River Flood Warning 24, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WGUS81 KBOX 110937
FLSBOX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS AND NEW HAMPSHIRE...
 
  FARMINGTON RIVER AT SIMSBURY AFFECTING HARTFORD COUNTY
  NASHUA RIVER AT EAST PEPPERELL AFFECTING MIDDLESEX...WORCESTER AND
  HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS...
 
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT THOMPSONVILLE AFFECTING HARTFORD AND HAMPDEN 
  COUNTIES 
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD AFFECTING HARTFORD AND MIDDLESEX 
  COUNTIES 
  ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND WORCESTER COUNTIES 
  CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND NORFOLK COUNTIES 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS..
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLETOWN AFFECTING HARTFORD AND MIDDLESEX 
  COUNTIES 
  CONCORD RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING MIDDLESEX COUNTY 


RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT ARE IN FLOOD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND HAVE
CRESTED OR ARE NEAR CREST.  THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WAS THE LOWER
CONNECTICUT RIVER...WHICH IS IN FLOOD AND CONTINUES TO RISE. 

A MAINLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...WHICH WILL ALLOW RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RECOVER FROM THE HEAVY
RAINS THIS PAST WEEKEND. 

ANY PRECIPITATION THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BE VERY LIGHT...AND IN THE
FORM OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES. AN ORDERLY SNOWMELT SCENARIO IS
EXPECTED...WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING TODAY AND BELOW FREEZING
TONIGHT.  THIS WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT
CONTRIBUTION. 

A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION IN THIS FLOOD 
EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED.

DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN RIVERS...STREAMS OR 
CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.


CTC003-111007-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080311T2341Z/
/SIMC3.1.ER.080309T1145Z.080310T0545Z.080311T0230Z.NO/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FARMINGTON RIVER AT SIMSBURY.
* AT  4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10:30 PM MONDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.7 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS ON RIVERSIDE ROAD IN 
  SIMSBURY.  FLOODING ALSO BEGINS ALONG OLD BRIDGE AND DRAKE HILL 
  ROADS.

$$

MAC017-027-NHC011-111007-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-080311T1227Z/
/DNSM3.1.ER.080310T0115Z.080310T1530Z.080311T0715Z.NO/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NASHUA RIVER AT EAST PEPPERELL.
* AT  4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:15 AM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.5 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG THE 
  RIVER FROM EAST PEPPERELL DOWNSTREAM THROUGH HOLLIS.

$$

CTC003-MAC013-112137-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080312T1200Z/
/TMVC3.1.ER.080311T0753Z.080311T0515Z.080311T1200Z.NO/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT THOMPSONVILLE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:40 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATER THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING WILL BEGIN ALONG THE 
  CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR THOMPSONVILLE.

$$

CTC003-007-112136-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.080310T0115Z.080311T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED 
  TO CREST NEAR 19.0 FT THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE RIVER IN 
  PORTIONS OF WETHERSFIELD...GLASTONBURY...ROCKY HILL AND CROMWELL. 
  THE HIGH WATERS AND SWIFT FLOWS WILL DISRUPT SOME CROSS RIVER FERRY
  SERVICES.  UPSTREAM OF HARTFORD...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT 
  PORTIONS OF WINDSOR.   IMMEDIATE RIVER ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE 
  IN ALL OF THESE COMMUNITIES.

$$

MAC017-027-112136-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080312T1800Z/
/MAYM3.1.ER.080308T2215Z.080309T1915Z.080312T1200Z.NO/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND AND BACKYARD FLOODING IS
  LIKELY ALONG REACHES OF THE RIVER IN MAYNARD...CONCORD AS WELL AS
  HUDSON.  SEVERAL RIVER ROADS MAY ALSO BECOME COVERED IN WATER.

$$

MAC017-021-112136-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-080312T1400Z/
/DOVM3.1.ER.080310T2215Z.080311T1200Z.080312T0600Z.NO/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.1 FEET THIS 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE CHARLES RIVER SHOULD 
  PREPARE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.  
  SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS INCLUDE LOW LYING AREAS ALONG FISHER STREET 
  IN NEEDHAM AND A SMALL AREA ON THE SOUTH NATICK AND WELLESLEY LINE 
  ALONG RIVER STREET.

$$

CTC003-007-112136-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDDC3.1.ER.080310T0526Z.080312T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLETOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED
  TO CREST NEAR 11.0 FT LATE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING CLOSES MOST OF MEADOW ROAD/RT 17A 
  IN THE GILDERSLEEVE SECTION OF PORTLAND.  FLOODING IMPACTS THE 
  MIDDLETOWN MARINA AND MEADOW FARMS.  IN CROMWELL...PORTIONS OF 
  RIVER ROAD WILL BE CLOSED. IN ROCKY HILL...PARTS OF MEADOW ROAD 
  WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME. FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RIVER 
  SOUTHWARD THROUGH ESSEX.

$$

MAC017-112136-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCNM3.1.ER.080310T0430Z.080312T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
537 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONCORD RIVER AT LOWELL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TODAY...AND IS EXPECTED 
  TO CREST NEAR 8.2 FT LATE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE CONCORD RIVER WILL 
  BE FLOODED.  THE AREA MOST PRONE TO FLOODING IS A SMALL SECTION OF 
  BILLERICA ALONG ELSIE AVENUE OFF RIVER STREET.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBOX 111351
FLSBOX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
951 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008



...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS...
 
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT THOMPSONVILLE AFFECTING HARTFORD AND HAMPDEN 
  COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
CONNECTICUT...MASSACHUSETTS..
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD AFFECTING HARTFORD AND MIDDLESEX 
  COUNTIES 
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLETOWN AFFECTING HARTFORD AND MIDDLESEX 
  COUNTIES 
  ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND WORCESTER 
  COUNTIES 
  CONCORD RIVER AT LOWELL AFFECTING MIDDLESEX COUNTY 
  CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND NORFOLK COUNTIES 


DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT BEFORE WE START A
SERIES OF SMALL PRECIPITATION EVENTS THAT MAY ULTIMATELY CULMINATE
IN A LARGER SCALE AND HEAVIER PRECIPITATION EVENT THIS WEEKEND OR
NEXT WEEK.  

ESSENTIALLY THEN...THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN THAT HAS BEEN A NEAR
CONSTANT THIS WINTER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK.  

THE CURRENT STATEMENT INDICATES SOME IMPROVEMENT IN MINOR FLOOD
CONDITIONS ON THE CONNECTICUT RIVER.

ANOTHER FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
FLOOD EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR EARLIER IF
NEEDED.

DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN RIVERS...STREAMS OR 
CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.



CTC003-MAC013-111421-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080312T1200Z/
/TMVC3.1.ER.080311T0753Z.080311T0515Z.080311T0841Z.NO/
951 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT THOMPSONVILLE.
* AT  9:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  4:41 AM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 3.9 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.

$$

CTC003-007-120151-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HFDC3.1.ER.080310T0115Z.080311T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT HARTFORD.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE RIVER IN 
  PORTIONS OF WETHERSFIELD...GLASTONBURY...ROCKY HILL AND CROMWELL. 
  THE HIGH WATERS AND SWIFT FLOWS WILL DISRUPT SOME CROSS RIVER FERRY
  SERVICES.  UPSTREAM OF HARTFORD...FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT 
  PORTIONS OF WINDSOR.   IMMEDIATE RIVER ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE 
  IN ALL OF THESE COMMUNITIES.

$$

CTC003-007-120150-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDDC3.1.ER.080310T0526Z.080312T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
951 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLETOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING CLOSES MOST OF MEADOW ROAD/RT 17A 
  IN THE GILDERSLEEVE SECTION OF PORTLAND.  FLOODING IMPACTS THE 
  MIDDLETOWN MARINA AND MEADOW FARMS.  IN CROMWELL...PORTIONS OF 
  RIVER ROAD WILL BE CLOSED. IN ROCKY HILL...PARTS OF MEADOW ROAD 
  WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME. FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE RIVER 
  SOUTHWARD THROUGH ESSEX.

$$

MAC017-027-120150-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-080312T1800Z/
/MAYM3.1.ER.080308T2215Z.080309T1915Z.080312T1200Z.NO/
951 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND AND BACKYARD FLOODING IS
LIKELY
  ALONG REACHES OF THE RIVER IN MAYNARD...CONCORD AS WELL AS HUDSON.
  SEVERAL RIVER ROADS MAY ALSO BECOME COVERED IN WATER.

$$

MAC017-120150-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCNM3.1.ER.080310T0430Z.080312T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
951 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONCORD RIVER AT LOWELL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE CONCORD RIVER WILL 
  BE FLOODED.  THE AREA MOST PRONE TO FLOODING IS A SMALL SECTION OF 
  BILLERICA ALONG ELSIE AVENUE OFF RIVER STREET.

$$

MAC017-021-120150-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-080312T1400Z/
/DOVM3.1.ER.080310T2215Z.080311T1330Z.080312T0600Z.NO/
951 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE CHARLES RIVER SHOULD 
  PREPARE FOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.  
  SUSCEPTIBLE LOCATIONS INCLUDE LOW LYING AREAS ALONG FISHER STREET 
  IN NEEDHAM AND A SMALL AREA ON THE SOUTH NATICK AND WELLESLEY LINE 
  ALONG RIVER STREET.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
548 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF NEW
ENGLAND LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUE. A FAST MOVING CLIPPER MAY BRING
SOME LIGHT SNOW AND RAIN LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FRIDAY AND EARLY
SATURDAY.  A COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BRINGS DRIER WEATHER MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
MARINE FORECAST UPDATED 540 PM FOR REPORTS OF 5 FOOT SEAS AND GUSTS
25-30 KNOTS NEAR ENTRANCE TO BUZZARDS BAY AND SOUTH OF MARTHAS
VINEYARD. ADDED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM RI SOUND TO NANTUCKET SOUND
THROUGH 05Z. REMAINDER OF FORECAST UNCHANGED.

NOTING SCT-BKN MID DECK INTO WESTERN CT AT 20Z WELL AHEAD OF WEAK
LOW MOVING OUT OF WESTERN OH. ALSO SEE A WEAKNESS IN THE SURFACE
PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE REGION...WHICH COULD ACCOUNT FOR A BRIEF
WIND SHIFT TO W-SW OVER E MA. AS HIGH BUILDS OFF THE COAST
TONIGHT...EXPECT WINDS TO DECREASE AS THE LOW SHIFTS E.

MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THIS WEAK
FEATURE. NOT EXPECTING ANY MEASURABLE PRECIP FROM THIS AS SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO LACK DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. CAN NOT RULE OUT A FLURRY
THAT MAY SNEAK INTO THE ISLANDS WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODEL BUFKIT RH
CROSS SECTIONS ALSO SHOW BRIEF PERIOD OF CLOUDS ESPECIALLY ACROSS
CT/RI/SE MA...SO INCLUDED SOME CLOUDS IN THE FORECAST. RH CROSS
SECTIONS ALSO SHOW HOW QUICKLY DRIER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE N AS THE
WEAK LOW SLIDES BY WELL S OF NANTUCKET TOWARD MORNING.

FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS...LEANED TOWARD THE MAVMOS GUIDANCE WITH A LITTLE
CONTRIBUTION FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PUSHING THE WEAK LOW OFFSHORE
TUESDAY MORNING. BEST SHOT OF FLURRIES APPEARS CONFINED TO THE
ISLANDS...MAINLY BLOCK ISLAND...AROUND THE MORNING COMMUTE TIME.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT ANY CLOUDINESS TO QUICKLY CLEAR BY MIDDAY.

HOWEVER...THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS NEXT BATCH OF CLOUDS WORKS SE
FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND UPSTATE NEW YORK TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER WEAK LOW OUT OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT PUSH SE...SO EXPECT CLOUDS TO BE INCREASING FROM NW-SE WITH
BEST CONDITIONS ACROSS SE MA AND THE ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON.

EXPECT TEMPS TO REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS AS WINDS SHIFT TO SW
AHEAD OF APPROACHING FRONT.

ON TUESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT PRECIP WILL WORK INTO SW NH/NW MA AROUND
MIDNIGHT OR SO. WITH POSITIVE TILT UPPER TROUGH...THIS SYSTEM WILL
AGAIN MOVE STEADILY THROUGH WITH MOST OF ITS MOISTURE REMAINING OVER
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS THROUGH THE NIGHT. EXPECT A LIGHT SNOW
EVENT...WITH AMOUNTS AN INCH OR LESS MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AND S NH.  APPEARS MOISTURE WILL WORK INTO E MA/CAPE COD BY MORNING.

LEANED THE OVERNIGHT LOWS ON THE RELATIVELY MILD SIDE...A BIT ABOVE
MOST GUIDANCE DUE TO CLOUDS AND LIGHT SW FLOW. THIS WAS CLOSE TO A
BLEND OF THE NAM/GFS 2M TEMPS WITH A LITTLE CONTRIBUTION FROM MOS
GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
CLIPPER LOW MOVES OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY. LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS MAY
CHANGE TO RAIN SHOWERS AS THE DAY WARMS WEDNESDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS FAIR WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR RADIATIONAL
COOLING OVER THE INTERIOR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS AND 20S GIVING
A SENSE OF WHERE THE MIN TEMPS WILL GO TO. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
DURING THURSDAY WITH SOME LOWER CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY. THE FOCUS
FOR THE CLOUDS SHOULD BE A WARM FRONT WITH DEVELOPING SOUTH FLOW OVER
MOST OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER SOUTHERN VT AND
SOUTHERN NH. LIFT AND MOISTURE SEEM TO COLLECT IN THIS AREA AND MAY
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO SOUTHERN NH AND NORTHWEST MASS. LOW
LEVEL TEMPS ARE FORECAST IN THE RANGES EQUIVALENT TO -5C TO -7C AT
850 MB...WHICH WOULD SUPPORT MID TO UPPER 40S.

PTYPE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY IS A QUESTION AT THIS TIME. TEMPS
SHOULD MAINLY SUPPORT RAIN...COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE
INTERIOR BUT WITH LITTLE ACCUMULATION.

MODEL SOLUTIONS AGREE ON A STORM FOR THE WEEKEND...AND SIMILAR TIMING
FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. BUT DIFFERENCES CONTINUE ONCE THE
STORM CENTER MOVES OFFSHORE WITH THE ECMWF FARTHEST SOUTH AND THE
OPERATIONAL GFS WEST OF THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. THE ECMWF ALSO HOLDS
MOST OF THE PRECIP OFFSHORE. WE WILL INSTEAD GO WITH THE GFS
PLACEMENT...WHICH BRINGS 2 TO 4 TENTHS OF WATER EQUIVALENT AND
TEMPERATURES THAT COULD KEEP THAT AS SNOW OVER THE INTERIOR. AS THIS
IS A DAY 6 FORECAST...WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THIS POTENTIAL STORM BUT
NOT GET TOO EXCITED FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
TONIGHT...
EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH CEILINGS MAINLY AOA 5KFT. CEILINGS
WILL LOWER CLOSE TO MVFR FROM NEAR KWST-KUUU-KCQX SOUTHWARD AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS SOME FLURRIES COULD SNEAK IN. NOT EXPECTING VSBY
RESTRICTIONS AT THIS POINT.

TUESDAY...
BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST ALONG WITH A FEW
FLURRIES FROM NEAR KBID-KMVY SOUTHWARD THROUGH MID MORNING.
OTHERWISE VFR.

TUESDAY NIGHT...
VFR TO START. EXPECT CEILINGS TO LOWER TO VFR-MVFR ACROSS S NH/MOST
OF MA. POCKETS OF LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS S NH AFTER
MIDNIGHT...PUSHING SE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH BRIEF MVFR
VSBYS.

WEDNESDAY...OCCASIONAL MVFR IN LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...OTHERWISE
VFR.

THURSDAY...VFR MOST OF THE DAY BUT COULD BE SOME MVFR THURSDAY NIGHT
IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AREAS OF MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT...EXPECT W WINDS AT 10-20 KTS WITH SOME GUSTS TO 30
KTS...THOUGH DIMINISHING BY MIDNIGHT OR SO. SEAS SUBSIDING. EXPECT
SEAS TO LOWER TO BELOW 5 FEET ON THE SOUTHERN WATERS BY MIDNIGHT.

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
LIGHT W WINDS WILL BECOME SW TUESDAY NIGHT. SEAS 4 FEET OR LESS
THROUGH PERIOD. SCATTERED FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW MAY MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTH COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY MORNING.

TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS.

WEDNESDAY...SCA WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS.

THURSDAY...WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
WATERS.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON THE
SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS.

SATURDAY...WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
WATERS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MOST RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT ARE IN FLOOD /MINOR TO MODERATE/ ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND HAVE CRESTED AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RECEDE. THE
EXCEPTION WAS THE CONNECTICUT RIVER...WHICH IS IN FLOOD AND
CONTINUES TO RISE.

ESSENTIALLY WE ARE LOOKING AT A DRY PATTERN FOR THE BALANCE OF THE
WORK WEEK.  ANY PRECIPITATION EARLY TUE WILL BE VERY LIGHT AND IN
THE FORM OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES. THIS WILL GIVE RIVERS AND
STREAMS TIME TO RECOVER FROM THIS PAST EVENT. IN ADDITION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR BELOW NORMAL. THIS WILL LIMIT
ANY SNOW MELT ACROSS THE HEADWATERS OVER NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THIS WILL LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF RUNOFF FROM
SNOW MELT CONTRIBUTION.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ232>235-254-
     255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB
NEAR TERM...WTB/EVT
SHORT TERM...EVT
LONG TERM...WTB
AVIATION...WTB/EVT
MARINE...WTB/EVT
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
418 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2008

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-112030-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
418 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NUMEROUS RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. PLEASE SEE OUR LATEST
FLOOD STATEMENT PRODUCT FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A WEAK DISTURBANCE MAY BRING UP TO AN INCH OF FRESH SNOW TO PORTIONS
OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

A COLD FRONT MAY BRING AN INCH OR LESS OF FRESH SNOW TO PARTS OF
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING.

A MORE SUBSTANTIAL STORM IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS. CONFIDENCE ON
THIS STORM IS LOW...BUT THE PROGRESS OF THE WEEKEND FORECAST SHOULD
BE MONITORED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-112030-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
418 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.