Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2008

Lake Effect Snow Warning 17, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 4, 20086 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Dec 4, 2008, 4:20 AM EST for 6 counties in New York. It took effect at Dec 4, 2008, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 34 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 4, 2008, 4:20 AM EST (09:20 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 4, 2008, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 6, 2008, 4:57 AM EST
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2008-12-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2008-12-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 338 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1986 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
338 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
355 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 040920
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
420 AM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OFF LAKE ONTARIO...AND MOVE IN OVER
OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...THEN CONTINUE AT VARYING
RATES THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. WINDS WILL THEN BACK MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND PUSH THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER NORTH
INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY....INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ007-008-041730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0009.081205T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0017.081205T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
420 AM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION
OF SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...THEN MOVE NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY
AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE
LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006-041730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0009.081205T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0017.081205T0000Z-081206T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
420 AM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AND 
MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS NORTH OF OSWEGO AND PARISH. THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY...BUT SHOULD LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE
COUNTY BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE
IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TMA
11 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 041506
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1006 AM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES...THEN CONTINUE AT VARYING RATES THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY.
WINDS WILL THEN BACK MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND PUSH THE
LAKE SNOWS FURTHER NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY....INCLUDING THE
WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ007-008-042315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.081205T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1006 AM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION
OF SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...THEN MOVE NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY
AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE
LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. 

$$

NYZ006-042315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.081205T0000Z-081206T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1006 AM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AND
MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS NORTH OF OSWEGO AND PARISH. THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY...BUT SHOULD LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE
COUNTY BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE
IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS
PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. 

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 042115
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
415 PM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES...THEN CONTINUE AT VARYING RATES THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY.
WINDS WILL THEN BACK MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND PUSH THE
LAKE SNOWS FURTHER NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY....INCLUDING THE
WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ007-008-050515-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.081205T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
415 PM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION
OF SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY...THEN MOVE NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY
AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE
LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ006-050515-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.081205T0000Z-081206T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
415 PM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AND
MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS NORTH OF OSWEGO AND PARISH. THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY...BUT SHOULD LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE
COUNTY BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE
IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS
PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 050311
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 PM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WITH BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW MAINLY OVER OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES. IT WILL CONTINUE AT VARYING RATES THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY. WINDS WILL THEN BACK MORE SOUTHWESTERLY FRIDAY NIGHT AND
PUSH THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER NORTH INTO JEFFERSON
COUNTY....INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ007-008-051115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1011 PM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE TUG
HILL REGION OF LEWIS COUNTY...THEN MOVE NORTH INTO JEFFERSON
COUNTY AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ006-051115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1011 PM EST THU DEC 4 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST
AND MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS NORTH OF FULTON AND PARISH. THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY...BUT SHOULD LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE
COUNTY BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE
IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 050922
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
422 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WITH BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AT
VARYING RATES OVER OSWEGO...LEWIS AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES
TODAY. WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT AND PUSH THE
LAKE SNOWS FURTHER NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY....INCLUDING THE
WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ007-008-051730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
422 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS COUNTY. THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA. SNOWFALL RATES OF 
ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IN
THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ006-051730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
422 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...BUT SHOULD LIFT
NORTH OUT OF THE COUNTY BY TONIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IN THE HEAVIEST
AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 051508
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1008 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM LAKE ERIE WILL BRING PERIODS
OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE COUNTIES EAST OF THE LAKE WITH THE HEAVIEST
SNOW EXPECTED FROM THE LAKESHORE TO THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. THIS
BAND OFF LAKE ERIE WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATER IN THE DAY.
THE FLOW OF COLD AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN
WITH BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AT VARYING RATES OVER
OSWEGO...LEWIS AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES TODAY. WINDS WILL
TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT AND PUSH THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER
NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY.... INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ019-020-085-052300-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0017.081205T1508Z-081205T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1008 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TIER OF COUNTIES TO THE EAST OF LAKE ERIE. THERE WILL BE HEAVY
SNOW FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE INLAND TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES WHERE SNOWFALL
RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL SNOW
AMOUNTS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON MAY REACH 8 TO 12 INCHES. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

 STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ007-008-052315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1008 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS COUNTY. THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN
LEWIS COUNTIES TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA. SNOWFALL
RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE HEAVIEST
BANDS.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IN
THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ006-052315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
1008 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...BUT SHOULD LIFT
NORTH OUT OF THE COUNTY BY TONIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL OF A FOOT OR MORE OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION IN THE HEAVIEST
AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ012-052300-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.081205T1508Z-081205T2300Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
1008 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY TO THE EAST OF LAKE
ERIE. THERE WILL BE HEAVY SNOW FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE INLAND
TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
MAY REACH 5 0R 6 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 051828
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
128 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A
STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM LAKE ERIE WILL BRING PERIODS
OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE COUNTIES EAST OF THE LAKE WITH THE HEAVIEST
SNOW EXPECTED FROM THE LAKESHORE TO THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. THIS BAND OFF LAKE ERIE WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH
ACROSS THE METRO BUFFALO AREA THIS EVENING...AND THEN INTO THE
NORTHTOWNS OVERNIGHT. THE FLOW OF COLD AIR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WITH BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AT VARYING RATES
OVER OSWEGO...LEWIS AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES. WINDS WILL
TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT AND PUSH THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER
NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY....INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ006-051930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
128 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE MAIN BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH INTO LEWIS AND
JEFFERSON COUNTIES. SNOW TOTALS ARE STILL COMING IN...BUT AMOUNTS
APPROACHED 18 INCHES UNDER THE HEAVIEST SNOW BANDS AS OF 10 AM.
SNOW TOTALS WILL BE UPDATED AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-052300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081205T2300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
128 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES TO THE EAST OF LAKE ERIE. THERE WILL BE
HEAVY SNOW FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE INLAND TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES
WHERE SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED.
ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON MAY REACH 10 TO 18 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

 STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ007-008-060230-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
128 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY.

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS COUNTY. THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA. SNOWFALL RATES OF
ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF ONE TO TWO FEET OF SNOW...LOCALLY MORE
IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS PERIOD.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ010-011-060230-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.081205T2100Z-081206T0300Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
128 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHTOWNS DURING THE BEGINNING
OF THE EVENING COMMUTE. THIS SNOW WILL BE MOVING SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS
THE METRO BUFFALO REGION SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET AND WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND INTO
GENESEE COUNTY THROUGH THE EVENING.

THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF SHORTLY BEFORE OR AROUND MIDNIGHT AS THE
LAKE EFFECT BAND CONTINUES NORTH INTO NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES
AND WEAKENS SOMEWHAT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.


$$

NYZ001-002-060230-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.081205T2300Z-081206T1100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
128 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS NIAGARA AND
ORLEANS COUNTY THIS EVENING AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
TWO COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EVENT. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ012-052300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081205T2300Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
128 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON TO THE EAST OF LAKE
ERIE. THERE WILL BE HEAVY SNOW FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE
INLAND TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO
2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON MAY REACH 5 0R 6 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

ZAFF/WCH
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 052234
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
534 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. A STRONG
BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM LAKE ERIE WILL BRING PERIODS OF
HEAVY SNOW TO THE COUNTIES EAST OF THE LAKE WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW
DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THIS BAND OFF LAKE ERIE WILL SHIFT TO
THE NORTH ACROSS THE METRO BUFFALO AREA THIS EVENING...AND THEN
INTO THE NORTHTOWNS OVERNIGHT. THE FLOW OF COLD AIR ACROSS LAKE
ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WITH BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AT
VARYING RATES OVER OSWEGO...LEWIS AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES.
WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT AND PUSH THE LAKE SNOWS
FURTHER NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY....INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN
AREA.

NYZ020-052345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081205T2300Z/
CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OLEAN
534 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE COUNTY.

$$

NYZ010-060645-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
534 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS UPGRADED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY TO A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. IT IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE MOVING SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS THE METRO
BUFFALO REGION THIS EVENING AND WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS ROAD
CONDITIONS.

WHILE THE BAND MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD WE EXPECT 6 TO 10 INCHES OF
NEW SNOW ACROSS THE NEARBY SOUTHTOWNS AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS
METRO BUFFALO AND 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN SUBURBS. AT TIMES THE
SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE AT A 2 TO 3 INCH PER HOUR RATE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-085-060300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
534 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTH OUT OF CHAUTAUQUA
COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CREATE VERY
POOR DRIVING CONDITIONS IN THE CORE OF THE BANDS. TOTAL EVENT
SNOWFALL MAY REACH 10 TO 18 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN
ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ007-008-060645-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
534 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS
COUNTY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON
AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE WVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         17    359 PM  64    2001  34    -17       23       
  MINIMUM         -1    332 AM  -9    2005  19    -20        0       
  AVERAGE          8                        26    -18       12      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            T             0.77 1943   0.07  -0.07      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    0.14                      0.35  -0.21     1.34    
  SINCE DEC 1      0.14                      0.35  -0.21     1.34    
  SINCE JAN 1     43.20                     34.18   9.02    39.39    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            T            MM      MM   0.3   -0.3       T      
  MONTH TO DATE    1.6                       1.5    0.1      3.7     
  SINCE DEC 1      1.6                       1.5    0.1      3.7     
  SINCE JUL 1      6.3                       6.1    0.2      5.9     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY           57                        38     19       53       
  MONTH TO DATE  243                       187     56      218       
  SINCE DEC 1    243                       187     56      218       
  SINCE JUL 1   1644                      1718    -74     1526       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE DEC 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JAN 1    542                       656   -114      770       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    21   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (200)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    25   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (200)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED    11.1                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                              
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.5                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                            
  LIGHT SNOW                                                         
  FOG                                                                
  HAZE                                                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    87          1200 AM                                     
 LOWEST     61          1100 AM                                     
 AVERAGE    74                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE DUBUQUE IA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   33        56      1951                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   19       -10      1977                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
DECEMBER  5 2008......SUNRISE   717 AM CST   SUNSET   430 PM CST   
DECEMBER  6 2008......SUNRISE   718 AM CST   SUNSET   430 PM CST   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 060033
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. A STRONG
BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM LAKE ERIE WILL BRING PERIODS OF
HEAVY SNOW TO THE COUNTIES EAST OF THE LAKE WITH THE HEAVIEST
SNOW DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THIS BAND OFF LAKE ERIE WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE METRO BUFFALO AREA THIS EVENING...
AND THEN INTO THE NORTHTOWNS OVERNIGHT. THE FLOW OF COLD AIR
ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WITH BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW AT VARYING RATES OVER OSWEGO...LEWIS AND SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTIES. WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TONIGHT
AND PUSH THE LAKE SNOWS FURTHER NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY....
INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA.

NYZ019-060145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0300Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE AREA.

$$

NYZ085-060300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTH OUT OF CHAUTAUQUA
COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CREATE VERY
POOR DRIVING CONDITIONS IN THE CORE OF THE BANDS. TOTAL EVENT
SNOWFALL MAY REACH 10 TO 18 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ007-008-060845-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE TUG HILL REGION OF LEWIS
COUNTY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SHIFT NORTH INTO NORTHERN JEFFERSON
AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN
AREA. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN
THE HEAVIEST BANDS.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF ONE TO TWO FEET OF SNOW...LOCALLY MORE
IN THE HEAVIEST AND MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS DURING THIS
PERIOD.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ010-060700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE MOVING SLOWLY NORTH ACROSS THE METRO
BUFFALO REGION THIS EVENING AND WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS ROAD
CONDITIONS.

WHILE THE BAND MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD WE EXPECT 6 TO 10 INCHES OF
NEW SNOW ACROSS THE NEARBY SOUTHTOWNS AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS
METRO BUFFALO AND 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN SUBURBS. AT
TIMES THE SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE AT A 2 TO 3 INCH PER HOUR RATE.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ012-060300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T0300Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS THEY MOVE
SLOWLY NORTHWARD. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE
EXPECTED. SNOW TOTALS IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKES SNOWS WILL
LIKELY REACH 4 TO 7 INCHES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ011-060700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T0700Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE
COUNTY. AN INCH PER HOUR RATE AT TIMES WILL CREATE DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS BUT HEAVIER SNOW WILL FALL TOWARD BUFFALO.

THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF SHORTLY BEFORE OR AROUND MIDNIGHT AS THE
LAKE EFFECT BAND CONTINUES NORTH INTO NIAGARA AND ORLEANS
COUNTIES AND WEAKENS SOMEWHAT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ001-002-060845-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.081206T0100Z-081206T1100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
733 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS NIAGARA AND
ORLEANS COUNTY LATER THIS EVENING AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE TWO COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EVENT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 060259
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE SNOWS NORTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS A
SOUTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR CROSSES THE RELATIVELY WARMER LAKE
WATERS.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND HAS CONTRACTED BACK
TOWARDS THE LAKE ERIE SHORE THIS EVENING AS WINDS LIGHTEN...AND
THE HEAVIEST SNOW THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE
WITHIN A FEW MILES OF THE LAKE ERIE SHORE AND THE NIAGARA RIVER
WITH LESSER AMOUNTS INLAND. THE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH
FROM THE CITY OF BUFFALO NORTH INTO NIAGARA COUNTY OVERNIGHT.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A WELL DEVELOPED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
CONTINUES TO STRETCH FROM WATERTOWN TO CROGHAN AND HARRISVILLE
ACROSS CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES. THIS BAND IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM BEFORE
LIFTING NORTHWARD TO REGIONS FROM CAPE VINCENT TO REDWOOD AND
THERESA LATE TONIGHT.

NYZ085-060400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0300Z/
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OF SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...
THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS CANCELLED. 

$$

NYZ002-060400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T1100Z/
ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MEDINA
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS NOT EXTENDING AS FAR INLAND AS EARLIER THIS
EVENING...AND THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED TO STAY WEST
OF ORLEANS COUNTY. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT.

$$

NYZ011-060400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T0700Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OF GENESEE COUNTY...THEREFORE THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ012-060400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T0300Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MOVED NORTH OF WYOMING COUNTY...THEREFORE
THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ007-008-061100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT
FROM WATERTOWN TO FORT DRUM.

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS STRETCHING FROM ADAMS CENTER
AND WATERTOWN NORTHEAST THROUGH CALCIUM...CARTHAGE...HARRISVILLE...
AND FORT DRUM. THIS BAND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
ACROSS CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH ABOUT
2 AM BEFORE MOVING NORTH INTO AREAS FROM CAPE VINCENT TO REDWOOD
AND THERESA LATE TONIGHT.

STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 12 TO 18 INCHES IN
THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS FROM CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY TO
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY. AREAS FROM CAPE VINCENT TO REDWOOD AND
THERESA CAN EXPECT 3 TO 6 INCHES LATE TONIGHT AS THE BAND MOVES
NORTHWARD.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ010-060700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM THE CITY OF BUFFALO NORTH ACROSS THE
NORTHTOWNS THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE EVENING WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF
1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR NEAR LAKE ERIE AND THE NIAGARA RIVER. THE
BAND WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND WEAKEN AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHTOWNS...4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE CITY OF
BUFFALO AND GRAND ISLAND...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
SUBURBS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ001-061100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T1100Z/
NIAGARA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NIAGARA FALLS
959 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF TONIGHT ACROSS NIAGARA
COUNTY WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR. THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS ON THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTY OVERNIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

HITCHCOCK
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 060552
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1252 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTH OVERNIGHT...

.SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS A
SOUTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR CROSSES THE RELATIVELY WARMER LAKE
WATERS.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND PRIMARILY AFFECT NIAGARA COUNTY. THE
HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE NORTH OF NIAGARA FALLS AND LOCKPORT.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A WELL DEVELOPED BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
CONTINUES TO STRETCH FROM ADAMS CENTER TO CARTHAGE TO HARRISVILLE
ACROSS CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES. THIS BAND
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD REACHING
REGIONS FROM CAPE VINCENT TO REDWOOD AND THERESA LATE TONIGHT.

NYZ010-060700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T0700Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1252 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE PUSHED NORTH OF THE COUNTY.

$$

NYZ007-008-061200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1252 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT
FROM WATERTOWN TO FORT DRUM.

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS STRETCHING FROM ADAMS CENTER
AND WATERTOWN NORTHEAST THROUGH CALCIUM...CARTHAGE...
HARRISVILLE... AND FORT DRUM. THIS BAND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM BEFORE MOVING NORTH INTO AREAS FROM
CAPE VINCENT TO REDWOOD AND THERESA LATE TONIGHT.

STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 12 TO 18 INCHES
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS FROM CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY TO
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY. AREAS FROM CAPE VINCENT TO REDWOOD AND
THERESA CAN EXPECT 3 TO 6 INCHES LATE TONIGHT AS THE BAND MOVES
NORTHWARD.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE
TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD
AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

$$

NYZ001-061100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T1100Z/
NIAGARA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NIAGARA FALLS
1252 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
EARLY THIS MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
EARLY THIS MORNING. 

A PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH SNOWFALL
RATES OF AROUND AN INCH PER HOUR. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO FOCUS ON THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE COUNTY
OVERNIGHT...MAINLY NORTH OF NIAGARA FALLS AND LOCKPORT. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 3 TO 6
INCHES...WITH THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OVER NORTHWEST PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 060957
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
457 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...MORE LAKE SNOWS TO IMPACT AREAS EAST OF THE LAKES LATER
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL TRACK JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AND BRING A GENERAL
LIGHT SNOWFALL TO ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. A COLDER WESTERLY FLOW SETTING
UP BEHIND THE LOW WILL GENERATE MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO LATER TONIGHT. ON SUNDAY...THE IMPACT FROM
THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BE HEIGHTENED BY INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS
AND WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS.


NYZ007-008-061800-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0017.000000T0000Z-081206T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0010.081207T1200Z-081207T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
457 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT
FROM FRIDAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW THAT IMPACTED JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES
FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING HAS LIFTED INTO FAR NORTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. THEREFORE...THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS
COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES
WILL BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH SOME LAKE
ENHANCED SNOW RESULTING  IN 2 TO 4 INCHES BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
SUNDAY MORNING AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 7 INCHES BEFORE
SETTLING SOUTH TOWARD OSWEGO COUNTY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE LAKE
SNOWS ON SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO
BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ012-085-061800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0023.081207T0600Z-081207T1700Z/
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
457 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY.

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING
A GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT.
LAKE SNOWS SETTING UP BEHIND THE SNOW WILL BRING 3 TO 6 INCHES BY
DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING
BEFORE THE STEADIER SNOW SHIFTS SOUTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE LAKE SNOWS ON SUNDAY WILL BE ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHWEST
WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ001-061100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081206T1100Z/
NIAGARA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NIAGARA FALLS
457 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
EARLY THIS MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
EARLY THIS MORNING. 

A WEAKENING PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA UNTIL ABOUT DAYBREAK TODAY. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-020-061800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0010.081207T0600Z-081207T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
457 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. 

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING
A GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT.
LAKE SNOWS SETTING UP BEHIND THE LOW WILL BRING 3 TO 6 INCHES BY
DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AS THE
LAKE SNOWS SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. THE LAKE SNOWS
ON SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP
TO 30 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS IN
FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE
FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006-061800-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0010.081207T1200Z-081207T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
457 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING
A GENERAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW TO THE AREA TONIGHT. STEADIER LAKE
SNOWS DEVELOPING OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU SUNDAY MORNING WILL
SHIFT SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY DURING THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER 4
TO 7 INCHES IS POSSIBLE AS THE SNOW SETTLES TO THE SOUTH. THE LAKE
SNOWS ON SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY WEST WINDS GUSTING
OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES. THIS WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT DRIVING
CONDITIONS IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS.


A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE
FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TJP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Dec 4, 4:04 AM EST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 4, 4:04 AM EST, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
404 AM EST THU DEC 4 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH RAIN
SHOWERS AHEAD OF IT AND SNOW SHOWERS IN ITS WAKE. MIDWINTER COLD
WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT WITH ASSOCIATED LAKE EFFECT SNOWS FROM TONIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE UPPER LAKES
BY SUNDAY WITH A MORE GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY...THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF FAIR
WEATHER MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LOW APPROACHES TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE LATEST SURFACE MAP SHOWS THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM A LOW
OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC TO CENTRAL LAKE ERIE...CONTINUING SOUTH TO THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE STEADIEST RAIN ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IS
FALLING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWARD TO LOUISIANA...WITH JUST
SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS OUR CWA EARLY THIS MORNING.
STILL EXPECT THE PCPN TO PICK UP A BIT LATER THIS MORNING AS THE
FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND THE UPPER LEVEL JET
STREAK LIFTS NORTH ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC.
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
MAINLY IN THE 40S UNTIL ABOUT DAYBREAK. THEREFORE...RAIN SHOWERS
WILL BE THE DOMINANT PCPN TYPE THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

EXPECT THE FRONT TO BE EAST OF OUR LAKE ONTARIO COUNTIES BEFORE 18Z.
THE LATEST MODEL RUNS SHOW THE COLDER AIR BUILDING IN QUICKER...WITH
850 MB TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO RANGE FROM ABOUT -9C IN THE WEST TO
ABOUT -7C EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BY 18Z. THIS SHOULD CAUSE ANY MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW TO CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SINCE THE
BULK OF THE FRONTAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF OUR AREA BY
THE TIME THE COLDER ARRIVES...ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER
AN INCH TODAY. IN TERMS OF THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT DURING THE
AFTERNOON...IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THE AIR WILL BE TOO DRY FOR ANY
ORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT...BUT WILL MAINTAIN LIKELY POPS EAST OF THE
LAKES DUE TO THE WESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW.

TONIGHT...THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM WEST
TO EAST WHILE 850 MB TEMPERATURES COOL TO ABOUT -13C/-14C BY 12Z.
THE LATEST NAM BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW DEEPER MOISTURE AND GREATER
INSTABILITY DEVELOPING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AFTER 06Z. IT MAKE TAKE
AWHILE FOR THE WINDS WITHIN THE BOUNDARY TO LINE UP...BUT ONCE THEY
DO...THE STEADIER SNOW SHOULD SET UP ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
WITH AT LEAST ADVISORY TYPE ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK
FRIDAY. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EVEN BETTER ORGANIZED
ON FRIDAY. THEREFORE...A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY...BEGINNING WITH TONIGHT.

EAST OF LAKE ERIE...THE MODEL SOUNDING SHOW ADEQUATE MOISTURE IN THE
LOWER LEVELS...BUT THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION IS FORECAST TO BE QUITE
A BIT LOWER. BASED ON THIS TREND...WILL KEEP ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER JUST BELOW THE CRITERIA NEEDED FOR AN ADVISORY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE ONGOING OFF BOTH LAKES AT THE START OF
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE LAKE
PARAMETERS ARE A BIT MORE IMPRESSIVE. SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF
THIS SEASON WILL BE POURING ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES FRIDAY WITH 850
MB TEMPERATURES NEAR MINUS 16C. STEERING WINDS DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY WILL BE 260-270 DEGREES WHICH WILL FOCUS THE HEAVIEST LAKE
SNOWS SOUTH OF THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS. WINDS WILL BACK
FURTHER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A FAVORABLE 240-250 FLOW PUSHING THE
HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS NORTHWARD INTO THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN
AREAS. THE FLOW LOOKS TO BE WELL ALIGNED FOR A SEVERAL HOUR
PERIOD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY...SO THE POTENTIAL FOR
MODEST ACCUMULATING SNOWS CONTINUE TO LOOK REASONABLE.

WINDS CONTINUING TO BACK SATURDAY MORNING TO A MORE 210-220 FLOW
WITH INCREASING SHEAR...RESULTING IN THE WEAKENING OF THE LAKE
SNOWS. LATER IN THE DAY SATURDAY...A CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LAKES WHICH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO
WESTERN SECTIONS IN THE AFTERNOON AS IT GETS CLOSER.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE CLIPPER LOW WILL MOVE TO WESTERN NEW YORK BY 12Z SUNDAY THEN
REDEVELOP OFF NEW ENGLAND COAST LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.  WE
SHOULD ALL GET SOME LIGHT SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUN MORNING...
BUT ACCUMULATIONS LOOK MINOR...COUPLE INCHES AT BEST. THE CHANCE OF
SNOW LOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.

A SHOT OF COLDER AIR FOLLOWS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
SOME SNOW SHOWERS...BUT NORTHERLY FLOW SHOULD INHIBIT INTENSE LAKE
EFFECT, AND ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
WARNING AMOUNTS. STRONG RIDGE CROSSES AREA MONDAY FOR A DRY
BEGINNING...THEN NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM WEST WITH ANOTHER
GENERAL LIGHT SNOW MONDAY NIGHT CHANGING TO RAIN AS THE TEMPERATURES
WARM ON TUESDAY. BOTH THE 12Z NAM AND 12Z ECMWF SHOW AND FRONT
MOVING FURTHER EAST WITH A COASTAL LOW MOVING UP ALONG THE COAST,
AND WE HAVE KEPT LOW CHANCE POPS DUE THE UNCERTAINTY OF TIMING OF
THE END OF THE PRECIPITATION.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
CONDITIONS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 06Z TAF PERIOD WILL STILL
BE GENERALLY VFR AS THE PREFRONTAL SHOT OF RAIN WAS QUICK AND
LIGHT. HOWEVER JET DYNAMICS IMPROVER OVERNIGHT WITH CONDITIONS
LIKELY TO DROP TO MVFR FOR SEVERAL HOURS MOSTLY IN RAIN. SOME
IMPROVEMENT POST FRONTAL...MAINLY BACK TO VFR. WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL CREATE MVFR TO IFR CONDITONS IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF
BOTH LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT.

LLWS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN FOR AVIATORS TONIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL
JET TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE AREA SO LLWS HAS BEEN PUT IN THE TAFS FRM
ARND 03Z-09Z.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...IFR IN LAKE SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES..VFR ELSEWHERE.
SATURDAY...IFR IN LK SNOWS NE OF THE LAKES. SATURDAY
NIGHT...IFR/MVFR IN WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR IN
SNOW SHWRS WITH HEAVIER LK SNOWS SE OF THE LKS.
MONDAY...MVFR PSBL IN SOME LINGERING LK SNOWS SE OF LK ONTARIO.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON BOTH LAKES EARLY THIS
MORNING...BUT THE GUSTS WILL STAY BELOW GALE WARNING. AFTER THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE WEST AND MAINTAIN
SMALL CRAFTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE WIND AND WAVES WILL
SUBSIDE A BIT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...BUT THE WESTERLY
GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN LATER TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFTS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
FRIDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     FRIDAY FOR NYZ006.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
         LOZ042>044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR SLZ022-
         024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TJP
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...APB/SFM
AVIATION...APB/JJP/SAGE
MARINE...TJP
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 3, 4:25 PM EST, 11 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
425 PM EST WED DEC 3 2008

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-042130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
425 PM EST WED DEC 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-042130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
425 PM EST WED DEC 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-042130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
425 PM EST WED DEC 3 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>044-062-SLZ022-024-042130-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
425 PM EST WED DEC 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ045-063>065-042130-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
425 PM EST WED DEC 3 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJP/APB

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2008Every lake effect snow warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.