Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 091832
RFWBRO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
132 PM CDT SUN MAR 9 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

TXZ248>257-100100-
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080310T0100Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
132 PM CDT SUN MAR 9 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE 
INTERACTING WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPING OVER
WEST TEXAS TODAY. THIS INTERACTION WILL PRODUCE SUSTAINED
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR ACROSS MUCH OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 35 MILES PER HOUR BEING POSSIBLE 
UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. THESE WINDS...COMBINED WITH THE ABUNDANT
CURED FUELS...WILL CREATE AN ENHANCED RISK OF DANGEROUS WILDFIRES
WITHIN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FOR SUNDAY.

RESIDENTS ARE URGED NOT TO CONDUCT ANY OUTDOOR BURNING TODAY DUE
TO THE EXPECTED STRONG WINDS AND DRY WEATHER. A BURN BAN IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL DEEP SOUTH TEXAS COUNTIES EXCEPT FOR KENEDY COUNTY.
FAILURE TO ABIDE BY THE BURN BAN MAY RESULT IN FINES AND CRIMINAL
PROSECUTION BY COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT AND OFFICIALS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS
INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED
FUELS...OR THE COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT
FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE AND SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR
HIGHER WHEN FUELS ARE NOT CURED. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

SPEECE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
950 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2008

.DISCUSSION...STRONG AND DRY SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE BRO CWA WILL
MAINTAIN A NEAR PERFECT DAY ACROSS THE REGION. CURRENT OBS FROM THE
AREA SHOW A DEVELOPING SW SURFACE FLOW WHICH WILL LIKELY MODERATE
OVERALL TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DAY DUE TO THE DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS
OFF OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHEAST MEXICO AND THE DAYTIME
HEATING. BOTH THE MAV AND MET GUIDANCE KEEPS AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S FOR THE LOWER RGV AND THIS LOOKS REASONABLE
CONSIDERING THAT THE MORNING LOWS RANGED FROM THE MID TO UPPER 30S
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS AND THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S ELSEWHERE.
THE MORNING ZFP REQUIRES ONLY SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS AT THIS TIME.
&&

.MARINE...AT 8 AM BUOY 20 REPORTED SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 21 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS AT 5 FEET WITH A 5 SECOND PERIOD. A
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PRODUCE MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE
MARINE AREAS TODAY. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE MARINE AREAS
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NECESSARY OVER
ALL OF THE MARINE AREAS ON SUNDAY DUE TO THE FORECASTED INCREASE IN
THE WINDS AND SEAS AND MAY BE NECESSARY OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS
OVERNIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MARINE AREAS ON
TUESDAY SHIFTING THE WINDS TO THE NORTH. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK
TO THE SOUTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO CALM
CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES ARE BEING REPORTED AT THE REGIONAL
AIRPORTS. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CWA TODAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGIONAL AERODROMES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SUNDAY. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
OVER 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. VEGETATION REMAINS VERY DRY AND
ANY FIRE STARTS COULD PRODUCE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  74  55  76  65 /   0   0  10  30
BROWNSVILLE          76  57  77  65 /   0   0  10  30
HARLINGEN            75  53  77  63 /   0   0  10  30
MCALLEN              79  56  77  64 /   0   0   0  30
RIO GRANDE CITY      79  53  78  62 /   0   0   0  30
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   72  57  73  62 /   0   0  10  30
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH TXZ248>257 10 AM TO 8 PM SUN.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

SHORT TERM FORECAST GRAPHICS ARE ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE/FXC/FXC.HTM

SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...60
MARINE/AVIATION...63
MESO/FXC...CAMPBELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
503 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2008

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-TXZ248>257-091115-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
503 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...THE GULF
OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE POSTED TONIGHT FOR THE COASTAL
WATERS EAST OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY DUE TO EXPECTED
STRONG WINDS COMBINING WITH CURED FUELS.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE
OFFSHORE WATERS SUNDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS. ROUGH
MARINE CONDITIONS COULD PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
SUNDAY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY
281 WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE THE STRONGEST WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...