Alert archive / New York / Gale Watches in 2008
Gale Watch 14, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale watch at Dec 23, 2008, 5:06 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 23, 2008, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 23 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 23, 2008, 5:06 AM EST (10:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 23, 2008, 6:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 24, 2008, 4:44 AM EST
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
362 WHUS71 KBUF 231006 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 506 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 LEZ040-041-231815- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081223T1300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 506 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ042>044-231115- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081223T1700Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 506 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. WAVES WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 4 FEET TODAY WITH HIGHER WAVES EXPECTED WELL OFFSHORE. $$ LOZ045-231815- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081223T2000Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 506 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLIES TODAY WILL ALLOW WAVES TO BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET. BOTH WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD SUBSIDE LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-231815- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 506 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN QUICKLY LOWER TO FRESH WESTERLIES ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ062>065-231815- /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 506 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ RSH
5 follow-up statements
148 WHUS71 KBUF 231100 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 600 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 LOZ045-231900- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081223T2000Z/ /O.EXA.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 600 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. A DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ042>044-231900- /O.EXA.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 600 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. A DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LEZ020-040-041-231900- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 600 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ062>065-231900- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 600 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ RSH
310 WHUS71 KBUF 231600 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1100 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 LOZ045-240000- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081223T2000Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1100 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. A DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LEZ020-040-041-240000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1100 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ042>044-062>065-240000- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1100 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ SAGE
758 WHUS71 KBUF 232105 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 405 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 LEZ020-040-041-240515- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 405 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-240515- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 405 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ SAGE
120 WHUS71 KBUF 240303 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1003 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 LEZ020-040-041-241115- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1003 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-241115- /O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1003 PM EST TUE DEC 23 2008 ...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES LATE WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BECOME WESTERLY ON THURSDAY WHILE QUICKLY LOWERING TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
892 WHUS71 KBUF 240944 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 444 AM EST WED DEC 24 2008 LEZ040-041-241745- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0031.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 444 AM EST WED DEC 24 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLIES TODAY WILL INCREASE TO STRONG WESTERLY GALES TONIGHT AS A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT TO OUR WEST AND NORTH. WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE TO GENTLE TO FRESH WESTERLIES DURING THE COURSE OF THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ020-241745- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0031.081225T0000Z-081225T1000Z/ UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 444 AM EST WED DEC 24 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST THURSDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLIES TODAY WILL INCREASE TO WESTERLY GALES TONIGHT AS A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT TO OUR WEST AND NORTH. WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE TO GENTLE TO FRESH WESTERLIES DURING THE COURSE OF THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ042>045-062>065-241745- /O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0014.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0031.081225T0000Z-081225T1500Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 444 AM EST WED DEC 24 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLIES TODAY WILL INCREASE TO STRONG WESTERLY GALES TONIGHT AS A DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT TO OUR WEST AND NORTH. WINDS WILL THEN SUBSIDE TO FRESH WESTERLIES DURING THE COURSE OF THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ RSH
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Dec 23, 4:55 AM EST, 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 4:55 AM EST, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
455 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE PASSING BY TO OUR SOUTH WILL BRING AN END TO THE
LEFTOVER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY...THEN MOISTURE STREAMING
NORTHWARDS FROM THE GULF WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SOME MIXED
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. A DEEPENING STORM LIFTING ACROSS THE MID WEST
WILL SEND A SURGE OF WARMER AIR ACROSS OUR REGION ON WEDNESDAY ANSD
THIS WILL CHANGE ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION OVER TO JUST RAIN. AS THIS
STORM PASSES TO OUR WEST AND NORTH ON CHRISTMAS EVE...IT WILL BECOME
VERY WINDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS CHANGING BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THERE ARE TWO FORECAST ISSUES TO CONTENT WITH IN THE NEAR TERM
PORTION OF THE FORECAST...WITH THE FIRST BEING DYING LAKE EFFECT
TODAY...AND THE SECOND THE GOOD POSSIBILITY OF MIXED PRECIPITATION
TONIGHT.
FIRST THE LAKE EFFECT. AS EXPECTED...THE ACTIVITY OFF BOTH LAKES IS
NOW MAKING ITS MOVE NORTHWARD. THE LAKE ERIE LAKE SNOWS HAVE PUSHED
NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH A MARKED WEAKENING TREND TAKING HOLD BETWEEN
08Z AND 09Z AS THE BAND PUSHED INTO THE CITY AND EASTERN SUBURBS.
EXPECT THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTH
THROUGH MID MORNING AS WINDS CONTINUE TO BACK...SHEAR
INCREASES...AND THE HEIGHT OF THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION CONTINUES TO
FALL...THOUGH NOT BEFORE DROPPING SOME MINOR NUISANCE-TYPE ACCUMS OF
A FEW INCHES. BY MID TO LATE MORNING...EXPECT THE LAKE SNOWS TO
SHEAR OUT ACROSS NIAGARA PENINSULA AND NIAGARA COUNTY...LEAVING
BEHIND A DRY AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE OFF OF OUR OTHER LAKE...THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE LIFTED NORTH
INTO CENTRAL OSWEGO COUNTY AS THE FLOW BECAME MORE WESTERLY OVER THE
PAST FEW HOURS...WITH A MODEST INCREASE IN INTENSITY NOTED DUE TO
THE INCREASING FETCH ACROSS THE LAKE...MUCH LIKE WHAT WAS BRIEFLY
SEEN WITH THE LAKE ERIE BAND AS IT LIFTED ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTY A FEW HOURS AGO. LIKE THE LAKE ERIE LAKE SNOWS...THIS BAND
WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS
MORNING...WITH A WEAKENING TREND ENSUING WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AS SUBSIDENCE AND SHEAR INCREASE. BY EARLY AFTERNOON...EXPECT THAT
THE LAKE ONTARIO SNOWS WILL SHEAR OUT ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
JEFFERSON COUNTY AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...THOUGH NOT BEFORE
PRODUCING A SWATH OF ADDITIONAL 1-3/2-4 ACCUMS.
IN TERMS OF THE LAKE EFFECT FLAGS...HAVE DROPPED THE FLAGS FOR SRN
ERIE...WAYNE...AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES WITH THE MORNING
FORECAST ISSUANCE AS THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE EXITED THESE AREAS. GIVEN
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND THE EXPECTED MOVEMENT OF THE LAKE ONTARIO
LAKE SNOWS THIS MORNING...THE WARNING FOR OSWEGO COUNTY HAS BEEN
LEFT INTACT UNTIL 10 AM...AT WHICH TIME THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD BE
NORTH OF THE COUNTY.
OUTSIDE OF ANY LAKE EFFECT AREAS...EXPECT A GENERALLY DRY BUT CLOUDY
DAY...AS AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD A
LOW CLOUD DECK THAT STILL COVERS MUCH OF THE CWA AT THIS WRITING.
THIS SHOULD PREVENT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SUNSHINE...AND AS SUCH HAVE
INCREASED THE CLOUD COVER DRAMATICALLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
THEN...OUR ATTENTION WILL TURN TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MIXED
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS OUT INTO
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TONIGHT...A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF INCREASINGLY WARM
AND MOIST AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION ALOFT IN ADVANCE OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. AS THIS FLOW
DEEPENS AND ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASES...LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE COURSE OF THIS
EVENING. THEN AS THE WARM AIR ALOFT DEEPENS OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING...THE SNOW SHOULD CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN FOR A FEW HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...BEFORE
FINALLY TRANSITIONING OVER TO ALL RAIN LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING.
AT THIS TIME...THE WINTRY MIX APPEARS TO BE MOST LIKELY FROM
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND GENESEE VALLEY...EASTWARD
ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND NORTH COUNTRY. ACCORDINGLY...HAVE ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THESE
AREAS IN COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING WFOS. FURTHER TO THE
WEST...THE WINTRY MIX APPEARS TO BE MUCH LESS LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...INCLUDING THE NIAGARA FALLS AND BUFFALO
AREAS. IN THIS LATTER REGION...A GOOD SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW
SHOULD CAUSE SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO RISE QUICKLY ENOUGH FOR A
DIRECT TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN...RATHER THAN FROM A SNOW TO
WINTRY MIX.
IN GENERAL...EXPECT ABOUT 0.20-0.30 OF QPF TONIGHT...MAYBE
SLIGHTLY MORE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES.
GIVEN THE EXPECTED EVOLUTION IN TEMPERATURE PROFILES
OVERNIGHT...THIS SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE
TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION. THE HIGHEST ICE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES...WHERE PRECIP AMOUNTS SHOULD BE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER...THE WARM AIR ALOFT WILL ARRIVE MORE QUICKLY...AND
THE DEEPER VALLEYS WILL TEND TO STAY COLDER LONGER.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THIS PERIOD WILL START OFF VERY UNSETTLED AS A DEEPENING STORM
SYSTEM WILL LIFT ACROSS THE MID WEST AND APPROACH OUR REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND A WIDE OPEN GULF AHEAD OF THIS
CUTTER TYPE STORM WILL HELP TO PRODUCE A WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON THE DAY BEFORE CHRISTMAS WILL BE IN THE VICINITY
OF TWO TO THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH...WHICH SHOULD LARGELY BE ABSORBED
BY THE FRESH SNOWPACK OVER THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S ALONG WITH THE RAINFALL WILL CERTAINLY
GO A LONG WAY TO RIPENING OUR SNOWPACK. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE
MONITORED CLOSELY THOUGH...AS THE GEFS IS SUGGESTING PWATS OF 3 STD
ABOVE NORMAL. RAINFALL GREATER THAN THAT CURRENTLY BEING FORECAST
COULD LEAD TO SOME PROBLEMS ON THE SMALLER TRIBUTARIES.
THE DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CENTERED WEST OF BUFFALO WEDNESDAY
EVENING THEN WILL QUICKLY MOVE NORTHEAST TO OTTAWA/MONTREAL BEFORE
EXITING ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY CHRISTMAS MORNING.
CLIMATOLOGICALLY...THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE STORM TRACK FOR HIGH
WINDS ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND THIS EVENT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
ANY DIFFERENT. THIS TRACK TAKES FULL ADVANTAGE OF THE SOUTHWEST
ORIOENTATION OF LAKE ERIE...WHICH WILL SUPPLY SOME FUNNELLING
EFFECTS TO FURTHER ENHANCE THE GRADIENT WIND.
THE STORM WILL BE DEEPENING FROM ABOUT 993MB TO SUB 985MB LEVELS
DURING THE COURSE OF CHRISTMAS EVE...WITH A PRONOUNCED PINCHING OF
THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH 50 TO 60 KNOT
H85 WINDS WITHIN A COLD ADVECTIVE PATTERN SHOULD GARAUNTEE AT LEAST
ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS (SUSTAINED 31-39 MPH/GUSTS 46-57 MPH) WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR WINDS TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA. A HIGH WIND WATCH
HAS THUS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS MOST PRONE TO THIS SCENARIO...
BASICALLY FROM LAKE ERIE AND THE NIAGARA FRONTIER ACROSS THE GENESEE
VALLEY.
MEANWHILE DURING THE COURSE OF CHRISTMAS EVE...COLDER AIR CHARGING
ABCK ACROSS OUR REGION WILL CHANGE RAIN SHOWERS OVER TO SNOW
SHOWERS. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY DAYBREAK SHOULD AVERAGE AN INCH OR LESS.
FOR CHRISTMAS DAY...THE EXITING STORM WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO A
LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO QUICKLY
SUBSIDE ON THURSDAY WHILE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED.
THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE MOST COMMON IN THE SNOWBELTS EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES...WHERE H85 TEMPS OF -12C SHOULD SUPPORT AT
LEAST A LITTLE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECETD TO
SERIOUSLY AFFECT TRAVEL FOR CHRISTMAS DAY THOUGH.
THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PASS OVER OUR REGION ON CHRISTMAS
NIGHT...WITH A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND SUBSEQUENT WARM ADVECTION
BRINGING AN END TO THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. THIS WARM ADVECTION
WILL BE QUITE NOTICEABLE ON FRIDAY AS SFC TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE
LOWER 40S FOR MANY OF THE WESTERN COUNTIES.
ON FRIDAY...THE STRONG HIGH WILL MOVE ACROS NEW ENGLAND WHILE YET
ANOTHER CUTTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE LIFTING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN PLACE OUR REGION WITHIN AN AREA OF
FAIRLY STRONG WARM ADVECTION...WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLY
BREAKING OUT OVER THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE STATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A DEEP STORM SYSTEM LIFTING FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO
CANADA ON SATURDAY WILL HAVE A STRONG COLD FRONT DRAIPED SOUTHWARDS
TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ONCE AGAIN...A WIDE OPEN GULF WILL MEAN THAT
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL BE ABLE TO STREAM NORTHWARDS...
ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLE WARMTH. THE GEFS CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
INMPRESSIVE PWAT VALUES...WITH DEPARTURES OF +3 TO 5 STD NOW
DEPICTED OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
THE ECMWF IS ALSO SUGGESTING A SIMILAR SOLUTION...BUT IS ABOUT 12
HOURS SLOWER IN BRINGING THE AFOREMENTUIONED COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR
REGION. ONE REASON FOR THIS IS THAT THE ECMWF IS SHOWING A MORE
IMPRESSIVE WAVE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH WOULD TEND TO
SLOW ITS PROGRESSION.
IN EITHER CASE...H85 TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO SURGE TO NEAR +10C ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS WILL TRANSLATE INTO SFC TEMPS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND IF WE GET
SIGNIFICANT RAINS...THEN HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS WOULD COME TO THE
FOREFRONT. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE CLOSELY WATCHED.
THE 00Z ECMWF IS SHOWING THAT THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SUNDAY WITH
THE SIGNIFICANT RAINS...WHILE THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND MEMBERS OF THE
GEFS LEAN TOWARDS A COLDDER DRIER SOLUTION. SINCE THE LATTER IS
CLOSER TO OUR CONTINUITY...I WILL NOT STARY AT THIS POINT. LATER
SHIFTS CAN MAKE ADJUSTMENTS IF GUIDANCE COMES INTO CLOSER
AGREEMENT.
OTHERWISE...THE ROLLER COASTER RIDE WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF
THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SYSTEMS MOVE VERY QUICKLY
WEST TO EAST.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT REGIONS...WHICH
WILL BE CONTINUING SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...AND IFR CONDITIONS
WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS. THE LAKE EFFECT WILL DRIFT TO THE NORTH
LATE TONIGHT OFF OF LAKE ERIE AND DURING THE MORNING OFF OF LAKE
ONTARIO.
OTHERWISE...INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY BUT
OTHERWISE A DRY/VFR AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT...MVFR IN IN MIXED PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY...VFR/MVFR IN RAIN
THURSDAY...VFR.
FRIDAY...VFR.
SATURDAY...POSSIBLE MVFR IN RAIN/SNOW TRANSITIONING TO RAIN
&&
.MARINE...
A GALE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LAKE ERIE FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION THIS MORNING WILL
DRIFT OFF THE EAST COAST THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS HIGH MOVES FURTHER
OFFSHORE TONIGHT...A DEEPENING LOW WILL DROP OUT OF THE ROCKIES TO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS LOW WILL STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY AS IT WILL
TRACK FROM MISSOURI TO JUST NORTH OF LAKE ERIE. THE STORM WILL THEN
MOVE JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND CROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE IT WILL EXIT VIA THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON
CHRISTMAS DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY STRONG WINDS OVER BOTH LAKES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
IN THE MEANTIME...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT TODAY FOR
THE EASTERN NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS SCA SHOULD EXPIRE
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ003>005-011>014-019>021-085.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR NYZ001>004-010>012-019-085.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ006.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
LEZ020-040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOZ045.
GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR LOZ062>065.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...RSH/SAGE
AVIATION...WCH/ZAFF
MARINE...RSHHazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 4:06 PM EST, 13 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 NYZ001-002-010-011-232115- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ021-232115- ALLEGANY- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ019-020-085-232115- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ012-013-232115- WYOMING-LIVINGSTON- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ003-014-232115- MONROE-ONTARIO- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ004-005-232115- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006-232115- OSWEGO- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING SOME FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-008-232115- JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A DEEP STORM WILL PASS TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THIS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ040-041-232115- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-232115- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LOZ042>045-062>065-232115- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF SLZ022-024-232115- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 406 PM EST MON DEC 22 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF SAGE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 3:31 AM EST | High Wind Watch | BUF | Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Jefferson, Lewis and 6 more | 33 hr |
| Dec 23, 3:49 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 32 hr |
| Dec 23, 12:02 PM EST | Lakeshore Flood Watch | BUF | Erie | 35 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.