River Flood Warning 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WGUS81 KBOX 140357
FLSBOX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1055 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008



...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD AFFECTING NORFOLK AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON AFFECTING KENT AND PROVIDENCE COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
  SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE AFFECTING MIDDLESEX COUNTY

  *** INSERT HYDROMET DISC/BASIS FOR ISSUANCE HERE ***

A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION IN THIS FLOOD 
EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED.

DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN RIVERS...STREAMS OR 
CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.



MAC021-025-140427-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080214T1348Z/
/NRWM3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD.
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET 
* AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE NEPONSET 
  RIVER IN NORWOOD.

$$

RIC003-007-141556-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080214T2300Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.080214T0322Z.080214T0600Z.080214T1100Z.NO/
1057 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON.
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET 
* AT 9.5 FEET...PARKING LOTS AND ROADS ARE FLOODED IN LOW LYING AREAS
  OF WARWICK AND CRANSTON NEAR THE PAWTUXET RIVER. IMPACTED ROADS 
  INCLUDE RIVER STREET...PIONEER AVENUE...BELLOWS STREET AND VENTURI 
  AVENUE IN WARWICK.

$$

MAC017-141556-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAXM3.1.ER.080213T2232Z.080215T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE.
* AT 10PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SHORE ROAD AND 
  PELHAM ISLAND ROAD THROUGH WAYLAND IN THE VICINITY OF HEARDS POND.
  OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBOX 140359 CCA
FLSBOX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1055 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008



...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD AFFECTING NORFOLK AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON AFFECTING KENT AND PROVIDENCE COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
  SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE AFFECTING MIDDLESEX COUNTY
  
A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION IN THIS FLOOD 
EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED.

DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN RIVERS...STREAMS OR 
CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.



MAC021-025-140427-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080214T1348Z/
/NRWM3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD.
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET 
* AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE NEPONSET 
  RIVER IN NORWOOD.

$$

RIC003-007-141556-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080214T2300Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.080214T0322Z.080214T0600Z.080214T1100Z.NO/
1057 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON.
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING
* AT 09PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET 
* AT 9.5 FEET...PARKING LOTS AND ROADS ARE FLOODED IN LOW LYING AREAS
  OF WARWICK AND CRANSTON NEAR THE PAWTUXET RIVER. IMPACTED ROADS 
  INCLUDE RIVER STREET...PIONEER AVENUE...BELLOWS STREET AND VENTURI 
  AVENUE IN WARWICK.

$$

MAC017-141556-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAXM3.1.ER.080213T2232Z.080215T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE.
* AT 10PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.9 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SHORE ROAD AND 
  PELHAM ISLAND ROAD THROUGH WAYLAND IN THE VICINITY OF HEARDS POND.
  OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING.

$$

STRAUSS

000 
WGUS81 KBOX 141142
FLSBOX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
642 AM EST THU FEB 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON AFFECTING KENT AND PROVIDENCE COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  FARMINGTON RIVER AT SIMSBURY AFFECTING HARTFORD COUNTY 
  BLACKSTONE RIVER AT WOONSOCKET AFFECTING WORCESTER AND PROVIDENCE 
  COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
  ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD AFFECTING MIDDLESEX AND WORCESTER 
  COUNTIES
  SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE AFFECTING MIDDLESEX COUNTY

CLEARING SKIES AND DRY WEATHER WILL ALLOW THE RAIN AND SNOWMELT FROM
WEDNESDAY TO RUNOFF THROUGH THE LARGER RIVERS OF THE REGION.  DRY
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

A FLOOD STATEMENT PROVIDING THE LATEST INFORMATION IN THIS FLOOD 
EVENT WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 8 HOURS...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED.

DO NOT ALLOW CHILDREN TO PLAY NEAR SWOLLEN RIVERS...STREAMS OR 
CULVERTS.  SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN POSE AN IMMINENT THREAT TO LIFE.



RIC003-007-141212-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080214T2300Z/
/CRAR1.1.ER.080214T0340Z.080214T0645Z.080214T0850Z.NO/
642 AM EST THU FEB 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON.
* AT 05AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON
* AT 05AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.8 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET 
* AT 9.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER AS 
  IT FLOWS THROUGH WARWICK AND CRANSTON.

$$

CTC003-142342-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0005.080214T1157Z-080216T1621Z/
/SIMC3.1.ER.080214T1157Z.080215T0600Z.080215T2221Z.NO/
642 AM EST THU FEB 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE FARMINGTON RIVER AT SIMSBURY.
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 06AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE FARMINGTON RIVER AT SIMSBURY
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING
* AT 06AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET 
* AT 15.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS WITH NUMEROUS ROADS AND 
  RESIDENCES AFFECTED.  EVACUATIONS MAY BE NEEDED ALONG VARIOUS ROADS
  IN AVON AND SIMSBURY...INCLUDING RIVERSIDE ROAD IN SIMSBURY. 
  FLOODING ALSO BEGINS TO AFFECT LOW LYING SECTIONS OF BLOOMFIELD AND
  EAST GRANBY. FOLLOW THE DIRECTIONS OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 
  OFFICIALS AND OBEY ALL ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

MAC027-RIC007-142342-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0004.080214T1630Z-080216T0336Z/
/WOOR1.1.ER.080214T1630Z.080215T0000Z.080215T0336Z.NO/
642 AM EST THU FEB 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKSTONE RIVER AT WOONSOCKET.
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 05AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 9.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BLACKSTONE RIVER AT WOONSOCKET
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING
* AT 05AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...7.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET 
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOODING MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOWER PARKING AREA 
  TO THE ALBION MILL APARTMENTS. LOWER LYING RESIDENTIAL AREAS ALONG 
  THE RHODE ISLAND - MASSACHUSETTS LINE MAY BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE 
  FLOODING. BUSINESSES ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY 
  ACTIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

$$

MAC017-027-142342-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0006.080214T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/MAYM3.1.ER.080214T2100Z.080215T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
642 AM EST THU FEB 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD.
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 05AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 5.5 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 05AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...4.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET 
* AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING IS LIKELY IN LOW LYING SECTIONS ALONG THE 
  RIVER INCLUDING PORTIONS OF MAYNARD...HUDSON AND CONCORD.  WATER 
  MAY APPROACH HOMES ALONG THE RIVER AND MAY FORCE SEVERAL LOCALIZED 
  ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

MAC017-142341-
/O.CON.KBOX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SAXM3.1.ER.080213T2232Z.080214T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
642 AM EST THU FEB 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE.
* AT 06AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY THIS MORNING.  
  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY THIS MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 06AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET 
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING WILL AFFECT LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER
  IN WAYLAND...INCLUDING A PORTION OF SHORE ROAD AND PELHAM ISLAND 
  ISLAND ROAD NEAR HEARDS POND.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
416 PM EST WED FEB 13 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
DUAL COASTAL LOW PRES CENTERS IN CENTRAL LONG ISLAND SOUND AND TRYING
TO REFORM OFF THE VIRGINIA CAPES DURING MID AFTERNOON WILL EVENTUALLY
PASS E OF CAPE COD THU MORNING. WEAK HIGH PRES MOVES ACROSS THE REGION
LATE THURSDAY. LOW PRES MOVING THROUGH THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL SWING
A COLD FRONT THROUGH NEW ENGLAND LATE FRIDAY. VERY COLD HIGH PRES WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHEAST SATURDAY. STRONG LOW PRES MOVING INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION LATE SUN AND THEN INTO ONTARIO CANADA MON WILL BRING
A BIT OF ICE OR SNOW AT THE START AND THEN POTENTIALLY SUBSTANTIAL
RAINS ON MON. COLD UNSTABLE AIR MOVES IN FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/...
RECORD RAINS OCCURRED TODAY AT BDL AND PROBABLY BOSTON.

SKYWARN IS HERE IN THE OFFICE.

ICESTORM ..POCKEST IN THE MONADNOCKS. ZR ADVY IN MHT AREA FOR TAIL
END ICING POSSIBLE THIS EVE.

MAIN BRUNT OF THE SNOW AND ICE WAS DONE AT NOON.  COMBINED SNOW AND
ICE MADE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES NR I91-CT RVR VALLEY AND WEVE HEARD
OF ROOF FAILURES IN NH.

SEE HYDRO SECTION...FLSS/FFW ETC AS POSTED. FFA SHORTENED TO 9PM. BY
THEN THE BAND OF R+ IS DONE AND URBAN FLOODING IS COMPLTED. THEN WE
TURN TO RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL AS WRITTEN IN THE FLOOD STATEMENT.

A WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD TODAY. 40-45 KT
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING
LOW. WE SAW G46KT AT MQE 1703Z WHILE BOS WAS CALM./ THATS ABOUT 650 FT
OF HUGE WIND SHEAR IN THE VCNTY OF BOS AT 17Z. UNCONFIRMED REPORT OF
WIND ADVY CRITERIA SE PYM COUNTY BUT ASOS MAXD AT 38KTS AN HOUR AFTER
THE REPORT.

AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST AND ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS BETWEEN NOW AND 01Z TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
THU MORNING... CAN SEE A NEED OF A WXA FOR SE MA AND RI BTWN 09Z-14Z
THU AS FRINGE BANDING OF THE VA CAPES LOW GRAZES SE NEW ENGLAND
WHILE STG BL CAA OCCURS. THIS COULD BE 0.1 WATER EQUIV MIXED PCPN
COMBINED SLEET/SNOW AND WITH TEMPS FALLING WELL BLO FREEZING AT
DAYBREAK /SEE NYS NOW FOR THE COLD SOURCE/. UK HAS IT WELL DEFINED AS
DOES THE OP GFS AND ACTUALLY THE GFS ENS AND SREF ENS HINT AT THIS.

THIS COULD MEAN A VERY SLOW MORNING COMMUTE VCNTY PVD-PYM-EWB.

THU AFTN...TEMP FCST MAY BE 3F TOO WARM. BLO AVG CONFIDENCE ON THE
CURRENT FCST TEMPS THU AFTN. THINK RUNNING IT 2-3F COLDER IS THE WAY
TO MOVE ON THE ENXT FCST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SOME UNCERTAINTY THURSDAY MORNING AS THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND THE NAM
INDICATE A TRAILING LOW OFF THE COAST WITH RAIN LINGERING IN THE
COASTAL PLAIN WHILE THE GFS ENSEMBLE AND OTHER MODELS SHOW A WEAK
WAVE FARTHER OFFSHORE. WE KEPT SOME LINGERING CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY
MORNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST ZONES...AND ESPECIALLY FOR THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN DURING THE AFTERNOON BRINGING
DRY WEATHER. THE UPPER FLOW REMAINS WEST TO SOUTHWEST SO NO DRASTIC
COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY.

THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE BY FRIDAY MORNING WITH A CLIPPER LOW IN THE
ST LAWRENCE VALLEY SWINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE NORTHEAST.
TIMING AMONGST THE MODELS IS SIMILAR WITH THE FRONT ON A BOSTON-NEW
YORK AXIS IN THE EVENING. MOISTURE LOOKS LIMITED BUT WITH FAVORABLE
UPPER DYNAMICS...SO WE WILL GO WITH CHANCE POPS. PTYPE WILL BE
RAIN SHOWERS LEADING THE FRONT...AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE COLDER AIR
TRAILING THE FRONT.

STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL AID IN BRINGING STRONG
WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT...WHICH IN TURN WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE
REGION. THIS COLDER AIR WILL ALSO BE SUPPORTED BY A CHANGE IN THE
UPPER WINDS TO NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. 850 MB TEMPS WILL DROP FROM
AROUND 0C ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO AROUND -16C SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO
MAX TEMPS ON SATURDAY SHOULD BE IN THE 20S...EXCEPT TEENS IN SOUTHERN
NH AND NORTHWEST MASS.

TWO SYSTEMS COME AT US LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...ONE FROM THE
GREAT LAKES AND ONE FROM THE GULF COAST. THE GULF SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE
THE CONTROLLING SYSTEM...SPREADING PRECIP INTO NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WITH CLOUDS MOVING IN BY EVENING AND NO SOURCE
OF COLD AIR IN PLACE TO OUR NORTH...WE EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO DIP A
LITTLE IN THE EVENING BUT THEN SLOWLY RISE OVERNIGHT. PTYPE MAY START
AS SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN ESPECIALLY IN THE INTERIOR...BUT THE OVERALL
TREND WILL BE TOWARD RAIN.

BEHIND THE STORM WILL BE ANOTHER BURST OF COLD ADVECTION WITH 850 MB
TEMPERATURES AROUND -20C AND A LINGERING COLD POOL/UPPER TROF
COMBINATION THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
TODAY...IFR/LIFR IN RAIN...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY...WITH ISOLATED THUNDER
MAINLY SOUTH COAST AND CAPE COD. LLWS ACK/HYA/PVD/BOS WITH STRONG
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET. WIND GUSTS TO 40 KT POSSIBLE AT KACK.

ICE FREE WIND SENSOR PBLMS FORCED ADDING NIL AMD TO ORH. WE WILL AMD
ORH AND ANY OTHER NIL AMDS AS TIME AND CONFIDENCE DICTATES.

TONIGHT...CIGS/VSBY IMPROVE STEADILY TO GENERALLY VFR EXCPT IFR CIGS
ACK REGION. THEN CONDS AT PVD HYA AND ACK MAY DETEIORATE FOR A FEW
HOURS TO IFR OR LIFR IN MXD PCPN...POSSIBLY BRIEFLY HEAVY FOR AN HOUR
OR SO AROUND SUNRISE AS CSI INDICATED IN SOME OF OUR GUIDANCE.

THU...VFR NW AND BECOMING VFR SE. PLS SEE TAFS FOR DETAILS.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
LINGERING IFR ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS THURSDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE
VFR THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY.
MVFR OR IFR IN SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT.
COLD WINDS PICKING UP FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
WINDS DIMINISH SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH VFR THROUGH SUNDAY MIDDAY.

LOWERING CIGS DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH MVFR/IFR IN
SNOW AND RAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
MARGINAL SLY GALE NOW VCNTY CAPE COD. GETTER CHANCE NLY GALE THU
MORNING S AND E OF CAPE COD. ELSEWHERE SCA AT TIMES THRU THU.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR GALE FORCE THURSDAY MORNING WITH DIMINISHING
WIND AND SEAS LATER IN THE DAY AND AT NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
OVERHEAD. INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL THEN SUBSIDE AGAIN DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.
AREAS OF FREEZING SPRAY ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

ANOTHER STORM FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
WINDS AND SEAS SUNDAY NIGHT WITH GUSTS APPROACHING GALES ON THE
OUTER WATERS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
REFER TO LATEST STATEMENTS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR LATEST INFO.

FLOOD WATCH EXTENDED UNTIL 9 PM...AS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS WILL
NOT EASE UNTIL EARLY TONIGHT.

HEAVIEST RAINFALL WAS PUSHING THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT BACK EDGE WILL LIFT THROUGH REGION BY EARLY THIS
EVENING. STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE NOW EXPECTED.

WHILE FOCUS SO FAR HAS BEEN ON WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING...WE ARE ALSO CONCERNED WITH MINOR FLOODING ON SEVERAL
RIVERS IN RI AND EASTERN MA TONIGHT OR FRI.

LATEST NERFC FORECASTS BRINGS FOLLOWING INTO MINOR FLOOD...
SUDBURY RIVER AT SAXONVILLE MA...
ASSABET RIVER AT MAYNARD MA...
BLACKSTONE RIVER AT WOONSOCKET RI...
PAWTUXET RIVER AT CRANSTON RI

WE ARE ALSO WATCHING NEPONSET RIVER AT NORWOOD MA FOR MINOR FLOODING
EARLY TONIGHT...SINCE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS FALLEN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME. A FEW OTHER RIVER POINTS INCLUDING SHAWSHEEN RIVER AT
WILMINGTON MA...SPICKET RIVER AT METHUEN MA AND CONCORD RIVER AT
LOWELL MA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH ACTION STAGE...BUT ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN WITHIN THEIR BANKS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
DAILY RECORD PRECIPITATION FOR FEBRUARY 13TH
BOSTON 1.65 1966 NEW RECORD POSSIBLE TODAY
PROVIDENCE 2.59 1966
HARTFORD 1.69 1966  NEW RECORD TODAY
WORCESTER 3.16 1900

FEBRUARY 12TH 2006 WE HAD RECORD SNOWFALL
BDL 21.9 AND ALSO GREATEST EVER.
BOS 17.5
ORH 16.9
PVD 9.4

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     MAZ002>004-008>012-026.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR MAZ005>007-009-
     011>021.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MAZ022-024.
NH...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NHZ011-
     015.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NHZ012.
RI...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR RIZ001>007.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ230>237-250.
     GALE WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
     FOR ANZ254-255.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MAZ002.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MAZ005>007-009-
     011>021.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MAZ022>024.
NH...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NHZ011-
     015.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NHZ012.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NHZ012.
RI...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR RIZ001>007.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ231-232-250.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ233>237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ230.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ254-255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KJC/DRAG
NEAR TERM...DRAG
SHORT TERM...DRAG
LONG TERM...KJC
AVIATION...KJC/DRAG
MARINE...KJC/DRAG
HYDROLOGY...JWD
CLIMATE...DRAG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

MAZ002>004-008-010-026-NHZ011-015-141615-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A DIFFERENT WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING MORE SNOW AND ICE FROM LATE
SUNDAY TO MONDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN LATER IN
THE DAY ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RIZ008-141615-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-013>021-NHZ012-RIZ001>007-141615-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING MORE SNOW AND ICE FROM LATE SUNDAY
TO MONDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO RAIN ON
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ009-011-012-141615-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS AND
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING MORE SNOW AND ICE FROM LATE SUNDAY
TO MONDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO RAIN ON
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ022>024-141615-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE MINOR URBAN AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

RAIN IS AGAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF
MINOR
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230>237-250-141615-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SOUTH GALES ARE POSSIBLE AROUND NANTUCKET TODAY. NORTHWEST GALES ARE
POSSIBLE ON THE WATERS LATER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NORTHWEST GALES ARE POSSIBLE ON MOST OF THE WATERS ON THURSDAY.
NORTHWEST GALES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ON MOST OF THE WATERS LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ254-255-141615-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
1114 AM EST WED FEB 13 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

SOUTH GALES ARE POSSIBLE AROUND AND SEAWARD OF NANTUCKET TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NORTHWEST GALES ARE POSSIBLE ON MOST OF THE WATERS ON THURSDAY.
NORTHWEST GALES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ON MOST OF THE WATERS LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.