Lake Effect Snow Warning 3, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 230041
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
741 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...ARCTIC FRONT MOVING EAST...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
AN ARCTIC FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION. THE FRONT SHOULD BEAT EAST OF
THE LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY 10 PM.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REGENERATE
OVERNIGHT WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND BATAVAIA AND THEN DRIFT
NORTHWARD BEFORE MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY GET AS FAR
NORTH AS DOWNTOWN BUFFALO AND THE AIRPORT WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN
DROP BACK SOUTH INTO SKI COUNTRY AGAIN BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE ENHANCED SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING EAST OF THE LAKE. A SQUALL OF HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY THIS
EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE ARCTIC FRONT. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTH INTO OSWEGO COUNTY AND POSSIBLY AS
FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN CAYUGA AND NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTIES FOR
AWHILE TONIGHT BEFORE LIFTING QUICKLY BACK NORTH TOWARDS
WATERTOWN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LAKE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO
SETTLE BACK SOUTH AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FOR SEVERAL HOURS
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BEFORE FINALLY
PUSHING SOUTH AGAIN TO THE SOUTH SHORE WEDNESDAY EVENING.

NYZ001-002-010-011-230145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080123T0200Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
741 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. 

THE ARCTIC FRONT HAS MOVED EAST. LEFTOVER SNOW OVER EASTERN
ORLEANS AND EASTERN GENESEE COUNTIES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
OUT OF THE AREA BY 8 PM.

$$

NYZ006>008-230845-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
741 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A BROAD AREA OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. A SQUALL OF HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY TO ACCOMPANY THE ARCTIC
FRONT WITH WITH SNOWFALL RATES BRIEFLY REACHING RATES OF 2 TO 3
INCHES PER HOUR.

THE LAKE ENHANCED SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO PURE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL OSCILLATE NORTH AND
SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION AS WINDS SHIFT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
WITH SNOWFALL RATES OCCASIONALLY REACHING 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
MAY EXCEED ONE FOOT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO
25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO A QUARTER MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS AND ON NORTH SOUTH
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR DIFFICULT WINTER DRIVING
CONDITIONS INCLUDING SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY LOW VISIBILITY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-085-230845-
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080123T1700Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
741 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME DISORGANIZED FOR AWHILE
TONIGHT...THEN SHOULD BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND PUSH BACK INTO
THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LAKE SNOWS
WILL MOVE BACK SOUTH INTO SKI COUNTRY AGAIN BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.
ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT MAY REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO
25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO A QUARTER MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS AND ON NORTH SOUTH
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR DIFFICULT WINTER DRIVING
CONDITIONS INCLUDING SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY LOW VISIBILITY
FOR THE AFTERNOON COMMUTE.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 230315
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1015 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...THE ARCTIC FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE REGION...

.AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OFF THE COAST
OVERNIGHT WHILE A SECONDARY TROUGH MOVES EAST FROM THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REGENERATE
OVERNIGHT WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND BATAVIA AND THEN DRIFT
NORTHWARD BEFORE MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY GET AS FAR
NORTH AS DOWNTOWN BUFFALO AND THE AIRPORT WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THEN DROP BACK SOUTH INTO SKI COUNTRY AGAIN BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THROUGH
OSWEGO COUNTY AND NORTHERN CAYUGA AND NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTIES FOR
AWHILE TONIGHT BEFORE LIFTING QUICKLY BACK NORTH TOWARDS WATERTOWN
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LAKE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO SETTLE
BACK SOUTH AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING
THE DAY WEDNESDAY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BEFORE FINALLY PUSHING
SOUTH AGAIN TO THE SOUTH SHORE WEDNESDAY EVENING.

NYZ006>008-231115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1015 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MIGRATE ACROSS THE REGION AS WINDS
SHIFT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH SNOWFALL RATES OCCASIONALLY
REACHING 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING MAY EXCEED ONE FOOT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO A
QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS AND ON
NORTH SOUTH ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR DIFFICULT WINTER
DRIVING CONDITIONS INCLUDING SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY LOW
VISIBILITY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ012-085-231115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080123T1700Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1015 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND PUSH
BACK INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS AGAIN OVERNIGHT. THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL MOVE BACK SOUTH INTO SKI COUNTRY AGAIN BY MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT MAY REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE
MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED ESPECIALLY
IN OPEN AREAS AND ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR DIFFICULT WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS INCLUDING SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 230849
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...MORE LAKE SNOWS...

.AFTER A TEMPORARY DISRUPTION DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
TUESDAY EVENING...THE LAKE EFFECT MACHINE WILL TURN ON AGAIN TODAY
AS A WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR PASSES ACROSS THE OPEN LAKES.
THE SNOWS SHOULD NOT BE AS INTENSE AS IN THE MOST RECENT EVENT
OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SNOWBELTS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO REGENERATE THIS
MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES AND
SLOWLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY INTO THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. WIND SHEAR WILL
INCREASE LATER TODAY AND WEAKEN THE ACTIVITY BY EVENING.
ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH 3 TO 6 INCHES WHERE BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE SNOWS OVER JEFFERSON COUNTY EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL SETTLE SOUTH AND INTENSIFY DURING THE
MORNING...FOCUSING ON NORTHERN OSWEGO...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND
MUCH OF LEWIS COUNTY. A SINGLE INTENSE BAND SHOULD PREVAIL FOR
SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE IT SHIFTS SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY
THIS EVENING AND WEAKENS. SNOW WILL FALL AT 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
WITHIN THE BAND WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS REACHING 6 TO 12 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE THE BAND PERSISTS...MOST LIKELY
ON THE TUG HILL.

NYZ012-085-231700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LB.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080123T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0004.080123T0849Z-080123T2300Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
349 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO REGENERATE THIS
MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES AND
SLOWLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY INTO THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES BY MIDDAY. WIND SHEAR
WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY AND WEAKEN THE ACTIVITY BY EVENING.
ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH 3 TO 6 INCHES WHERE BANDS PERSIST THE
LONGEST.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006>008-231700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
349 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

LAKE SNOWS OVER JEFFERSON COUNTY EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL SETTLE SOUTH AND INTENSIFY DURING THE
MORNING...FOCUSING ON NORTHERN OSWEGO...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON AND
MUCH OF LEWIS COUNTY. A SINGLE INTENSE BAND SHOULD PREVAIL FOR
SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE IT SHIFTS SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY EARLY
THIS EVENING AND WEAKENS. SNOW WILL FALL AT 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
WITHIN THE BAND WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS REACHING 6 TO 12 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE THE BAND PERSISTS...MOST LIKELY ON
THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. 

$$

NYZ019-020-231700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0004.080123T0849Z-080123T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
349 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO REGENERATE THIS
MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES AND
SLOWLY MIGRATE SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY INTO THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES BY MIDDAY. WIND SHEAR
WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY AND WEAKEN THE ACTIVITY BY EVENING.
ACCUMULATIONS MAY REACH 3 TO 6 INCHES WHERE BANDS PERSIST THE
LONGEST.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.


$$

SFM

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 231444
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.A WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR PASSING ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS
OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
SNOWFALL EAST OF THE LAKES THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE BECOME VERY WELL ORGANIZED
AGAIN THIS MORNING ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS EAST INTO WYOMING
COUNTY. THIS BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT
SLOWLY SOUTH TODAY INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AND ALSO NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CENTERED
ALONG THE OSWEGO AND JEFFERSON COUNTY BORDER EAST INTO THE CENTRAL
TUG HILL PLATEAU WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE TUG HILL AND
OSWEGO COUNTY TODAY THEN SETTLE ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF THE LAKE
TONIGHT.

NYZ012-019-020-085-232245-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-080123T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
944 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THIS UPGRADES THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY
IN EFFECT.

A WELL ORGANIZED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW STRETCHING FROM THE
BOSTON HILLS EAST INTO WYOMING COUNTY WILL SETTLE SLOWLY SOUTH
ACROSS THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AND INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SECTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AS WELL AS NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS
COUNTY TODAY. 

SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY
WITHIN THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATER THIS EVENING OF
AROUND A FOOT ARE LIKELY IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. THE
HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE BOSTON HILLS INTO
THE HILLS OF WYOMING COUNTY...AND ALSO THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM
PERRYSBURG TO SOUTH DAYTON.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006>008-232245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
944 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
AND EXTREME SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY EAST INTO THE CENTRAL TUG
HILL OF LEWIS COUNTY WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH TODAY
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND OSWEGO
COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY
WITHIN THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATER THIS EVENING WILL
RANGE FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS...WITH UP TO 2 FEET
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TODAY ACROSS THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. BE PREPARED FOR NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY
AND LARGE AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS. TRAVEL ON INTERSTATE 81
BETWEEN PARISH AND MANNSVILLE MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT
TIMES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 231620
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1120 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.A WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR PASSING ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS
OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
SNOWFALL EAST OF THE LAKES THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE BECOME VERY WELL ORGANIZED
LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS EAST INTO WYOMING
COUNTY. THIS BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS OF SOUTHERN ERIE AND WESTERN WYOMING
COUNTY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN CHAUTAUQUA
COUNTY AND ALSO NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CENTERED
ALONG THE OSWEGO AND JEFFERSON COUNTY BORDER EAST INTO THE
CENTRAL TUG HILL PLATEAU WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE TUG HILL AND
OSWEGO COUNTY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BAND WILL THEN SETTLE
ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF THE LAKE TONIGHT.

NYZ006>008-240030-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1120 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
AND EXTREME SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY EAST INTO THE CENTRAL TUG
HILL OF LEWIS COUNTY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND OSWEGO
COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN
THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATER THIS EVENING WILL RANGE
FROM 12 TO 18 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS...WITH AROUND 2 FEET
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.

DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TODAY ACROSS THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. BE PREPARED FOR NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY
AND LARGE AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS. TRAVEL ON INTERSTATE
81 BETWEEN PARISH AND MANNSVILLE MAY BECOME NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT
TIMES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-240030-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1120 AM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A WELL ORGANIZED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW STRETCHING FROM THE
BOSTON HILLS EAST INTO WYOMING COUNTY WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH
ACROSS THE CATTARAUGUS CREEK AND INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SECTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AS WELL AS NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS
COUNTY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THIS
BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY LATER THIS EVENING OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. THE HEAVIEST
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE BOSTON HILLS INTO THE HILLS OF
WYOMING COUNTY...AND ALSO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CHAUTAUQUA
RIDGE FROM PERRYSBURG TO SOUTH DAYTON.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 232023
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
323 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST AND SOUTH OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.A WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR PASSING ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS
OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
SNOWFALL EAST OF THE LAKES THROUGH THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT AS
STEERING WINDS IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE BEGIN TO
SHIFT MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
WILL PUSH TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

OFF LAKE ERIE...A WELL DEFINED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES
ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY SHORELINE INTO THE BOSTON HILLS. THIS
BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE PUSHING SLOWLY SOUTH
OVERNIGHT. BY THURSDAY MORNING THE BAND WILL SHRINK IN INLAND
EXTENT AND BECOME FOCUSED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE FROM RIPLEY TO
DUNKIRK.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CENTERED
ALONG THE OSWEGO AND JEFFERSON COUNTY BORDER EAST INTO THE
CENTRAL TUG HILL PLATEAU WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
THIS EVENING BEFORE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE TUG HILL
REGION AND OSWEGO COUNTY OVERNIGHT. BY THURSDAY MORNING THE BAND
IS EXPECTED TO SINK TO THE SOUTH SHORE FROM NIAGARA TO CAYUGA
COUNTIES AND PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOW BEFORE MOVING FURTHER
INLAND AND WEAKENING BY MIDDAY THURSDAY.

NYZ012-020-085-240430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0800Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
323 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

A WELL ORGANIZED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW STRETCHING FROM THE
BOSTON HILLS EAST INTO WYOMING COUNTY AND EXTREME NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THIS BAND IS THEN EXPECTED TO PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE
MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE
BOSTON HILLS INTO THE HILLS OF WYOMING COUNTY...AND ALSO THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE FROM PERRYSBURG TO SOUTH
DAYTON.

TRAVEL WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SKI COUNTRY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY BETWEEN
EDEN AND SILVER CREEK...AND ROUTE 219 FROM BOSTON TO
ELLICOTTVILLE. BE PREPARED FOR NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT
SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS
TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-240430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T1700Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
323 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

A WELL ORGANIZED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE FROM WESTFIELD TO SILVER CREEK AND
INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE NEAR
FORESTVILLE. THIS BAND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE PUSHING SLOWLY SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MORNING THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO SHRINK IN INLAND
EXTENT AND FOCUS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ERIE SHORE FROM RIPLEY
TO DUNKIRK.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE
MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY MIDDAY
THURSDAY OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE
SHORE AND THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE INCLUDING
LOCATIONS SUCH AS RIPLEY...WESTFIELD...DUNKIRK...AND FORESTVILLE.

TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES...INCLUDING ON THE NEW YORK
STATE THRUWAY BETWEEN RIPLEY AND SILVER CREEK. BE PREPARED FOR
NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS
AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY
HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-008-240430-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0700Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
323 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH THIS EVENING. BY LATE EVENING THE BAND IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH OSWEGO COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2
TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THIS BAND. STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WILL REACH 1 TO 2 FEET
ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 3 FEET IN REDFIELD AND NORTH OSCEOLA.

LESS ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OSWEGO
COUNTY AND ALSO THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY FROM LOWVILLE SOUTH. LITTLE
IF ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL FALL OVER NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY FROM
CROGHAN NORTH.

DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT THROUGH THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. BE PREPARED FOR
NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AND LARGE AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS.
TRAVEL ON INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN PARISH AND MANNSVILLE MAY BECOME
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN
VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A
FEW MILES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE
SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU
CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ007-240200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0200Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
323 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE MOVING
SLOWLY SOUTH OVERNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY LATER THIS EVENING WILL REACH 1 TO 2 FEET IN
AREAS SOUTH OF ADAMS. LITTLE OR NO SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM ADAMS
NORTH. 

DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT THIS EVENING ACROSS
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. BE PREPARED FOR NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITY AND LARGE AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS. TRAVEL ON
INTERSTATE 81 FROM MANNSVILLE TO THE OSWEGO COUNTY LINE MAY BE
NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN
VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A
FEW MILES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE
SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU
CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ001>005-240430-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.080124T0500Z-080124T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
323 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
12 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
EST THURSDAY. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER LAKE ONTARIO IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT SOUTH AND MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE ENTIRE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE
ONTARIO AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING IN THE MOST INTENSE
PORTION OF THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY MIDDAY THURSDAY MAY
REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 240305
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST AND SOUTH OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING ALTHOUGH IT WILL WEAKEN OVERNIGHT...

.THE WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR PASSING ACROSS THE OPEN
WATERS OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO IS BECOMING A LITTLE MORE
DISRUPTED AT THIS TIME AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY SINKS SOUTHWARD FROM
LAKE ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED AND WEAKER THAN THEY HAVE BEEN.

OFF LAKE ERIE...A WELL DEFINED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT. IT IS EXPECTED TO SHRINK IN INLAND EXTENT AND
BECOME FOCUSED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS
WEAKENED A BIT AND IS NOT EXTENDING INLAND AS FAR AS IT WAS DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SOUTH OVERNIGHT AND BECOME ORIENTED NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.
IT WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM NIAGARA TO CAYUGA COUNTIES AND PRODUCE
ACCUMULATING SNOW BEFORE MOVING FURTHER INLAND AND WEAKENING BY
MIDDAY THURSDAY.

NYZ008-240415-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0700Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
1005 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM LAKE ONTARIO HAS WEAKENED. ONLY ANOTHER INCH
OR SO IS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

$$

NYZ012-020-085-240800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0800Z/
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1005 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

A WELL ORGANIZED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW STRETCHING FROM THE
BOSTON HILLS EAST INTO WYOMING COUNTY AND EXTREME NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH LATE EVENING.
THIS BAND IS THEN EXPECTED TO PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH INTO NORTHERN AND
WESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTY.

SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE MOST
INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE
BOSTON HILLS INTO THE HILLS OF WYOMING COUNTY...AND ALSO THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE FROM PERRYSBURG TO SOUTH
DAYTON.

TRAVEL WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SKI COUNTRY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY
BETWEEN EDEN AND SILVER CREEK...AND ROUTE 219 FROM BOSTON TO
ELLICOTTVILLE. BE PREPARED FOR VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS AT TIMES. IN LAKE
EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN
NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ019-241115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T1700Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
1005 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE COUNTY
OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE
FROM WESTFIELD TO SILVER CREEK AND INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE NEAR FORESTVILLE.

BY THURSDAY MORNING THE BAND IS EXPECTED TO SHRINK IN INLAND
EXTENT AND FOCUS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ERIE SHORE FROM RIPLEY
TO DUNKIRK.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE
MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY MIDDAY
THURSDAY OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS. 

TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES...INCLUDING ON THE NEW YORK
STATE THRUWAY BETWEEN RIPLEY AND SILVER CREEK. BE PREPARED FOR
VERY POOR VISIBILITY AND SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA
ROADS AT TIMES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM
LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW
MILES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND
TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ006-240700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T0700Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1005 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY
IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO BECOME
LESS INTENSE. EARLIER SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR
HAVE DECREASED TO ABOUT AN INCH PER HOUR. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ACROSS NORTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTY WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 3 FEET NEAR REDFIELD.


DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DIFFICULT WITHIN THE BAND BUT
IMPROVEMENT WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. BE PREPARED FOR VERY POOR
VISIBILITY AND LARGE AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON AREA ROADS. IN LAKE
EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW
BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. YOU CAN ACCESS OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ001>005-241115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.080124T0500Z-080124T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1005 PM EST WED JAN 23 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER LAKE ONTARIO IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH AND
MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE ENTIRE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR IS POSSIBLE
LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING IN THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF
THIS BAND. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY MIDDAY THURSDAY MAY REACH 3 TO 5
INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 240856
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 AM EST THU JAN 24 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST AND SOUTH OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO THROUGH THIS MORNING ALTHOUGH IT WILL WEAKEN
THIS MORNING...

.THE WESTERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD AIR PASSING ACROSS THE OPEN
WATERS OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO IS BECOMING A LITTLE MORE
DISRUPTED AT THIS TIME AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY SINKS SOUTHWARD FROM
LAKE ONTARIO. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED AND WEAKER THAN THEY HAVE BEEN.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SHRINK IN INLAND
EXTENT AND BECOME FOCUSED ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE FROM RIPLEY
TO DUNKIRK.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A SOUTHWARD MOVING BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
AFFECT AREAS FROM NIAGARA TO CAYUGA COUNTIES AND PRODUCE
ACCUMULATING SNOW BEFORE MOVING FURTHER INLAND AND WEAKENING BY
MIDDAY.

NYZ019-241700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080124T1700Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-080124T1700Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
356 AM EST THU JAN 24 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF LAKE ERIE THROUGH THE
MORNING. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE FROM THE
LAKE ERIE SHORE TO THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE JUST EAST OF THE LAKE. THE
PASSAGE OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON WILL DISRUPT THE
WINDS OFF THE LAKE AND BREAK UP MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ001>005-241700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-080124T1700Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
356 AM EST THU JAN 24 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER LAKE ONTARIO IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH AND
MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE ENTIRE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO AFTER
MIDNIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY MAY REACH 3 TO
5 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
251 PM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL MOVE QUICKLY
EAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE REGION. MOST AREAS WILL JUST SEE A GENERAL LIGHT
SNOWFALL...HOWEVER AREAS NORTHEAST AND EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO WILL SEE SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT AND MORE SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY. ANOTHER
VERY WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY BRING A FEW
SNOW SHOWERS TO THE ENTIRE REGION AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME
LAKE ENHANCEMENT STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY
AND FINALLY BRING AN END TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
VERY COMPLEX FORECAST FOR TONIGHT WITH INITIAL SHOT OF LAKE ENHANCED
SNOW THIS EVENING AND THEN VERY MOBILE LAKE EFFECT OVERNIGHT.
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIRLY WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR
ASCENT FROM A MID LEVEL TROUGH. A BAND OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IS
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NIAGARA PENINSULA FROM LONG POINT TO NEAR
SAINT CATHARINES AT 1930Z WITH ANOTHER BAND OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT
DEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO NEAR KINGSTON.
UPSTREAM RADARS ALSO SHOW AN INTENSE FRONTAL SQUALL WHICH PASSED
THROUGH THE DETROIT AREA RECENTLY.

OFF LAKE ERIE...EXPECT LAKE ENHANCED BAND TO CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON FROM THE NIAGARA PENINSULA INTO NIAGARA
COUNTY. AS THE FRONTAL SQUALL NEARS THE LAKE BAND THE SNOW INTENSITY
SHOULD REALLY EXPLODE AS FRONTAL DYNAMICS BECOME SUPERIMPOSED WITH
LIFT FROM THE LAKE ENHANCEMENT. EXPECT AN INTENSE SQUALL TO MOVE
SOUTH ACROSS THE METRO BUFFALO AREA DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE WITH
HIGH IMPACT ON TRAVEL. SNOWFALL RATES MAY REACH 1-2 INCHES PER
HOUR...BUT IT WONT LAST LONG WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE QUICKLY
SHOVING THE SNOW BAND INTO SKI COUNTRY.

A MINI RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE LAKE LATER THIS EVENING...WHICH WILL
PROBABLY LEAD TO A WEAKENING IN LAKE EFFECT AS IT PUSHES INTO THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. LATER TONIGHT THE COLUMN MOISTENS AND FLOW BECOMES
MORE WSW AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW THE BAND TO RE-ORGANIZE AND MOVE BACK NORTH INTO THE
BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS...POSSIBLY AS FAR NORTH AS THE CITY AND AIRPORT
BY 12Z WED.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...EXPECT A SIMILAR PROCESS TO ENSUE JUST A LITTLE
LATER. A LAKE ENHANCED BAND WILL DEVELOP IN SOUTHERN ONTARIO THEN
MOVE INTO THE THOUSAND ISLANDS REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION THIS EVENING.
BAND SHOULD ALSO GREATLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS THE LOW LEVEL LIFT
FROM THE FRONTAL BAND AND LAKE BAND COOPERATE TO PRODUCE A SQUALL OF
1-3 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES. AS FLOW VEERS LATER THIS EVENING
LAKE BAND WILL MAKE IT ALL THE WAY INTO SOUTHERN OSWEGO AND NORTHERN
CAYUGA COUNTIES...MAYBE EVEN NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTY BEFORE MOVING
QUICKLY BACK NORTH TOWARDS WATERTOWN LATE TONIGHT.

HEADLINES...LES/BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 02Z WED
FOR THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. WILL EXTEND LES/BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY
THROUGH 17Z WED FOR SOUTHERN ERIE/WYOMING WITH INITIAL SURGE OF LAKE
ENHANCEMENT THIS EVENING...THEN LAKE EFFECT MOVING BACK NORTH LATE
TONIGHT. WILL BE ISSUING A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR
OSW/JEFF/LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH 02Z THU.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LAKE SNOWS WILL BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WILL BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. MESOSCALE MODELS TYPICALLY STRUGGLE
WITH BAND PLACEMENT DURING THESE PERIODS OF QUICK MOVEMENT. HAVE
RELIED ON THE OLD FASHIONED BUFKIT THREAT BOXES FOR BAND PLACEMENT
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. I BELIEVE THIS MORE TRADITIONAL METHOD TO BE
SUPERIOR TO THE MESOSCALE MODELS. ALSO...RELIED MORE ON THE SUNY
STONY BROOK MM5 FOR BAND INTENSITY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...THAN THE WORKSTATION WRF GUIDANCE.

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE BAND WILL BE NORTH INTO THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS
AT DAYBREAK AS WINDS BACK AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE AND ARCTIC
FRONT. BAND MAY GET AS FAR NORTH AS A LINE FROM DOWNTOWN TO THE
AIRPORT BEFORE MOVING BACK SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHTOWNS AND INTO SKI
COUNTRY. MAY SEE SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUMS THROUGH THE SOUTHTOWNS...SO
HAVE EXTENDED THE ADVISORY TO COVER THROUGH NOON WED. ARCTIC FRONT
OOZES SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WIND FIELD BECOMES MUCH LIGHTER AND
LESS DEFINED OVERNIGHT...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE LAKE SNOW WHICH WILL
INITIALLY BE ACROSS THE SKI COUNTRY AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE TO EVOLVE
INTO MORE OF A SHORE HUGGING TEA KETTLE BAND FROM DUNKIRK DOWN TO
ERIE PA. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS AS THESE SOMETIMES DUMP LOCALLY
HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE THRUWAY. THIS SHOULD END BY THURSDAY EVENING AS
A RIDGE AXIS BUILDS ACROSS THE LAKE WITH A LOWERING SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION AND DRYING.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...BAND WILL BE UP AROUND WATERTOWN DURING THE
MORNING THEN SETTLE ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION AND ALONG THE
OSW/JEFF COUNTY LINE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. CONVERGENCE MAY BE
AIDED BY A SLOWLY APPROACHING SYNOPTIC SCALE TROUGH...AND THE SUNY
STONY BROOK MM5 SUGGESTS THIS WITH INTENSIFYING CONVERGENCE IN THE
SURFACE WIND FIELDS. GIVEN THAT THE BAND MAY BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY
FOR A TIME ON WEDNESDAY...WILL UPGRADE THE ADVISORY TO A WARNING FOR
JEFF COUNTY AND ADDED OSW/LEWIS COUNTIES. BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THE LAKE BAND SHOULD SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH OSWEGO
COUNTY...THEN BE SHOVED ONSHORE ALONG THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE SOUTH
SHORE WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE SYNOPTIC SCALE TROUGH/ARCTIC FRONT
DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE LAKE. WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS AS WE MAY SEE A
RATHER INTENSE EAST/WEST SQUALL DROPPING SLOWLY SOUTH FROM NIAGARA
THROUGH OSWEGO COUNTIES INCLUDING THE ROCHESTER AREA. THIS LAKE BAND
WILL THEN BREAK APART INTO MORE MULTIPLE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTH
SHORE THROUGH THURSDAY AS FLOW VEERS TO NW. LAKE EFFECT WILL END BY
MIDDAY FRIDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE LAKE.

OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT...MAY SEE A LITTLE MINOR SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH THE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT ANY ACCUMS WILL BE MINIMAL. IT
WILL BE ANOTHER COLD DAY THURSDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE TEENS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LESS AMPLIFIED ZONAL FLOW IS FORECAST TO SET UP OVER THE NATION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO TUESDAY. THE ZONAL FLOW WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY MODERATING TEMPERATURES BEGINNING SATURDAY.

THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE WITH THE PASSAGE OF FRONTS,
BUT THERE IS DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN MODELS ABOUT THE TIMING. THE GFS
SHOWS SNOW ON SATURDAY AND AND RAIN OR SNOW MONDAY, WHILE THE ECMWF
SHOWS THE BEST CHANCE ON SUNDAY. IN BETWEEN THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
LINGERING MOISTURE FOR A LOW CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION EACH DAY, WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING ENOUGH FROM SUNDAY ON FOR A CHANGE TO RAIN
DURING THE DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MOIST SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW WILL KEEP BROAD AREAS OF IFR VISIBILITY
AND MVFR CEILINGS TO THE EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE
EVENING. SOME LIFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING NEAR BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN. LAKE SNOW BANDS WILL
NARROW OVERNIGHT, REDUCING THE AREAL COVERAGE OF RESTRICTIONS, BUT
SHIFTING WINDS WILL MOVE THE BANDS OF IFR CONDITIONS NORTH AND SOUTH
OVER AREAS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LOOKING FARTHER OUT...ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH
ACROSS NEW YORK STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A BURST OF SNOW MAY ACCOMPANY
THIS FRONT. A REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
AND SET UP MORE LAKES SNOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH A
PREVAILING NORTHWEST FLOW. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING NORTH FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY SHOULD BRING A RETURN TO MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS FRIDAY.
MOISTURE SURGING AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
MORE SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE LOWER LAKES TONIGHT, AND ALLOW
THE WINDS TO SUBSIDE...HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE BRISK ENOUGH FOR SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES TO REMAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AND INTO WEDNESDAY
EVENING ON LAKE ONTARIO.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE LAKES WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND MAY BE STRONG
ENOUGH AGAIN ON THURSDAY FOR ADVISORIES.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR NYZ001-002-010-011.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ012-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
         LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...APB
AVIATION...APB
MARINE...APB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

NYZ002>006-008-011>014-019>021-231015-
ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-231015-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-231015-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>044-062>064-231015-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ045-065-231015-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-231015-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-010-085-231015-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-231015-
JEFFERSON-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF