Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2008

Lake Effect Snow Warning 15, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 28, 20085 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Nov 28, 2008, 3:56 AM EST for 5 counties in New York. It took effect at Nov 28, 2008, 8:44 AM EST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 28, 2008, 3:56 AM EST (08:56 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 28, 2008, 8:44 AM EST
Expired
Nov 29, 2008, 9:13 AM EST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2008-11-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2008-11-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
778 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 280856
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE SNOWS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS MORNING AND
BRING A MIX OF RAIN SNOW THIS MORNING. COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE
FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL ALLOW LAKE SNOWS TO SET UP
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
FALL ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. 


NYZ006>008-281700-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0015.081128T1800Z-081129T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
356 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST SATURDAY. 

A MIX OF SNOW AND RAIN THIS MORNING WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4
INCHES BY THIS EVENING. AS COLDER DEEPENS ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT...THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME ORGANIZED AND ACCUMULATE
ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES. BY THE TIME THE SNOW WINDS DOWN BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU ARE
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND ONE FOOT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TJP
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 281344
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
844 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH
TONIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A COLD FRONT WILL PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS MORNING.
COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL ALLOW LAKE SNOWS TO SET UP
EAST OF BOTH LAKES. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

NYZ019-020-282145-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0015.081128T1344Z-081129T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
844 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY. 

ORGANIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH SOME MIGRATION OF THE HEAVIEST BANDS NORTH AND SOUTH. NEW
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL LIKELY TOTAL 6 TO
10 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OVER THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. AREAS NEAR THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WILL HAVE
SIGNIFICANTLY LESS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

 STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006>008-282145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.081128T1800Z-081129T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
844 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY. 

A MIX OF SNOW AND RAIN WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4 INCHES BY
THIS EVENING. AS COLDER DEEPENS ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL BECOME ORGANIZED AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 6
INCHES...BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO 6 TO 10 INCHES BY THE TIME THE
SNOW WINDS DOWN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS
THE TUG HILL PLATEAU ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND ONE FOOT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ021-282145-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0020.081128T1344Z-081129T1100Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
844 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY. 

ORGANIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH SOME MIGRATION OF THE HEAVIEST BANDS NORTH AND SOUTH. NEW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY TOTAL 4 TO 7 INCHES BY SATURDAY MORNING
IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BAND...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 281518
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE SNOWS WILL IMPACT THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THROUGH
TONIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A COLD FRONT WILL PUSHED THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS MORNING.
COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL ALLOW LAKE SNOWS TO SET UP
EAST OF BOTH LAKES. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

NYZ006>008-282330-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0015.081128T1513Z-081129T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1018 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAVE ORGANIZED A BIT EARLIER THAN
ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE AREA SO THE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN PUSHED UP A
FEW HOURS. HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE AREA INCLUDING THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU COULD EASILY SEE A FOOT OF NEW SNOW THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON WITH MUCH LESSER AMOUNTS OUTSIDE THE HEAVIEST BANDS.
SEVERE ICE AND SNOW CONDITIONS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED ALONG
ROUTE 81 FROM THE OSWEGO COUNTY LINE INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY NEAR
ADAMS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-020-282330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1018 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

ORGANIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH SOME MIGRATION OF THE HEAVIEST BANDS NORTH AND
SOUTH. NEW ACCUMULATIONS IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS WILL LIKELY
TOTAL 6 TO 10 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS
OVER THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. AREAS NEAR THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WILL
HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

 STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ021-282330-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-081129T1100Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1018 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

ORGANIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH SOME MIGRATION OF THE HEAVIEST BANDS NORTH AND
SOUTH. NEW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY TOTAL 4 TO 7 INCHES BY
SATURDAY MORNING IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BAND...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 282051
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ONCE AGAIN AFFECT THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER OVERNIGHT AND THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AREA EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WITH THE HEAVIEST OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS INCLUDING THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE EAST OF LAKE ERIE AND THE TUG HILL PLATEAU EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO.

NYZ006>008-290500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
351 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A SLIGHT
SOUTHWARD SHIFT THIS EVENING. NEW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 8
TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU DOWN TO ONLY 1 TO 3
INCHES WELL TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-020-290500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
351 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

ORGANIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA
RIDGE. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS IN THE HEAVIEST AREA WILL
BE IN THE 4 TO 7 INCH RANGE WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ON THE PERIPHERY.
LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME LIGHTER LATE TONIGHT BUT WILL CONTINUE TO
CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO
THE MID 20S.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

 STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ021-290500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-081129T1100Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
351 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL EXTEND INLAND FAR ENOUGH TO PRODUCE
ADVISORY AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTY. THE HEAVIEST WILL FALL THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. ACTIVITY WILL WIND DOWN AFTER THAT BUT TRAVEL PROBLEMS
COULD PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MID
20S.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SAGE
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 290210
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
910 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
AREA EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH
THE HEAVIEST AMOUNT OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU.

NYZ019-020-290315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
910 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED AND SHOULD ONLY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES OVERNIGHT...THEREFORE THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ021-290315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-081129T1100Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
910 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED AND SHOULD ONLY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES OVERNIGHT...THEREFORE THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ006>008-291015-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
910 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY 
MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES
ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU...DOWN TO ONLY 1 TO 3 INCHES WELL TO
THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TMA
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 290800
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
300 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN
LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING...

.A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH
THE HEAVIEST AMOUNT OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU.

NYZ007-290900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
300 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE SNOWS HAVE REMAINED SOUTH OF THE COUNTY OVERNIGHT AND WILL
REMAIN SO THROUGH MID MORNING. THEY WILL WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH
INTO THE ARES LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS WINDS BACK TO
SOUTHWEST...BUT THE ACTIVITY WILL BE WEAKER AND ONLY ACCUMULATE 1
TO 3 INCHES IN SOME INTERIOR SPOTS. 

$$

NYZ006-008-291600-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1800Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
300 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEFORE
WEAKENING AND LIFTING NORTH BY MIDDAY AND OUT OF THE AREA EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN OSWEGO
AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES...GENERALLY NORTH OF A FULTON TO
CENTRAL SQUARE LINE AND SOUTH OF A LACONA TO HIGHMARKET BOUNDARY.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU...AND 1 TO 4 INCHES AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. THIS WILL
BRING STORM TOTALS SINCE FRIDAY MORNING OF OVER A FOOT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TUG HILL AND 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE REST OF NORTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SFM
000 
WWUS41 KBUF 291413
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
913 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2008


NYZ006-008-291515-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081129T1800Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
913 AM EST SAT NOV 29 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE MOVED AND WEAKENED. ONLY SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF TODAY.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Nov 28, 3:42 AM EST, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 28, 3:42 AM EST, 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
342 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS MORNING AND BE
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER BRIEF SHOT OF COLDER AIR WITH CORRESPONDING
LAKE SNOWS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA LATER
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND PROVIDE DRY WEATHER. COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE
WILL THEN LIFT NORTH FROM THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND RESULT IN A
MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION FOR OUR REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR GEORGIAN BAY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
TO THE EAST AND DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA BY
12Z. ADDITIONAL LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING SHORT WAVE IS HELPING
TO GENERATE SPOTTY RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. EXPECT MOST OF THIS
SYNOPTICALLY DRIVEN PCPN TO BE EAST OF THE FINGER LAKES BEFORE
DAYBREAK.

OUR FOCUS WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
AS COLDER AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE FRONT THIS MORNING AND DURING
THE AFTERNOON. BECAUSE THE AIR WILL ONLY BE MARGINALLY COLD FOR LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TODAY (850MB TEMPS AROUND -7C)...EXPECT THE ACCUMULATING
SNOW TO BE CONFINED MAINLY TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF BOTH
LAKES. AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...THE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW.

EXPECT THE LAKE SNOWS TO BEGIN ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER SOUTHERN AROUND 12Z TODAY...THEN GET ORGANIZED EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO TOWARD THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WILL INDICATE ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS EAST OF BOTH LAKES
FOR TODAY...WITH POSSIBLE ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE AREA...LESS THAN AN INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY.

AS THE COLDER AIR DEEPENS TONIGHT...850 MB TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
TO COOL TO ABOUT -9C. THIS WILL ALLOW THE LAKE SNOWS TO GET BETTER
ORGANIZED...ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THE AIR WILL BE A
LITTLE COLDER...AND THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE MORE CYCLONIC BEHIND
THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW. THE 925 MB OMEGA FIELD SUGGESTS THAT A
WELL DEFINED PLUME WILL SET UP OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU AND REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY FOR A GOOD PART OF THE NIGHT. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT WILL LIKELY REACH THE CRITERIA
NEEDED FOR A WARNING.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS TONIGHT...BUT A LOWERING INVERSION...SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR
AND LOW LEVEL RIDGING WILL LIKELY KEEP ACCUMULATIONS JUST BELOW THE
CRITERIA NEEDED FOR AN ADVISORY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE BROAD BASED LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE
GREAT LAKES REGION FOR SATURDAY...WITH THE LAKE SNOWS EAST OF LK
ONTARIO WEAKENING DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY. AGAIN...THIS WILL
OCCUR DUE TO THE WARMING THAT WILL TAKE PLACE WITHIN THE SNOW
CRYSTAL GROWTH AREA AROUND H75. FOR THE BULK OF THE REGION...IT
WILL JUST BE SEASONABLY CHILLY WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL THEN BE VERY UNEVENTFUL ACROSS OUR
REGION. ENERGY DIVING SOUTHWARDS ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES DURING
THIS PERIOD WILL CARVE OUT A VERY DEEP FULL LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND THIS WILL RESULT IN LOW AMPLITUDE SHORT
WAVE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. IN REGARDS TO THE
TROUGH...IT WILL CARVE OUT AN UPPER LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY BY
LATER SUNDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW A SURGE OF MOISTURE TO LIFT
NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHEAST STATES DURING THE DAY...REACHING OUR
AREA FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...DEPENDING ON MODEL OF
CHOICE. SFC LOW LOOKS TO LIFT ACROSS OHIO TO NEAR LAKE ERIE BY 12Z
MONDAY...WITH SOME SIGNS OF COASTAL DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. ENTIRE
TROF WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS OUR AREA MONDAY...BUT P-TYPE WILL
LARGELY DEPEND ON WHICH SYSTEM STAYS THE STRONGEST.

AS FOR THE P-TYPE...BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH ON THE
DOWNSLOPE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR MOSTLY RAIN AT FIRST...BUT WET SNOW
ALSO A POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVS. AS SUNDAY NIGHT
WEARS ON...WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL ADVECT IN FROM THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST...COUNTERACTING ANY EVAP COOLING...SO IT IS A TOSSUP.
IF PRIMARY REMAINS STRONGEST AS IT LIFTS TO OUR WEST...WE MAY WIND
UP WITH MOSTLY RAIN OR A MIX...BUT IF COASTAL TAKES OVER TO OUR
EAST...WE MAY GO TO SNOW EARLIER AND GET A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF
IT. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH A MIX SUN NT AND GENERALLY SNOW ON
MONDAY WITH SOME ACCUMS.

SYSTEM PULLS OUT MON NT WITH A LARGE WRAPAROUND AREA OF
PRECIP...SNOW THIS TIME...AND ENOUGH QPF FOR A FEW INCHES WITH
MORE ACROSS THE UPSLOPE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AFTER A QUICK SHOT OF COLDER AIR MON NT...OVERALL FLOW WILL
BECOME MORE ZONAL FOR TUESDAY AS THE TROF OVER THE DEEP SOUTH
WILL LIFT AND FILL. THIS WILL LEAVE A BROAD BASED TROF OVER THE
BULK OF THE COUNTRY WITH A GENERAL ZONAL FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES. H85 TEMPS OF -8 TO -10C SHOULD KEEP AT LEAST SOME
FLURRIES IN THE AIR ACROSS THE REGION...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD LAKE
SNOWS FOUND IN THE SNOWBELTS EAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

A RATHER STRONG SURFACE BASED RIDGE WILL THEN PASS ACROSS THE REGION
LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS SHOULD BRING AN END TO THE
LAKE SNOWS...FOR NOW.

A SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND THE EXITING
SFC RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING MORE MOISTURE UP ACROSS THE REGION.
ANY PCPN TO START THE DAY COULD BE A MIX OF WET SNOW AND RAIN...BUT
AS THE PROGRESSES...ANY PCPN SHOULD JUST FALL AS RAIN SHOWERS.

COLDER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT SHOULD THEN ONCE AGAIN HELP
TO PRODUCE SOME SCT LAKE SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A CLIPPER TYPE SHORTWAVE AND WEAK ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL BE
PASSING OVER AND JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING. A WEAK
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES LATER THIS
MORNING. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT
ALONG THE FRONT WITH SOME MIXED RAIN AND WET SNOW POSSIBLE AT THE
TAF SITES FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING. MOST OF THIS SHOULD
JUST BE MVFR...BUT KBUF MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR WITH LOCALLY
LAKE ENHANCED PRECIP...AS MAY KJHW BY MIDDAY AS WINDS BECOME MORE
WESTERLY AND FORCE LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SOUTH TO THAT TERMINAL.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR.
SATURDAY...VFR.
SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR.
MONDAY...IFR IN RAIN AND WET SNOW.
TUESDAY...OCCASIONAL MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
TODAY. WITH WINDS STRENGTHENING DURING THE DAY. COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHWESTERLIES. THIS
WILL BOOST WAVES TO OVER 5 FEET...ON BOTH LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO. THE RELATIVELY STRONG WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL THEN
PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BEFORE A WEAKENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL ALLOW WINDS AND WAVES TO LOWER LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED ACCORDINGLY FOR
THIS PERIOD. WINDS SHOULD TURN EASTERLY SUNDAY AND INCREASE SUNDAY
NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
         EST SATURDAY FOR LOZ043-044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST
         SATURDAY FOR LOZ042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY FOR LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SFM
NEAR TERM...TJP
SHORT TERM...RSH/SFM
LONG TERM...RSH/SFM
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK/TMA
MARINE...SFM/TJP
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 27, 9:41 PM EST, 6 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
941 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

NYZ006>008-290245-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
941 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL ESTABLISH ANOTHER
ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
THE AREA TO BE MOST LIKELY AFFECTED WILL BE FROM THE TUG HILL
SOUTHWARDS WHERE TRAVEL COULD BE IMPACTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY.

A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AND BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS STORM IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN AND THUS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE
COULD BE RAIN OR SNOW...BUT IF IT IS ALL SNOW THERE COULD BE A
SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010>014-021-290245-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
941 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AND BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS STORM IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN AND THUS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE
COULD BE RAIN OR SNOW...BUT IF IT IS ALL SNOW THERE COULD BE A
SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-290245-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
941 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-085-290245-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
941 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A COLD WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ERIE WILL ESTABLISH ANOTHER
ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATE FRIDAY THROUGH MUCH OF
FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH
TO IMPACT TRAVEL FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY
ON ROADS INLAND FROM THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY.

A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AND BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS STORM IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN AND THUS THE PRECIPITATION TYPE
COULD BE RAIN OR SNOW...BUT IF IT IS ALL SNOW THERE COULD BE A
SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATION OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 27, 9:56 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF29 hr
Nov 28, 8:44 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFAllegany12 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2008Every lake effect snow warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.