Hurricane Warning 1, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 220643
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...DOLLY CONTINUES TO CHURN IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

.AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.3 WEST OR ABOUT
320 MILES...515 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.  

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  A TURN
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
 ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE
WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.  

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.  

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...
325 KM FROM THE CENTER.  

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.  

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

HURRICANE WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR ALL MARINE ZONES. CURRENT LOW
WINDS AND SEAS WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE LATER TODAY AS DOLLY
APPROACHES. 

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD BE COMPLETING THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR THE
APPROACH OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST
TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ALL MARINERS ARE HIGHLY URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
FORECAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

...WINDS...

CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS GREATER THAN 65
PERCENT IN ALL MARINE ZONES...WITH A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THE
CENTER REMAINS SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED FOR ISSUANCE AROUND 430AM CDT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL REGIONS OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY TRACK...AND IS
FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT STORM SURGE FORECAST IS FOR A 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGE
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AT
LANDFALL. 

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

COASTAL REGION WILL SEE A GREATER THAN 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...AND A 10 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE STORM MAKES
LANDFALL WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF DOLLY MAKES
LANDFALL SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AT 430 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ250-253>255-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
BROOKS-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BROOKS AND HIDALGO
COUNTIES AND INLAND AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. DOLLY
CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 PERCENT OR
GREATER FOR AREAS EAST OF U.S. ROUTE 281...AND THERE IS A 5 TO 10
PERCENT CHANCE FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO
THE COAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE GREATER THREAT
WILL BE IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248-249-252-221000-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-
143 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ZAPATA...JIM
HOGG AND STARR COUNTIES. DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY
TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
BRING POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS BETWEEN 40 AND 60
PERCENT FOR AREAS WEST OF U.S. ROUTE 281.

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING INTO
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. 

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.

$$

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 220900
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM DOLLY CONTINUES A STRENGTHENING TREND...

.AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT
295 MILES...475 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.  

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A TURN
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH A FURTHER
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST
ON WEDNESDAY.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY
NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.  

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...
260 KM FROM THE CENTER.  

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.  

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

WINDS IN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 60 MPH...AND ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY. THE
CURRENT TRACK HAS THE CENTER OF DOLLY REACHING BROWNSVILLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD BE COMPLETING THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR THE
APPROACH OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST
TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ALL MARINERS ARE HIGHLY URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
FORECAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

...WINDS...

CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 65
PERCENT OVER THE ENTIRE COASTAL WATERS...WITH THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS REMAINS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THE
CENTER REMAINS SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AROUND 7 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

WINDS IN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 60 MPH...AND ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY. THE
CURRENT TRACK HAS THE CENTER OF DOLLY REACHING BROWNSVILLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT STORM SURGE FORECAST IS FOR A 4 TO 6 FOOT
SURGE ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER
AT LANDFALL.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 65
PERCENT ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 10 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE STORM MAKES
LANDFALL WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF DOLLY MAKES
LANDFALL SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE UPDATED IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AT 7 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ250-253>255-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
BROOKS-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR BROOKS AND
HIDALGO COUNTIES AND INLAND AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.
DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS IN
DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 60 MPH...WITH A CONTINUED GRADUAL
INCREASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH
MINIMAL HURRICANE FORCE JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN 50 TO 60
PERCENT...WITH THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 5 TO 10
PERCENT. 

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING
INTO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE GREATER THREAT
WILL BE IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT IS NEXT SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AT 7 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248-249-252-221300-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ZAPATA...JIM
HOGG AND STARR COUNTIES. DOLLY CONTINUES ON A WESTERLY
TRACK...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN VALLEY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
BRING POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 30 TO 50
PERCENT...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS
THAN 5 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS LATER THIS MORNING. MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TONIGHT CONTINUING
INTO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS TOTAL
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY NEAR 15 INCHES. TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND
CORPUS CHRISTI MAY REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A
TRACK ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY FURTHER INCREASE STORM
RAINFALL TOTALS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 7 AM CDT.

$$

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 221324
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
824 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM DOLLY SLOWING DOWN AND NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...

.AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 265
MILES...425 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
DOLLY HAS SLOWED DOWN A LITTLE AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE
TODAY WITH A FURTHER DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
ON WEDNESDAY.
 
DATA FROM FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  


GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-221630-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
824 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE OUTER BANDS OF DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE GULF
WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NM EAST OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND THROUGH 10 AM
THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONGER CELLS IN THESE BANDS. OTHERWISE...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE THROUGH THE MORNING IN ALL AREAS
AND SEAS AND SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TOWARD 5 FEET OR HIGHER BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS IN
THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN
BAY...AS WELL AS THE LAGUNA MADRE FROM PORT BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN
BAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION LAST MINUTE PREPARATIONS THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THOSE OUT IN THE GULF SHOULD
SEEK SAFE HARBOR AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH
THE DURATION OF DOLLYS WINDS AND SEAS. THOSE IN PORT SHOULD
FINISH MOVING THEIR CRAFT TO SAFE STORAGE OR SECURELY TYING DOWN
BOATS AND RAISING THEM SUFFICIENTLY ABOVE THE WATER LEVEL.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 3 OR 4 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS NEAR THE PORT BROWNSVILLE SHIP
CHANNEL. PLEASE NOTE THAT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND A FURTHER
SLOWING COULD RAISE POTENTIAL SURGE BY A FOOT OR TWO.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS THIS
MORNING...EXCEPT GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN FEEDER BANDS
BEYOND 20 NM OUT THROUGH NOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15
TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
ARRIVE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 PM IN THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM OUT AND AFTER
7 PM ELSEWHERE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY IN THE
WATERS EAST OF PORT MANSFIELD AND POINTS SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS DOLLY APPROACHES AND CONTINUES TO
STRENGTHEN.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN 70 TO 85
PERCENT OVER THE ENTIRE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO 20 PERCENT
MAINLY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP IN STRONGER FEEDER BANDS
FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR
POSSIBLE MARINE WARNINGS FOR INDIVIDUAL CELLS LATER THIS MORNING
AND THIS AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-221630-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
824 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE
LATER TODAY WHILE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BENDING TO THE NORTHWEST
TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE LATER TODAY...CONTINUING TONIGHT. CERTAINTY
IS INCREASING FOR AT LEAST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ACROSS THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES OF THE LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS NEAR THE
COAST...INCLUDING PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...AND PORT
MANSFIELD.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION LAST MINUTE
PREPAREDNESS AND PROTECTION. MOBILE HOME AND RECREATIONAL VEHICLE
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO EVACUATE FROM THE COASTAL ZONE DUE TO
EXPECTED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. OTHERS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS INCLUDING BOARDING UP WINDOWS...SECURING DOORS AND
GARAGE DOORS...AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS KITS TO
HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. SHOULD HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OCCUR...WIDESPREAD
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TONIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH 1.5 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE LAGUNA MADRE
OF UP TO 3 OR 4 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE
HIGHEST LEVELS NEAR THE PORT BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. PLEASE NOTE
THAT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND A FURTHER SLOWING COULD RAISE
POTENTIAL SURGE BY A FOOT OR TWO.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS MORNING...THEN 15
TO 20 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE TO 20 TO
30 MPH AFTER SUNSET AS RAIN BANDS HEAD INLAND. SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT WITH HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS
POSSIBLY ARRIVING BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS WILL BE
DESCRIBED IN THE NEXT STATEMENT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 70 TO 80 PERCENT
ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS NOW AROUND 15 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD BEGIN MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES
PERHAPS AS SOON AS NOON...AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TOWARD
EVENING...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL MOVING IN LATE THIS EVENING OR
OVERNIGHT. EARLY RAINS WILL BE BRIEF BUT HEAVY...AND NO FLOODING
IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND MORE
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED LATER TODAY.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS WILL BE PROVIDED IN FUTURE STATEMENTS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A TORNADO LATER TODAY OR THIS EVENING
IN ANY STRONGER CELLS WITHIN THE OUTER FEEDER BANDS.

...BEACH EROSION...

SHOULD DOLLY CONTINUE TO SLOW DOWN AND STRENGTHEN...INCREASING
NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL CAUSE THE
ONSET OF BEACH EROSION BEGINNING EARLY WEDNESDAY...PERHAPS
BECOMING SIGNIFICANT LATER WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AT 1030 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ250-253>255-221630-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
BROOKS-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
824 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE
LATER TODAY WHILE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BENDING TO THE NORTHWEST
TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE LATER TODAY...CONTINUING TONIGHT. CERTAINTY
IS INCREASING FOR AT LEAST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ACROSS THE LARGER POPULATION CENTERS OF THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY BEGINNING LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT FORECAST DATA SUGGEST THE BEST CHANCES FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE FROM WESLACO TO HARLINGEN AND
BROWNSVILLE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
POPULATED SECTION OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AS WELL AS IN BROOKS COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION LAST MINUTE
PREPAREDNESS AND PROTECTION. MOBILE HOME AND RECREATIONAL VEHICLE
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO EVACUATE FROM THE COASTAL ZONE DUE TO
EXPECTED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. OTHERS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS INCLUDING BOARDING UP WINDOWS...SECURING DOORS AND
GARAGE DOORS...AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS KITS TO
HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. SHOULD HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OCCUR...WIDESPREAD
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TONIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH 1.5 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE LAGUNA MADRE
OF UP TO 3 OR 4 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE
HIGHEST LEVELS NEAR THE PORT BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. PLEASE NOTE
THAT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND A FURTHER SLOWING COULD RAISE
POTENTIAL SURGE BY A FOOT OR TWO.

...INLAND FLOODING...

OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD BEGIN MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES
PERHAPS AS SOON AS NOON...AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TOWARD
EVENING...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL MOVING IN LATE THIS EVENING OR
OVERNIGHT. EARLY RAINS WILL BE BRIEF BUT HEAVY...AND NO FLOODING
IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND MORE
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED LATER TODAY.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS MORNING...THEN 15
TO 20 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE TO 20 TO
30 MPH LATER THIS EVENING AS RAIN BANDS HEAD FARTHER INLAND.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT WITH
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLY ARRIVING BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY FROM
EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY TOWARD THE COAST. POTENTIAL IMPACTS WILL BE
DESCRIBED IN THE NEXT STATEMENT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80
PERCENT IN BROWNSVILLE DOWN TO 55 PERCENT IN BROOKS COUNTY. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 15 PERCENT IN
BROWNSVILLE TO 5 PERCENT IN NORTHERN BROOKS COUNTY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF DOLLY MOVE INLAND. 

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT IS NEXT SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AT 1030 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248-249-252-221630-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-
824 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS NOW STRENGTHENING AND MAY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY...AND IS ALSO SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOTION. SHOULD DOLLY
CONTINUE MOVING AT 10 MPH OR MORE...THE CHANCES INCREASE FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
WESTERN LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED TO
CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL
OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.

...INLAND FLOODING...

OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD BEGIN MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES
THIS AFTERNOON...AND COULD BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL SHOULD MOVE IN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.EARLY RAINS THROUGH
THIS EVENING WILL BE BRIEF BUT HEAVY...AND NO FLOODING IS
EXPECTED.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS EARLY WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT. FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...INCREASING
TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY EVENING. WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE TO 15 TO
25 MPH LATER THIS EVENING...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM IN 50 TO 60 PERCENT...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NOW AROUND 5 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS EVENING IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.

$$

52/BSG

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 221639
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1139 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...DOLLY SOON TO BECOME A HURRICANE AND NOW ON TRACK FOR THE RIO
GRANDE WITH INCREASING THREAT FOR FRESHWATER AND RIVER FLOODING...

.AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 230
MILES...370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE.
 
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
GENERAL NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL SLOWING OF FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION
WOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
RIVER ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY
OR WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TXZ250-222000-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
BROOKS-
1139 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

A SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT IN TRACK ALONG THE RIO GRANDE RIVER...ALONG
WITH RAPID WEAKENING OF THE SMALL CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
SOON AFTER LANDFALL WEDNESDAY...SHOULD KEEP ONLY TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IN BROOKS COUNTY AS DOLLY CREEPS SLOWLY INLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN BROOKS COUNTY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED
TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OF BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY EVENING. WINDS WILL
FURTHER INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATER THIS EVENING...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
MAY ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM IS 70 PERCENT...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS REMAINS AROUND 5 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO THE AREA BETWEEN NOON
AND 3 PM...AND COULD BECOME MORE NUMEROUS LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE HEATING OF THE DAY BEFORE DROPPING BACK TO SCATTERED AFTER SUNSET.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SHOULD MOVE IN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. EARLY
RAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL BE BRIEF BUT HEAVY...AND NO
FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 8 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS EARLY WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON IN THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY...PARTICULARLY IN STRONGER CELLS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 130 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-222000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1139 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

OUTER BANDS OF DOLLY ARE RACING THROUGH THE GULF WATERS AND WILL
REACH THE LAGUNA MADRE BETWEEN NOON AND 1 PM. MARINERS CAN EXPECT
A BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOUR REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW 1 MILE ALONG WITH
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN STRONGER CELLS.
SOME LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR.

OUTSIDE OF THE BANDS...OTHERWISE...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTH...THEN INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS BY
EARLY EVENING AND LIKELY REACH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
BEFORE MIDNIGHT IN MOST AREAS. SEAS AND SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE TOWARD 5 FEET OR HIGHER BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AND LIKELY
INCREASE RAPIDLY ABOVE 10 FEET THIS EVENING AS THE WINDS INCREASE
RAPIDLY IN OR NEAR THE WATERS OUT TO 60 NM.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY MARINE INTERESTS
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN
BAY...AS WELL AS THE LAGUNA MADRE FROM PORT BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN
BAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION LAST MINUTE PREPARATIONS THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THOSE OUT IN THE GULF
SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH THE DURATION OF DOLLYS WINDS AND SEAS. THOSE IN PORT
SHOULD FINISH MOVING THEIR CRAFT TO SAFE STORAGE OR SECURELY TYING
DOWN BOATS AND RAISING THEM SUFFICIENTLY ABOVE THE WATER LEVEL.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 3 TO 5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS NEAR THE PORT BROWNSVILLE SHIP
CHANNEL. PLEASE NOTE THAT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND A FURTHER
SLOWING COULD RAISE POTENTIAL SURGE BY A FOOT OR TWO.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS THIS
MORNING...EXCEPT GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN FEEDER BANDS
BEYOND 20 NM OUT THROUGH NOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL ARRIVE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 PM IN THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM OUT AND
AFTER 7 PM ELSEWHERE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY IN THE
WATERS EAST OF PORT MANSFIELD AND POINTS SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS DOLLY APPROACHES AND CONTINUES TO
STRENGTHEN.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NEARLY CERTAIN OVER THE MARINE
AREAS...WITH PROBABILITY NOW ABOVE 90 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WIND IS NOW BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP IN STRONGER FEEDER BANDS
FROM THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE MARINE
WARNINGS AND ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS FOR INDIVIDUAL CELLS OR BANDS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AROUND 130 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-222000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1139 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

INITIAL FEEDER BANDS WILL RACE ASHORE FROM SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TO
BROWNSVILLE BEFORE NOON...AND ANOTHER BAND WILL REACH INTO WILLACY
AND THE REMAINDER OF CAMERON COUNTY BETWEEN NOON AND 1 PM. EACH
BAND WILL INCLUDE A 15 MINUTE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS AS WELL AS BRIEF
WIND GUSTS AT OR JUST BELOW 40 MPH. OTHERWISE...DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE STRENGTHENING TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE LATER TODAY WHILE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN BENDING TO THE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE
LATER TODAY...CONTINUING TONIGHT. IT IS VIRTUALLY CERTAIN FOR AT LEAST
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ACROSS THE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY LATER TONIGHT
AND ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS NEAR THE
COAST...INCLUDING PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...AND PORT
MANSFIELD.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION LAST MINUTE
PREPAREDNESS AND PROTECTION. MOBILE HOME AND RECREATIONAL VEHICLE
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO EVACUATE FROM THE COASTAL ZONE DUE TO
EXPECTED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. OTHERS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS INCLUDING BOARDING UP WINDOWS...SECURING DOORS AND
GARAGE DOORS...AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS KITS TO
HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE
EXPECTED..AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TONIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH 1.5 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE LAGUNA
MADRE OF UP TO 3 TO 5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS NEAR THE PORT BROWNSVILLE SHIP
CHANNEL. PLEASE NOTE THAT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND A FURTHER
SLOWING COULD RAISE POTENTIAL SURGE BY A FOOT OR TWO.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY MID
AFTERNOON...GUSTING NEAR 40 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY
DROP TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS EVENING BUT WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS HEAD INLAND.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT...AND
BECOMING NEAR CERTAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS
POSSIBLY ARRIVING BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. 

DANGEROUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL
HAVE DAMAGE...SOME COULD BE DESTROYED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE
WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER
OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NOW 80 TO 95 PERCENT
ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS NOW AROUND 20 TO 30 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON IN ANY STRONGER
CELLS WITHIN THE OUTER FEEDER BANDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ253>255-222000-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1139 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

INITIAL FEEDER BANDS WILL RACE ASHORE FROM SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TO
BROWNSVILLE BEFORE NOON...AND ANOTHER BAND WILL REACH INTO WILLACY
AND THE REMAINDER OF CAMERON COUNTY BETWEEN NOON AND 1 PM. EACH
BAND WILL INCLUDE A 15 MINUTE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS AS WELL AS BRIEF
WIND GUSTS AT OR JUST BELOW 40 MPH. OTHERWISE...DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE STRENGTHENING TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE LATER TODAY WHILE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN BENDING TO THE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE
LATER TODAY...CONTINUING TONIGHT. IT IS BECOMING MORE CERTAIN FOR AT
LEAST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ACROSS
SOME COMMUNITIES OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY LATER TONIGHT AND
ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY...PARTICULARLY IN CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
POPULATED SECTION OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS FROM HARLINGEN TO BROWNSVILLE SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
LAST MINUTE PREPAREDNESS AND PROTECTION. MOBILE HOME AND
RECREATIONAL VEHICLE RESIDENTS MAY WISH TO EVACUATE FROM AREAS
SUCH AS BROWNSVILLE...INDIAN LAKE...AND LOS FRESNOS DUE TO THE
INCREASING PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS. OTHERS
SHOULD COMPLETE PREPARATIONS INCLUDING BOARDING UP WINDOWS...SECURING
DOORS AND GARAGE DOORS...AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. SHOULD HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCUR...
NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES WOULD BE LIKELY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THROUGH TONIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH 1.5 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE LAGUNA
MADRE OF UP TO 3 TO 5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS NEAR THE PORT BROWNSVILLE SHIP
CHANNEL. PLEASE NOTE THAT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND A FURTHER
SLOWING COULD RAISE POTENTIAL SURGE BY A FOOT OR TWO.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY MID
AFTERNOON...GUSTING NEAR 40 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY
DROP TO 10 TO 20 MPH THIS EVENING BUT WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS HEAD INLAND.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY BY LATE TONIGHT...AND
BECOMING NEAR CERTAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH HURRICANE FORCE
GUSTS POSSIBLY ARRIVING TO BROWNSVILLE AND PERHAPS HARLINGEN BY
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL BE DAMAGED. UNFASTENED HOME
ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS OF WIRES WILL BE
BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NOW 80 TO 95 PERCENT
ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES...EXCEPT 70 TO 80 PERCENT IN HIDALGO COUNTY...WHILE
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NOW AROUND 20
PERCENT...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT IN HIDALGO COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD BEGIN MOVING ACROSS COMMUNITIES AWAY FROM
THE COAST PERHAPS AS SOON AS NOON...AND COULD BRIEFLY BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS TOWARD EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A BREAK. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE BRIEF BUT HEAVY...AND NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA NOW SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 12 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS
CLOSE TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT TO POSSIBLY SEVERE FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY WHEN RAINS ARE MORE
PERSISTENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY. IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS COULD APPROACH 7 FEET. OTHER
POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5 FEET.
ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS
WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING WILL BE HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT FOR
EMERGENCIES DURING AND AFTER THE HEAVY RAINS.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF DOLLY MOVE INLAND.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT IS NEXT SCHEDULED TO BE UPDATED AT 130 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ248-249-252-222000-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-
1139 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS NOW STRENGTHENING AND MAY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY...AND IS ALSO SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOTION. SHOULD DOLLY
CONTINUE MOVING AT 10 MPH OR MORE...THE CHANCES INCREASE FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
WESTERN LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED
TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY EVENING. WINDS WILL
FURTHER INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATER TONIGHT. HIGHER GUSTS IN
OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY ARRIVE BY
MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM IS NOW 55 TO 70 PERCENT...WHILE
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NOW AROUND 5 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

OUTER RAIN BANDS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANY EARLY RAINS THROUGH
THIS EVENING WILL BE BRIEF BUT HEAVY...AND NO FLOODING IS
EXPECTED.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE
PERSISTENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS EVENING IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 130 PM CDT.

$$

52/BSG

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 222209
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
509 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE DOLLY BEARING DOWN ON THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...

.DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS INCLUDES SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...PORT MANSFIELD...AND SECTIONS OF
BROWNSVILLE AND LOS FRESNOS.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

STORM SYNOPSIS:  AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 165 MILES... 265 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE
TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH THE
COASTS OF NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS LATER TONIGHT.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.


TXZ251-256-257-230430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
509 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...NOW A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY
TOWARD THE COAST. THE INNER CORE OF THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE NOW EDGED
TO WITHIN 100 MILES OF THE COAST AT BOCA CHICA BEACH. SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS FROM STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS
SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. MOBILE HOME OR
RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD EVACUATE TO BE ON THE SAFE SIDE

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS NEAR THE
COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY INCLUDING SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...PORT MANSFIELD...AND BAYVIEW.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...REACHING 20
TO 30 MPH BY 9 PM. THE MIDDLE EYEWALL OF DOLLY IS ASSOCIATED WITH
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THESE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST BETWEEN 11 PM AND 1 AM. HURRICANE
FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AS THE INNER
EYEWALL REACHES THE COAST. IN ALL AREAS...FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK UNTIL JUST BEFORE
NOON. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WITH DIRECTION SHIFTING
FROM NORTH TO EAST.

DANGEROUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL
HAVE DAMAGE...SOME COULD BE DESTROYED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER
OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT
ISABEL...AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 5 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...INLAND FLOODING...

PERSISTENT RAIN...LOCALLY HEAVY WILL ARRIVE WITH THE MIDDLE EYEWALL
BETWEEN 11 PM AND 1 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BEGINNING
BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 HOURS. 6 TO 8
INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF
THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE
IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON
AFTER DAYBREAK...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO
SLOW DOWN.  

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER **TODAY OR TONIGHT OR NEXT DAY**.
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS MAIN
ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT FOR
EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

TORNADOES ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THE INNER CORE OF DOLLY ARRIVES.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR TORNADOES ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THE SYSTEM AS WINDS BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND FAVOR BETTER
ROTATING CELLS.

...BEACH EROSION...

SEAS CONTINUE TO RISE QUICKLY JUST OFFSHORE...AND WAVES ARE
REACHING PAST THE DUNE LINE ALONG SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AS OF THIS
EVENING. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS NORTH
TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE TO DRIVE INCREASING WAVES INTO THE
COAST. SHOULD DOLLY SLOW FURTHER...SEVERE BEACH EROSION COULD
DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-230430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
509 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE CORE OF DOLLEY IS NOW LESS THAN 40 NM FROM THE 60 NM MARKER
DUE EAST OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR 60
KNOTS ARE IN THIS CORE...AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS
BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM AND COVER MOST OF THE MARINE WATERS
ESPECIALLY THOSE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD BY MIDNIGHT. A SMALL CORE
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL CROSS THESE WATERS BETWEEN 2 AND 5
AM...PERHAPS CONTINUING THROUGH MID MORNING WEDNESDAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING BACK TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 20 FEET OR PERHAPS A BIT HIGHER LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH VERY ROUGH
CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.

MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION LAST MINUTE PREPARATIONS
IMMEDIATELY THOSE OUT IN THE GULF SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR AS
SOON AS POSSIBLE...AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THE DURATION OF
DOLLYS WINDS AND SEAS. THOSE IN PORT SHOULD FINISH MOVING THEIR
CRAFT TO SAFE STORAGE OR SECURELY TYING DOWN BOATS AND RAISING
THEM SUFFICIENTLY ABOVE THE WATER LEVEL BEFORE 9 PM TONIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT
ISABEL...AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 5 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ253>255-230430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
509 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...NOW A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY
TOWARD THE COAST. THE INNER CORE OF THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE NOW EDGED
TO WITHIN 100 MILES OF THE COAST AT BOCA CHICA BEACH. SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS FROM STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS JUST AFTER DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY IN
BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...AND LOS FRESNOS. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE
COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. MOBILE HOME OR RECREATIONAL
VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD EVACUATE TO BE ON THE SAFE SIDE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
POPULATED AREAS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES...INCLUDING
BROWNSVILLLE...HARLINGEN...AND RAYMONDVILLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...

PERSISTENT RAIN...LOCALLY HEAVY WILL ARRIVE WITH THE MIDDLE EYEWALL
BETWEEN 11 PM AND 1 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BEGINNING
BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 HOURS. 6 TO 8
INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF
THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE
IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON
AFTER DAYBREAK...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO
SLOW DOWN.  

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER **TODAY OR TONIGHT OR NEXT DAY**.
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS MAIN
ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT FOR
EMERGENCIES.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...REACHING 20
TO 30 MPH BY 10 OR 11 PM. THE MIDDLE EYEWALL OF DOLLY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS...40 TO 50
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST BETWEEN
11 PM AND 1 AM...AND MOVE INLAND TO THE MORE POPULATED REGIONS
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE
FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 6 AND 10 AM AS THE INNER EYEWALL
PROGRESSES INLAND. IN ALL AREAS...FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED FROM JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK UNTIL NOON. SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH MOST OF
THE DAY...WITH DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO EAST.

FOR WIND 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS 70 TO 80 MPH:

DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT
ISABEL...AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 5 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...TORNADOES...

TORNADOES ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THE INNER CORE OF DOLLY ARRIVES.
HOWEVER...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR TORNADOES ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THE SYSTEM AS WINDS BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND FAVOR BETTER
ROTATING CELLS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-230430-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
509 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS NOW A MINIMAL HURRICANE...AND IS ALSO SLOWING ITS FORWARD
MOTION. SHOULD DOLLY CONTINUE MOVING AT 10 MPH OR MORE...THE
CHANCES INCREASE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS THE WESTERN LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. EVEN WITH ADDITIONAL
SLOWING...ENOUGH ENERGY SHOULD BE MAINTAINED TO PRODUCE A PERIOD
OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
WESTERN LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED
TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS EVENING. WINDS
WILL FURTHER INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATER TONIGHT. HIGHER GUSTS
IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
SHOULD ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NOW 60 TO 75
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NOW 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SHOULD BEGIN IN BROOKS COUNTY BETWEEN 6 AND 10
AM...AND IN STARR...JIM HOGG...AND ZAPATA COUNTIES BETWEEN 8 AM
AND NOON. HEAVIEST RAINS WILL ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING IN
BROOKS COUNTY...AND JUST AFTER NOON ELSEWHERE. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST AS
TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE
PERSISTENT. 

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK
FULL. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME
STREAMS OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY
FLOOD NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE MINIMAL.
SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT. DRIVING IS
HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES NOT EXPECTED UNTIL LATE MORNING IN ANY EARLY
BANDS...THEN AGAIN AFTER THE MAIN CORE PASSES AND WINDS BECOME
MORE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY BEHIND THE CORE ESPECIALLY BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 PM CDT.

$$

52/BSG

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 230136
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
836 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE DOLLY BEARING DOWN ON THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...

.DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS INCLUDES SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...PORT MANSFIELD...AND SECTIONS OF
BROWNSVILLE AND LOS FRESNOS.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SEVERAL 
POWER LINES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN PRODUCING LOCAL POWER OUTAGES THAT 
WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

STORM SYNOPSIS: AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE
TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
160 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH THE
COASTS OF NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS BY 10 PM TONIGHT.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES...OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
836 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IMMINENT. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WINDS
WILL REACH THE 60 NM MARKER AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH SUSTAINED
HURRICANE WINDS BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM...PERHAPS CONTINUING THROUGH
MID MORNING WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING BACK TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 20 FEET OR PERHAPS A BIT HIGHER LATE
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH VERY ROUGH
CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.

MARINERS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION LAST MINUTE PREPARATIONS
IMMEDIATELY THOSE OUT IN THE GULF SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR AS
SOON AS POSSIBLE...AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THE DURATION OF
DOLLYS WINDS AND SEAS. THOSE IN PORT SHOULD FINISH MOVING THEIR
CRAFT TO SAFE STORAGE OR SECURELY TYING DOWN BOATS AND RAISING
THEM SUFFICIENTLY ABOVE THE WATER LEVEL BEFORE 9 PM TONIGHT.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 2 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT
ISABEL...AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
836 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY
TOWARD THE COAST. STRONG RAIN BANDS ARE NOW 25 TO 50 MILES EAST OF
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND MOVING STEADILY EAST. THESE BANDS WILL HAVE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH OR GREATER. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS
MOVE INLAND. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 
ARE ANTICIPATED. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES. MOBILE HOME OR RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD
EVACUATE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS NEAR THE
COAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY INCLUDING SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...PORT MANSFIELD...AND BAYVIEW.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THERE IS A FLASH WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 2 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT
ISABEL...AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...REACHING
25 TO 40 MPH BY 9 PM. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS...40 TO 50
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL REACH THE COAST BETWEEN 10 PM AND
MIDNIGHT.  HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 4
AND 7 AM AS THE INNER EYEWALL REACHES THE COAST. IN ALL
AREAS...FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM JUST
BEFORE DAYBREAK UNTIL JUST BEFORE NOON. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE
DAY...WITH DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO EAST.

DANGEROUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL
HAVE DAMAGE...SOME COULD BE DESTROYED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE
POWER
OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WITH LOCAL DOWNPOURS WILL ARRIVE WITH
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS BETWEEN 10 AND 1 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL BECOMING MORE FREQUENT BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY
CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 HOURS. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3
TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR
AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON AFTER DAYBREAK...IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER **TODAY OR TONIGHT OR NEXT DAY**.
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND
SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS CAN ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND BETWEEN 8
PM AND 11 PM. AN INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS CENTER APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

...BEACH EROSION...

SEAS CONTINUE TO RISE QUICKLY JUST OFFSHORE...AND WAVES ARE
REACHING PAST THE DUNE LINE ALONG SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AS OF THIS
EVENING. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS NORTH
TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE TO DRIVE INCREASING WAVES INTO THE
COAST. SHOULD DOLLY SLOW FURTHER...SEVERE BEACH EROSION COULD
DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.

$$

TXZ253>255-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
836 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY
TOWARD THE COAST. STRONG RAIN BANDS ARE NOW 25 TO 50 MILES EAST OF
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND MOVING STEADILY EAST. THESE BANDS WILL HAVE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH OR GREATER. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS
MOVE INLAND. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE ANTICIPATED. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES. MOBILE HOME OR RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD
EVACUATE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
POPULATED AREAS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES...INCLUDING
BROWNSVILLLE...HARLINGEN...AND RAYMONDVILLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THERE IS A FLASH WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WITH LOCAL DOWNPOURS WILL ARRIVE WITH
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS BETWEEN 10 AND 1 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL BECOMING MORE FREQUENT BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY
CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 HOURS. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3
TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR
AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON AFTER DAYBREAK...IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER **TODAY OR TONIGHT OR NEXT DAY**.
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND
SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS CAN ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND BETWEEN 8
PM AND 11 PM. AN INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS CENTER APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...REACHING
25 TO 40 MPH BETWEEN 10 PM AND 1 AM. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL REACH THE LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 2 AM WITH HURRICANE FORCE
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AS THE INNER
EYEWALL REACHES THE COAST AND MOVES INLAND. IN ALL AREAS...FREQUENT
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK UNTIL
JUST BEFORE NOON. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...WITH
DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO EAST.

DANGEROUS WINDS ARE POSSIBLE

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL
HAVE DAMAGE...SOME COULD BE DESTROYED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE
POWER
OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
836 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY
TOWARD THE COAST. STRONG RAIN BANDS ARE NOW 25 TO 50 MILES EAST OF
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND MOVING STEADILY EAST. THESE BANDS WILL HAVE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH OR GREATER. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS
MOVE INLAND. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE ANTICIPATED. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES. MOBILE HOME OR RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD
EVACUATE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
WESTERN LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THERE IS A FLASH WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED
TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
INCREASING FURTHER NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE AROUND MID MORNING
WEDNESDAY. HIGHER GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND
CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NOW 60 TO 75
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NOW 5 TO
10 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SHOULD BEGIN IN BROOKS COUNTY BETWEEN 6 AND
10 AM...AND IN STARR...JIM HOGG...AND ZAPATA COUNTIES BETWEEN 8
AM AND NOON. HEAVIEST RAINS WILL ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING IN
BROOKS COUNTY...AND JUST AFTER NOON ELSEWHERE. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST AS
TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE
PERSISTENT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS
BANK FULL. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME
STREAMS OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY
FLOOD NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS CAN ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND BETWEEN 8
PM AND 11 PM. AN INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS CENTER APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT.

$$

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 230333
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1033 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...DOLLY STRENGTHENS SOME...MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER...

.AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES... 175 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.  

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.  A
FURTHER REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST
NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.  

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.  

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD
BEGIN TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.  

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

TXZ251-256-257-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1033 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY
TOWARD THE COAST. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD IS ABOUT 30 MILES EAST OF
SHORE...WITH BROKEN RAIN BANDS MOVING THROUGH CAMERON COUNTY. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS.
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE INLAND. AS THE
CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. MOBILE
HOME OR RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD EVACUATE NOW.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 2 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT
ISABEL...AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...REACHING
25 TO 40 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS...40 TO 50
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL REACH THE COAST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND
2 AM. HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 5 AND
9 AM AS THE INNER EYEWALL REACHES THE COAST. IN ALL
AREAS...FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM JUST
BEFORE DAYBREAK UNTIL JUST BEFORE NOON. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE
DAY...WITH DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO EAST.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER
OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 80
PERCENT...WITH AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE HAVING A PROBABILITY
NEAR 100 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10
TO 20 PERCENT FOR KENEDY COUNTY AND UP TO 30 PERCENT FOR WILLACY
AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WITH LOCAL DOWNPOURS WILL ARRIVE WITH
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS BETWEEN 10 AND 1 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL BECOMING MORE FREQUENT BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY
CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 HOURS. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3
TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH
OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON AFTER DAYBREAK...IN
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER **TODAY OR TONIGHT OR NEXT DAY**.
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND
SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND BETWEEN 8
PM AND 11 PM. AN INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS CENTER APPROACHES THE COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1033 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE MOVING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IMMINENT. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WINDS
WILL REACH THE 60 NM MARKER AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH SUSTAINED
HURRICANE WINDS BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM...PERHAPS CONTINUING THROUGH
MID MORNING WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING BACK TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

SEAS CURRENTLY AT 13 FEET OFFSHORE WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 20 FEET OR
PERHAPS A BIT HIGHER LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT WHITE
CAPS. BEAUFORT SCALE 12 CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF
THE STRONGEST WINDS DURING THIS PERIOD.

ALL MARINERS SHOULD BE IN PORT NOW. ANY MARINERS NOT IN PORT
SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...


PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	TORNADO WATCH.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 2 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT
ISABEL...AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

WINDS ARE NEARING TROPICAL STORM FORCE NOW AND SHOULD REACH THAT
THRESHOLD BY MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 20 NM FROM THE
CENTER...AND SHOULD REACH THE AREA NEAR SUNRISE TOMORROW.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS GREATER THAN 90
PERCENT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS...WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 10 PERCENT IN THE NORTHERN COASTAL
ZONES TO NEAR 40 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHERN AREA.

...TORNADOES...

WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS AWAY FROM
THE CENTER.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2AM.

$$

TXZ253>255-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1033 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THIS
INTENSITY THROUGH LANDFALL TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OUTER RAINBAND ARE
BEGINNING TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD
REACHING THE COAST JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE
COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF
SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
	TORNADO WATCH.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS REACHING THE COAST MIDMORNING
WEDNESDAY. 

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 80
PERCENT...WITH MOST OF CAMERON COUNTY ABOVE 90 PERCENT. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 10
PERCENT...WITH AREAS IN CAMERON COUNTY AROUND 35 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WITH LOCAL DOWNPOURS WILL ARRIVE WITH
THE OUTER RAIN BANDS BETWEEN 10 AND 1 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL BECOMING MORE FREQUENT BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY
CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 HOURS. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3
TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR
AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON AFTER DAYBREAK...IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER **TODAY OR TONIGHT OR NEXT DAY**.
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND
SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.


...TORNADOES...

TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE ASHORE
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE
NORTH OF THE CENTER. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-230700-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
1033 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A MINIMAL CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY
TOWARD THE COAST. STRONG RAIN BANDS ARE NOW 25 TO 50 MILES EAST
OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND MOVING STEADILY EAST. THESE BANDS WILL HAVE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 60 MPH OR GREATER. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS
MOVE INLAND. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ARE ANTICIPATED. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES. MOBILE HOME OR RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD
EVACUATE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED
TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
INCREASING FURTHER NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE AROUND MID MORNING
WEDNESDAY. HIGHER GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE
MORNING...AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN 40 TO 60
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SHOULD BEGIN IN BROOKS COUNTY BETWEEN 6 AND
10 AM...AND IN STARR...JIM HOGG...AND ZAPATA COUNTIES BETWEEN 8
AM AND NOON. HEAVIEST RAINS WILL ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING IN
BROOKS COUNTY...AND JUST AFTER NOON ELSEWHERE. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST
AS TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE
PERSISTENT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS
BANK FULL. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME
STREAMS OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND
MAY
FLOOD NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE INLAND AFTER 3 AM. AN INCREASE CHANCE
OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS CENTER APPROACHES THE
COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 AM CDT.

$$


64

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 230722
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
222 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...RAINBANDS OF DOLLY CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST...

.AT 1 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A FURTHER
REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE GULF 
COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH
THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-240730-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
222 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS
WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IMMINENT. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL REACH THE INTO THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND SOUTHERN BAY
WATERS FROM 3 AND 6 AM THIS MORNING...PERHAPS CONTINUING THROUGH MID
MORNING TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING BACK TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ON TODAY.

SEAS CURRENTLY AT 15 FEET OFFSHORE WILL BUILD TO NEAR 20 FEET OR
PERHAPS A BIT HIGHER THROUGHOUT TODAY...ALONG WITH VERY ROUGH
CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS. BEAUFORT SCALE 12 CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS DURING THIS
PERIOD.

ALL MARINERS SHOULD BE IN PORT NOW. ANY MARINERS NOT IN PORT
SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 	TORNADO WATCH.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 2 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...AND
ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS MORNING WITH 
A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE
OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT TODAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE.
SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF WATER
ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE LAGUNA MADRE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 20
NAUTICAL MILES FROM THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND SHOULD REACH THE AREA
NEAR SUNRISE TOMORROW.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS GREATER THAN 90
PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 10 PERCENT IN THE
NORTHERN COASTAL ZONES TO NEAR 40 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHERN AREA.

...TORNADOES...

WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS AWAY FROM
THE CENTER.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 AM.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-240730-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
222 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE
U.S./MEXICO BORDER. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 1 TO
3 HOURS. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE INLAND.
AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING MORNING 
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. MOBILE
HOME OR RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD EVACUATE NOW.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
 	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 2 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...
AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH A FINAL
SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH TIDE EARLY
TODAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE DAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE.
SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF WATER
ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL REACH
THE COAST BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM. HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 7 AND 10 AM AS THE INNER EYEWALL REACHES THE
COAST. IN ALL AREAS...FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
FROM JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK UNTIL JUST BEFORE NOON. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH
MOST OF THE DAY...WITH DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO EAST.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS
OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD POP...AND SOME POWER POLES
MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 80
PERCENT...WITH AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE HAVING A PROBABILITY
NEAR 100 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR
AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER IS 10 TO 20 PERCENT. 

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WILL SPREAD WEST WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
BETWEEN 2 AND 4 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BECOMING MORE FREQUENT
BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 HOURS. 6 TO 8
INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF
THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE
IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON
AFTER DAYBREAK...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING
THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY
CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN 
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND. AN
INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS CENTER
APPROACHES THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ253>255-240730-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
222 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THIS
INTENSITY THROUGH LANDFALL AROUND MIDDAY TODAY. OUTER RAINBANDS 
ARE BEGINNING TO ENTER INTO BROOKS AND HIDALGO COUNTIES...WITH
THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD PUSHING INTO WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND
SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
	TORNADO WATCH.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND LATER THIS
MORNING...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS REACHING THE COAST TOWARDS
MIDDAY TODAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS FROM 55 TO 85 PERCENT...WITH
MOST OF CAMERON COUNTY ABOVE 90 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT...WITH AREAS IN CAMERON
COUNTY AROUND 20 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WILL SPREAD WEST WITH THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 AM...WITH TORRENTIAL RAINFALL BECOMING MORE
FREQUENT BETWEEN 4 AND 7 AM AND LIKELY CONTINUING FOR UP TO 6 TO
12 HOURS. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE
CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER EYEWALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG
AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS
LIKELY TO BEGIN SOON AFTER DAYBREAK...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST
AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY
IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN 
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE
ASHORE. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-240730-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
222 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THIS
INTENSITY THROUGH LANDFALL AROUND MIDDAY TODAY. OUTER RAINBANDS 
ARE BEGINNING TO ENTER INTO BROOKS AND HIDALGO COUNTIES...WITH
THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD PUSHING INTO WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND
SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 	FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED
TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATER THIS MORNING. 
INCREASING NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE AROUND MID MORNING WEDNESDAY.
HIGHER GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE
INTO THE AFTERNOON. 

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN 20 TO 35 PERCENT
FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS LESS THAN 3 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SHOULD BEGIN IN BROOKS COUNTY BETWEEN 6 AND
10 AM...AND IN STARR...JIM HOGG...AND ZAPATA COUNTIES BETWEEN 8
AM AND NOON. HEAVIEST RAINS WILL ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING IN
BROOKS COUNTY...AND JUST AFTER NOON ELSEWHERE. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST
AS TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE
PERSISTENT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME STREAMS OR
ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE INLAND AFTER 3 AM. AN INCREASE CHANCE
OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS CENTER APPROACHES THE
COAST THIS MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 AM CDT.

$$

SPEECE

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 231032
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
532 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...EYE WALL OF HURRICANE DOLLY 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PORT
ISABEL WITH RAIN BANDS INCREASING IN STRENGTH...

.AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A FURTHER
REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE GULF COAST
NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH
THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-231445-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
532 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

OUTER CORE OF RAIN BANDS ARE MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND
GULF WATERS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IMMINENT. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE INTO THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND
SOUTHERN BAY WATERS FROM 8 TO 11 AM THIS MORNING...PERHAPS
CONTINUING THROUGH MID MORNING TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING BACK TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY ON TODAY.

SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN AT THESE
HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT
WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT SCALE 12 CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS DURING THIS PERIOD.

ALL MARINERS SHOULD BE IN PORT NOW. ANY MARINERS NOT IN PORT
SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...
AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS MORNING
WITH A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH
TIDE OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT TODAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE LAGUNA MADRE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 20
NAUTICAL MILES FROM THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND SHOULD REACH THE
AREA MID TO LATE MORNING WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS GREATER THAN 90
PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 10 PERCENT IN THE
NORTHERN COASTAL ZONES TO NEAR 40 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHERN AREA.

...TORNADOES...

WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS AWAY FROM
THE CENTER.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 AM.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-231445-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
532 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE
U.S./MEXICO BORDER. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT
1 TO 3 HOURS. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
INLAND. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING MORNING
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES. MOBILE
HOME OR RECREATIONAL VEHICLE OWNERS SHOULD EVACUATE NOW.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.
 TORNADO WATCH.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...
AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS MORNING
WITH A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH
TIDE OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT TODAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.


ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
REACH THE COAST BETWEEN 7 TO 10 AM. HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10 AM AND NOON AS THE INNER EYE WALL
REACHES THE COAST. IN ALL AREAS...FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY. INTERMITTENT SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH
MOST OF THE DAY...WITH DIRECTION SHIFTING FROM NORTH TO EAST.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER OUTAGES...
HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD POP...AND SOME
POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 80
PERCENT...WITH AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE HAVING A
PROBABILITY NEAR 100 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS FOR AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER IS AROUND 20
PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WILL SPREAD WEST WITH THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS THIS MORNING AND THE INNER RAIN BANDS AROUND NOON AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE MORNING AND THE AFTERNOON. 
6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE
CORE OF THE INNER EYE WALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH
OF THE IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TODAY
...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT TODAY AND
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW
DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND. AN
INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS CENTER
APPROACHES THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ253>255-231445-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
532 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE
U.S./MEXICO BORDER. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE
INCREASED TO 85 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 60 MPH OR GREATER WILL BEGIN WITHIN THE NEXT 1 TO 3
HOURS. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE INLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.
        TORNADO WATCH.


...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND LATER THIS
MORNING...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS REACHING THE COAST TOWARDS
MIDDAY TODAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS FROM 55 TO
85 PERCENT...WITH MOST OF CAMERON COUNTY ABOVE 90 PERCENT. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 5 TO 10
PERCENT...WITH AREAS IN CAMERON COUNTY AROUND 20 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

INTERMITTENT HEAVY RAIN...WILL SPREAD WEST WITH THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS THIS MORNING AND THE INNER RAIN BANDS AROUND NOON AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE MORNING AND THE AFTERNOON. 
6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE
CORE OF THE INNER EYE WALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH
OF THE IMMEDIATE CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TODAY
...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT TODAY AND
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW
DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE
ASHORE. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-231445-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
532 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THIS
INTENSITY THROUGH LANDFALL AROUND MIDDAY TODAY. OUTER RAIN BANDS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS BROOKS AND HIDALGO COUNTIES THIS
MORNING...WITH THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD PUSHING INTO WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS AND SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION
OF THE STORM. HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. 

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THESE SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND...THUS THESE SHOULD
BE MOVED INDOORS TODAY. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED
TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY BASED ON EXPECTED
RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.


...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATER THIS MORNING.
INCREASING NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE AROUND NOON WEDNESDAY.
HIGHER GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE
INTO THE AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN 20 TO 35 PERCENT
FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS LESS THAN 3 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL SHOULD BEGIN IN BROOKS COUNTY BETWEEN 6 AND
10 AM...AND IN STARR...JIM HOGG...AND ZAPATA COUNTIES BETWEEN 8
AM AND NOON. HEAVIEST RAINS WILL ARRIVE BY MID TO LATE MORNING IN
BROOKS COUNTY...AND JUST AFTER NOON ELSEWHERE. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST
AS TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE BETWEEN LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS WEDNESDAY BY MID
DAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE
PERSISTENT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME STREAMS OR
ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE INLAND AFTER 3 AM. AN INCREASE CHANCE
OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS CENTER APPROACHES THE
COAST THIS MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 AM CDT.

$$

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 231421
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS 40 MILES EAST OF BROWNSVILLE WITH RAIN
BANDS INCREASING IN STRENGTH...

.AT 8 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES EAST
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A SLIGHT DECREASE 
REDUCTION IN THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY
WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 95 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...BUT MAY REACH CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. 
PORT ISABEL REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 72 MPH...AND MATAMOROS MEXICO
REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH. 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES. 

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 967 MB.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

TXZ253>255-241430-
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0100Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE U.S./MEXICO BORDER.
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 95 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS ENTERED INTO THE EASTERN
HALF OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
AS THESE BANDS MOVE INLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.
 TORNADO WATCH.

...WINDS...

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OVER WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO HIDALGO COUNTY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. 

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS FROM 55 TO
85 PERCENT...WITH MOST OF CAMERON COUNTY ABOVE 90 PERCENT. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 5 TO 10
PERCENT...WITH AREAS IN CAMERON COUNTY AROUND 20 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD WEST WITH THE OUTER RAIN BANDS THIS
MORNING AND THE INNER RAIN BANDS AROUND NOON AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE DAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
FREQUENT THROUGH THE MORNING AND THE AFTERNOON. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER
EYE WALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE
CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS MOVE
ASHORE. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-241430-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0100Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE AND MAY REACH CATEGORY TWO
STRENGTH THROUGH LANDFALL AROUND MIDDAY TODAY. OUTER RAIN BANDS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA COUNTIES
THIS MORNING. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS AND SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION
OF THE STORM. HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO EXCEED MORE THAN 50 MPH...THIS SPEED WILL BE ENOUGH
TO MOVE UNFASTENED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS AROUND. PEOPLE LIVING IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF UP TO 8 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATER THIS MORNING. 
INCREASING TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. HIGHER GUSTS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE POSSIBLE. 

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN 20 TO 35 PERCENT
FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS LESS THAN 3 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...AND
ZAPATA COUNTIES BETWEEN 9 AM AND 1 PM TODAY. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST AS
TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO THE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY TODAY...AND MORE 
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND
PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME STREAMS OR
ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT RAIN
BANDS MOVE OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. 

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-241430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS STEADILY APPROACHING THE
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA
MADRE AND OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON COUNTY
TEXAS. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN
AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND
SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.

ALL MARINERS SHOULD BE IN PORT NOW. 

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...
AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS MORNING
WITH A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH
TIDE OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT TODAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS STEADILY APPROACHING THE
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA
MADRE AND OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON COUNTY
TEXAS. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN
AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND
SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS GREATER THAN 90
PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 10 PERCENT IN THE
NORTHERN COASTAL ZONES TO NEAR 40 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHERN AREA.

...TORNADOES...

WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES
OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS AWAY FROM
THE CENTER.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-241430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
921 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE
U.S./MEXICO BORDER. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH OR GREATER ARE OCCURRING ACROSS MUCH OF
THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL COUNTIES AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT ACROSS COASTAL CAMERON AND COASTAL
WILLACY COUNTIES. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE 
INLAND. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING MORNING
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
 
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.
 TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE NOW RUNNING NEAR 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT PORT ISABEL...
AND ADDITIONAL GRADUAL RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS MORNING
WITH A FINAL SURGE ARRIVING NEAR OR AROUND TIME OF THE LOWER HIGH
TIDE OF THE DAY EARLY ON WEDNESDAY.

AT SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...THE TIDE IS PREDICTED TO BE 1 FOOT ABOVE
MEAN LOW LOWER WATER...WITH SIMILAR VALUES PREDICTED AT PORT
ISABEL AT AROUND THE SAME TIME. AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE
WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT TODAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN TO THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST...CONTINUING TO PUSH ADDITIONAL WATER ONSHORE.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE.
SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF WATER
ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES.  SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE.

...WINDS...

NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING. SUSTAINED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
COASTAL AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. IN KENEDY COUNTY...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH FREQUENT HURRICANE
FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THROUGH MIDDAY. 

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.
OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND
WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF POOR TO
AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS
WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT
OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER OUTAGES...
HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD POP...AND SOME
POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 80
PERCENT...WITH AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE HAVING A
PROBABILITY NEAR 100 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS FOR AREAS CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER IS AROUND 20
PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS KENEDY...CAMERON AND
WILLACY COUNTIES THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE CORE OF THE INNER
EYE WALL...AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE IMMEDIATE
CENTER. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

EXTENSIVE FLOODING IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. IN THESE
AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME POWER
OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATER SPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS MOVE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND. AN
INCREASE CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS CENTER
APPROACHES THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 AM CDT.

$$

SPEECE

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 231633
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...THE EYE OF CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE DOLLY NEARING THE CAMERON
COUNTY COASTLINE...

.AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES EAST 
NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN THE WEST-NORTHWEST FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
EASTERN CAMERON COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 964 MB.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

TXZ253>255-241645-
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0300Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE CAMERON COUNTY
COASTLINE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED
TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
 	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DOLLY MAKES FINAL LANDFALL. THE EXPECTED
SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY
AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR ALREADY OCCURRING OVER
WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE
INTO HIDALGO COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT TODAY.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 45 TO 50
PERCENT IN CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES TODAY. THE PROBABILITY OF 
TROPICAL STORM WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS 75 TO 95 PERCENT. 
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS
FROM 15 TO 30 PERCENT WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OVER NORTHERN
HIDALGO COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALL OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SPIRAL BANDS WILL CONTINUING MOVING INLAND
THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND 4 TO 6 INCHES
JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 10 TO 15 INCHES. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING 
IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES
TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE DOLLY MOVES CLOSER TO EASTERN CAMERON COUNTY. 
THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. A
TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-241645-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0300Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AND WILL REMAIN SO UNTIL
LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON. OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA COUNTIES THIS MORNING. RESIDENTS
SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND SHOULD BE IN A
PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM. HEAVIER RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 	FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT
BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

CURRENTLY NORTH WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 30 MPH AND WILL INCREASE
TO 30 TO 40 MPH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS
STARR...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. 

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 60 TO 80 
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT. 

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...ZAPATA
AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST AS
TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS CLOSE TO
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY TODAY...AND MORE
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND PERHAPS BEYOND WHEN RAINS ARE MORE PERSISTENT.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. SOME STREAMS OR
ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-241645-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE CAMERON COUNTY
COASTLINE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED
TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION.

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS
GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS
CONCENTRATED OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND
OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON COUNTY TEXAS. SEAS
CURRENTLY RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN AT
THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS AND 
SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.

ALL MARINERS SHOULD BE IN PORT NOW.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DOLLY MAKES FINAL LANDFALL. THE EXPECTED
SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY
AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS STEADILY APPROACHING THE
CAMERON COUNTY COASTLINE LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE
LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE
SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF
CAMERON COUNTY TEXAS. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 FEET OFFSHORE
AND WILL REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. VERY ROUGH
CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT WHITE CAPS ARE BEING OBSERVED. BEAUFORT
SCALE 12 CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST
WINDS DURING THIS PERIOD.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE PROBABILITY
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FOR THE GULF WATERS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES
WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS DOLLY MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-241645-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1133 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS NEARING THE CAMERON COUNTY
COASTLINE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED
TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS THESE BANDS MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE CORE NEARS THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
 	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DOLLY MAKES FINAL LANDFALL. THE EXPECTED
SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY
AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES. IN
KENEDY COUNTY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH
FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THROUGH MIDDAY.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL LIKELY BE 
DESTROYED. OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF
POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE 
POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR COASTAL
WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON COUNTIES RANGES FROM 50 TO 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN SOUTHERN 
KENEDY COUNTY RANGE FROM 25 TO 50 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALL OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SPIRAL BANDS WILL CONTINUING MOVING INLAND
THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND 4 TO 6 INCHES
JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 10 TO 15 INCHES. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING 
IS LIKELY TODAY...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY ESPECIALLY IF DOLLY CONTINUES
TO SLOW DOWN.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. IN
THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND SOME
POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

AN INCREASED CHANCE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER OF
DOLLY APPROACHES THE WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTY COASTLINES OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. 

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1230 PM CDT.

$$

SPEECE

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 231854
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
154 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...THE EYEWALL OF CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE DOLLY CROSSING SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND AND EASTERN CAMERON COUNTY...

.AT 12 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES
NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MEANDERING OVER THE PAST ONE TO TWO HOURS...BUT WILL
RESUME A MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. ON THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE INLAND
OVER EASTERN CAMERON COUNTY AND EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DOLLY IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 967 MB.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

TXZ253>255-241900-
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0500Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
154 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
THURSDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS MOVING OVER THE WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTY PORTIONS OF PADRE ISLAND. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER OF DOLLY ARE 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS
MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS
THESE BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.  

THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS 
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36. 

RECENT RAINFALL TOTALS AS OF MIDDAY TODAY...BROWNSVILLE: 2.15
INCHES...BAYVIEW: 2.27 INCHES...MCALLEN: 0.28 INCHES...HARLINGEN:
1.68 INCHES...WESLACO: 0.51 INCHES...EDINBURG: 0.14 INCHES.  

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
 	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET.
TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO
THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
WHICH COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE
TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER EASTERN WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO
HIDALGO COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT TODAY.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 45 TO 50 PERCENT
IN EASTERN CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES TODAY. THE PROBABILITY OF
TROPICAL STORM WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS 75 TO 95 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY
IS FROM 15 TO 30 PERCENT WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OVER
NORTHERN HIDALGO COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALL OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS FROM 10 TO 12 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...LAGUNA VISTA AND LAGUNA HEIGHTS.  

THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WILL
CONTINUING MOVING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WILLACY AND
EASTERN CAMERON COUNTIES. 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE NEAR
THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 15 TO
20 INCHES DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF DOLLY. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND 
IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY.
THE SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND
HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. 
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND
SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE DOLLY MOVES ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE NEAR THE WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTY LINE. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH
OF THE CENTER. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY
AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 3 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-241900-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0500Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
154 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
THURSDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

RAIN BANDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA AND STARR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS
SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND SHOULD BE IN A
PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM. HEAVIER RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 	FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND 
TONIGHT BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

CURRENTLY NORTH WINDS RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AND WILL INCREASE
TO THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS
STARR...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING AND 
TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 60 TO 80
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT
OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN VALLEY WITH THE BEST PROBABILITY FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT OVER SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS
COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST AS
TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 INCHES IN PERSISTENT TORRENTIAL
RAINS NEAR THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY
TODAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE RAINS
FROM DOLLY LINGER. 

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS OR
ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 3 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-241900-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
154 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS CROSSING LAGUNA MADRE NEAR 
THE CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTY LINE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE INCREASED TO 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD
FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS
OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS
GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS
CONCENTRATED OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND
OUT TO 30 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES.
SEAS CURRENTLY RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 24 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL
REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. BEAUFORT SCALE 12
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE CORE OF THE STRONGEST WINDS
DURING THIS PERIOD.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET.
TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY AND
INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
WHICH COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE
TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS CROSSING THE SOUTHERN LAGUNA
MADRE NEAR THE CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTY LINE THIS AFTERNOON 
AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS. THE
STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER THE
LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT TO 30 NAUTICAL MILES
OFFSHORE. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 24 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL
REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHT. 

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE PROBABILITY
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FOR THE GULF WATERS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES
WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS DOLLY MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 3 PM.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-241900-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
154 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...IS MOVING OVER THE WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTY PORTIONS OF PADRE ISLAND. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER OF DOLLY ARE 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS
MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS
THESE BANDS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.  

THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS 
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36. 

RECENT RAINFALL TOTALS AS OF MIDDAY TODAY...BROWNSVILLE: 2.15
INCHES...BAYVIEW: 2.27 INCHES...MCALLEN: 0.28 INCHES...HARLINGEN:
1.68 INCHES...WESLACO: 0.51 INCHES...EDINBURG: 0.14 INCHES.  

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
 	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DOLLY MAKES FINAL LANDFALL. THE
EXPECTED SURGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE
FROM 4 TO 6 FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE
WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO
TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
WHICH COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE
TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE IMMINENT OR ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS THE EASTERN AREAS OF WILLACY AND THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
CAMERON COUNTY. IN KENEDY COUNTY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITH FREQUENT HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED FROM
THROUGH MIDDAY.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL LIKELY BE
DESTROYED. OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF
POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE
POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR COASTAL
WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON COUNTIES RANGES FROM 50 TO 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN SOUTHERN
KENEDY COUNTY RANGE FROM 25 TO 50 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALL OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS FROM 10 TO 12 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...LAGUNA VISTA AND LAGUNA HEIGHTS.  

THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WILL
CONTINUING MOVING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WILLACY AND
EASTERN CAMERON COUNTIES. 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE NEAR
THE CENTER OF DOLLY...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 15 TO
20 INCHES DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF DOLLY. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND 
IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY.
THE SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND
HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. 
IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR...AND
SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

AN INCREASED CHANCE OF TORNADOES IS POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER OF DOLLY
APPROACHES THE EASTERN WILLACY AND NORTHEASTERN CAMERON COUNTY
COASTLINES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 3 PM CDT.

$$

SPEECE

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 232023
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY MOVING STEADILY TOWARDS EASTERN
WILLACY COUNTY...

.AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF RAYMONDVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS NOW BACK TO MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 7 MPH. ON
THIS CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY IS NOW NEAR PORT
MANSFIELD AND WILL MOVE FURTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN WILLACY
COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 95 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
HAS NOW DIMINISHED TO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 140 MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 967 MB.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS
OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THE EYE OF DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS NEAR THE TOWNS OF
PORT MANSFIELD AND ARROYO CITY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER
OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 95 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS
MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM
DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF
WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.  

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE ADJACENT
GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS
CONCENTRATED OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT
TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES.
SEAS CURRENTLY RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 24 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL
REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO
6 FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST 
AND SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND
THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO STRUCTURES
ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL
LOCATION.

...WINDS...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS CROSSING THE SOUTHERN LAGUNA
MADRE NEAR THE CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTY LINE THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.
THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER
THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL
MILES OFFSHORE. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 24 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL
REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHT INTO THIS EVENING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THE GULF WATERS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE A POSSIBILITY AS DOLLY MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS MOVING OVER THE WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTY PORTIONS OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
THE CENTER OF DOLLY ARE 95 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY
COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE MOST TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS
NOW OCCURRING OVER SOUTHERN WILLACY AND NORTHERN CAMERON COUNTIES
WHERE RAINFALL RATES RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES AND HOUR WITH
ISOLATED AREAS RECEIVING RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES.

THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36.

RECENT RAINFALL TOTALS AS OF MIDDAY TODAY...BROWNSVILLE: 2.15
INCHES...BAYVIEW: 2.27 INCHES...MCALLEN: 0.28 INCHES...HARLINGEN:
1.68 INCHES...WESLACO: 0.51 INCHES...EDINBURG: 0.14 INCHES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
 	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET. 
TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY AND
INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND
THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS WILLACY
COUNTY AND THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF CAMERON COUNTY. IN KENEDY
COUNTY...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH FREQUENT
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL LIKELY BE
DESTROYED. OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF
POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE
POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR COASTAL
WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON COUNTIES RANGES FROM 50 TO 100
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN SOUTHERN
KENEDY COUNTY RANGE FROM 25 TO 50 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND THE NORTHERN SECTION OF CAMERON COUNTIES
SINCE MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED AMOUNTS FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES HAVE FALLEN
OVER EASTERN WILLACY AND EASTERN CAMERON COUNTIES.

THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS OCCURRING
WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WILLACY
AND EASTERN CAMERON COUNTIES. 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE
NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
OF UP TO 15 TO 20 INCHES DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF DOLLY. FLASH OR
AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THE SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY
AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY. IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR...AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

AN INCREASED CHANCE OF TORNADOES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREAS TO
THE NORTH OF THE EYE OF DOLLY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ253>255-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0500Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
THURSDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO EASTERN
WILLACY COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY ARE 95 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH.
THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36.

RECENT RAINFALL TOTALS AS OF MIDDAY TODAY...BROWNSVILLE: 2.15
INCHES...BAYVIEW: 2.27 INCHES...MCALLEN: 0.28 INCHES...HARLINGEN:
1.68 INCHES...WESLACO: 0.51 INCHES...EDINBURG: 0.14 INCHES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

	FLOOD WATCH.
 	TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED SURGE WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF DOLLY. THE EXPECTED SURGE
TO THE SOUTH OF THE POINT OF LANDFALL WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6
FEET. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO
THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INCURSION
INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY HAVE A
FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE
DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND
THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER EASTERN WILLACY AND
NORTHERN CAMERON COUNTIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS HIDALGO COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
TODAY. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 45 TO 50
PERCENT IN CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES TODAY. THE PROBABILITY OF
TROPICAL STORM WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS 75 TO 95 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY
IS FROM 15 TO 30 PERCENT WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OVER
NORTHERN HIDALGO COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES SINCE MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS FROM 10 TO 12 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...LAGUNA VISTA AND LAGUNA HEIGHTS.

THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS OCCURRING
WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN WILLACY. 8
TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE OF UP TO 15 TO 20 INCHES DUE
TO THE EFFECTS OF DOLLY. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER
AREAS LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING
THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THE
SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND
HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY. IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR...AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE DOLLY MOVES ACROSS EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY. THE BEST
CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-242030-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0500Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
323 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT THURSDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

RAIN BANDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA AND STARR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.
RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS AND
SHOULD BE IN A PLACE OF SHELTER FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM.
HEAVIER RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS THIS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 	FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

CURRENTLY NORTH WINDS RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AND WILL INCREASE
TO THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS
STARR...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 60 TO 80
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT
OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN VALLEY WITH THE BEST PROBABILITY FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT OVER SOUTHEASTERN
BROOKS
COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...AND COULD PERSIST
AS TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 INCHES IN PERSISTENT TORRENTIAL
RAINS NEAR THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY
TODAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE RAINS
FROM DOLLY LINGER.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS
OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 430 PM CDT.

$$

SPEECE

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 232227
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
527 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...DOLLY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY...

.AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES 
NORTH OF BROWNSVILLE OR OVER JUST EAST OF RAYMONDVILLE IN WILLACY
COUNTY.

DOLLY CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST AT AROUND 8 MPH...BUT TENDS TO
SHOW A WEST WOBBLE. HOWEVER...DOLLY CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND
TAKING HER AWAY FROM THE WARM GULF WATERS THAT FEED THE HURRICANE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY REMAINS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE...BUT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DOLLY...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 970 MB.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO
12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. 

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE BUT LARGE
BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SHORE LINE THROUGH THE EVENING.


TXZ253>255-240230-
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0700Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
527 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM CDT FRIDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN 
EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY
ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.
 TORNADO WATCH.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOWEVER LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE
TO POUND THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO
RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS
TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO
FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING AND MUCH OF
THE NIGHT AS DOLLY MOVES SLOWLY WEST. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS CAN BE
EXPECTED MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS THROUGH THE EVENING FROM ARE LIKELY
OVER EASTERN WILLACY BUT WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT AND LIKELY END
BY 6 PM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS HIDALGO
COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF
CAMERON AND WILLACY THROUGH AT LEAST 8 PM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER EASTERN WILLACY BUT WILL
BECOME LESS FREQUENT AND LIKELY END BY 6 PM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS HIDALGO COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS AND CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF CAMERON AND WILLACY THROUGH AT
LEAST 8 PM.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND DIMINISHING TO 40 TO 50 PERCENT TONIGHT.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 30 TO 40 PERCENT
THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS IN EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY TODAY IS FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF CAMERON AND SOUTHERN WILLACY COUNTIES
INCLUDING SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...LAGUNA VISTA AND
LAGUNA HEIGHTS SINCE MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD 6 TO 9 INCHES THROUGH
THE REST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND 3 TO 6 INCHES
ESTIMATED ACROSS EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WILL BRING
TOTALS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 24 INCHES
IN PORTIONS OF CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES
TO SPREAD WEST INTO HIDALGO COUNTY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING
THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THE
SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND
HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST.

SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY. IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR...AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN A POSSIBILITY TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE DOLLY MOVES ACROSS EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY. THE BEST
CHANCES WILL BE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-240230-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0700Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
527 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

RAIN BANDS ON THE WEST SIDE OF DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
BROOKS...HIDALGO...ZAPATA AND STARR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS ARE GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS BANDS MOVE
THROUGH. STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY
WHICH IS LOCATED OVER WILLACY COUNTY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD STOCK THEIR HURRICANE KITS WITH NON PERISHABLE
FOOD IN CASE OF LONG POWER OUTAGES. PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS NEED TO CONSIDER AN EVACUATION PLAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT BASED ON EXPECTED RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES OR MORE.

...WINDS...

CURRENTLY NORTH WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 45 MPH WITH STRONGER RAIN BANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS
WILL BE INTERMITTENT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. 


...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 40 TO 60 
FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS
INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 12 TO 15 INCHES IN PERSISTENT TORRENTIAL
RAINS NEAR THE EYEWALL OF DOLLY. NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND ARROYOS COULD BEGIN AS SOON AS MID DAY
TODAY...AND MORE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND PERHAPS INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE RAINS
FROM DOLLY LINGER.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS
OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 PM CDT.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-240230-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
527 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN 
EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY
ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND
OCCASIONAL HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE
ADJACENT GULF WATERS. THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
IS CONCENTRATED NEAR ARROYO CITY AND PORT MANSFIELD AND AREAS
ALONG THE SOUTH PADRE ISLAND  20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE OF
CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES. SEAS CURRENTLY RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO
24 FEET OFFSHORE AND WILL REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHTS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOWEVER LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE
TO POUND THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO
RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS
TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO
FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY IS CROSSING THE SOUTHERN LAGUNA
MADRE NEAR THE CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTY LINE THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUES TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.
THE STRONGEST CORE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS CONCENTRATED OVER
THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL
MILES OFFSHORE. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 20 TO 24 FEET OFFSHORE AND
WILL REMAIN AT THESE HEIGHT INTO THIS EVENING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS NEAR 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAGUNA MADRE. THE PROBABILITY OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THE GULF WATERS OF WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 100 PERCENT.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 PM.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-240230-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
527 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN 
EASTERN WILLACY COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY
ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT
8 MPH. THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD FROM DOLLY COVERS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

THE FOLLOWING ARE PRELIMINARY PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS
DUE TO HURRICANE DOLLY. PORT ISABEL: 57 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70...
HARLINGEN: 44 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 64...BROWNSVILLE: 46 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 64...RINCON: 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 48...BAYVIEW 42 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 54...MCALLEN 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36.



...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.
 TORNADO WATCH.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOWEVER LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE
TO POUND THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO
RUN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS
TURN BACK TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES. THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR TO
MODERATE DAMAGE. SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO
FEET OF WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH
COULD HAVE UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM. MODERATE TO
SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...BECOMING MORE LIKELY IF
CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
STRUCTURES ON OR VERY NEAR THE SHORELINE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THE LANDFALL LOCATION.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING AND MUCH OF
THE NIGHT AS DOLLY MOVES SLOWLY WEST. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS CAN BE
EXPECTED MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS THROUGH THE EVENING FROM ARE LIKELY
OVER EASTERN WILLACY BUT WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT AND LIKELY END
BY 6 PM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS HIDALGO
COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF
CAMERON AND WILLACY THROUGH AT LEAST 8 PM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER EASTERN WILLACY BUT WILL
BECOME LESS FREQUENT AND LIKELY END BY 6 PM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS HIDALGO COUNTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS AND CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF CAMERON AND WILLACY THROUGH AT
LEAST 8 PM.

POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL LIKELY BE
DESTROYED. OTHERS MAY RECEIVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
WALLS...AND WINDOWS...AND COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. HOUSES OF
POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION MAY HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UNSECURED LIGHT TO
MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS COULD HAVE POWER
OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES MAY FALL...TRANSFORMERS COULD
POP...AND SOME POWER POLES MIGHT BE PULLED DOWN.

ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED
GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND
MODERATE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN CITRUS ORCHARDS. UP TO ONE HALF OF
NEWLY PLANTED CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 100 PERCENT
THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON DIMINISHING 50 TO 60 PERCENT THIS
EVENING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 30 PERCENT
OVER WILLACY AND NORTHERN CAMERON THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...

CURRENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS
THAT FROM 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF CAMERON AND SOUTHERN WILLACY COUNTIES
INCLUDING SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...LAGUNA VISTA AND
LAGUNA HEIGHTS SINCE MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD 6 TO 9 INCHES THROUGH
THE REST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND 3 TO 6 INCHES
ESTIMATED ACROSS EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WILL BRING
TOTALS OF 8 TO 14 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 24 INCHES
IN PORTIONS OF CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES. HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES
TO SPREAD WEST INTO HIDALGO COUNTY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. FLASH OR AREAL FLOODING IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT...IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FIRST AND IN OTHER AREAS
LATER. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING
THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THE
SPECIFIC AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND
HEAVILY ON THE FINAL TRACK OF DOLLY AS SHE MOVES FURTHER WEST.


SHOULD MORE THAN 10 INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR RESACA FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PERSONS LIVING NEAR OR IN POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY. IN THESE AREAS...SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR...AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE
IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 7 FEET.
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 3 AND 5
FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO NEAR 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED EXCEPT
FOR EMERGENCIES.

...TORNADOES...

AN INCREASED CHANCE OF TORNADOES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREAS TO
THE NORTH OF THE EYE OF DOLLY.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 830 PM CDT.

$$

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 240124
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...DOLLY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN BUT STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN
PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...


.AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES 
NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE OR OVER RAYMONDVILLE IN WILLACY COUNTY.

DOLLY CONTINUES MOVING WEST TO NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH.THIS 
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...TAKING DOLLY
FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTH TEXAS.  A TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED 
BY LATE TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON
SCALE. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB. 

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO
12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE BUT LARGE
BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SHORE LINE THROUGH THE
EVENING.

GMZ170-175-240530-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.TR.W.0001.080724T0124Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

WINDS ARE DECREASING OVER THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS WITH WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW HURRICANE FORCE BUT CONTINUE AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE
OVERNIGHT. SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 50 KNOTS CAN BE
EXPECTED. SEAS WILL BE SLOW IN SUBSIDING WITH 20 FOOT SEAS WELL
INTO THE NIGHT SUBSIDING TO AROUND 15 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.


...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TOTAL SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO 15
FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
 
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 100 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM.

$$

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-240530-
/O.NEW.KBRO.TR.W.0001.080724T0124Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING. 

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE EVENING. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO POUND
THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO
THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. TOTAL SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET ARE EXPECTED
FARTHER OFFSHORE TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO 15 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR 2 FOOT OR LESS SURGE:

COASTAL RESIDENTS IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS CAN EXPECT TIDAL
RUN UP AND PERHAPS SOME OVER WASH DURING HIGH TIDE.  OTHERS WILL
EXPERIENCE LITTLE IMPACT.

...WINDS...

SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 50 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS TO HURRICANE STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS IN
STRONGER RAIN BANDS...OTHERWISE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO
30 KNOTS SOMETIME THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 100
PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS...WHILE THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM.

$$

TXZ253>255-240530-
/O.EXB.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080724T0900Z-080724T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T0900Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING. 

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN. 


...WINDS...

A SMALL CIRCLE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE AROUND THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WHICH IS LOCATED OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. WIDESPREAD TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH
ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 70 TO 100
PERCENT. HE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 50 PERCENT
AROUND THE CENTER OF DOLLY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND CAMERON
COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. 

WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST IN
MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. 


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-240530-
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0000Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING. 

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ZAPATA...HIM HOGG...BROOKS AND STARR.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

        TORNADO WATCH. 
 FLOOD WATCH.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN. 


...WINDS...

CURRENTLY NORTHEAST WINDS RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 45 MPH WITH STRONGER RAIN BANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS WILL BE INTERMITTENT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 50 
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS
INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE AREAS OF PERSISTENT
TORRENTIAL RAINS.  NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND
ARROYOS COULD BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE
RAINS FROM DOLLY LINGER.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS
OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...MAINLY OVER
BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-240530-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY...A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE...IS CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF DOLLY HAVE DECREASED TO 75
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HURRICANE DOLLY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM
LATER THIS EVENING. 

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...COASTAL AREAS OF KENEDY...WILLACY AND CAMERON 
COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.
 
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN. 

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE EVENING. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO POUND
THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO
THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. TOTAL SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET ARE EXPECTED
FARTHER OFFSHORE TONIGHT SUBSIDING TO 15 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR 3 TO 4 FOOT SURGE:

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON PRONE SHORELINES CAN EXPECT SOME WATER
INCURSION INTO THEIR HOMES.  THOSE IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS
MAY HAVE A FOOT OR TWO OF WATER IN THEIR HOMES...CAUSING MINOR
DAMAGE.  SHORELINE ROADS MAY BRIEFLY CLOSE WITH UP TO TWO FEET OF
WATER ACROSS...EXCEPT THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHICH COULD HAVE
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET OF WATER ACROSS THEM.  MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES.



...WINDS...

A SMALL CIRCLE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE AROUND THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WHICH IS LOCATED OVER WESTERN WILLACY
COUNTY. HURRICANE GUSTS AROUND 75 MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER AND
NEAR THE LAGUNA MADRE ESPECIALLY NEAR RAIN SQUALLS. WIDESPREAD
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. 

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO
100 PERCENT THE REST OF THE EVENING DIMINISHING 60 PERCENT 
OVERNIGHT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 30 PERCENT
MAINLY NEAR AND OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO
THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. 

WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST IN
MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. 


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1030 PM CDT.

$$

000 
WTUS84 KBRO 240353
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...DOLLY DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...

.AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH. A TURN BACK TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY.


MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FURTHER INLAND...AND
DOLLY COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY LATE TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM
THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB.
 
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
9 INCHES IN HIDALGO COUNTY...3 TO 6 INCHES IN STARR. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF WILLACY
AND CAMERON COUNTIES. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER
IN WILLACY AND CAMERON WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS WESTERN AREAS
ESPECIALLY HIDALGO COUNTY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THESE AREAS ARE
LIKELY.


GMZ130-132-135-150-155-240800-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 TORNADO WATCH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT LOWER OVERNIGHT. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
POUND THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST
TOTAL SEAS ARE SUBSIDING AND WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN AND 10 AND 15
FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR 2 FOOT OR LESS SURGE:

COASTAL RESIDENTS IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS CAN EXPECT TIDAL
RUN UP AND PERHAPS SOME OVER WASH DURING HIGH TIDE.  OTHERS WILL
EXPERIENCE LITTLE IMPACT.

...WINDS...

SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS SOMETIME
THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 70 TO 90 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGH.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-240800-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBRO.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE COASTAL LOCATIONS OF WILLACY...CAMERON AND KENEDY COUNTIES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE CENTER OF DOLLY
MOVING INLAND. AN ESTIMATED SURGE OF 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT LOWER OVERNIGHT. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
POUND THE BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING. TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN
ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT AS SURFACE WINDS TURN BACK TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST
TOTAL SEAS ARE SUBSIDING AND WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN AND 10 AND 15
FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR 2 FOOT OR LESS SURGE:

COASTAL RESIDENTS IN TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS CAN EXPECT TIDAL
RUN UP AND PERHAPS SOME OVER WASH DURING HIGH TIDE.  OTHERS WILL
EXPERIENCE LITTLE IMPACT.

...WINDS...

SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 MPH EARLY THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 50 TO 60 PERCENT. 

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO
THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.

WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST
IN MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.

$$

TXZ253>255-240800-
/O.CAN.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080724T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080724T0309Z-080724T1800Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN. THE RIO GRANDE RIVER HAS RISEN 4
FEET BUT REMAINS 11 FEET BELOW FLOOD STAGE. NO WARNING FOR RIVER
FLOODING ARE ANTICIPATED AS WATER WITHIN THE RIVER SHOULD REMAIN
IN ITS BANKS.

...WINDS...

SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 MPH EARLY THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 50 TO 60 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER HIDALGO...WILLACY AND
CAMERON
COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS INTO THE NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 20 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.

WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF STREETS AND ROADWAYS ARE TO CONTINUE WITH
ADDITIONAL FLOODING ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AS HEAVY RAIN PERSIST
IN
MANY AREAS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.

$$

GMZ170-175-240800-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT.

SEAS HAVE LOWERED TO AROUND 14 FEET.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL ALL ADVISORIES OR WARNING
HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.

...WINDS...

SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS THURSDAY.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.

$$

TXZ248>250-252-240800-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080725T0000Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-STARR-
1053 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY HAS WEAKEN TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVERLAND.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
ZAPATA...JIM HOGG...BROOKS AND STARR.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

        TORNADO WATCH.
 FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN IN DOORS TONIGHT AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE. SEVERAL ROADS REMAIN FLOODED OR COULD FLOOD WITH HEAVY
RAIN TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT. DEBRIS COVERS MANY ROADS AND POWER
LINES ARE KNOWN TO HAVE FALLEN.


...WINDS...

CURRENTLY NORTHEAST WINDS RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 45 MPH WITH STRONGER RAIN BANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS WILL BE INTERMITTENT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 50
PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE WESTERN VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...INLAND FLOODING...

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER STARR...JIM HOGG...
ZAPATA AND BROOKS COUNTIES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HEAVY RAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST WITH INTERMITTENT TORRENTIAL RAINS
INTO THE NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR THE EVENT...CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
AREA WIDE FROM TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS RANGING UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE AREAS OF PERSISTENT
TORRENTIAL RAINS.  NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND
ARROYOS COULD BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY WHEN THE
RAINS FROM DOLLY LINGER.

BY TONIGHT...ALL SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST AT LEAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOME STREAMS
OR ARROYOS WILL EXCEED THEIR BANKS BY SEVERAL FEET AND MAY FLOOD
NEARBY HOMES. EVACUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

RIVERS IN AFFECTED AREAS WILL RISE...WITH SOME REACHING OR
EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE. NORMALLY QUICK RISING RIVERS WILL EXCEED
FLOOD STAGE BY SEVERAL FEET...FLOODING HOMES ALONG THE RIVERSIDE.
PASTURES WILL ALSO FLOOD...BUT LIVESTOCK LOSSES SHOULD BE
MINIMAL. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL BE WASHED OUT.
DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE
MOVING OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...MAINLY
OVER BROOKS AND JIM HOGG COUNTIES WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN
EFFECT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 100 AM CDT THURSDAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
812 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008

.DISCUSSION...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
MOVING WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IN TRACK WITH THE
LATEST FORECAST. DOLLY HAS DEVELOPED A BROAD OUTFLOW THAT IS
ENGULFING ALMOST THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. DEEPER CONVECTION IS
CURRENTLY ORGANIZING NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. DRY AIR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WAS AHEAD OF DOLLY
BEFORE IT BECAME A TROPICAL STORM IS STILL EVIDENT IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE STORM. THE BROWNSVILLE RADAR SHOWS
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER BAND OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY.
THIS SHOWERS ARE LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES FROM PORT ISABEL. THE
LATEST NHC FORECAST INTENSIFIES DOLLY TO A HURRICANE BY 6 PM
TUESDAY OVER THE GULF WATERS. THE COASTAL AREAS OF CAMERON AND
WILLACY COUNTY WILL BEGIN TO FEEL TROPICAL STORM WIND GUSTS BY
AROUND 8 PM TUESDAY IF THE STORM CONTINUES IN THE PRESENT TRACK.
IF THE THUNDERSTORMS WRAP THE CENTER TONIGHT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
DOLLY COULD STRAIGHTEN TO HURRICANE EARLIER THAT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST
INTENSITY AT THIS TIME TO PROVIDE EXACT STORM WINDS AT LANDFALL
...ESPECIALLY WHEN THE STORM HAS NOT BECOME A HURRICANE YET. THE
LOW LEVEL WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUE TO BE EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN BY TOMORROW ALLOWING DOLLY TO SLOW DOWN AND POSSIBLY DRIFT
A BIT SOUTHWARD IN COMPARISON WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST. FURTHER
INFORMATION WILL BE AVAILABLE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
BY 10 PM CDT.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LOCAL HURRICANE STATEMENT AVAILABLE FROM THE
BROWNSVILLE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
REGARDING THE PREPARATIONS AND ANTICIPATED THREATS WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF DOLLY TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

&&

.MARINE...BUOY 42020 REPORTED EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 KNOTS
GUSTING TO AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH SEAS AT 2 FEET WITH A PERIOD OF 7
SECONDS AT 19 CDT/24 UTC. TROPICAL STORM DOLLY IS FORECAST TO MAKE
LANDFALL AROUND THE CAMERON/WILLACY COUNTY LINE AFTER STRENGTHENING
INTO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST COASTAL
WATERS FORECAST AND THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR THE EXPECTED
IMPACTS FROM DOLLY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF
TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO RAPIDLY DETERIORATE AFTER SUNSET TUESDAY EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1214 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008/

UPDATE...THIS DISCUSSION IS BRIEF AS WFO BROWNSVILLE RAMPS UP IN
PREPARATION FOR DOLLY. THE FIRST HLS WILL BE OUT SOON.

PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT MON JUL 21 2008...THE
POORLY- DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST OR VERY NEAR CANCUN
MEXICO AT 1 AM CDT. RECENT SATELLITE IR IMAGES SHOW THE CENTER OF
DOLLY MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN NEAR MERIDA. LATEST TROPICAL MODEL
ENSEMBLES FROM THE NHC REMAIN VERY CONSISTENT IN BRINGING T.S.
DOLLY AT OR NEAR THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. ALTHOUGH GFS SOLUTION FROM
00Z SHOWS DOLLY HALTING JUST 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF POR...THEN MOVING
DIRECTLY SOUTH AND MOVING INLAND THURSDAY MORNING AT 10 AM ABOUT
237 MILES SOUTH OF POR...NEAR LA PESCA, MEXICO...FEEL THIS
SCENARIO IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY. EXPECT THE INFLUENCE OF DOLLYS WINDS
ENCROACHING THE GULF WATERS OF THE LOWER TEXAS COAST BY LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SHRAS/TSRAS MVG ONSHORE LATE TUESDAY.
TODAY AND EARLY TUESDAY MAY BE THE ONLY GOLF DAYS LEFT FOR A
WHILE. NEXT NEW DATA ON DOLLY FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
WILL BE AT 4 AM CDT TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  93  78  87  79 /   0   0  40 100
BROWNSVILLE          96  75  89  76 /   0   0  40 100
HARLINGEN            98  75  88  77 /   0   0  30  70
MCALLEN              99  76  94  76 /   0   0   0  10
RIO GRANDE CITY     103  75  98  77 /   0   0   0  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   91  79  85  78 /   0   0  50 100

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...HURRICANE WATCH FOR TXZ251-256-257.

     INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
     THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ248>250-252.

     HURRICANE WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR TXZ253>255.

GM...HURRICANE WATCH FOR GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

53/66

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-TXZ248>257-221100-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...THE GULF
OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR KENEDY...COASTAL WILLACY...
AND COASTAL CAMERON COUNTY...AND FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
WILLACY...INLAND CAMERON...HIDALGO...AND BROOKS COUNTY. A TROPICAL
STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JIM HOGG...ZAPATA...AND STARR
COUNTY. PLEASE SEE THE HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR MORE SPECIFIC
INFORMATION REGARDING THE EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

RESIDENTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD CONSULT THE HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION REGARDING TROPICAL STORM DOLLY
...AND THE IMPACTS EXPECTED ON YOUR COUNTY FROM THIS STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY DAMAGE OR FLOODING FROM TROPICAL
STORM DOLLY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE.

TOMASELLI