Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2008

Gale Warning 28, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 14, 2008

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Dec 14, 2008, 4:05 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 14, 2008, 9:00 PM EST. It was in force for 23 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 14, 2008, 4:05 PM EST (21:05 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 14, 2008, 9:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 15, 2008, 8:00 PM EST
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

277 
WHUS71 KBUF 142105
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
405 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALES EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS FORECAST TO TRACK
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...THEN ON INTO
NORTHERN QUEBEC DURING MONDAY. A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THIS LOW
WILL CROSS LAKE ONTARIO MONDAY AFTERNOON.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE OUT AHEAD OF THIS LOW
AS IT APPROACHES TONIGHT...THEN WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND
EVENTUALLY WESTERLY ON MONDAY AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND
CROSSES THE LOWER LAKES REGION. THE GALES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
INTO MONDAY EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST ACROSS THE AREA.

LOZ045-150500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0028.081215T0400Z-081216T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
405 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST
MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
EST MONDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT...THEN TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY
NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-150500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0028.081215T0200Z-081215T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
405 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT...THEN TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-062>065-150500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0028.081215T0400Z-081216T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
405 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST
MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT
EST MONDAY NIGHT. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT...THEN TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY
NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-150500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.081214T2105Z-081215T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
405 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE AT OR ABOVE SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA
TONIGHT...WILL THEN TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY MONDAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
4 follow-up statements
086 
WHUS71 KBUF 150301
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1001 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND
CROSS INTO QUEBEC BY MIDDAY MONDAY. A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM
THIS LOW WILL CROSS LAKE ONTARIO MONDAY AFTERNOON.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE OUT AHEAD OF THIS
STORM SYSTEM OVERNIGHT...THEN WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND
EVENTUALLY WESTERLY ON MONDAY AS THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
AND CROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION. THE GALES ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO MONDAY EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT AND 
TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST ACROSS THE AREA.

LEZ040-041-151115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1001 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT...THEN TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-151115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0028.081215T0400Z-081216T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1001 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY
NIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY NIGHT.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE OVERNIGHT...THEN TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY
NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-151115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1001 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE AT OR ABOVE SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA
OVERNIGHT...WILL THEN BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY
MONDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH
867 
WHUS71 KBUF 150907
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
407 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER ONTARIO PROVINCE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND
CROSS INTO QUEBEC BY MIDDAY. A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THIS LOW
WILL CROSS LAKE ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND EVENTUALLY WESTERLY
TODAY AS THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND CROSS THE LOWER
LAKES REGION. THE GALES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THIS
EVENING...BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDES EAST ACROSS THE AREA.

LOZ042>045-062>065-151715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-081216T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
407 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN
TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-151715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
407 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN
TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-151715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
407 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE AT OR ABOVE SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA
THIS MORNING...WILL THEN BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
771 
WHUS71 KBUF 151503
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1003 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER ONTARIO PROVINCE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND
CROSS INTO QUEBEC BY MIDDAY. A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THIS LOW
WILL CROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
AFTERNOON.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND EVENTUALLY WESTERLY
TODAY AS THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND CROSS THE LOWER LAKES
REGION. THE GALES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING...
BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES
EAST ACROSS THE AREA.

LEZ040-041-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1003 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE THIS MORNING...THEN
TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-152315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-081216T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1003 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-152315-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-081216T0300Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1003 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE AT OR ABOVE SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA THIS
MORNING...WILL THEN BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-152300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1003 AM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE AT OR ABOVE SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA THIS
MORNING...WILL THEN BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
784 
WHUS71 KBUF 152049
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 PM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC PROVINCE WILL LIFT NORTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE STRONG WESTERLY 
WINDS THIS EVENING WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE LAKES
TONIGHT.

LEZ040-041-160500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-081215T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-081216T1300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
349 PM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

WESTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON LAKE ERIE THROUGH
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-160100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-081216T0100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
349 PM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-160300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-081216T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
349 PM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-160300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-081216T0300Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
349 PM EST MON DEC 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 14, 3:57 PM EST, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 3:57 PM EST, 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF MILD AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
AND INTO MONDAY MORNING...BEFORE A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA IN
THE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOME WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. FOLLOWING THE
FRONT...DRIER AIR AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO
LIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
BRINGING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
KBUF RADAR CONTINUING TO SHOWING PRECIPITATION SURGING NORTHEAST
INTO SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...IN AREA OF
STRONGER MOISTURE ADVECTION AND DEEPER ISENTROPIC ASCENT. STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AS UPSTREAM COLD FRONT WORKS
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY 12Z MONDAY. SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z
AS DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVES ON STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET. MODELS
SUGGESTING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE INTO THE
60 KNOT TO 70 KNOT RANGE OVERNIGHT. STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED ABOVE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...ALTHOUGH WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FAVORED
DOWNSLOPE AREAS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
HIGHER WINDS.

COLD FRONT WILL BE CROSSING THE AREA DURING THE DAY MONDAY
ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT SHOWERS AS GULF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO WORK
NORTHWARD ALONG IT. COLD FRONT SHOULD BE INTO EASTERN NEW YORK BY
MONDAY EVENING WITH WEDGE OF DRIER AIR WORKING INTO AT LEAST WESTERN
SECTIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR A
DIMINISHING TREND TO THE PRECIPITATION. THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE WEST SOUTHWEST...BUT
CONTINUE TO REMAIN RATHER BRISK. MORNING HIGHS WILL FALL DURING
THE AFTERNOON AS COLDER AIR ARRIVES BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BY EARLY MONDAY EVENING...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BE EXITING THE
AREA TO THE EAST AS ITS PARENT LOW PRESSURE AREA ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN QUEBEC. AS A RESULT...THE
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL BE ENDING A LITTLE
FASTER FROM WEST TO EAST...GENERALLY TAPERING FROM A MIX OF CHANCE
TO LOW LIKELY POPS EARLY MONDAY EVENING TO SLIGHT CHANCE OR LESS BY
MIDNIGHT. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL HELP
CHANGE ANY LINGERING PRECIP OVER FROM RAIN SHOWERS TO SNOW
SHOWERS...BUT ANY ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE NEGLIGIBLE AS THE BULK OF
THE PRECIP SHOULD BE OVER BY THE TIME THE CHANGEOVER OCCURS. OF MORE
CONCERN TO AREA MOTORISTS WILL BE THE FALLING TEMPERATURES
THEMSELVES...WHICH WILL DROP QUICKLY ENOUGH TO CAUSE A FREEZEUP OF
ANY WATER LEFT ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS.

MESOSCALE INFLUENCES WILL THEN TRY TO COME BACK INTO PLAY FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AS THE STRONG CAA
BEHIND THE FRONT RESULTS IN 850 MB TEMPS DROPPING TO -8C TO -14C
ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH WILL RESULT IN ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO
SUPPORT SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST/EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES GIVEN THE GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
THAT SAID...MOISTURE LOOKS TO BE RATHER LIMITED...EVEN MORE SO THAN
IT APPEARED YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME. 12Z/14 NAM/GFS MODEL PROFILES
NOW ONLY INDICATE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR LAKE SNOWS IN THE LOWEST 2
KFT OF THE ATMOSPHERE DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE...AND WITHIN THE LOWEST
4 KFT OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH A DEEPER LAYER OF SUBSIDENCE/DRYING
WORKING IN ALOFT IN ASSOCIATION WITH RIDGING WORKING EAST FROM THE
CENTRAL LAKES. AS SUCH...IT IS HARD TO JUSTIFY ANYTHING MORE THAN
LOW-MID RANGE CHANCE POPS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES FOR LATER MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING...AND HAVE ACCORDINGLY BACKED OFF ON
POPS...ENDING THESE COMPLETELY BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS SHEAR
SHEAR INCREASES AND THE LOW LEVELS DRY OUT.

OUTSIDE OF ANY LAKE EFFECT AREAS...THE LATE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY
PERIOD SHOULD GENERALLY BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM
THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES ALONG WITH MUCH DRIER AIR...AND A RETURN
TO MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

THINGS THEN WILL GET MORE INTERESTING AGAIN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EVOLVES OVER THE
MIDWESTERN STATES AND THEN QUICKLY LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION ALONG WITH LIMITED MID AND UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT. MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS REMAINING THE SOUTHERNMOST MODEL WITH A
TRACK JUST NORTH OF THE NY-PA BORDER...THE CANADIAN GEM FURTHER
NORTH WITH A TRACK EITHER NEAR OR JUST NORTHWEST OF BUFFALO...AND
THE NAM/ECMWF FURTHEST NORTHWEST WITH A TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN
ONTARIO. PATTERN RECOGNITION AND MODEL TRENDS /EVEN IN THE GFS/
SUPPORT A TRACK MORE TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE AREA...IN LINE
WITH CONTINUITY AND MORE SUPPORTIVE OF A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION.

GIVEN PROJECTED MODEL THERMAL PROFILES...WILL SPREAD A GENERAL LIGHT
SNOW INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN CHANGE THIS OVER TO A
WINTRY MIX OF SNOW/SLEET/FREEZING RAIN FOR MOST AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS MIX SHOULD THEN PERSIST FOR
AT LEAST A FEW HOURS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WEDNESDAY MORNING...
BEFORE ENOUGH WARMING DEVELOPS AT THE SURFACE TO SUPPORT A
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN AS THE PCPN BECOMES MORE SCATTERED. FARTHER TO
THE NORTH ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...TEMPS ALOFT CURRENTLY APPEAR TO
REMAIN COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A MOSTLY SNOW EVENT...THOUGH IF THE
CURRENT NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW CONTINUES IN
SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS...A WINTRY MIX/CHANGEOVER MIGHT BE REALIZED
IN THIS AREA AS WELL. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS
OF FREEZING PRECIP...THIS TIME FRAME WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLIGHTED
IN THE HWO.

LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...COLDER AIR WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO FILTER
BACK INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...AND THIS WILL SUPPORT
SOME SNOW MIXING IN WITH ANY LEFTOVER RAIN SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THIS PERIOD REMAINS EVEN MORE QUESTIONABLE AS THE MEDIUM RANGE
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A WIDE RANGE IN SOLUTIONS FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK OF ANOTHER...AND STRONGER...STORM SYSTEM
DURING THE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. THE 12Z/14 GFS
CONTINUES TO APPEAR TO BE TOO FAST WITH THE DEVELOPMENT AND EVENTUAL
MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...WHILE THE FORECAST TRACKS OF THE GFS AND
NEWLY ARRIVED 12Z/14 ECMWF HAVE ESSENTIALLY REVERSED THEMSELVES OVER
THE COURSE OF THE PAST 24 HOURS...WITH THE GFS NOW INDICATING A
TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA AND THE ECMWF TO THE SOUTHEAST.
GIVEN SUCH MODEL INCONSISTENCIES...WILL CONTINUE TO LEAN HEAVILY ON
FORECAST CONTINUITY...HPC GUIDANCE...AND PATTERN RECOGNITION...WHICH
ALL SUPPORT A SLOWER SYSTEM THAN THE GFS...AND A TRACK TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE AREA.

AS A RESULT...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SNOW INTO THE AREA THURSDAY
EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW...WITH A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN EVERYWHERE
FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LOW PASSES BY TO THE NORTH...THEN ANOTHER
CHANGEOVER BACK TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT AS COLD AIR RETURNS BEHIND THE
LOW. AS FOR POPS...HAVE KEPT THESE AT HIGH CHANCE OR LESS FOR NOW
GIVEN THE CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS
SYSTEM.

DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...HAVE MAINTAINED SOME LOW CHANCE
POPS FOR LAKE SNOWS EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AS A SHOT OF COLDER
AIR WORKS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A
GENERAL LOW CHANCE OF SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS BOTH THE
GFS/ECMWF SHOW SOME SEMBLANCE OF A CLIPPER SYSTEM WORKING THROUGH
THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO THE AREA ON
STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS. ISENTROPIC ASCENT
IS ENOUGH TO PRODUCE AS SWATCH OF PRECIPITATION INTO WESTERN
SECTIONS THIS AFTERNOON FROM NIAGARA FALLS...TO BUFFALO TO
JAMESTOWN. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT ENOUGH TO
KEEP VISIBILITIES VFR. CEILINGS SHOULD ALSO REMAIN VFR AND MOST
LIKELY IN THE 4 THOUSAND TO 6 THOUSAND FOOT RANGE.

THE MOST IMPORTANT WEATHER ELEMENT FOR THE AVIATION COMMUNITY WILL
BE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR DURING THE TAF PERIOD...ESPECIALLY AFTER 03Z
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE WARM ADVECTION ALOFT WILL CREATE
A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...THEREFORE THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET
OF 60 TO 70 KNOTS AROUND 2 THOUSAND FEET WILL NOT BE ABLE TO MIX
DOWN WELL IN THE STABLE AIRMASS RESULTING IN A QUICK LOSS OF HEAD
WIND IN THE LAST SEVERAL HUNDRED FEET OF LANDING.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...VFR THEN MVFR IN RAIN.
TUESDAY...MVFR IN MORNING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THEN VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/IFR IN MIXED PRECIPITATION.
THURSDAY...GENERALLY VFR BUT MVFR IN LAKE SNOWS.
FRIDAY...MVFR/IFR IN MIXED PRECIPITATION.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL APPROACH/REACH GALE FORCE ACROSS THE LOWER
LAKES TONIGHT AS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES...THEN WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND EVENTUALLY
WESTERLY ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. SPEEDS
WILL LIKELY MAX OUT LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY MONDAY EVENING
AS COLD ADVECTION MIXES STRONGER WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE LAKE
SURFACE...WITH GUSTS TO 40 KTS POSSIBLE ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.
THEREAFTER...WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EASTWARD FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES.

AS A RESULT OF THE EXPECTED WINDS...GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN HOISTED
FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...AND THE OPEN AND NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST
         MONDAY NIGHT FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...JJR/TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 3:53 PM EST, 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
353 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

NYZ001>008-010-011-152100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
353 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012>014-019>021-085-152100-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
353 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE
AREA BY MID WEEK WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. IT DOES APPEAR AT THIS TIME THAT THERE
WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING ICE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-152100-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
353 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE MONDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-SLZ022-024-152100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
353 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE MONDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-152100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
353 PM EST SUN DEC 14 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST
MONDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE MONDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 14, 4:05 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF44 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2008Every gale warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.