Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Brownsville, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
814 PM CST MON FEB 25 2008

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS POISED TO
SWEEP THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. MAIN THREAT WITH FRONT
WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND DRY AIR IN ITS WAKE...PRODUCING AN
ENHANCED RISK OF WILDFIRE. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL OF BRO CWFA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON LIKELY TO BE UPGRADED TO RED FLAG WARNING BY
INCOMING SHIFT. PLEASANT WEATHER EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT...WITH NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT POSSIBLY EXACTLY A WEEK
AWAY. NO CHANGES MADE TO ZONE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
&&

.MARINE...FROPA XPCTD AT 6 AM TUESDAY...WITH 30 KTS OF NORTH
WIND...FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 KTS BY 6 PM. CURRENTLY
...LOCAL GULF CONDITIONS ARE REPORTED BY AREA BUOYS PLACE SOUTH
WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH SEAS SLOW TO RESPOND...NOW ONLY 3.3
FT AT 4 SECONDS. A CONTINUED DEGENERATION OF MARINE CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE WITH TIME...CULMINATING WITH FROPA AND NORTH WIND
SHIFT WITH NEAR GALE FORCE GUSTS 7 AM TUESDAY. LITTLE CONVECTION
IS ANTICIPATED WITH FROPA...AND HAVE POST SCA FOR ALL MARINE AREAS
OF DEEP S TX NOW THRU 00Z WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH MODERATE TO STRONG GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE
REGIONAL AIRPORTS. THESE WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN THEIR MAGNITUDES
THROUGH FROPA AT 6 AM...FOLLOWED BY NORTH WINDS AT 20 TO 30 KTS
WITH GUSTS TO 35 KTS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
REGIONAL AIRPORTS THRU THE NEXT 24H WITH STRONG WINDS BEING THE
NUMBER ONE AVIATION CONCERN THRU TUESDAY EVENING.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  60  70  47  70 /   0   0   0  10
BROWNSVILLE          61  74  47  73 /   0   0   0  10
HARLINGEN            61  71  41  74 /   0   0   0  10
MCALLEN              62  74  47  74 /   0   0   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      62  76  48  76 /   0   0   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   61  71  50  69 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH TXZ248>257 6 AM TO 6PM TUE.
SCA GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175 UNTIL 6 PM TUE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...TOMASELLI/66
MARINE/AVIATION/MESO...PHILO/58

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
915 PM CST MON FEB 25 2008

TXZ251-254>257-261130-
KENEDY-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
915 PM CST MON FEB 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY NEAR THE COAST.

.DAY ONE...REMAINDER OF TONIGHT

SOUTH WINDS HAVE INCREASED OVER COASTAL DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE
ADJACENT GULF WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE POSTED FOR ALL
MARINE AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY.

THE WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THE THREAT FOR THE SPREAD OF ANY
WILD FIRES THAT START.

BEACH GOERS CAN EXPECT A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE
BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
IMMEDIATELY BY STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS. THE WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE FROM MID MORNING
TO LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING BY EVENING.
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BE AT SOME RISK...AS WILL UNFASTENED
LIGHTWEIGHT YARD ITEMS. RESIDENTS SHOULD PLAN ON SECURING OR TAKING
THESE ITEMS INDOORS TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE HIGH TUESDAY.

THE THREAT FOR EXPLOSIVE WILD FIRE GROWTH CONTINUES ON TUESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXPECTED WIND SURGE.
BOATERS WILL EXPERIENCE ROUGH CONDITIONS BEGINNING BETWEEN 6 AND 7
AM...REACHING THEIR PEAK BY MID AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL LIKELY BUILD TO
10 FEET BY LATE AFTERNOON...DRIVEN BY STRONG NORTH WINDS WITH GUSTS
TO NEAR GALE FORCE.

CONDITIONS WILL QUIET TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
HOWEVER...GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH MAY
ARRIVE AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

TXZ248>250-252-253-261130-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-HIDALGO-
915 PM CST MON FEB 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...REMAINDER OF TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
...A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH JIM HOGG...BROOKS...AND
ZAPATA COUNTY...WITH A NORTHERLY WIND SURGE OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH A
FEW GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 40 MPH AROUND DAWN.

HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BE AT SOME RISK JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK
TUESDAY...AS WILL UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT YARD ITEMS. RESIDENTS
SHOULD PLAN ON SECURING OR TAKING THESE ITEMS INDOORS THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
MPH OR HIGHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BE
AT SOME RISK...AS WILL UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT YARD ITEMS.

THE THREAT FOR EXPLOSIVE WILD FIRE GROWTH CONTINUES ON TUESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXPECTED WIND SURGE.

CONDITIONS WILL QUIET TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH MAY
ARRIVE AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FROM HIDALGO THROUGH
BROOKS COUNTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PHILO