED DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE TUG HILL REGION BETWEEN LACONA...REDFIELD AND ADAMS...EXTENDING INLAND TOWARDS BARNES CORNERS AND MARTINSBURG. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH AND BECOME DISORGANIZED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ANOTHER 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH 5 TO 7 ADDITIONAL INCHES ON WEDNESDAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ010-011-200500- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.080219T2051Z-080220T1100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 351 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS. STRONG WINDS WILL BRING VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ LEVAN
000 WWUS41 KBUF 200107 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 807 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES OVERNIGHT... .A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. SEVERAL WEAK TROUGHS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE WIND DIRECTION...WHICH WILL FORCE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO OSCILLATE NORTH AND SOUTH. OFF LAKE ERIE...OCCASIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL DURING THIS PERIOD IS LIKELY TO FOCUS ON THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BUFFALO METRO AREA EAST INTO AREAS NEAR THE WYOMING AND GENESEE COUNTY LINE. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A WELL DEFINED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES THIS EVENING. THIS BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT BACK NORTH INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE FINALLY DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. NYZ010-011-200915- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1100Z/ /O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 807 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS DRIFTED NORTH INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA EXTENDING EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF GENESEE COUNTY. OCCASIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF ROUTE 20. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOWFALL...SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND VERY POOR VISIBILITIES. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN LOCALIZED AREAS...WITH STORM TOTALS OF UP TO 10 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NEARBY BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS SUCH AS WEST SENECA AND ELMA...EXTENDING EAST INTO MARILLA...ALDEN...DARIEN...AND ALEXANDER. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ006>008-200915- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 807 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION THIS EVENING. THE BAND WILL SETTLE ACROSS CENTRAL OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES BEFORE MOVING BACK NORTH AGAIN INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THIS BAND. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOWFALL...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN EDGES OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER 5 TO 7 ADDITIONAL INCHES ON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTALS WILL REACH UP TO 2 FEET WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ012-019-020-085-200915- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 807 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA... NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOWFALL...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH VERY POOR VISIBILITIES. AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS TO AROUND A FOOT WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 200338 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1038 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT... .A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. SEVERAL WEAK TROUGHS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE WIND DIRECTION...WHICH WILL FORCE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO OSCILLATE NORTH AND SOUTH. OFF LAKE ERIE...OCCASIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. THE MOST INTENSE SNOWFALL DURING THIS PERIOD IS LIKELY TO FOCUS ON THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BUFFALO METRO AREA EAST INTO AREAS NEAR THE WYOMING AND GENESEE COUNTY LINE. OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A WELL DEFINED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER CENTRAL OSWEGO AND EXTREME SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES THIS EVENING WILL DRIFT BACK NORTH INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE FINALLY DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. NYZ006>008-201145- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1038 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST WEDNESDAY. A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS CENTRAL OSWEGO COUNTY THROUGH THE REST OF THE EVENING. THE MOST INTENSE SNOW WILL BE FOUND FROM THE CITY OF OSWEGO TO MEXICO AND PARISH THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THIS BAND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK NORTH AGAIN INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY AFTER MIDNIGHT IMPACTING AREAS FROM SANDY CREEK TO REDFIELD...NORTH OSCEOLA...MANNSVILLE...ADAMS CENTER...AND BARNES CORNERS. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THIS BAND. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY SNOWFALL...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN EDGES OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER 5 TO 7 INCHES ON WEDNESDAY. STORM TOTALS MAY REACH UP TO 2 FEET WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ010>012-019-020-085-201100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1038 PM EST TUE FEB 19 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND HEAVY SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF ERIE COUNTY...THE SOUTHERN HALF OF GENESEE COUNTY...WYOMING COUNTY...AND EXTREME NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THE MOST PERSISTENT AND HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONCENTRATE IN AREAS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE FROM SILVER CREEK INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS INCLUDING HAMBURG...ORCHARD PARK... LACKAWANNA...WEST SENECA...AND ELMA EXTENDING EAST INTO ALDEN...DARIEN...AND ALEXANDER. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS TO AROUND A FOOT WHERE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 200853 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 353 AM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY... .A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING THEN BACK SOUTH DURING THE DAY BEFORE FINALLY DIMINISHING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NYZ010>012-019-020-085-201000- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T1100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 353 AM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS DRIFTED SOUTH AND WEAKENED EARLY THIS MORNING. ONLY ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE BANDS BECOME DISORGANIZED. $$ NYZ006>008-201700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 353 AM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DRIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING THEN BACK SOUTH DURING THE DAY BEFORE FINALLY DIMINISHING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 201538 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1038 AM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY... .A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY TO CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...THEN WILL SHIFT FARTHER SOUTH AND DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. NYZ006>008-202200- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T2200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1038 AM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW CENTERED OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AT LATE MORNING WILL START TO MOVE SOUTH AND WEAKEN DURING THE AFTERNOON. DAYTIME SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY AND ANOTHER FOOT OR MORE OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY NEAR PULASKI AND SANDY CREEK. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE READY FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 202050 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 350 PM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE SNOW WEAKEN AND SLIDE SOUTH... .A COLD FRONT SETTLING SOUTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL PUSH THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW FARTHER SOUTH TO THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE LAKE THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE BROAD AREA OF LAKE SNOW AND SNOWFALL INTENSITY WILL BE LESS BUT WILL PERSIST FOR ABOUT 18 HOURS. NYZ006-210500- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.080220T2100Z-080221T1500Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 350 PM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AND SETTLE TO THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT. THE SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER COUPLE OF INCHES ON THURSDAY MORNING THEN WILL WEAKEN FURTHER LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN LIFTS NORTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-202200- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080220T2200Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 350 PM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LAKE SNOW WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF OSWEGO COUNTY THIS EVENING AND WILL NOT AFFECT JEFFERSON OR LEWIS COUNTIES. $$ NYZ004-005-210500- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.080220T2100Z-080221T1500Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 350 PM EST WED FEB 20 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF LAKE ONTARIO AND WILL PRODUCE 4 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW ON THURSDAY MORNING. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Feb 19, 3:24 AM EST, 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 3:24 AM EST, 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 AM EST TUE FEB 19 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY FOLLOWED BY COLD AIR WHICH
WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS THIS WEEK. THE COLDER AIR WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH MINOR ACCUMULATION.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. ICE COVER ON LAKE ERIE IS
EXPECTED TO KEEP THE ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE RELATIVELY LIGHT...
HOWEVER HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AND END
BY THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A BROAD AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH A
WEAK COLD FRONT, THEN WINDS LINE UP IN THE COLDER AIR TO PRODUCE
LAKE SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES.
ICE COVER ON LAKE ERIE WILL LIMIT THE INTENSITY. LOCATION IS A
PROBLEM WITH ICE COVER PREVENTING THE MODELS FROM DEVELOPING STRONG
OMEGA FIELDS, A PREFERRED TOOL, BUT IT APPEARS ANY WEAK BANDS SHOULD
BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY, AND PERHAPS THE SOUTHERN SUBURBS OF
BUFFALO.
OFF LAKE ONTARIO THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD MATURE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
BETWEEN PULASKI AND WATERTOWN WITH 2 INCHES PER HOUR LIKELY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ANOTHER FRONT SLIPS SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY, PUSHING THE LAKE SNOWS SOUTH
THEN DISRUPTING THEM WITH CHANGING WIND DIRECTIONS. THE GFS SHOWS
850 MB TEMPERATURES AT -20 BY THURSDAY MORNING AS A SURFACE HIGH
BUILDS EAST TOWARD THE AREA. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF LINGERING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THURSDAY, BUT WITH THE
SURFACE HIGH CRESTING OVER THE AREA, THEY SHOULD BE WEAK AND
DISORGANIZED. THURSDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD BE QUIET AND COLD, THEN
THURSDAY NIGHT A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE UPPER LAKES, WILL BRING MOISTURE IN WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF
WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW. THE CHANCE OF SNOW WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY
WHILE SEVERAL POORLY DEFINED LOW CENTERS MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
APPALACHIANS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF LINGERING SNOW ON SATURDAY AS AN
UPPER SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE AREA. SATURDAY NIGHT, 00Z GFS SHOWS
RIDGING AT THE SURFACE BUT AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
AREA. TEMPERATURES ALSO MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME LAKE
EFFECT IN WNW FLOW MAINLY OFF LAKE ONTARIO. EARLIER FORECAST WAS
DRY SO WILL ONLY GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE GRIDS SE OF
THE LAKES.
SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE BASICS OF DRY FORECAST FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY
AT THIS TIME WITH RIDGING, AND MILDER TEMPS. ONLY CHANGE IS TO MAKE
MONDAY PARTLY SUNNY AS HIGH SLIDES OFF MID ATLANTIC COAST AND SOME
CLOUDS AHEAD OF LOW OVER PROVINCE OF ONTARIO AND TRAILING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL LAKES BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE
DAY.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE TIMES OF MVFR CIGS SOUTH OF
BUFFALO DUE TO WEAK LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACTIVITY. THERE WILL ALSO BE
MVFR CIGS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...MAINLY ON TUESDAY WHEN LAKE SNOW
SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE COMMON.
WHILE CONDITIONS WILL MAINLY BE VFR OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY...SFC
WINDS WILL BE RATHER STRONG WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY WHEN DIURNAL MIXING AND COLD
ADVECTION PROCESSES WILL HELP TO BRING HIGHER WIND SPEEDS DOWN TO
THE SFC.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...MVFR/IFR/ IN SNOW SHOWERS AND AREAS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. GUSTY WINDS.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR IN SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS.
FRIDAY...MVFR TO IFR IN SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION.
&&
.MARINE...
A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS LOW MOVING
NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC TODAY WILL RELAX ONLY SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING
BEFORE TIGHTENING AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AS A
SECONDARY ARCTIC FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE UPPER LAKES. WILL
MAINTAIN GALE WARNINGS THROUGH 5 AM TUESDAY ON LAKE ERIE AND
THROUGH 3 PM TUESDAY ON LAKE ONTARIO...ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE MARGINAL.
NOTE...SINCE LAKE ERIE IS MOSTLY ICE COVERED...WAVES HAVE BEEN
OMITTED FROM THE NEARSHORE FORECAST.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR LEZ020-040-
041.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
LOZ042>045-062>065.
&&
SYNOPSIS...APB
NEAR TERM...APB
SHORT TERM...APB
LONG TERM...APB/JJP
AVIATION...RSH/SFM
MARINE...SFMHazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 3:44 PM EST, 11 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 344 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-191000- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- SOUTHERN ERIE- 344 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-191000- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 344 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-191000- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 344 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF SLZ022-024-191000- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 344 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LOZ042>045-062>065-191000- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 344 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF HITCHCOCK
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 18, 11:11 PM EST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1111 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 NYZ019>021-190645- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 1111 PM EST MON FEB 18 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL COAT MANY ROADWAYS OVERNIGHT... LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE ERIE HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. WHILE THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GENERALLY ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR LESS...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SNOW TO COAT MANY AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION. TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WILL DROP TO NEAR 20. RSH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 3:51 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | BUF | Erie, Genesee | 4 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2008Every lake effect snow warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.