Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 030506
RFWBRO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1106 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON IN WAKE OF
STRONG COLD FRONT...

.STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOWERING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
COMBINE WITH DRY FUELS TO PROMPT A RED FLAG WARNING FOR MUCH OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT OVER WEST
TEXAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND LOWERING RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS FOR EXTREME FIRE
BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD.

TXZ248>250-252-253-040400-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0009.080303T1700Z-080304T0400Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-
1106 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CST
MONDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND SECTIONS FROM 11
AM TO 10 PM CST MONDAY.

NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS BEHIND A COLD FRONT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER
BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT BY MID TO LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS
SLOWLY DIMINISH MONDAY EVENING WHILE HUMIDITIES LEVELS WILL SHOW
LITTLE TO SLIGHT RECOVERY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED
FUELS...OR THE COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT
FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE AND SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR
HIGHER WHEN FUELS ARE NOT CURED. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

TXZ251-254>257-040400-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.A.0008.080303T1800Z-080304T0400Z/
KENEDY-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
1106 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS FROM
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DECREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WITH INCREASING
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND LOWERING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY IF THE WINDS AND
HUMIDITIES LEVELS WILL REACH CRITERIA WITH THE LATE COLD FRONT
PASSAGE.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED FUELS...OR THE COMBINATION
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE AND
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR HIGHER WHEN FUELS ARE NOT
CURED. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

54/64

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 030927
RFWBRO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
327 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON IN WAKE OF
STRONG COLD FRONT...

.STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AND DECREASING RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE WITH DRY FUELS TO PROMPT A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD
FRONT OVER WEST TEXAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND
DECREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS
FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND RAPID SPREAD.

TXZ251-254>257-040400-
/O.UPG.KBRO.FW.A.0008.080303T1800Z-080304T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KBRO.FW.W.0009.080303T1700Z-080304T0400Z/
KENEDY-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
327 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CST
THIS EVENING.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DECREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WITH A RAPID WIND SHIFT
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST AND DECREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE
CONDITIONS INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER
AND CURED FUELS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-253-040400-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0009.080303T1700Z-080304T0400Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-
327 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM CST THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS BEHIND A COLD FRONT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER
BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT BY MID TO LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS
SLOWLY DIMINISH MONDAY EVENING WHILE HUMIDITIES LEVELS WILL SHOW
LITTLE TO SLIGHT RECOVERY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED
FUELS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 031742
RFWBRO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1142 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE 
OF STRONG COLD FRONT...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AND DECREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
COMBINE WITH DRY FUELS TO PROMPT A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM WEST TEXAS 
IS MOVING THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AT MIDDAY. THE STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS AND DECREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE
CONDITIONS FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON.

TXZ248>257-040145-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080304T0400Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1142 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

THE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. THE EXPECTED RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE 20 AND
30 PERCENT RANGE BY THE AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
LATER THIS EVENING WHILE THE HUMIDITIES WILL SHOW LITTLE OR ONLY 
SLIGHT RECOVERY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED
FUELS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL TODAY.

$$

SPEECE

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 040404
RFWBRO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1004 PM CST MON MAR 3 2008

TXZ248>257-040515-
/O.EXP.KBRO.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080304T0400Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1004 PM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED...SO THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

54/64

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
827 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

.DISCUSSION...BREEZY NIGHT IN STORE FOR MUCH OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
AS EVENING SOUNDING SHOWS WINDS BETWEEN 500 TO 3000 FEET RANGING
FROM 40 TO 60 MPH. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE FUELING STORMS OVER THE
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT BUT NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ANYWHERE CLOSE TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE WINDS WILL ONLY KEEP
TEMPERATURES VERY MILD OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. ADJUSTED THE TIMING OF THE TOMORROWS COLD FRONT FOLLOWING
A SLOWER GFS TREND. AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE CWA EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL USHER
IN LOWER DEWPOINTS WHICH WILL RESULT IN VERY LOW HUMIDITY. HAVE
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ZONES
AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES. THE LATTER DUE
TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF WHEN THE LOWER HUMIDITIES AND STRONGER
WINDS WILL MOVE MOVE ACROSS THE EAST. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE EVENING SO WILL EXTEND THE FIRE WARNINGS
AND WATCH UNTIL 10 PM MONDAY NIGHT. LATER SHIFTS WILL MONITOR FOR
UPDATES. LOWERED MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT
DUE TO LOWER DEWPOINTS AND A SLOWER RETURN FLOW. NO OTHER CHANGES
MADE. OUTLOOK FOR NEXT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MIGHT NEED TO LOWER
MAX AND MIN TEMPERATURES WITH MODEL SUGGESTIONS AND DISCUSSIONS
WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES INDICATING AN EVEN STRONG SHOT OF COOL
AIR PLUNGING SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS WILL REMAIN 20 TO 25 KTS OVERNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL
JET SCREAMS OVERHEAD AND DECOUPLING SLOW TO DEVELOP IF AT ALL.
WINDS NEAR 45 TO 55 KTS JUST OFF THE SURFACE AND HAVE INDICATED LLWS
IN TAFS.  DAYTIME GUSTS SHOULD EASE OFF A BIT OVERNIGHT AND EXPECT
ONLY PATCHY MVFR CIGS.  EXPECT SCT CLOUDS MONDAY AHEAD OF FRONT AND
VFR CONDITIONS AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.FIRE WEATHER...COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS
OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY AFTERNOON REACHING THE COASTAL COUNTIES
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN COUNTIES WITH THE COASTAL COUNTIES TO
BE UNDER A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST WELL INTO THE EVENING WITH LITTLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVER THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT.  STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WILL KEEP
WINDS 20 TO 35 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND SEAS 10-14 FEET IN THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. CONDITIONS ON BAY WILL BE CHOPPY TO ROUGH.  A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE COASTAL WATERS EARLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON REACHING BROWNSVILLE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN EXTENT OF THE
COASTAL ZONES BY 00Z.  GALE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE OFFSHORE
ZONES FOR 6 TO 8 HOURS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.  WINDS WILL DECREASE
AND SEAS SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  72  83  46  70 /  10  10   0   0
BROWNSVILLE          72  86  49  73 /  10  10   0   0
HARLINGEN            72  91  46  77 /  10  10   0   0
MCALLEN              72  90  46  79 /  10  10   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      69  86  45  79 /  10  10   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   72  76  49  69 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM CST MONDAY FOR TXZ248>250-
     252-253.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
     EVENING FOR TXZ251-254>257.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 12 PM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ130-132-135.

    SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-
    175.

    GALE WATCH FOR GMZ150-155-170-175 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH 12Z
    TUESDAY.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

59/51

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
355 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

TXZ248>257-031000-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
355 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS WILL PROVIDE A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST TODAY. IN ADDITION...A LOW LEVEL JET
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND STRENGTHEN TONIGHT. THE
STRONG WINDS ALOFT IN COMBINATION WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
PROVIDE WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE COASTAL
WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY AND A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM
TODAY THROUGH 8 PM TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING
THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH HIGHER SEAS BUILDING OFFSHORE...A MODERATE
TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
WITH THE STRONG SOUTH WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. A STRONG COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL PROVIDE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY
AS WELL AS A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL EITHER BE REPLACED WITH A GALE WARNING OR
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AS WINDS AND SEAS INCREASE RAPIDLY IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WITH ANOTHER GALE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO
TIGHTEN ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

CASTILLO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
335 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  HARLINGEN               26.20N 97.69W
03/02/2008  M45 MPH          CAMERON            TX   NEWSPAPER

            AWNING AND SIGNAGE DAMAGE BUSINESS 77 / SUNSHINE STRIP
            AND VALLE VISTA MALL. WIND GUST AT HARLINGEN AIRPORT OF
            55 MPH.

&&

NRYDELL