Gale Warning 22, NWS Buffalo, NY

000
WHUS71 KBUF 260137
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALES POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST CANADA
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AND BRING GALE
FORCE WINDS TO BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

LEZ040-041-261000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081026T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T1800Z-081027T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
SUNDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE FURTHER TO GALE
FORCE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS MAY REACH HIGH END GALE FORCE OR EVEN
STORM FORCE LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE STRONG WINDS
AND LONG FETCH UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES
IN THE 12 TO 15 FOOT RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-261000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.081026T0500Z-081026T2000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT
SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO
4 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE
IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS MAY REACH HIGH END GALE FORCE OR
EVEN STORM FORCE LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE STRONG
WINDS AND LONG FETCH DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE
LARGE WAVES IN THE 12 TO 15 FOOT RANGE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
EASTERN BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-261000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T1800Z-081027T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS
MAY REACH HIGH END GALE FORCE OR EVEN STORM FORCE LATER SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH UP THE
LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES IN THE 12 TO 15 FOOT
RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-261000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
GALE FORCE DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS MAY REACH HIGH END
GALE FORCE OR EVEN STORM FORCE LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES IN THE 12 TO 15 FOOT
RANGE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-261000-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.081026T1500Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS ON
SUNDAY...THEN WILL TURN WESTERLY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS WILL REACH GALE
FORCE LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE STRONG WINDS AND
LONG FETCH UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES
IN THE 8 TO 12 FOOT RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-261000-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.081026T1800Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS ON
SUNDAY...THEN WILL TURN WESTERLY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS WILL REACH GALE
FORCE LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE STRONG WINDS AND
LONG FETCH UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES
IN THE 8 TO 12 FOOT RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-261000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081027T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
937 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE FURTHER TO NEAR
GALE FORCE SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.
THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS MAY REACH HIGH END GALE
FORCE OR EVEN STORM FORCE LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE
STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE WILL
PRODUCE LARGE WAVES IN THE 12 TO 15 FOOT RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

000
WHUS71 KBUF 260815
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALES EXPECTED ON THE LAKES THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST CANADA
TODAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO BOTH
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

LEZ040-041-261615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081026T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T1800Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS UP
THE LONG FETCH OF LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE WAVES IN THE 9 TO 11 FOOT
RANGE LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-261615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081026T2000Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. 
THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
WILL PRODUCE WAVES UP TO 9 FEET...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN
BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-261615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T1800Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH UP
THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE WAVES IN THE 9 TO 11 FOOT
RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-261615-
/O.EXT.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
GALE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. 
THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES UP TO 9 FEET...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
EASTERN BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-261615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081027T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE
FORCE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THE
STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE WILL
PRODUCE WAVES IN THE 8 TO 11 FOOT RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-261615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.081026T1500Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS 
TODAY...THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS COULD REACH 
GALE FORCE LATER TODAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-261615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.081026T1800Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS TODAY
...THEN WILL TURN WESTERLY AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.
THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS WILL REACH GALE FORCE
LATER TODAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS71 KBUF 261406
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALES EXPECTED ON THE LAKES LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST CANADA
TODAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO BOTH
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

LEZ040-041-262215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081026T1800Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T1800Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO
GALE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THE
STRONG WINDS UP THE LONG FETCH OF LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE WAVES IN
THE 9 TO 11 FOOT RANGE LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-262215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081026T2000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH
DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE WAVES UP TO 9
FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-262215-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T1800Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS
AND LONG FETCH UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE WAVES IN
THE 9 TO 11 FOOT RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-262215-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND
INCREASE TO GALE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT
MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE LARGE WAVES UP TO 9 FEET...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE EASTERN BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-262215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081027T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-262215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.081026T1500Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO 30 KNOTS TODAY...THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS COULD REACH
GALE FORCE LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-262215-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.081026T1800Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1006 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO 30 KNOTS LATER TODAY...THEN WILL TURN WESTERLY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT WIND GUSTS
WILL REACH GALE FORCE LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

TJP/SFM/HITCHCOCK

000
WHUS71 KBUF 261948
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
348 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

LOZ045-270400-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-081026T2000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
348 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS AND
LONG FETCH DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE WAVES UP
TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR
TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-061-270400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
348 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS AND LONG FETCH
UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE WAVES IN THE 9 TO 11 FOOT
RANGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-270400-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0022.081026T2000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
348 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS
AND LONG FETCH DOWN THE LENGTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE LARGE
WAVES UP TO 9 FEET...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN BASIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-270400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081027T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
348 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-270400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
348 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-270400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081027T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
348 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS LATER TODAY...THEN WILL TURN
WESTER 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS71 KBUF 270210
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1010 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

LEZ040-041-271015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081027T0400Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081028T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1010 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-271015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081027T0400Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081028T0200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1010 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-LOZ062>065-270315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081027T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1010 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

$$

LOZ042-043-271015-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081028T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1010 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-271015-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081028T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1010 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY.

SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-271015-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-081027T2200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1010 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
340 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY THIS EVENING AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES SUNDAY MORNING AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AS
IT MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA...BRINGING GUSTY WINDS TO THE REGION
ON SUNDAY AND A FEW RAIN SHOWERS LATER IN THE DAY. A SHARP COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY EVENING AND USHER IN MUCH COLDER
AIR FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK...RESULTING IN NUMEROUS LAKE
EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
RAIN IS RETREATING EASTWARD WITH ONLY A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS BEHIND
THE TRAILING EDGE...WHICH SHOULD BE AT ROCHESTER BETWEEN 4 AND 5 PM
AND WATERTOWN AROUND 8 PM. WINDS IN THE BLACK RIVER DID NOT GET AS
HIGH AS EXPECTED, SO THE WIND ADVISORY HAS ENDED.

THE NAM SHOWS GOOD OMEGA (BUT NO QPF) ALONG THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE
AROUND MIDNIGHT, AND ALSO AT THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE GFS
SHOWS SOME SHOWERS, SO WE HAVE CONTINUED THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT OFF THE EAST END OF THE LAKES.

WINDS PICK UP AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY, BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA ON LAND. AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON
SUNDAY SHOWERS WILL BECOME LIKELY FROM WEST TO EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
EXTREMELY DIFFICULT FORECAST TODAY WITH THE MAIN CONCERNS REVOLVING
AROUND LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP TYPE. MOISTURE
CHANNEL IMAGERY SHOWING A SERIES OF ENERGETIC SHORTWAVES BEGINNING
TO DIG SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE FEATURES WILL HELP TO CARVE OUT A DEEP
LONGWAVE TROUGH IN THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST...SETTING THE STAGE
FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT PRECIP.

SYNOPTIC FEATURES...A SHARP COLD FRONT AND THE LEADING EDGE OF
SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS WILL PROVIDE A BAND OF LARGE SCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT SUNDAY EVENING AND PRODUCE A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS MOST
OF THE CWA. EXPECT TO SEE SOME AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCED RAIN ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST OF THE LAKES DURING THE
EVENING WHERE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. WE SHOULD
SEE A BREAK IN MOST OF THE PRECIP THEN FOR AWHILE IN THE MIDDLE OF
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE PURE LAKE EFFECT BEGINS WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
OTHERWISE A SERIES OF SUBTLE SHORTWAVES...DEEP/MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW
ALOFT...AND GENERAL COLD AIR INSTABILITY WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF
SCATTERED RA/SN SHOWERS FOR MANY AREAS THROUGH MIDWEEK. TWO MORE
SIGNIFICANT TROUGHS WILL LIKELY BRING MEASURABLE PRECIP TO MOST
AREAS...ONE BEING MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND THE SECOND BEING LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

NOW FOR THE LAKE EFFECT...

OFF LAKE ERIE...YESTERDAY WE COMPARED THE SETUP FOR LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING TO LAKE STORM AKITA...WHICH OCCURRED
NOVEMBER 6 2007. LATEST 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THIS COMPARISON IS
STILL VALID...ALTHOUGH SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES ARE STARTING TO
APPEAR. THE LONGWAVE MID LEVEL TROUGH IS NOW FORECAST TO BE A LITTLE
WEST OF WHAT WAS SEEN IN AKITA...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WINDS TO BE A LITTLE MORE BACKED. THIS MAY KEEP MOST OF THE
HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY NORTH OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND
REDUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS BY A TERRAIN
DRIVEN EVENT.

THE NAM IS STILL ON THE COLDER SIDE WITH 850MB TEMPS DROPPING TO
AROUND -6C MONDAY MORNING...WHILE THE GFS IS WARMER WITH -4C TO -5C.
THESE VALUES ARE RIGHT ON THE FENCE BETWEEN RAIN/SNOW. NAM POINT
SOUNDINGS SHOW THE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINING QUITE WARM...WITH A DEEP
ABOVE FREEZING LAYER NEAR THE SURFACE. THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BE
OVERCOME WITH STRONG DYNAMIC COOLING AND EVAPORATIONAL COOLING IF A
SOLID BAND MATERIALIZES. BASED ON THE LATEST GUIDANCE...EXPECT A
BAND OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN/SNOW/GRAUPEL TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SKI
COUNTRY 06Z-09Z MONDAY. THIS BAND SHOULD THEN LIFT NORTH INTO METRO
BUFFALO BY MID MORNING MONDAY AS THE FLOW BECOMES ABOUT 240 DEGREES.
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS SHOULD KEEP PRECIP TYPE RAIN/SNOW/GRAUPEL MIX
WITH SURFACE TEMPS REMAINING SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING. FOR NOW
WILL GO WITH 1-3 INCHES SLUSHY ACCUMULATION IN SKI COUNTRY BY MONDAY
MORNING...MAINLY ABOVE 1200 FEET ELEVATION. ON MONDAY...A FEW AREAS
MAY SEE AN INCH OR TWO OF SLUSH/GRAUPEL IN THE BUFFALO METRO AREA...
BUT ABOVE FREEZING SURFACE TEMPS SHOULD PROMOTE PLENTY OF MELTING
AND PREVENT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS.

IT SHOULD BE STRESSED THAT THE FORECAST TEMPERATURE PROFILES ARE
EXTREMELY CLOSE TO CRITICAL VALUES FOR ALL SNOW VS A MIX. A DEGREE
OR TWO CELSIUS COLDER IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND WE COULD BE DEALING
WITH A MAJOR WET SNOW EVENT. VERY CAREFUL MONITORING OF FUTURE MODEL
AND UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS WILL CONTINUE.

MONDAY EVENING A SECONDARY TROUGH DROPS ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES AND
WILL SHOVE THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER...WHERE
IT WILL REMAIN THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES INITIALLY ARE
MARGINAL FOR RAIN/SNOW...BUT LATER TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO BECOME COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT MAINLY SNOW...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HEADLINES MAY EVENTUALLY BE
NEEDED FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...EXPECT A LAKE BAND TO DEVELOP NEAR WATERTOWN VERY
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW BACKS TO
230-220 DEGREES DURING THE DAY MONDAY...WHICH WILL FORCE LAKE EFFECT
NORTH OF WATERTOWN AND PROBABLY CAUSE IT TO BREAK APART AND WEAKEN
DUE TO SHORT FETCH. BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WILL NOT BE AS COLD
INITIALLY...SO EXPECT MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY TO BE RAIN WITH A LITTLE
GRAUPEL MIXED IN. THIS BAND WILL SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL
MONDAY EVENING AND THEN SETTLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST SHORE OF LAKE
ONTARIO MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE MEAN FLOW BECOMES
290-300. SHORT DURATION OF THE BAND MAY LIMIT ACCUMS ACROSS THE TUG
HILL...BUT COULD SEE A COUPLE INCHES OF WET SNOW ABOVE 1500 FEET OR
SO DURING THE EVENING. LATER MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...THE BAND
WILL BE ACROSS THE LOWER TERRAIN SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE. BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPS WILL PROBABLY BE TOO WARM TO SUPPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS IN THIS AREA. TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING THE
COLDEST AIR ARRIVES...AND MAY BRING A BETTER SHOT AT COOLING THE
SURFACE TEMPS ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SOME ACCUMULATION.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE LONG TERM FORECAST HAS BECOME MUCH LESS CERTAIN IN THE PAST 24
HOURS WITH OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE DIVERGING
SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE LONGWAVE PATTERN EVOLUTION. THE ECMWF IS
CONSISTENT IN BRINGING A STRONG PACIFIC TROUGH THROUGH THE CANADIAN
ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY...EFFECTIVELY KNOCKING DOWN THE WESTERN RIDGE
AND ALLOWING STRONG HEIGHT RISES TO SPREAD INTO THE EASTERN CONUS
WHILE A TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE GFS DID SHOW
THIS SCENARIO YESTERDAY...HOWEVER THE 00Z/25 GFS RUN NOW DROPS
ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH NEW ENGLAND LATE NEXT WEEK WITH A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR. A LOOK AT THE INDIVIDUAL GEFS ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS SHOWS A SPLIT WITH ABOUT HALF OF THE MEMBERS SUPPORTING THE
REINFORCING COLD SHOT...AND THE OTHER HALF MORE IN LINE WITH THE
ECMWF IDEA OF A BIG WARMUP. GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY...
FOR NOW WILL STICK WITH CONTINUITY AND GO WITH THE WARMUP IDEA FOR
LATE IN THE WEEK.

LOOKING AT THE DETAILS...WEDNESDAY A COLD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. ECMWF AND GFS CONTINUE TO SHOW
A GENERAL WNW TO NW FLOW DURING THIS PERIOD. WITH 850MB TEMPS IN THE
-6C TO -8C RANGE...EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. THE EXPECTED NW FLOW WILL LIMIT FETCH AND
SHOULD PRODUCE LESS ORGANIZED MULTIPLE BANDS ACROSS THE WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER AND ALONG THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO.
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES DURING THE
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL TEND TO LOWER INVERSION HEIGHTS AND ALLOW A
FURTHER WEAKENING OF LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY. THE FORECAST THERMAL
PROFILES ARE STILL MARGINAL FOR RAIN/SNOW AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
NEAR THE LAKES WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE MODIFIED BY THE WARM
LAKE WATERS. ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN PRECIP TYPE SHOULD BE MAINLY
SNOW. FOR NOW WILL KEEP IT SIMPLE WITH CHANCE POPS AND A GENERAL
RA/SN MIX IN MOST PLACES...MAINLY SNOW ABOVE ABOUT 1200 FT.

LAKE EFFECT SHOULD END ALTOGETHER WEDNESDAY EVENING OFF LAKE ERIE
AND END OVERNIGHT OFF LAKE ONTARIO AS A SURFACE HIGH BUILDS IN AND
WARM AIR ADVECTION BEGINS IN EARNEST. THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
AGAIN THE FORECAST IS QUITE UNCERTAIN. FOR NOW JUST KEPT THINGS
GENERIC WITH PARTLY SUNNY AND TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARMING TO MORE
SEASONABLE VALUES. WILL AWAIT BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT BEFORE MAKING
ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SPOTTY IFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL IMPROVE TO
VFR AS THE RAIN MOVES EAST OF WATERTOWN BY 00Z. SOME MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE NEAR BUFFALO IN THE MIDDLE OF TONIGHT IF LAKE EFFECT
RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOP. SUNDAY WILL BEGIN WITH VFR CONDITIONS,
LOWERING TO MVFR AS RAIN SHOWERS MOVE IN FROM WEST TO EAST. LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE HIGHER
WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN AFTER SUNRISE. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BECOME
QUITE STRONG AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MVFR/AREAS OF IFR IN LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/AREAS IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHWRS SE OF THE
LAKES.
THURSDAY...VFR

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT OFF LAKE ERIE WITH
BRISK SOUTHWEST WINDS. THE ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED AT THE
EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO, BUT THEY WILL BE IN EFFECT AGAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT WHEN SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WAVES INCREASE.

GALE WARNINGS WILL BE HOISTED FOR ALL OF LAKE ERIE AND MOST OF LAKE
ONTARIO FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT MOVES BY JUST NORTH OF THE LAKES
LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER LAKES. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY WILL ALLOW LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO STEEPEN...WITH
EFFICIENT TRANSFER OF THE STRONG 35-40 KNOT 925MB WINDS DOWN TO THE
SURFACE. THE ONLY SPOT THAT MAY ESCAPE GALES WILL BE THE SOUTH SHORE
OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHERE OFFSHORE COMPONENT MAY LIMIT TRUE GALE
POTENTIAL.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY FOR LEZ040-
         041-061.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR LEZ020-040-
         041.
         GALE WARNING FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY FOR
         LOZ045-062>065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...APB
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...APB
MARINE...APB/HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
529 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

NYZ007-008-260930-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
529 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY TODAY...

STEADY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING...THEN TAPER OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES.
THIS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT WITHIN RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND
STREAMS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED. THE HEAVY
RAINFALL COMBINED WITH LEAVES BLOCKING STORM DRAINS MAY RESULT IN
SOME POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

...EARLY SEASON LAKE EFFECT SNOW POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK...

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...MIXED LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY MONDAY MORNING NORTHEAST OF THE LAKE IN THE VICINITY OF
WATERTOWN. THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE
TUG HILL LATER MONDAY THEN SET UP TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
EAST OF THE LAKE...MAINLY ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE TUG HILL. MORE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BETWEEN ROCHESTER AND OSWEGO.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY MARGINAL FOR ALL SNOW THROUGHOUT THIS
EVENT...WHICH WILL COMPLICATE THE FORECAST OF SNOW AMOUNTS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER OUTLETS OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR MORE DETAILS ON THIS POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT EARLY
SEASON LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>006-010>014-019>021-085-260930-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
529 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

...STEADY RAINFALL TO CONTINUE TODAY...

STEADY RAIN TRACKING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL TAPER OFF
THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ABOUT 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED.
THIS WILL RESULT IN RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED. THE RAINFALL COMBINED
WITH LEAVES BLOCKING STORM DRAINS MAY RESULT IN SOME POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

...SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON LAKE EFFECT SNOW POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT
WEEK...

OFF LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE SKI COUNTRY AND POSSIBLY THE BUFFALO
SOUTHTOWNS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME ACCUMULATIONS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT MORE TO THE NORTHWEST...WHICH WOULD SPREAD
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER. SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD ACROSS THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. IF THIS EVENT MATERIALIZES...THE SNOW WILL BE
WET AND HEAVY. THIS... COMBINED WITH SOME TREES STILL HAVING
LEAVES...MAY RESULT IN TREE AND POWERLINE DAMAGE IN LOCATIONS
WHICH RECEIVE ACCUMULATING SNOW.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...MIXED LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY MONDAY MORNING NORTHEAST OF THE LAKE IN THE VICINITY OF
WATERTOWN. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE TUG
HILL LATER MONDAY THEN SET UP TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY EAST
OF THE LAKE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TUG
HILL. ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
BETWEEN ROCHESTER AND OSWEGO.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY MARGINAL FOR ALL SNOW THROUGHOUT THIS
EVENT...WHICH WILL COMPLICATE THE FORECAST OF SNOW AMOUNTS. LAKE
EFFECT SNOW PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY IS ALWAYS UNCERTAIN AT THIS
TIME RANGE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER OUTLETS OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR MORE DETAILS ON THIS POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT EARLY SEASON LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-260930-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
529 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-260930-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
529 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-260930-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
529 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF