Small Craft Advisory 253, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
313 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
ANOTHER RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING COASTAL STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS EASTERN
NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY...BRINGING A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW INLAND AND SNOW
CHANGING TO RAIN IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. STRONG WINDS AND BITTERLY COLD
WIND CHILLS WILL FOLLOW SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. DRY HIGH PRES PASSES
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY THEN A WARMER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT
THE REGION WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
QUICK HITTING BUT POTENT WINTER STORM HAS DEPARTED SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AND WILL CONTINUE TO RACE WELL OUT TO SEA THIS MORNING. THE
STORM DROPPED A GENERAL 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND...MUCH OF THAT IN A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

VERY COLD SURFACE AIR HAS ADVECTED SOUTHWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...WITH EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE
TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. WITH
CURRENT SNOWPACK IN PLACE AND STRONG COLD HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH...TEMPERATURES WON/T GET TOO WARM TODAY. HIGHS SHOULD TOP OUT A
GOOD 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A LOT OF PLACES WILL STRUGGLE TO
SEE 20F EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MASS AND SOUTHERN RI.

AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION GOES FOR TODAY...WE/LL KEEP LIKELY POPS GOING
FOR EASTERN MASS AS OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
OCCUR WITH VERY COLD LOW LEVEL TEMPS IN PLACE /LOW SNOW GROWTH ZONE/
COMBINED WITH REMAINING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. IT/S POSSIBLE THAT A FEW
LOCATIONS COULD PICK UP AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF FLUFFY SNOW.
ELSEWHERE...KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS GOING FOR SNOW SHOWERS
WITH A POSSIBLE COATING HERE AND THERE. OTHERWISE...ABUNDANT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP IT CLOUDY TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT FOR EASTERN ZONES
WITH POSSIBLE MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. IN ADDITION...THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SOME GUIDANCE HINTING AT LOW
AND MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT IN MOISTENING
COLUMN. SREF PROBS FOR 0.01 LIQ IN 3 HRS ENDING 12Z SUNDAY QUITE
HIGH. WILL INCREASE POPS VERY LATE IN THE PERIOD FOR LIGHT SNOW
ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A QUICK INCH POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE BY 12Z.
OTHERWISE...IT LOOKS COLD AND CONTINUED CLOUDY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
*** ANOTHER WINTER STORM SUN WITH MULTI-PTYPE ISSUES AND POTENTIALLY
 DAMAGING WIND SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY ALONG WITH DANGEROUSLY COLD
 WIND CHILLS ***

SUNDAY...

NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST...AS WE STILL EXPECT AN
AMPLIFYING MID LEVEL LOW TO TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES EASTWARD
THROUGH THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY TO NEW BRUNSWICK EARLY
MON. 12Z GFS IS FARTHEST SOUTHEAST WITH ITS MID LEVEL LOW AND THE 12Z
ECMWF IS FARTHEST NORTHWEST. PREFER THE WARMER ECMWF GIVEN THE LACK
OF DOWNSTREAM BLOCKING OVER THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC...WHICH FAVORS MID
LEVEL LOW TRACKING FARTHER NORTHWEST.

TYPICALLY WHEN A MID LEVEL LOW /850-700MB/ TRACKS NORTH OF THE
REGION SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL WARM AIR OVERSPREADS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
FOR SNOW TO CHANGE TO SLEET AND/OR FREEZING RAIN. HOWEVER...FOR THIS
EVENT THE AIRMASS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND EARLY SUN IS VERY COLD...WITH
-10C AT 850 AND 925 MB 12Z SUN THUS...BY THE TIME THE MID LEVEL WARM
AIR ARRIVES THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL BE OVER. THE OTHER LAYER OF
WARMING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN...AS SECONDARY LOW PRES
DEVELOPS AND TRACKS ALONG THE COASTAL FRONT. SO LOW PRES WILL LIKELY
TRACK SOMEWHERE ALONG OR NEAR THE COASTAL PLAIN. THIS SHOULD DRAW ENOUGH
MARITIME AIR INTO COASTAL RI AND SOUTHEAST MA AND PROBABLY INTO THE
PVD-BOS CORRIDOR FOR SNOW TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...STRONG PRES FALLS ALONG THE COAST WILL LIKELY
PRECLUDE THE COASTAL FRONT FROM PENETRATING ANY FARTHER NW THAN PVD-
BOS. THUS...INLAND THE COLD AIR SHOULD BE DEEP ENOUGH TO SUPPORT MAINLY
SNOW...WITH PERHAPS ENOUGH MID LEVEL WARM AIR ACROSS CT/CENTRAL MA
INTO SOUTHEAST NH FOR A STRIPE OF SLEET AND/OR FREEZING RAIN TOWARD
THE TAIL END OF THE EVENT.

AS FOR QPF...THIS IS A VERY FAST MOVING SYSTEM WHICH WILL LIMIT
DURATION OF PRECIP. THEREFORE...MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR 0.40 TO 0.80 INCHES
OF QPF. MODEL TSECTIONS SUGGEST SNOW GROWTH IS NOT FAVORABLE WITH
MOST OMEGA BELOW -10C LAYER. THUS...EARLY INDICATIONS ARE FOR A SWATH
OF 4-8 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR...POSSIBLY AS FAR SOUTHEAST
AS BDL/BAF-ORH-LWM. ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST RISK IS ACROSS NW MA INTO
SOUTHWEST NH. WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THIS
AREA...BASICALLY ALL OF NORTHERN CT...WESTERN MA EASTWARD TO THE
WORCESTER HILLS TO I495 AND NORTHWEST INTO SOUTHWEST NH.

FARTHER SOUTHEAST INTO THE BOSTON-PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR...2-4 INCHES OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEFORE SNOW MIXING WITH OR CHANGES TO RAIN. FOR
COASTAL RI AND SOUTHEAST MA...POSSIBLY 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW BEFORE THE
CHANGEOVER.

AS PREVIOUS SHIFTS HAVE MENTIONED...DURING SUNDAY WILL LIKELY HAVE
STRONG EAST WINDS ACROSS EASTERN MA AHEAD OF RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
COASTAL LOW. 12Z GFS HAS 14MB/6HR PRES FALL CENTER NEAR BOSTON 18Z
SUNDAY. FORTUNATELY THIS IS AT THE TIME OF LOW TIDE...WHICH WOULD
LIMIT THE RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING...IF THIS TIMING HOLDS UP. IF
MODELS ARE OFF BY 6 HRS...THE RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING FOR EASTERN MA
WILL INCREASE.

SUNDAY NIGHT...

SHORT WAVE MERGER/PHASING OCCURS SUNDAY EVENING OVER MAINE WITH
EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS AS SURFACE LOW BOMBS DOWN INTO THE 960S
VERY COLD AIR ADVECTS ACROSS THE REGION...WITH ANY SLUSH /PROBABLY
BOS-PVD CORRIDOR AND PTS SOUTH/ TRANSITIONING TO A FLASH FREEZE...AS
TEMPS PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. THEREFORE...SNOW REMOVAL WILL NEED TO BE
COMPLETED SHORTLY AFTER THE ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDS. AS PREVIOUS
SHIFTS INDICATED...2 METER TEMPS FROM NAM AND GFS PICKING UP ON THIS
MUCH BETTER THAN MOS.

THE OTHER HAZARD SUN NIGHT WILL BE VERY STRONG TO DAMAGING STRONG
WINDS BEHIND POWERFUL LOW IN MAINE. STRONG WIND FIELDS/VIGOROUS COLD
AIR ADVECTION AND IMPRESSIVE PRES RISE/FALL COUPLET WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RESULTING POWER OUTAGES. THE GREATEST
RISK APPEARS TO BE ACROSS THE CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS AS RELATIVELY
WARM WATER TEMPS WILL YIELD DEEPER BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING/TRANSFER.
ALSO...THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE WORCESTER HILLS/BLUE HILLS AND THE
HEAT ISLAND OF BOSTON WILL BE AT A HIGHER RISK.

MONDAY...
DRY WEATHER...BUT BELOW NORMAL COLD WITH STRONG WINDS YIELDING
BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

MON NIGHT...
A FRIGID NIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM NEAR ZERO IN SW NH AND NW MA
TO THE TEENS ELSEWHERE. AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD WEAKEN WITH GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WINDS. WIND CHILL READINGS
WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO.

TUE...
A QUIET DAY IS FORECAST. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST WILL STILL INFLUENCE THE WEATHER WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

TUE NIGHT AND WED...
CLOUDS INCREASE ON BOTH GFS AND ECMWF IN WARM AIR ADVECTION ON
WESTERN PORTION OF THE HIGH AND IN ADVANCE OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE
MIDWEST THAT IS HEADING FOR THE GREAT LAKES. SOME PRECIPITATION IS
POSSIBLE TOWARD DAYBREAK. 850 MB TEMPS AND THE THICKNESS IN THE
850-700 MB LAYER WOULD INDICATE THAT IT WOULD BE SUFFICIENTLY WARM
ALOFT TO ELIMINATE SNOW.  HOWEVER THE LOW LEVEL THICKNESS 1000-850
MB IS COLD ENOUGH FOR FROZEN OR FREEZING PRECIP. SO EXPECT EITHER
SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN NW HALF...AND CHANCE OF RAIN SE HALF. IT
SHOULD WARM UP ENOUGH TO CHANGE TO RAIN EVERYWHERE DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. THIS FAR OUT IN TIME...HAVE JUST INCREASED
PROBABILITIES TO AROUND 50 PERCENT FOR WED. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
HOWLING AT 925 MB...AROUND 50-60 KNOTS. SHOULD BE A BREEZY DAY IN
INTERIOR SE MA AND RI...WINDY ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. EXPECTING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO SOAR INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S IN EASTERN MA
AND RI...AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S IN CT...WESTERN MA...AND
SOUTHERN NH.

WED NIGHT...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS ACROSS FAR NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
WITH ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
20S ACROSS THE NW HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. CHANCES ARE THAT THE
COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOVING IN JUST AFTER THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS...THUS THERE IS ONLY A VERY LOW PROBABILITY OF A CHANGEOVER TO
EITHER FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW AT THE TAIL END OF THIS EVENT.

THU...
HAVE USED A BLEND OF 12Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF. BOTH MODELS SHOWED THE
FRONT MOVING WELL OFF THE COAST WITH CLEARING SKIES... THE ECMWF WAS
MUCH QUICKER HOWEVER. IN ANY CASE...THE DAY SHOULD BECOME PARTLY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A BREEZY NORTHWEST WIND...AND TEMPERATURES QUITE
NICE... IN THE 35 TO 45 DEGREE RANGE.

THU NIGHT AND FRI...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL PROVIDE QUIET WEATHER WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.  CLOUDS WILL INCREASE LATE FRIDAY AS
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM PASSES BY TO OUR NORTH...LEADING TO A
POTENTIALLY WET START TO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

TODAY...OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST COAST MASS TODAY WILL ALLOW
FOR IFR CIGS/VSBYS AT TIMES AT BOS AS WELL AS ON THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS. FURTHER INLAND...MVFR CIGS WITH SCT SNOW SHOWERS.

OUTLOOK...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MVFR CIGS WITH IFR CONDS BOS/HYA/ACK IN SNOW SHOWERS. A GENERAL MVFR
SNOW DEVELOPS TOWARD DAWN SUNDAY.

SUNDAY...
ANOTHER ROUND OF LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN DEVELOPING SNOW THAT CHANGES
TO RAIN AT PVD/HYA/ACK WITH MIX LIKELY AT BOS. LLWS POSSIBLE ACK HYA FMH.
ESE FLOW GUSTS 40-50 KT POSSIBLE FOR AN HOUR OR 2 THERE. STRONG WEST
WINDS DEVELOP EVERYWHERE SUN NIGHT. GUSTS 40-50 KT POSSIBLE.

MONDAY...IMPROVING TO VFR. W GUST 35-40 KTS.

TUESDAY...VFR.

TUE NIGHT AND WED...MVFR CIG AND VSBY BECOMING IFR IN SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN NW/RAIN SE... CHANGING TO RAIN BY MID MORNING. POSSIBLE
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WITH SSW WINDS UP TO 60 KNOTS AT 2000 FT.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY AND TONIGHT...KEPT GALE WARNING UP EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
MAINLY THE EASTERN WATERS WITH LOCAL BUOYS STILL PEAKING OUT AOA 35
KNOTS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE THAT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT FOR
MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WATERS. EASTERLY WINDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN INCREASE TO CLOSE TO GALE ON THE SOUTHERN WATERS LATE AT NIGHT
AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES.

OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SUNDAY...E/SE GALES LIKELY SUN ESPECIALLY EASTERN MA WATERS.

SUNDAY NIGHT...

W GALES LIKELY WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF STORM FORCE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KT AS LOW BOMBS OUT OVER ME.

MONDAY...STRONG GALES IN WESTERLY FLOW.

TUE...DIMINISHING WIND BUT NEAR G25 KT POTENTIAL.

LATE TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND WILL INCREASE TO AT LEAST SCA AND
POSSIBLY GALE FORCE FOR COASTAL WATERS. SEAS MAY BUILD TO 8 TO 13
FEET OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK POINT TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF NANTUCKET.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE NOT ALL THAT HIGH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
DO EXPECT ENOUGH SURGE AND WAVE ACTION...HOWEVER...TO GENERATE MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IN SOME OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SPOTS ALONG THE
ESSEX AND PLYMOUTH COUNTY COASTS. SOME BEACH EROSION IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SPECIAL SITUATIONS SUCH AS PLUM
ISLAND...EXPECT JUST FLOODING ON A FEW SHORE ROADS WHICH MAY BECOME
DIFFICULT TO PASS WITHIN AN HOUR OF THE SAT EARLY MORNING HIGH TIDE.
LOOKS TO BE JUST ENOUGH OF AN IMPACT TO WARRANT A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY.

THERE IS A RISK OF VERY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE EARLY SUN
HIGH TIDE...BUT STRONGEST ONSHORE WINDS...LARGEST SEAS AND GREATEST
SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR AFTER HIGH TIDE AND TOWARDS THE SUN
AFTERNOON LOW TIDE. WINDS WILL BE STRONG OFFSHORE BY THE MON EARLY
MORNING HIGH TIDE.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR MAZ002>006-008>012-026.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR MAZ007-
     019.
NH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR NHZ011-012-015.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ231-232-250-
     254-255.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ230-
     233>237.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA/EKSTER
NEAR TERM...EKSTER
SHORT TERM...EKSTER
LONG TERM...NOCERA/GAF   /NOT UPDATED/
AVIATION...NOCERA/EKSTER/THOMPSON
MARINE...EKSTER/RLG/GAF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
437 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-202145-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
437 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

OCEAN EXPOSED COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS MAY SEE MINOR FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE NEAR DAYBREAK SATURDAY...THIS INCLUDES ESSEX
COUNTY MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE RISK OF HEAVY SNOW INLAND SUNDAY...STRONG WEST
WINDS WILL LIKELY GUST TO 45 TO 55 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH WIND
WATCHES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.

SHARPLY COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL PROMPT HARD FREEZING
OF ANY SLUSH.

CONSIDERABLE DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE DISTANT INTERIOR
SUNDAY NIGHT WHERE MOSTLY SNOW IS FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.

WIND CHILL OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW IS FORECAST FOR THE INTERIOR BOTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ013>018-020>024-RIZ001>008-202145-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
437 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND
AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

OCEAN EXPOSED COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS MAY SEE MINOR FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE NEAR DAYBREAK SATURDAY...THIS INCLUDES ESSEX
COUNTY MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SUNDAY...ANOTHER RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING STORM HUGGING THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST WILL BRING RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.
SNOW...SOME OF IT BRIEFLY HEAVY IN THE MORNING WILL PROBABLY CHANGE
TO RAIN NEAR THE COAST AND MIXED PRECIPITATION INLAND. ACCUMULATING
SNOW IS LIKELY BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER.

STRONG WEST WINDS WILL LIKELY GUST TO 45 TO 55 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT.
HIGH WIND WATCHES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. A MODERATE TO HIGH PROBABILITY OF AT LEAST WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS.

SHARPLY COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL PROMPT HARD FREEZING
OF ANY SLUSH.

CONSIDERABLE DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE DISTANT INTERIOR
SUNDAY NIGHT WHERE MOSTLY SNOW IS FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.

WIND CHILL OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW IS FORECAST FOR THE INTERIOR BOTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ007-019-202145-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
437 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

SUNDAY...ANOTHER RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING STORM HUGGING THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST WILL BRING RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.
SNOW...SOME OF IT BRIEFLY HEAVY IN THE MORNING WILL PROBABLY CHANGE
TO RAIN NEAR THE COAST AND MIXED PRECIPITATION INLAND. ACCUMULATING
SNOW IS LIKELY BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER.

STRONG WEST WINDS WILL LIKELY GUST TO 45 TO 55 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT.
HIGH WIND WATCHES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. A MODERATE TO HIGH PROBABILITY OF AT LEAST WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS.

SHARPLY COLDER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL PROMPT HARD FREEZING
OF ANY SLUSH.

WIND CHILL OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW IS FORECAST FOR THE INTERIOR BOTH
MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-202145-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
437 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

A SECOND STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A MODERATE TO HIGH
PROBABILITY FOR AN EASTERLY GALE ON SUNDAY.

THERE IS ALSO A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A WESTERLY GALE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH A MODERATE PROBABILITY OF STORM FORCE
WESTERLY WIND GUSTS TO 50 KT SUNDAY NIGHT NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF CAPE COD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NOCERA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1053 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 PM     HEAVY SNOW       WEST TISBURY            41.38N 70.68W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        DUKES              MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MANY LARGE LIMBS DOWN DUE TO WEIGHT OF HEAVY SNOW.

0617 PM     HEAVY SNOW       OAK BLUFFS              41.45N 70.57W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        DUKES              MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MANY LARGE LIMBS DOWN DUE TO WEIGHT OF HEAVY SNOW.

0625 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MATTAPOISETT            41.66N 70.81W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE PINE TREE DOWN ON POINT STREET...DUE TO THE WEIGHT
            OF HEAVY SNOW.

0634 PM     HEAVY SNOW       SANDWICH                41.76N 70.50W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE LIMB DOWN AND WIRES DOWN ON PIMLICO POND ROAD AT
            SHORE DRIVE...DUE TO WEIGHT OF HEAVY SNOW.

0635 PM     HEAVY SNOW       KINGSTON                42.00N 70.71W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            POWER LINE DOWN ON CAR ON SHORE STREET...DUE TO WEIGHT OF
            HEAVY SNOW.

0635 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MARION                  41.70N 70.76W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE LIMB DOWN ON WASHBURN AVENUE...DUE TO WEIGHT OF
            HEAVY SNOW.

0645 PM     HEAVY SNOW       NARRAGANSETT            41.43N 71.47W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        WASHINGTON         RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON SEA BREEZE DRIVE...DUE TO WEIGHT OF
            HEAVY SNOW.

0706 PM     HEAVY SNOW       PLYMOUTH                41.96N 70.68W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MANY POWER AND PHONE WIRES DOWN...DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND
            WIND GUSTS.

0709 PM     HEAVY SNOW       PLYMOUTH                41.96N 70.68W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON JOHN ALDEN ROAD. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND
            WIND.

0714 PM     HEAVY SNOW       WAREHAM                 41.75N 70.72W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON WIRES ON CHURCH STREET...DUE TO HEAVY SNOW
            AND WIND GUSTS.

0720 PM     HEAVY SNOW       TISBURY                 41.47N 70.62W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        DUKES              MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON BERNARD CIRCLE...DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0721 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MATTAPOISETT            41.66N 70.81W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON MARION ROAD. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0726 PM     HEAVY SNOW       BARNSTABLE              41.70N 70.30W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            OAK TREE DOWN BLOCKING BARNSTABLE ROAD. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW
            AND WIND GUSTS.

0730 PM     HEAVY SNOW       BOURNE                  41.73N 70.61W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN AND A TREE FIRE ON TOM ROAD. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW
            AND WIND GUSTS.

0732 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MATTAPOISETT            41.66N 70.81W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON PROSPECT STREET. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0732 PM     HEAVY SNOW       ACUSHNET                41.69N 70.91W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0733 PM     HEAVY SNOW       ROCHESTER               41.73N 70.82W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0735 PM     HEAVY SNOW       WAREHAM                 41.75N 70.72W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREES AND WIRES DOWN. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0735 PM     HEAVY SNOW       NORTH KINGSTOWN         41.51N 71.45W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        WASHINGTON         RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0735 PM     HEAVY SNOW       PLYMOUTH                41.96N 70.68W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREES AND WIRES DOWN. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0738 PM     HEAVY SNOW       ACUSHNET                41.69N 70.91W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            *** 1 FATAL *** TREE FELL DOWN AND HIT A PERSON...CAUSING
            FATALITY...ON APPLE BLOSSOM ROAD. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND
            WIND GUSTS. NO FURTHER DETAILS AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME.

0740 PM     HEAVY SNOW       TIVERTON                41.65N 71.20W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        NEWPORT            RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE ON CRANDALL ROAD. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW
            AND WIND GUSTS.

0745 PM     HEAVY SNOW       ACUSHNET                41.69N 70.91W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON OAK STREET. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0750 PM     HEAVY SNOW       FAIRHAVEN               41.65N 70.82W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE BRANCH DOWN ON NORTH STREET...DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND
            WIND GUSTS.

0754 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MARION                  41.70N 70.76W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON ROUTE 6 NEAR CAR DEALERSHIP. DUE TO HEAVY
            SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0754 PM     HEAVY SNOW       ROCHESTER               41.73N 70.82W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON A TRUCK. PERSON STILL INSIDE. DUE TO HEAVY
            SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0800 PM     HEAVY SNOW       SANDWICH                41.76N 70.50W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0806 PM     HEAVY SNOW       HARWICH                 41.69N 70.07W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0822 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BOSTON                  42.32N 71.07W
12/19/2008                   SUFFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON CENTRE STREET. ALSO...A BASKETBALL SPORTS
            ARENA INFLATABLE DOME COLLAPSED ON LOMASNEY WAY AND
            UNABLE TO BE REINFLATED. DAMAGE DUE TO COMBINATION OF
            WIND GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH AND WEIGHT OF SNOW.

0840 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG REVERE                  42.42N 70.99W
12/19/2008                   SUFFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON WIRES. DUE TO COMBINATION OF WIND GUSTS TO
            40-45 MPH AND WEIGHT OF SNOW.

0855 PM     HEAVY SNOW       FAIRHAVEN               41.65N 70.82W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON SYCAMORE STREET. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0901 PM     HEAVY SNOW       ACUSHNET                41.69N 70.91W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON PERRY HILL RD. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND
            GUSTS.

0911 PM     HEAVY SNOW       PLYMOUTH                41.96N 70.68W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON COLONY BEACH RD. AND HALIFAX RD. IN MANOMET
            SECTION. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH.

0929 PM     HEAVY SNOW       BREWSTER                41.75N 70.08W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING DRIVEWAY. DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND
            WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH.

0932 PM     HEAVY SNOW       WESTPORT                41.67N 71.10W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ONTO A TREE ON OLD COUNTY RD. DUE TO HEAVY
            SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0942 PM     HEAVY SNOW       NEW BEDFORD             41.66N 70.94W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON ROCKLAND STREET. DUE TO SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

0948 PM     HEAVY SNOW       PLYMOUTH                41.96N 70.68W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON BOURNE RD. WIRES DOWN ON CHAPEL HILL.
            DUE TO SNOW AND WIND GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH.

0953 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MATTAPOISETT            41.66N 70.81W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE ON WIRES ON ROUTE 6 IN MATTAPOISETT NECK. DUE
            TO SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

1020 PM     HEAVY SNOW       NEW BEDFORD             41.66N 70.94W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN. DUE TO SNOW AND WIND GUSTS.

1025 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MANSFIELD               42.02N 71.22W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        BRISTOL            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN. DUE TO WEIGHT OF HEAVY SNOW.

1033 PM     HEAVY SNOW       WAREHAM                 41.75N 70.72W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON HOUSE IN ONSET. LARGE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN.
            DUE TO HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.

1040 PM     HEAVY SNOW       PLYMOUTH                41.96N 70.68W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON STATE DPW VEHICLE ON PLYMPTON ROAD.
            DUE TO SNOW AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH.

1052 PM     HEAVY SNOW       LINCOLN                 41.92N 71.47W
12/19/2008  E0.0 INCH        PROVIDENCE         RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            TRANSFORMER FIRE... DUE TO WEIGHT OF HEAVY SNOW.

&&

FIELD