Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2008

Gale Warning 24, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 15, 2008

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Nov 15, 2008, 4:08 AM EST. It took effect at Nov 15, 2008, 3:52 PM EST. It was in force for 26 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2008, 4:08 AM EST (09:08 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 15, 2008, 3:52 PM EST
Expired
Nov 16, 2008, 6:00 PM EST
In force
26 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WHUS71 KBUF 150908
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALES POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TO NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE BY THIS EVENING DEEPENING TO
29.3 INCHES. A SHARP COLD FRONT TRAILING THE DEPARTING LOW WILL
ALLOW WINDS TO RAPIDLY INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE ON LAKE ERIE
THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY.

LEZ040-041-151715-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.081116T0000Z-081116T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0024.081116T0500Z-081116T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
408 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
ON LAKE ERIE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR MORE ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-151715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0011.081116T1100Z-081117T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
408 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

COLD AIR FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG FRONT WILL PRODUCE
UNSTABLE AND WINDY CONDITIONS ON LAKE ONTARIO FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH CLOSE TO 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS NEAR GALE FORCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
000
WHUS71 KBUF 151437
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
937 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALES POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST TO NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE BY THIS EVENING
DEEPENING TO 29.3 INCHES. A SHARP COLD FRONT TRAILING THE
DEPARTING LOW WILL ALLOW WINDS TO RAPIDLY INCREASE TO NEAR GALE
FORCE ON LAKE ERIE THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY.

LEZ040-041-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.081116T0500Z-081116T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
937 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM
EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
ON LAKE ERIE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR MORE ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0011.081116T1100Z-081117T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
937 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. 

COLD AIR FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG FRONT WILL PRODUCE
UNSTABLE AND WINDY CONDITIONS ON LAKE ONTARIO FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH CLOSE TO 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS NEAR GALE FORCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SAGE
000
WHUS71 KBUF 152052
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL TRACK NORTHEAST
INTO QUEBEC TONIGHT...THEN WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS QUEBEC ON SUNDAY
WHILE DEEPENING TO 28.8 INCHES. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
TONIGHT...THEN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY.

LOZ042>045-062>065-160500-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0011.081116T1100Z-081117T0200Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0024.081116T1100Z-081116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
352 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

COLD AIR AND A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL RESULT STRONG WINDS ON LAKE ONTARIO
FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH CLOSE TO 30 KNOTS
WITH FREQUENT WIND GUSTS NEAR OR AT GALE FORCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-160500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.081116T0500Z-081116T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
352 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM
EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
ON LAKE ERIE THIS EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS OR MORE ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY LATER
TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-160500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.081116T0500Z-081116T2000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
352 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
ON LAKE ERIE TONIGHT...THEN WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
000
WHUS71 KBUF 160220
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
920 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE NEAR MONTREAL WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS QUEBEC ON SUNDAY
WHILE DEEPENING TO 28.8 INCHES. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE ON LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO TONIGHT...THEN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY.

LEZ040-041-161030-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.081116T0500Z-081116T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
920 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST SUNDAY. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS ON LAKE ERIE
AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS OR MORE
ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-161030-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.081116T1100Z-081116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
920 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WEST TONIGHT AND INCREASE LATE TONIGHT TO 30
KNOTS...WITH FREQUENT WIND GUSTS NEAR OR AT GALE FORCE ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-161030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.081116T0500Z-081116T2000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
920 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST SUNDAY. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 KNOTS ON LAKE ERIE TONIGHT...THEN CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
000
WHUS71 KBUF 160910
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
410 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF MONTREAL WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY WHILE
DEEPENING TO 28.8 INCHES. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW...GALE
FORCE WINDS ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TONIGHT WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

LEZ040-041-161715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
410 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED NEAR OR ABOVE 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT
GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR MORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-161715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.081116T1100Z-081116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
410 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED NEAR OR ABOVE 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT
GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR MORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-161715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-081116T2000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
410 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ON NORTHEAST LAKE ERIE TO THE UPPER
NIAGARA RIVER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
000
WHUS71 KBUF 161505
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...WIND GUSTS TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF MONTREAL WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY
WHILE DEEPENING TO 28.8 INCHES. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW...GALE FORCE WINDS ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TONIGHT WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

LEZ040-041-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1005 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED NEAR OR ABOVE 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT
GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR MORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1005 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED NEAR OR ABOVE 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT
GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR MORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-081116T2000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1005 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ON NORTHEAST LAKE ERIE TO THE UPPER
NIAGARA RIVER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE
000
WHUS71 KBUF 162010
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
310 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...BRISK WINDS TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.28.9 INCH LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL LIFT FURTHER NORTHEAST
INTO LABRADOR TONIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW...WINDS
WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

LEZ040-041-170415-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.081116T2010Z-081117T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
310 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH WAVES SUBSIDING TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA BY LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-170300-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-081116T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.081116T2010Z-081117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
310 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING.

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-062>065-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
310 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

THROUGH 6 PM...WEST WINDS WILL REMAIN SUSTAINED AROUND 30 KNOTS
WITH FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR MORE. THE WINDS WILL
THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
000
WHUS71 KBUF 162312
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
612 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...BRISK WINDS TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.28.9 INCH LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL LIFT FURTHER NORTHEAST
INTO LABRADOR TONIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW...WINDS
WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

LOZ042-043-170715-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-081117T1400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
612 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH WAVES SUBSIDING TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-170715-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-081117T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
612 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
TONIGHT...WITH WAVES SUBSIDING TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA BY
MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-170015-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
612 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW GALE FORCE.

$$

LEZ020-170300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-081117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
612 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-170715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-081117T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
612 PM EST SUN NOV 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS
TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH WAVES SUBSIDING TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA BY LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 15, 3:56 AM EST, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 3:56 AM EST, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
OUR MILD WEATHER OF THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL COME TO AN END TODAY AS
LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTH ALONG A COMPLEX FRONTAL BOUNDARY CROSSES
THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME WIDESPREAD RAIN. IN THE WAKE OF THIS
BOUNDARY...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO FALL BACK TO BELOW
NORMAL LEVELS...AND LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP DOWNWIND OF
THE GREAT LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
CYCLOGENESIS TAKING PLACE OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY AND WEST VIRGINIA
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
THAT WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER PENNSYLVANIA BY MIDDAY...THEN WILL LIFT
ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON. A LARGE SHIELD OF RAIN IN
ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE WILL LIFT ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE PROCESS.

A COUPLED H3 JET WILL LIFT FAIRLY STRONG JET ENHANCED LIFT ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH MIDDAY...AND THIS WILL HELP TO ENHANCE THE
RAINFALL AND MAKE IT HEAVY AT TIMES. THE HIGHEST PWAT VALUES WILL
REMAIN TO OUR EAST THOUGH...WHILE THE STRONGEST DYNAMICS WITHIN THE
DEFORMATION ZONE WILL BE JUST TO OUR WEST. THIS SHOULD KEEP BASIN
AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR BELOW A HALF INCH...WHICH WILL NOT
POSE ANY PROBLEMS HYDROLOGICALLY. IN ANY CASE...IT WILL BE A RAINY
DAY ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. THE STEADIEST
RAIN SHOULD FALL THIS MORNING THEN WILL TAPER OFF SOPMEWHAT FOR THE
MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON.

WHILE IT WILL BE A WET DAY...H85 TEMPS OF +6/8C BULGING NORTHWARD
AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING SFC CYCLONE WILL KEP OUR TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL. READINGS IN THE 50S WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
AT LEAST MIDDAY...WITH THE MILDEST CONDITIONS EXPECETD TO BE OVER
THE FINGER LAKES AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGIONS.

FOR TONIGHT...THE SUPPORTING NEGATIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL
MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WHILE THE SFC LOW WILL
RAPIDLY DEEPEN AND LIFT ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO QUEBEC.
THE ASSOCIATED JET DYNAMICS AND DEEPEST MOSTURE FIELD WILL LIFT OFF
TO THE NORTHEAST AS A RESULT...WITH OUR WEATHER TRANSITIONING FROM
SYNOPTIC TO MESOSCALE IN NATURE.

AS THE SFC LOW DEEPENS AND LIFTS AWAY...STRENGTHENING WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CARRY MUCH COLDER H85 AIR ACROSS THE 50 DEGREE
WATERS OF LKS ERIE AND ONTARIO. H85 TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE
VCNTY OF ZERO TO +4C OVER THE LAKES THIS EVENING...WITH COLD
ADVECTION ALLOWING TEMPS AT THIS LEVEL TO DROP OFF TO -4 AND -6C BY
DAYBREAK. THIS WILL ALLOW LEFTOVER RAIN SHOWERS TO CHANGE OVER TO
WET SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT...WITH THE CHANGE-
OVER FIRST TAKING PLACE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN NEW YORK IN
THE EVENING AND FINALLY OCCURRING EAST OF LK ONTARIO TOWARDS
DAYBREAK.

THE BIGGER PROBLEM WILL BE THE LAKE EFFECT THAT WILL START UP AS A
RESULT OF THE INCREASED INSTABILITY OVER THE LAKES. WHILE DELTA TS
(LK SFC TO H85 TEMP DIFF) WILL BECOME SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH FOR LAKE
INDUCED PCPN TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT...H7 TEMPS OF -10 TO -12C WILL
BARELY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW CRYSTAL GROWTH. THIS WAS A BIG
PROBLEM IN THE LAST LAKE EFFECT EVENT AND MAY PROVE TO TBE THE SAME
FLY IN THE OINTMENT THIS TIME AROUND. WE ALSO NEED SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE IN THE LAYER CONTAINING THE -12C TEMPS...AND THAT WILL BE A
CLOSE CALL AS WELL.

THIS SHOULD LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF SNOW THAT IS PRODUCED TONIGHT...WITH
AMOUNTS NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED 2 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
SOUTHERN ERIE...CHAUTAUQUA AND WESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. AS
MENTIONED...THIS WILL BE A CLOSE CALL THOUGH...SO IT WILL NEED TO BE
CAREFULLY MONITORED. IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE LAKE PLAIN
FROM BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION BY
SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE LIFTING
OUT ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE. IN ITS WAKE...BROAD TROUGHING ALOFT WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A FEW PASSING WEAK
SHORTWAVES BRINGING SOME GENERAL SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS TO
THE FORECAST AREA. GFS IS THE COLDER THAN NAM AND SHOWS 850MB TEMPS
OF AROUND -8C TO -9C BY 12Z SUNDAY. THE MEAN BOUNDARY LAYER WIND
TAKES MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER OFF LAKE
ERIE AND TO THE SOUTHERN TUG HILL REGION OFF LAKE ONTARIO. IT MAY
GET A LITTLE FRISKY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AS THE
WEAK CAPPING OR ISOTHERMAL LAYER ALOFT COOLS ENOUGH FOR LAKE INDUCED
EQUIL LEVEL REACHES NEAR 15KFT. THIS DIFFERS GREAT FROM THE NAM
WHICH HOLDS ONTO THE CAPPING INVERSION DURING SUNDAY AND ONLY ALLOWS
THE LAKE INDUCED EQ TO RISE ABOVE 10KFT DURING MONDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT THEN HAS TOO MUCH SHEAR FOR ANY LAKE EFFECT TO FORM.

HAVE CHOSEN TO GO MORE CLOSELY WITH THE GFS IN ANY CASE FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. THERE WILL BE ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ACROSS
THE SOUTHER TIER AND INTO THE TUG HILL...BUT STILL NOT OVERLY
IMPRESSED OR CERTAIN ENOUGH TO GO WITH ANY WATCHES YET.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...PROGRESSIVELY COLDER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AS MONDAYS SURFACE
WAVE SLIPS SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...AND UPPER TROUGHING BECOMES
BETTER ESTABLISHED ALOFT. 850 MB TEMPS LOOK TO DROP FROM THE
VICINITY OF -8/-9C EARLY MONDAY EVENING TO -13/-14C BY TUESDAY
MORNING...THEN SHOULD LINGER IN THIS GENERAL RANGE INTO TUESDAY
EVENING...PLENTY COLD ENOUGH TO GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE
LEE OF THE LAKES. GIVEN THAT THE PREVAILING LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
START OFF ON A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY ORIENTATION AND THEN GRADUALLY
VEER MORE NORTHERLY WITH TIME...EXPECT THAT MULTI-BANDED LAKE SNOWS
WILL INITIALLY BE FOUND EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES MONDAY
EVENING...BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO AFFECT AREAS
ALONG/INLAND FROM THE SOUTH SHORES OF BOTH LAKES DURING THE COURSE
OF MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. WHILE THIS WILL RESULT IN THE LAKE ERIE
ACTIVITY BECOMING MORE CONFINED TO CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY WITH TIME...THE
LAKE ONTARIO LAKE SNOWS WILL LIKELY EXPAND WESTWARD TO COVER MOST OF
THE COUNTIES ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF THE LAKE...INCLUDING THE
GREATER ROCHESTER AREA.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...THE LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL
SLIDE EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND...WHILE RIDGING PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. THE COMBINATION OF
ASSOCIATED LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE/DRIER AIR AND INCREASING SHEAR
SHOULD LEAD TO A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IN THE LAKE EFFECT DURING
THIS TIME FRAME...THOUGH 850 MB TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN COLD ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME LIMITED ACTIVITY PUSHING BACK NORTHWARD TOWARD
THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS DURING WEDNESDAY AS WINDS BACK TO
MORE OF A SOUTHWESTERLY ORIENTATION. FOR THIS REASON...HAVE KEPT
CHANCE POPS IN PLACE EAST OF THE LAKES ON WEDNESDAY.

DURING THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE PERIOD...MODELS CONTINUE
TO SUGGEST THAT A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL PUSH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
SOMETIME BETWEEN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A
REINFORCING SURGE OF COLDER AIR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS
UPPER TROUGHING BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND
NORTHEASTERN CONUS. AS A RESULT...THE ENTIRE AREA WILL HAVE A CHANCE
FOR A WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY RENEWED LAKE SNOWS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF COLDER AIR
/850 TS OF -12 TO -14C/ BECOMES ESTABLISHED. HAVE THEREFORE
CONTINUED WITH BROADBRUSH CHANCE POPS IN THIS TIME FRAME...WITH
ENHANCED VALUES SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE TAF PERIOD STARTS OUT WITH VFR CONDITIONS DUE TO A NARROWING
WEDGE OF DRIER AIR BETWEEN A COLD FRONT OVER LAKE ERIE AND SOUTHERN
ONTARIO AND A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THERE IS A
SOLID AREA OF RAIN AHEAD OF THE LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AS OF 05Z
WHILE THE PRECIP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAS BECOME
MORE SCT IN NATURE. THE MOISTURE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD SLOWLY NE AND LOWER CONDITIONS TO THE MVFR
RANGE LTR TNGT IN THE WEST AND THEN TO IFR TO LIFR BY 12Z. THE IFR
TO LIFR CONDITIONS WITH RAIN AND FOG IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. THE MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD TO THE LOWER GENESEE VALLEY BY ARND 11Z AND THEN LOWER TO IFR
ARND 12Z AND THEN RANGE FROM IFR TO LIFR THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF
PERIOD. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO LOWER TO
THE MVFR RANGE TIL ARND 12Z AND OCNL LWR TO IFR FRM 12Z-15Z. AFTER
15Z CONDITIONS SHLD RANGE FROM IFR-LIFR THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF
PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
LATER SATURDAY NIGHT...IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS.
SUNDAY...IFR/MVFR IN OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF THE
LAKES.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...IFR/MVFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO THE LEE OF
THE LAKES.
WEDNESDAY...GENERALLY VFR EXCEPT MVFR IN LIMITED SNOW TO THE LEE
OF THE LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
WILL HOIST GALE WARNING FOR LAKE ERIE RUNNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. A GALE WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR
LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE PERIOD FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING.

LOW PRESSURE LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS NEW YORK STATE WILL OFFER
WINDS SHIFTING FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTH...THEN TO NORTHWEST AND WEST
LATER TONIGHT. WITH THE TRACK OF THE STORM ACROSS AND TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE EASTERN LAKES...THE WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
BELOW 15 KNOTS...BUT WILL INCREASE SHARPLY AS THE LOW MOVES PAST AND
A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE LAKES. ALONG LAKE
ERIE...WESTERLY WINDS FOLLOWING IMMEDIATELY WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 KNOTS...THEN TO SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30
KNOTS AND FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. THERE IS LESS CERTAINTY OF
SUCH STRONG WINDS ON LAKE ONTARIO ALTHOUGH THERE ARE INDICATIONS
THAT THE LONG FETCH AND THE COLDER TEMPERATURE OF THE INTRUDING
AIRMASS WILL PRODUCE GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE MID LAKE
REGION. THE LATER TIMING AND UNCERTAINTY OF THE WINDS REACHING GALE
FORCE WILL WARRANT ONLY A GALE WATCH FOR LAKE ONTARIO.

COLD WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS BOT
LAKES FOR MONDAY...SOME AREAS OF HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW
POSSIBLE...THEN WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST FOR MUCH OF
TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
         FOR LOZ042>045-062>065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WCH
NEAR TERM...RSH
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...JJR/WCH
AVIATION...JJP/JJR/THOMAS
MARINE...WCH
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 5:36 AM EST, 22 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

NYZ010-151045-
NORTHERN ERIE-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAKE SNOWS OVER THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER SUNDAY EVENING WILL LIKELY
MOVE NORTH ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY DURING THE COURSE OF SUNDAY
NIGHT AND SHOULD APPROACH THE BUFFALO METRO AREA TOWARDS DAYBREAK
MONDAY. THERE IS NOW AN INCREASING CHANCE THAT ACCUMULATING LAKE
SNOWS WILL MOVE INTO AT LEAST THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BUFFALO ON
MONDAY...AND POSSIBLY ACROSS THE ENTIRE METRO AREA.

GIVEN THAT WE ARE HEADING INTO A WEEKEND...LOCAL MUNICIPALITIES
SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR POSSIBLE PROBLEMS FOR THE START OF THE NEW
WORK WEEK. THIS SITUATION SHOULD CERTAINLY BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-085-151045-
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAKE EFFECT RAIN EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT WILL CHANGE OVER TO LAKE
SNOWS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW DURING THIS PERIOD...
PARTICULARLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR
ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS WILL COME SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

GIVEN THAT WE ARE HEADING INTO A WEEKEND...LOCAL MUNICIPALITIES
SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR POSSIBLE PROBLEMS FOR LATER THIS WEEKEND.
THIS SITUATION SHOULD CERTAINLY BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-151045-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAKE EFFECT RAIN SATURDAY EVENING WILL CHANGE OVER TO LAKE SNOWS
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW DURING THIS PERIOD...PARTICULARLY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

GIVEN THAT WE ARE HEADING INTO A WEEKEND...LOCAL MUNICIPALITIES
SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR POSSIBLE PROBLEMS FOR LATER THIS WEEKEND.
THIS SITUATION SHOULD CERTAINLY BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-151045-
ALLEGANY-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ011-151045-
GENESEE-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAKE SNOWS OVER THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER SUNDAY NIGHT WILL LIFT
TO THE NORTH AND COULD RESULT IN ACCUMULATING SNOWS DURING THE DAY
MONDAY. THIS SITUATION SHOULD BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-151045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-004-013-014-151045-
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ005-006-151045-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAKE SNOWS SUNDAY...AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY COULD
PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE REGION.

GIVEN THAT WE ARE HEADING INTO A WEEKEND...LOCAL MUNICIPALITIES
SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR POSSIBLE PROBLEMS FOR LATER THIS WEEKEND.
THIS SITUATION SHOULD CERTAINLY BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-151045-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT COULD RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BE FOCUSED OVER THE
TUG HILL REGION ON SUNDAY AND MUCH OF SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN THE SNOW
IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTH TO WATERTOWN AND NORTHERN PARTS OF
JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES FOR MUCH OF MONDAY BEFORE MOVING BACK
SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

GIVEN THAT WE ARE HEADING INTO A WEEKEND...LOCAL MUNICIPALITIES
SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR POSSIBLE PROBLEMS FOR LATER THIS WEEKEND.
THIS SITUATION SHOULD CERTAINLY BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-151045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-151045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-151045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
536 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO AND
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

RSH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 4:08 AM ESTGale WatchBUF12 hr
Nov 15, 3:49 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego and 1 more13 hr
Nov 15, 3:52 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF23 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2008Every gale warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.