High Surf Advisory 8, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WHUS41 KBOX 241158
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
758 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

MAZ020-023-024-RIZ006>008-242000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0008.080724T1200Z-080725T1200Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
758 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE. 
THE INCREASING WIND WAVE AND SWELL WILL RESULT IN SEAS BUILDING UP TO
8 FEET ON THE OUTER WATERS DURING TODAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE HIGH SURF
AND A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS FOR OCEAN EXPOSED SOUTH FACING
BEACHES.

THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE FOR THE BEACHES WEST OF MARTHAS
VINEYARD AS THE HIGHER SEAS WILL BE BUILDING FROM THE WEST.

HIGH SURF WILL PERSIST TONIGHT.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.  ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES.  WATCH YOUR CHILDREN.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

$$

000 
WHUS41 KBOX 241202
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
802 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

MAZ020-023-024-RIZ006>008-242015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080725T1200Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
802 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
SOUTH FACING COASTS OF SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN RHODE
ISLAND.

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
THE INCREASING WIND WAVE AND SWELL WILL RESULT IN SEAS BUILDING
UP TO 8 FEET ON THE OUTER WATERS DURING TODAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE
HIGH SURF AND A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS FOR OCEAN
EXPOSED SOUTH FACING BEACHES.

THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE FOR THE BEACHES WEST OF MARTHAS
VINEYARD AS THE HIGHER SEAS WILL BE BUILDING FROM THE WEST.

HIGH SURF WILL PERSIST TONIGHT.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.  ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES.  WATCH YOUR CHILDREN.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

$$

000 
WHUS41 KBOX 242046
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
446 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

MAZ023-024-250815-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080725T1600Z/
DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
446 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT FRIDAY. 

BUILDING SEAS OFF NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD WILL REACH 8 TO 9
FEET THIS EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH BELOW 7 FEET BY MIDDAY FRIDAY.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.  ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES.  WATCH YOUR CHILDREN.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

$$

MAZ020-RIZ006>008-250815-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080725T1200Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
446 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

BUILDING SEAS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL REACH 8 TO 10 FEET THIS
EVENING AND THEN DIMINISH BELOW 7 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.  ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES.  WATCH YOUR CHILDREN.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

$$

WTB

000 
WHUS41 KBOX 250917
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
517 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2008

MAZ020-RIZ006>008-251200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080725T1200Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
517 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN
RHODE ISLAND.

SEAS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL DIMINISH BELOW 7 FEET THIS
MORNING.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.  ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES.  WATCH YOUR CHILDREN.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

$$

MAZ023-024-251600-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080725T1600Z/
DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
517 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR THE
SOUTH COASTS OF DUKES AND NANTUCKET COUNTIES.

SEAS OFF NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD WILL DIMINISH BELOW 7 FEET
BY MIDDAY TODAY.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.  ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES.  WATCH YOUR CHILDREN.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

$$

000 
WHUS41 KBOX 251543
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1143 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2008

MAZ023-024-252100-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SU.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-080725T2100Z/
DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
1143 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SEAS OFF NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD WERE BETWEEN 6 AND 7 FEET AT
MIDDAY...AND WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
CONDITIONS WILL BE DIMINISHING...THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SOME
LINGERING EFFECTS OF HIGH SURF THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FOR THIS
REASON...THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL.  ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES.  WATCH YOUR CHILDREN.  BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

$$

WTB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
426 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE
FLOODING TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE THIS WEEKEND WITH
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING/...
SEVERE STORMS MOVING THROUGH RI AT 4 PM AND APPROACHING SE MA.
STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WATRM FRONT.  MLCAPES AROUND 1000 J/KG
ALONG THE COAST AND 0-6KM SHEAR UP TO 40 KT SO SEVERE THREAT WILL
CONTINUE RI AND SE MA INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
MLCAPES A LITTLE LESS ACROSS N CT BUT STILL ENOUGH INSTABILITY/SHEAR
COMBINATION FOR CONTINUED SEVERE THREAT IN THIS REGION.

ALSO...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE STORMS WILL PRODICE LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /10 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
ANOMALOUS LATE JULY PATTERN WITH UPPER LOW AMPLIFYING ACROSS GT
LAKES AND ACQUIRING SOME NEGATIVE TILT.  SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL
BE FOCUS FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT LCOALLY HEAVY RAIN ALSO
POSSIBLE EAST THE BOUNDARY AS WE ARE WITNESSING CURRENTLY IN HIGH
PWAT AIRMASS.

GFS/NAM/ECMWF AND ALL GEFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT
ON AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN SETTING UP ACROSS OUR W ZONES...ESPECIALLY
CT VALLEY AND BERKSHIRES.  AMOUNTS DIFFER BUT GENERAL LOCATION IS
SIMILAR SO WE HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO ISSUE FLOOD WATCH FOR W
ZONES AND EXTENDING IT EWD TO S NH...ORH COUNTY AND RI/CT BORDER.
HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF FLOODING RAINS WILL BE OVER CT VALLEY AND
BERKSHIRES.

NAM INDICATING UP TO 10 INCHES ACROSS W ZONES WHILE GFS/ECMWF SHOW
UP TO 5 INCHES.  GEFS ENSEMBLES SHOW LOW LEVEL JET +4SD FOR 24H
PERIOD WHICH SUGGEST PERSISTENT INFLOW AND INTENSE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  GIVEN SLOW MOVEMENT OF
FRONT...WE CANT COMPLETELY RULE OUT LOCALIZED 8 WITH WIDESPREAD
2-5 AMOUNTS IN WATCH AREA...HIGHEST CT VALLEY AND BERKSHIRES.
FURTHER EAST IN THE COASTAL PLAIN...OUR BEST ESTIMATE IS FOR 1-2.

WE FOCUSED HIGHEST POPS IN W ZONES...THEN DECREASING TO THE EAST.
GIVEN HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN MUCH OF THE RAIN MAY REMAIN WEST OF
CAPE/ISLANDS THROUGH THU AND WE HAVE JUST CHC POPS HERE.

SEVERE WEATHER ALSO REMAINS A CONCERN LATE TONIGHT AND THU GIVEN
VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD PRODUCING A HIGHLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT.  INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED...BUT ANY STORMS WILL HAVE
TO MONITORED VERY CLOSELY.  ANY STORMS STAY DEVELOP WILL HAVE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SUPERCELLS.

SURF ZONE...WE ISSUED HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR THU/THU NIGHT DUE TO
INCREASING SOUTH WIND WAVE.  SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 FT OFFSHORE
RESUTING IN A HIGH RISK OF RIPS ON SOUTH FACING BEACHES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRING A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THURSDAY...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND
CROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AT NIGHT. A DECENT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
JET BETWEEN 45 AND 50 KT WILL PROVIDE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
APPROACHING FRONT WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT NOTED ALONG THE THETA-E RIDGE
AXIS AS WELL. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE NEAR 2 G/KG. IN
ADDITION THE DIVERGENT RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A 110 KT JET STREAK
WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. GIVEN THE AVAILABLE
FORCING MECHANISMS AND DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW...HAVE CONTINUED THE
MENTION OF CATEGORICAL POPS. THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS ALSO
OUTLINED THE REGION IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR DETAILS. SEE HYDRO
SECTION FOR QPF AMOUNTS AND FLOOD POTENTIAL.

THURSDAY NIGHT...COLD FRONT GRADUALLY SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION WITH
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TRACKING INTO EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. THERE ARE
TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SLOWER NAM AND MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS.
FOR NOW HAVE DECIDED TO USE A BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS WHICH IS
SUPPORTED BY THE UKMET AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS.

FRIDAY...THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST OFFSHORE AS THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION AND LIFTS NORTH.
CONTINUED THE MENTION OF CHANCE POPS ALONG THE EASTERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST. OTHERWISE EXPECT INCREASING SUNSHINE AND A GRADUAL LOWERING
OF HUMIDITY LEVELS ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

SATURDAY...NEXT SHORT WAVE QUICKLY ARRIVES IN CYCLONIC FLOW FROM THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD
FROM WEST TO EAST BY AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...CONTINUED THE MENTION OF CHANCE POPS AS A
SERIES OF SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCES CROSS THE REGION. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE MAY BUILD ACROSS THE REGION BY MIDWEEK...BUT STILL LOTS OF
UNCERTAINTY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY ONCE
AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
TONIGHT...
A MIXTURE OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AT MID AFTERNOON.  IN ADDITION...HEAVY SHOWERS ALONG WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION PARTICULARLY IN
THE INTERIOR.  CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR/LIFR ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT.  IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION INTO THE NIGHT
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR.  SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
MVFR/IFR CONTINUE WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS.  THE HEAVY SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN BRIEF VLIFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THU AND THU NIGHT...IFR ALL TERMINALS. SHRA/TSRA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
EXPECTED.

FRI...CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR...LINGERING IFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

SAT...VFR AM. MVFR SCT SHRA/TSRA IN THE AFTERNOON.

SUN...IFR AM/MVFR PM SCT SHRA/TSRA AND FOG PATCHES S COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND THU AS LOW LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS.  LOW LEVEL INVERSION WILL LIMIT MIXING BUT 40-50 KTS JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE SHOULD ALLOW FOR G25 KTS.  UNDERCUT WNAWAVE
GUIDANCE AS IT IS EXHIBITING ITS HIGH BIAS IN SOUTH FLOW.  SWAN
OUTPUT LOOKED MUCH BETTER WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FEET THU ON OUTER
WATERS.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...SCA FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS EXPECTED WITH
BUILDING SOUTHERLY SWELL. WIND GUSTS TO 25 KT POSSIBLE THU.
UNDERCUT WNA GUIDANCE SLIGHTLY GIVEN LOW LEVEL INVERSION.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SCA FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS WITH BUILDING SWELL
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE NEXT APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
QPF AMOUNTS WILL VARY ACROSS OUR REGION.  MAX AMOUNTS EXPECTED OVER
CT VALLEY AND BERKSHIRES WITH 2-5 INCHES AND LOCALLY 8 POSSIBLE.
AMOUNTS DECREASE TO THE EAST WITH GENERALLY 1-2 COASTAL PLAIN AND
LESS CAPE/ISLANDS.

URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING LIKELY ALONG WITH RIVER AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING...HIGHEST RISK CT VALLEY AND BERKSHIRES.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR MAZ002>004-008>012-026.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     MAZ020-023-024.
NH...FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR NHZ011-015.
RI...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     RIZ006>008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR
     ANZ231>234.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR
     ANZ236.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ235-
     237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR ANZ254-255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KJC/EVT
NEAR TERM...KJC
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...STRAUSS
AVIATION...FRANK/STRAUSS
MARINE...KJC/STRAUSS
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1127 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-241530-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
1127 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON...MAINLY NEAR THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY. THIS WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE. IF IT STAYS CLOUDY...SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY.

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL ALSO HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS IN A SHORT TIME WITH URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING A POSSIBILITY.

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. THERE IS STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH TIMING AND WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN WILL SET
UP. LATEST FORECASTS SUGGEST THE BERKSHIRES AND CONNECTICUT VALLEY
MAY BE MOST AT RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. A FLOOD WATCH
MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

THERE IS A LOW RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE WILL BE A HIGHER RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST
THURSDAY AS SOUTH SWELL INCREASES.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REDEVELOP LATE SAT AND
MAY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-241530-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
1127 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP TODAY AND LAST THROUGH
THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE A LOW RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY.

MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SAT
THROUGH EARLY MON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
233 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

RIZ003-004-006-231915-
EASTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
233 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

AT 228 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH OVER HOPKINTON...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF MYSTIC...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 57 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...EXETER AND WEST GREENWICH BY 240 PM
EDT.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. GET
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE NOW IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED TALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. AVOID OPEN AREAS SUCH
AS GOLF COURSES OR BALL FIELDS.

FRANK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
304 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

CTZ004-RIZ001>004-006-231945-
EASTERN KENT RI-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE
RI-WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN KENT RI-WINDHAM CT-
304 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

AT 300 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PLAINFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 37 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...STERLING AND 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BROOKLYN BY 310 PM EDT...DANIELSON AND KILLINGLY BY 320 PM EDT...
FOSTER AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF SCITUATE BY 330 PM EDT.

HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE MINOR STREET FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER IN
LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
AREAS.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. GET
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE NOW IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED TALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. AVOID OPEN AREAS SUCH
AS GOLF COURSES OR BALL FIELDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND.

FRANK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
333 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0329 PM     LIGHTNING        WEST GREENWICH          41.63N 71.65W
07/23/2008                   KENT               RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            *** 1 INJ *** MAN STRUCK BY LIGHTNING, NO FURTHER DETAILS

&&

WSIMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
401 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0329 PM     LIGHTNING        WEST GREENWICH          41.63N 71.65W
07/23/2008                   KENT               RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            *** 1 INJ *** MAN STRUCK BY LIGHTNING, NO FURTHER DETAILS

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COVENTRY                41.78N 72.30W
07/23/2008                   TOLLAND            CT   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON HARKNEY HILL ROAD IN WEST COVENTRY

0349 PM     HAIL             COVENTRY                41.78N 72.30W
07/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       TOLLAND            CT   AMATEUR RADIO

0355 PM     HAIL             WEST WARWICK            41.70N 71.52W
07/23/2008  M1.00 INCH       KENT               RI   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

WSIMPSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0329 PM     LIGHTNING        WEST GREENWICH          41.63N 71.65W
07/23/2008                   KENT               RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            *** 1 INJ *** MAN STRUCK BY LIGHTNING, NO FURTHER DETAILS

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COVENTRY                41.78N 72.30W
07/23/2008                   TOLLAND            CT   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN ON HARKNEY HILL ROAD IN WEST COVENTRY

0349 PM     HAIL             COVENTRY                41.78N 72.30W
07/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       TOLLAND            CT   AMATEUR RADIO

0355 PM     HAIL             WEST WARWICK            41.70N 71.52W
07/23/2008  M1.00 INCH       KENT               RI   NWS EMPLOYEE

0357 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTH KINGSTOWN         41.51N 71.45W
07/23/2008                   WASHINGTON         RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIRES DOWN IN QUONSET

0358 PM     WATER SPOUT      BARRINGTON              41.74N 71.32W
07/23/2008                   BRISTOL            RI   PUBLIC

            REPORTED NEAR BARRINGTON BEACH

0400 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     BARRINGTON              41.74N 71.32W
07/23/2008                   BRISTOL            RI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WSIMPSON