Lake Effect Snow Warning 14, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 251502
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY FOR THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER
FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.A BROAD STORM SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL SPREAD PLENTY OF
MOISTURE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THROUGH
TODAY. WHILE MOST AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE SCATTERED RAIN AND WET
SNOW SHOWERS...THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
CONTINUE TO PICK UP ALL WET SNOW. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON COULD APPROACH A FOOT ACROSS THE TUG HILL AND OTHER
AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN...GENERALLY WHERE ELEVATIONS ARE OVER 1500
FEET.

AS THE STORM SYSTEM DRIFTS FURTHER NORTH THIS EVENING...COLDER
AIR ON A WESTERLY FLOW WILL THEN RESULT IN ACCUMULATING LAKE
SNOWS ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
WHILE THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS WILL INITIALLY BE FOCUSED
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER TONIGHT...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND
NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY.

NYZ019-020-085-252315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.081126T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1002 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. EVENT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY COULD REACH AS
MUCH AS 9 INCHES WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...WITH
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT
THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
FOCUSED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SKI COUNTRY IN FAR
SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...WITH SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS FALLING
FURTHER TO THE NORTH.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006>008-251800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-081125T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1002 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

STEADY WET SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU
AND OTHER HIGHER TERRAIN THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH A FOOT AT ELEVATIONS GREATER THAN 1500
FEET. THE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO BECOME MUCH LIGHTER AND TAPER
OFF THIS AFTERNOON.

THE SNOWFALL WILL PRODUCE SOME TRAVEL PROBLEMS ACROSS THE TUG
HILL PLATEAU...AND THE WET NATURE OF THE SNOW COULD POSSIBLY
BRING DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND OR POWER LINES FOR AREAS AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 251803
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
103 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...SNOW TAPERING OFF ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONSEASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO COUNTIES BUT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME ORGANIZED EAST
OF LAKE ERIE STARTING TONIGHT...

.COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO TO EASTERN NEW YORK
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION THIS AFTERNOON BUT IT IS WINDING DOWN.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT.

AS THE COMPLEX SYSTEM DRIFTS FURTHER NORTH THIS EVENING...COLDER
AIR ON A WESTERLY FLOW WILL THEN RESULT IN ACCUMULATING LAKE
SNOWS ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
WHILE THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE BANDS WILL INITIALLY BE FOCUSED
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER TONIGHT...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND
NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY.

NYZ006>008-251915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-081125T1800Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
103 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON
WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-260215-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.081126T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
103 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. EVENT TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY COULD REACH AS
MUCH AS 9 INCHES WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS...WITH
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT
THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
FOCUSED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SKI COUNTRY IN FAR
SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...WITH SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS FALLING
FURTHER TO THE NORTH.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 252045
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKES SNOWS TO SET UP EAST OF THE LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH PART OF THURSDAY...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ORGANIZE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
TONIGHT AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. COLD
WESTERLY WINDS CIRCULATING AROUND THIS LOW WILL SET UP BANDS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE STEADIEST SNOW THAT
FALLS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL IMPACT THE SOUTHERN TIER. EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO...SHIFTING WINDS WILL MAKE THE PLACEMENT OF THE LAKE
BANDS A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS A COLD
WESTERLY FLOW PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA.

NYZ019-020-085-260445-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.081126T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
345 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE 2 TO 5 INCHES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER
3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. 

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE FOCUSED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SKI COUNTRY IN FAR
SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...WITH SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS FALLING
FURTHER TO THE NORTH.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006>008-260445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0018.081126T0000Z-081126T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0008.081126T2300Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
345 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED.
THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SET UP OVER OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...THEN SHIFT NORTH INTO
JEFFERSON COUNTY BEFORE WEDNESDAY MORNING. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL MIGRATE ACROSS
THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES.

THE WINDS WILL LINE UP BETTER FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. THERE COULD BE SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS ALTHOUGH THE PLACEMENT IS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION AT
THIS TIME. IT APPEARS THAT THE BIGGEST POTENTIAL WILL BE FROM THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU NORTHWARD APPROACHING WATERTOWN. LISTEN FOR LATER 
STATEMENTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT
SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN
THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN
ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TJP/SAGE

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 260259
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKES SNOWS TO SET UP EAST OF THE LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH PART
OF THURSDAY...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ORGANIZE NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
TONIGHT AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. COLD
WESTERLY WINDS CIRCULATING AROUND THIS LOW WILL SET UP BANDS OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE STEADIEST SNOW THAT
FALLS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL IMPACT THE SOUTHERN TIER. EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...SHIFTING WINDS WILL MAKE THE PLACEMENT OF THE
LAKE BANDS A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS A
COLD WESTERLY FLOW PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA.

NYZ019-020-085-261100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
959 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE 2 TO 5 INCHES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE FOCUSED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SKI COUNTRY IN FAR
SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...WITH SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS FALLING
FURTHER TO THE NORTH.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006>008-261100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-081126T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0008.081126T2300Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
959 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SET UP OVER OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...THEN SHIFT NORTH
INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY BEFORE WEDNESDAY MORNING. GENERAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL
MIGRATE ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 2 TO
5 INCHES.

THE WINDS WILL LINE UP BETTER FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. THERE COULD BE
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ALTHOUGH THE PLACEMENT IS SOMEWHAT IN
QUESTION AT THIS TIME. IT APPEARS THAT THE BIGGEST POTENTIAL WILL
BE FROM THE TUG HILL PLATEAU NORTHWARD APPROACHING WATERTOWN.
LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS
THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 261203
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKES SNOWS TO SET UP EAST OF THE LAKES TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL DRIFT
SLOWLY TO THE NORTH TODAY AND THURSDAY. COLD WESTERLY WINDS
CIRCULATING AROUND THIS LOW WILL SET UP BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AT THIS
TIME...IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE STEADIEST SNOW THAT FALLS TODAY 
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL IMPACT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF BOTH
LAKES. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...SHIFTING WINDS WILL MAKE THE
PLACEMENT OF THE LAKE BANDS A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN. 

NYZ006>008-261715-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-081126T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0008.081126T2300Z-081127T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
411 AM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THURSDAY. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS MIGRATED NORTH INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY EARLY
THIS MORNING. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT BACK TO THE
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND SETTLE OVER THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TODAY. 

THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LINE UP BETTER FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF
TIME TONIGHT INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS PERIOD. 
THE LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS STILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION
AT THIS TIME...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE BIGGEST POTENTIAL WILL BE
FROM THE TUG HILL PLATEAU NORTHWARD TO WATERTOWN. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. 

$$

NYZ019-020-085-261715-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
411 AM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED 
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES...MAINLY OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SKI COUNTRY. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. 


IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TJP/APB

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 261449
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
949 AM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKES SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL DRIFT
SLOWLY TO THE NORTH TODAY AND THURSDAY. COLD WESTERLY WINDS
CIRCULATING AROUND THIS LOW WILL SET UP BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AT THIS
TIME...IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE STEADIEST SNOW THAT FALLS TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL IMPACT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EAST OF BOTH
LAKES. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...SHIFTING WINDS WILL MAKE THE
PLACEMENT OF THE LAKE BANDS A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN.

NYZ006>008-262300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
949 AM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO REGION THIS MORNING. LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH
OF OSWEGO COUNTY...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...AND THE
TUG HILL PORTION OF LEWIS COUNTY TODAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS. THE SNOW WILL BE VERY SLUSHY...AND CREATE VERY
SLIPPERY TRAVEL INCLUDING INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN BREWERTON AND
WATERTOWN.

THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LINE UP BETTER FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF
TIME TONIGHT INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS STILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION
AT THIS TIME...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE BIGGEST POTENTIAL WILL BE
FROM THE TUG HILL PLATEAU NORTHWARD TO WATERTOWN. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-262300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
949 AM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER AND THE BOSTON HILLS THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS
EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE
INCLUDING LOCATIONS SUCH AS SHERMAN...MAYVILLE...SINCLAIRVILLE...
PERRYSBURG...SPRINGVILLE...AND THE BOSTON HILLS. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING IN
THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT...BRINGING STORM TOTALS TO A FOOT OR MORE IN
AREAS WHERE THE SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 262038
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
338 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKES SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OTTAWA VALLEY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTH INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC TONIGHT...THEN ACCELERATE INTO NORTHERN
QUEBEC DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. COLD WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS
CIRCULATING AROUND THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. 

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS SKI
COUNTRY AND THE BOSTON HILLS TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THE LAKE SNOWS MAY
OCCASIONALLY MOVE UP INTO THE MORE DISTANT SOUTHERN SUBURBS OF
BUFFALO AS WELL.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TUG HILL REGION THIS EVENING
THEN DRIFT NORTH INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA OVERNIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES ON
THURSDAY BEFORE WEAKENING BY EVENING.

NYZ006>008-270445-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
338 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

A BROAD AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AT THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO
LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS INTO A MORE CONCENTRATED
PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN TUG HILL REGION. THIS BAND IS THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT
A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND EXTEND ALONG A LINE FROM
WATERTOWN EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY BY
DAYBREAK THURSDAY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON
THURSDAY...MAINLY ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 6 TO 10
INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHERN OSWEGO...WESTERN AND NORTHERN LEWIS...AND SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY. ON THURSDAY ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES. BY THURSDAY EVENING STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE
LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU...WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-270445-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
338 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

A BROAD AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ERIE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A MORE CONCENTRATED
PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS EVENING ACROSS SKI COUNTRY. THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT DAYBREAK THURSDAY BEFORE
WEAKENING. THE GREATEST ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SKI COUNTRY FROM NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTY INTO THE BOSTON HILLS OF SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED TONIGHT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MUCH
LESS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A
LITTLE WARMER. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN SOME HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS WHERE THE SNOW PERSISTS
THE LONGEST.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ012-270445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0019.081126T2038Z-081127T1100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
338 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

A BROAD AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ERIE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A MORE CONCENTRATED
PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS EVENING AND EXTEND INTO PORTIONS OF
WYOMING COUNTY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT
DAYBREAK THURSDAY BEFORE WEAKENING. THE GREATEST ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN
WYOMING COUNTY WHERE ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 270032
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
732 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKES SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OTTAWA VALLEY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTH INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC TONIGHT...THEN ACCELERATE INTO
NORTHERN QUEBEC DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW OF AIR CIRCULATING AROUND THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS SKI
COUNTRY AND THE BOSTON HILLS TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THE LAKE SNOWS
MAY OCCASIONALLY MOVE UP INTO THE MORE DISTANT SOUTHERN SUBURBS
OF BUFFALO AS WELL...EXTENDING INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WYOMING
COUNTY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
CONSOLIDATE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TUG HILL REGION
THIS EVENING THEN DRIFT NORTH INTO THE WATERTOWN AREA OVERNIGHT.
THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES ON THURSDAY BEFORE WEAKENING BY EVENING.

NYZ012-270845-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
732 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF OF LAKE ERIE WILL CONTINUE THIS
EVENING AND EXTEND INTO PORTIONS OF WYOMING COUNTY. THE LAKE SNOWS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT DAYBREAK THURSDAY BEFORE WEAKENING.
THE GREATEST ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING COUNTY WHERE
ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN SOME HIGHER
TERRAIN LOCATIONS WHERE THE SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ006>008-270845-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
732 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

A BROAD AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AT THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO
EARLY THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS INTO A MORE CONCENTRATED
PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN TUG HILL REGION. THIS BAND IS THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT
A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND EXTEND ALONG A LINE FROM
WATERTOWN EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY BY
DAYBREAK THURSDAY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON
THURSDAY...MAINLY ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 6 TO
10 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHERN OSWEGO...WESTERN AND NORTHERN LEWIS...AND SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY. ON THURSDAY ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES. BY THURSDAY EVENING STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE
LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU...WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-270845-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
732 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

A BROAD AREA OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKE ERIE EARLY THIS
EVENING IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE INTO A MORE CONCENTRATED PLUME
OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS SKI COUNTRY. THE
LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT DAYBREAK THURSDAY BEFORE
WEAKENING. THE GREATEST ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SKI COUNTRY FROM NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND NORTHERN
CATTARAUGUS COUNTY INTO THE BOSTON HILLS OF SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY.

ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED TONIGHT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MUCH
LESS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A
LITTLE WARMER. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 18 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN SOME HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS WHERE THE SNOW PERSISTS
THE LONGEST.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 270402
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1102 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKES SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OTTAWA VALLEY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTH INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC OVERNIGHT...THEN ACCELERATE INTO
NORTHERN QUEBEC DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW OF AIR CIRCULATING AROUND THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS OVERNIGHT ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...SKI COUNTRY AND THE BOSTON
HILLS...EXTENDING INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WYOMING COUNTY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS LAKE BAND WILL IMPACT THE WATERTOWN AREA.
THE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES ON THURSDAY BEFORE WEAKENING BY EVENING.

NYZ006>008-271215-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1102 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

A PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.
SNOWFALL RATES WITHIN THE HEART OF THIS BAND WILL BE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR. THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
AREAS AROUND WATERTOWN...CARTHAGE...COPENHAGEN...BARNES CORNER...
ADAMS CENTER AND HARRISVILLE.

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 6 TO 12 
INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHERN OSWEGO...WESTERN AND NORTHERN LEWIS...AND SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY.

ON THURSDAY ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS
ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES. BY THURSDAY EVENING
STORM TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-271100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1102 PM EST WED NOV 26 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE
HEAVIEST LAKE BANDS.

THE HEAVIEST LAKE BANDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...
THE SKI COUNTY AND BOSTON HILLS AND INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
WYOMING COUNTY.

ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE MUCH LESS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE WHERE TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN A LITTLE WARMER. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 18
INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN SOME HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS WHERE THE
SNOW PERSISTS THE LONGEST.

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THURSDAY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

TMA

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 270742
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
242 AM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKES SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TODAY...

.A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OF AIR CIRCULATING AROUND DEPARTING
LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO FOR AWHILE TODAY.

OFF LAKE ERIE...THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND
WILL DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING WITH LITTLE FURTHER ACCUMULATION.
AS MUCH AS 12 TO 15 INCHES FELL DURING THE EVENT ON WEDNESDAY FROM
COLDEN TO PERRYSBURG.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES
THROUGH THE MORNING AND THEN WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY EARLY EVENING. THIS LAKE BAND WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
THE WATERTOWN AREA. 

NYZ006-270845-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
242 AM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE SNOWS OF WEDNESDAY HAVE LIFTING NORTH OF THE COUNTY EARLY
THIS MORNING AS WINDS HAVE TURNED SOUTHWESTERLY. LITTLE OR NO
FURTHER ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TODAY.

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-270845-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
242 AM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE SNOWS OF WEDNESDAY HAVE WEAKENED AND BECOME DISORGANIZED
OVERNIGHT. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD DISSIPATE THIS MORNING WITH LITTLE
OR NO FURTHER ACCUMULATION. 

$$

NYZ007-008-271545-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
242 AM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVERNIGHT ACROSS
JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES. THE BAND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY BUT TEND TO WEAKEN AS THE DAY WEARS ON.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION CAN RUN AS MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES BEFORE
THE ACTIVITY DISSIPATES BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. SNOWFALL
RATES WITHIN THE HEART OF THIS BAND WILL BE NEAR AN INCH PER HOUR
THIS MORNING. THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
AREAS AROUND WATERTOWN...CARTHAGE...COPENHAGEN...BARNES CORNER...
ADAMS CENTER AND HARRISVILLE. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS TO WELL
OVER A FOOT ON THE NORTHERN TUG HILL AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY. 

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

SFM

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 271431
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
931 AM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKES SNOWS CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

.A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW CIRCULATING AROUND DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT
SNOW EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY. A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TUG HILL REGION BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING
LATER TODAY.


NYZ007-008-272245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
931 AM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWS STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF JEFFERSON COUNTY INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY.
SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY IN THE
HEAVIEST PORTIONS OF THIS BAND THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE A
WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. 

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE BLACK AND
BEAVER RIVER VALLEYS OF LEWIS COUNTY. 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE TUG HILL PLATEAU FROM WORTH TO
BARNES CORNERS AND COPENHAGEN. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 2 FEET IN THIS AREA...WITH MUCH LESS AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 272024
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKES SNOWS WEAKENING THIS AFTERNOON EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...

.A COLD WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW CIRCULATING AROUND DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE
BAND WILL EXTEND ALONG A LINE FROM THE WATERTOWN AREA TO CARTHAGE
AND HARRISVILLE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING FURTHER
NORTH AND WEAKENING EARLY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW IS MIXING WITH
RAIN NEAR LAKE ONTARIO WHICH WILL PREVENT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
ACCUMULATION NEAR THE LAKE.

NYZ007-008-272300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
324 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A PLUME OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY INTO THE
NORTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY. THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW WILL
EXTEND FROM NEAR WATERTOWN EAST TO CARTHAGE...BEAVER RIVER...AND
HARRISVILLE. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3
INCHES THROUGH 6 PM. SOME RAIN WILL MIX IN NEAR LAKE ONTARIO
INCLUDING THE WATERTOWN AREA WITH LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION. THE LAKE BAND IS EXPECTED TO PUSH FURTHER NORTH AND
RAPIDLY WEAKEN AFTER ABOUT 6 PM THIS EVENING.

STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL REACH AROUND 1 FOOT ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF
LEWIS COUNTY. THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL WILL SEE STORM
TOTALS OF AROUND 2 FEET.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

$$

HITCHCOCK

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 272306
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
606 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

NYZ007-008-280015-
/O.EXP.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081127T2300Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
606 PM EST THU NOV 27 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION.

$$

TMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
426 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL BE JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
THEN MOVE NORTH INTO QUEBEC ON THURSDAY. CLOUDY AND COOL SKIES WILL
PREVAIL INTO THANKSGIVING WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS, BUT
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND ALSO EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER LOW CENTER WILL BRING
A THREAT OF RAIN AND SNOW FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 357 AM...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER FAR
SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO...WITH ITS OCCLUDING SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NOW DRAPED ACROSS WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO...THE FINGER LAKES...AND
CENTRAL SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE. WHILE THE BACK EDGE OF
THE MAIN SHOT OF WARM ADVECTIVE/LOW-LEVEL JET INDUCED PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS NOW BEGINNING TO PUSH EAST ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY...A SECOND AREA OF PRECIP IS NOW BLOSSOMING FROM
NORTH CENTRAL PA NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES...ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD AREA OF DIFFLUENCE IN THE LFQ OF A 100+ KT MID AND
UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAK. EXPECT THAT THIS LATTER AREA WILL LIFT
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN A FEW HOURS...THEN GRADUALLY PIVOT TO
MORE OF A NW-SE ORIENTATION DURING THE MORNING IN RESPONSE TO THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER DIGGING SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH-CENTRAL PA AND
CENTRAL NY. THIS WILL ACT TO KEEP FAIRLY STEADY PRECIP ONGOING
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING
THE AFTERNOON AS DRY SLOTTING CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN NY PIVOTS
NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE PARENT UPPER LOW.

AS FOR PTYPE...FORECAST TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWEST FEW THOUSAND FEET
OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF NORTH COUNTRY TODAY...WITH MAINLY
SNOW FALLING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG HILL. ADDITIONAL
QPF AMOUNTS IN THIS AREA EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ANOTHER 0.20-0.45
BEFORE THE PCPN TAPERS OFF THIS AFTERNOON...FEEL THAT WE COULD SEE
AS MUCH AS ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE...WHICH IS ENOUGH TO
JUSTIFY KEEPING THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNING UP UNTIL ITS 1 PM
EXPIRATION TIME. MEANWHILE...AT LOWER ELEVATIONS ACCUMS WILL BE
MUCH LESS...GENERALLY NO MORE THAN AN INCH OR SO.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...DRY SLOTTING AS OVERSPREAD MOST
AREAS FROM THE FINGER LAKES WESTWARD AS OF THIS WRITING...AND THIS
COMBINED WITH THE LOSS OF THE MAIN SURGE OF WAA/JET FORCING HAS
ALLOWED THE BULK OF THE PCPN TO TAPER OFF TO JUST SCATTERED RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS...THOUGH A LITTLE LAKE ENHANCED RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY
HAS DEVELOPED OFF OF LAKE ERIE WITHIN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE WEAK LAKE ENHANCED PRECIP...WHICH SHOULD
LINGER INTO THIS MORNING BEFORE GETTING SHEARED APART...GENERALLY
EXPECT NO WORSE THAN SCATTERED PRECIP TO CONTINUE INTO THIS
AFTERNOON FROM THE FINGER LAKES WESTWARD...WHEN WRAPAROUND PRECIP
WILL BEGIN TO PIVOT BACK INTO FAR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. FOR
THIS REASON...HAVE DROPPED POPS BACK INTO THE MID AND HIGH CHANCE
RANGE FOR THE WEST 2/3 OF THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...WITH SOME
INCREASE TO LIKELY THEN FOLLOWING FOR LATER ON IN THE AFTERNOON AS
WRAPAROUND PRECIP BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER. AS WILL BE
THE CASE FURTHER EAST...PTYPE WILL GENERALLY BE A MIX OF RAIN
AND SNOW AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...AND MOSTLY WET SNOW ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN...THOUGH MUCH LIGHTER PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL LIMIT
ACCUMS TO THE NUISANCE RANGE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...GENERALLY
NO MORE THAN AN INCH OR TWO.

AS WE GET INTO TONIGHT...THE AREA OF WRAPAROUND PRECIP WILL
GRADUALLY PUSH ITS WAY EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH ENOUGH
FORCING PRESENT TO WARRANT SOME GENERAL LIKELY POPS FOR SNOW...ALONG
WITH SOME MINOR /1-2/ ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. FROM
SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY SOUTHWARD ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS
COUNTIES...THE PRECIP WILL BECOME ENHANCED BY LAKE ERIE AS WINDS
BECOME BETTER ALIGNED OUT OF THE NORTHWEST...WITH FURTHER LIFT ALSO
BEING SUPPLIED BY OROGRAPHIC INFLUENCES ALONG AND INLAND OF THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. CONSIDERING THAT THESE FACTORS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE PRESENCE OF CONTINUED
DEEP LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND LAKE EQL LEVELS RISING TO AROUND 10
KFT...WE HAVE ELECTED TO UPGRADE THE CURRENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH
TO A WARNING IN COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING WFOS. FOR NOW...THE
WARNING WILL EXTEND FROM TONIGHT RIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH 3-5 OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND FURTHER
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS HIGHLY LIKELY BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MORE ON THOSE LATTER PERIODS BELOW...

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL BE STACKED NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WEDNESDAY WITH
ONLY SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THE ONGOING LAKE EFFECT CONTINUING IN THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.
THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE LAKE
ERIE SNOWS GRADUALLY WEAKENING, BUT WINDS WILL LINE UP OFF LAKE
ONTARIO FOR LAKE SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKE. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY
AS TO LOCATION, WITH THE MOST LIKELY AREA WILL BE JUST NORTH OF
WATERTOWN, BUT IF GFS WINDS VERIFY IT WILL NEAR OR TO THE SOUTH OF
WATERTOWN. WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN THURSDAY NIGHT, BRINGING AN END
TO THE SNOWS OFF LAKE ONTARIO, THEN ON FRIDAY ANOTHER UPPER SHORT
WAVE DIGS THE PERSISTENT LONG WAVE TROUGH SOUTH AGAIN, WITH A
SURFACE LOW SPEEDING BY, WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF MORE RAIN AND SNOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE MODELS DIVERGE DURING THE PERIOD, WITH THE GFS BRINGING IN AN
UPPER RIDGE AND NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WHILE THE ECMWF CONTINUING THE
RECENT PATTERN OF A SHORT WAVE DEEPENING THE LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER
THE AREA. WE HAVE FOLLOWED MOS GUIDANCE, WHICH FAVORS THE GFS. THIS
CONTINUES A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW EACH DAY WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH FROM
SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT...06Z TO
13Z. LOWER RANGE MVFR CEILINGS WITH AREAS OF IFR TO LIFR CIGS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN WILL IMPROVE ONLY SLIGHTLY ON TUESDAY WITH LESS RISK
OF PRECIP...ALTHOUGH SOME DRIZZLE MAY OCCUR DURING TUESDAY MORNING.
COLDER AIR WILL BRING A RETURN OF PRECIP IN THE FORM OF SNOW LATE ON
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THIS SNOWY PATTERN THROUGH THURSDAY. LOWER
RANGE MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE TIME...BUT
HEAVIER SNOW WITH LOWER CIGS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF IFR FLYING
CONDITIONS FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY  MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...MVFR/IFR IN SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN AND WET SNOW.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MVFR/IFR IN WET SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO TODAY
AND WEDNESDAY. AS THE LOW DRIFTS NORTH, SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE, FIRST OVER LAKE ERIE TONIGHT, THEN OVER ONTARIO. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR LAKE ERIE AFTER MIDNIGHT, AND
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER WEDNESDAY FOR LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NYZ019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY
         FOR LEZ040-041.

&&

SYNOPSIS...APB
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...APB
LONG TERM...APB
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...APB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1051 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

NYZ019-020-260400-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
1051 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-085-260400-
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1051 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS
MAY PRODUCE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR ANY THANKSGIVING
TRAVEL.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-260400-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
1051 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-260400-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1051 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-260400-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
1051 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF