Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WGUS74 KBRO 142146
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
446 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

TXC047-247-142230-
/O.CON.KBRO.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-080914T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JIM HOGG-BROOKS-
446 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN BROOKS AND JIM
HOGG COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...
  FALFURRIAS.
  AGUA NUEVA.
  HEBBRONVILLE.

AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN 
AREA OF STRONG HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE 
SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF JIM HOGG AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF 
BROOKS COUNTIES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES OF 
TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR AND ARE MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF ARROYOS AND STREAMS...AND
SOME COUNTRY ROADS. FARMLAND ALONG STREAM BANKS WILL BE INUNDATED.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT CROSS FLOODED 
ROADWAYS OR STREAMS. IF NEARING A FLOOD AREA...TURN AROUND AND DRIVE 
TO HIGHER TERRAIN.

DONT BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

&&

LAT...LON 2736 9856 2734 9853 2728 9853 2727 9809
      2680 9819 2680 9896 2686 9896 2728 9887
      2728 9881 2736 9881 2736 9864 2735 9863
      2735 9860 2736 9860

$$

SPEECE

000 
WGUS74 KBRO 142233
FFSBRO

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
533 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

TXC047-247-142240-
/O.EXP.KBRO.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-080914T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JIM HOGG-BROOKS-
533 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED IN WESTERN BROOKS AND JIM 
HOGG COUNTIES...

AT 530 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT 
THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT AFFECTED JIM HOGG AND WESTERN BROOKS 
EARLIER HAVE WEAKENED. CURRENTLY...ONLY AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE 
RAINS LINGER OVER THESE TWO COUNTIES. ACCORDINGLY...THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  

DONT BECOME A STATISTIC. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN


&&

LAT...LON 2736 9856 2734 9853 2728 9853 2727 9809
      2680 9819 2680 9896 2686 9896 2728 9887
      2728 9881 2736 9881 2736 9864 2735 9863
      2735 9860 2736 9860

$$

SPEECE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1250 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL MSTR AND SHRTWV ENERGY BEING ADVECTED TO THE
RGV AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEAK CF SCHEDULED FOR VERY SLOW FROPA
STARTING IN THE NRN RGV ZNS THIS EVENING AND BISECTING VLY BY 1 PM
MONDAY.

ATTM...AN INVERTED SFC TROUGH EXTENDS FM THE GULF WATERS OF TAMPICO,
MEXICO TO BAFFIN BAY. SHRAS/+TSRAS ARE STARTING TO FIRE JUST SOUTH
AND NORTH OF BRO...AND ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONE.
ALSO...SHRAS/+TSRAS WERE FORMING 50 TO 55 NM SOUTH OF THE SPI
JETTIES WITH A NORTHWEST MVMT AT 20 KTS.

BRO U/A FM 14.1200Z IS MOIST AND UNSTABLE...WITH PWATS AT 2.06
INCHES AND LIS OF -8.7 WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW FROM THE SFC TO H7. XPCT
INCREASING SHRAS/+TSRAS THRU THE AFTERNOON WITH FLOODING RAINS BY
THIS EVENING AND MONDAY.

NAM12 BEST BET FOR THIS SHALLOW COOL AIR ENTRY EVENT. HAVE FOLLOWED
THIS MDL FOR MASS FIELDS...BUT AM CONCERNED THAT THE VALLEY MAY OR
MAY NOT CLEAR AFTER MONDAY. THIS POSSIBILITY OF CLEARING WILL CHANGE
TEMPS MARKEDLY WILL STAY WITH CLOUDY NAM12 WHICH IS IN AGREEMENT IN
THE MEAN RH FIELD WITH GFS.
&&

.MARINE...SWELLS CONTINUE TO RICOCHET AROUND THE GULF KEEPING SEAS
IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS CHAOTIC EVEN AS THEY SUBSIDE FROM IKE.
EXPECT WAVE HEIGHTS TO FLUCTUATE BETWEEN 5 AND 6 FEET INTO THE
EVENING.  COLD FRONT/SURFACE BOUNDARY BACKS INTO THE COASTAL WATERS
EARLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL IMPOSE NORTHERLY WIND WAVES ON TOP OF
DECLINING SWELLS KEEPING SEAS ROUGH THROUGH MID WEEK.  SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE POOLING AHEAD AND ALONG STALLING FRONT WILL PRODUCE
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
ESPECIALLY LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.  SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
CONTINUED TODAY AND TONIGHT.  MAY NEED TO POST ADVISORY MONDAY AS
GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND SEAS RESPOND TO NORTHERLY FLOW.  MARINE
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE LATE WEEK AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WASHES
OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...TSRA FIRING ALONG AND AHEAD OF SURFACE BOUNDARY
LRD-ALI-CRP AT 18Z.  EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCT TSRA VCNTY TERMINALS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS AFTER 06Z.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  75  85  71  83 /  30  60  30  20
BROWNSVILLE          75  86  69  83 /  30  60  30  30
HARLINGEN            75  86  71  83 /  30  50  30  20
MCALLEN              75  86  68  84 /  30  60  30  20
RIO GRANDE CITY      75  86  67  85 /  40  60  30  20
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   76  84  72  82 /  30  60  30  30

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

58/51/MARTINEZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1139 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-TXZ248>257-151100-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1139 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...THE GULF
OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY AND HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR
KENEDY...COASTAL WILLACY...AND COASTAL CAMERON COUNTIES HAS BEEN
CANCELED NOW...AS MARINE CONDITIONS SUBSIDE. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE FLOODING IN AREAS
WITH POOR DRAINAGE...IN LOW-LYING AREAS...AND IN AREAS STILL
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH POSSIBLE
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
AT THE LOCAL BEACHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY FLOODING MONDAY TO LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BROWNSVILLE.

PHILO