Tornado Warning 179, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 081518
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1018 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2008

ALC101-081528-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.W.0179.000000T0000Z-081008T1530Z/
MONTGOMERY AL-
1018 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 164 THROUGH 173...
AND INTERSTATE 85 EXIT NUMBERS 1 THROUGH 11.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS ENDED. THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE
WARNING HAVE WEAKENED.

LAT...LON 3212 8641 3214 8640 3225 8640 3226 8643
      3227 8645 3249 8625 3234 8605 3208 8635
TIME...MOT...LOC 1518Z 221DEG 20KT 3228 8628

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
645 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2008

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

STARTING OFF UNSEASONABLE WARM WITH DEEP GULF MOISTURE CONTINUING
TO STREAM UP ACROSS THE AREA. UPPER LOW JUST TO OUR WEST...WITH
ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT...IS CONVERTING THE DEEP MOISTURE
INTO SHOWERS AT THE MOMENT FOR US. SAID UPPER LOW/FRONT WILL
SLOWLY TREK OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY. AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS
AND THE SUN POPS UP...EXPECT SHOWERS TO TURN INTO STORMS. BY LATE
MORNING...SOME STORMS COULD BE ON THE STRONG SIDE...WITH GUSTY
WINDS...IN THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA. FOR PLANNING PURPOSES...NOT
EXPECTING AN ALL DAY RAIN FOR EVERYONE. BACK EDGE OF CONVECTION IS ON
THE ALABAMA LINE NOW. FOLKS ACROSS THE WEST WILL BE RAIN FREE BY
NOON. FOLKS IN THE EAST...PLAN ON PERIODS OF RAIN.

THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE A PLAYER IN THE FORECAST THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. BY EARLY SATURDAY THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE GA COAST. CONCURRENTLY A RIDGE WILL BE IN THE
PROCESS OF BUILDING OVER THE TOP OF IT. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS
OVER...THE LOW WILL BE FORCED BACK TO THE WEST. WE WILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS BY SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH EVEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BY SUNDAY THE UPPER LOW FLATTENS...BUT WE WILL
STILL BE LEFT WITH RESIDUAL CLOUDS/MOISTURE. TEMPS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT LOWS...WILL BE ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL.

JONES/90

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL PUSH INTO WEST ALABAMA THIS MORNING. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE TROF AXIS. RAIN SHOULD END ACROSS AREAS WEST OF I-65 BY 15Z WITH
MOST OF THE RAIN ENDING ACROSS EAST ALABAMA BY 18Z. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF TSTMS BETWEEN 15Z AND 21Z IN THE KMGM
AND KTOI AREAS. WIDESPREAD CIGS 1000-1500 FEET AGL THRU 17Z WITH LCL
CIGS BLO 1000 FEET. CIGS SHOULD RISE TO ABOVE 3000 FEET MOST SITES
AFTER 17Z.  POSSIBILITY OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG FORMING LATER TONIGHT
DUE TO RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.

58/ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     74  59  77  58  83 /  80  40   0   0  10
ANNISTON    73  60  78  60  83 /  90  40   0   0  10
BIRMINGHAM  75  61  77  63  84 /  70  20   0   0  10
TUSCALOOSA  77  61  81  61  85 /  50  10   0  10  10
CALERA      75  61  78  62  83 /  70  20   0   0  10
AUBURN      73  61  75  64  82 /  90  20   0   0  10
MONTGOMERY  78  62  80  63  84 /  80  10   0   0  10
TROY        77  60  80  60  84 /  80  10   0   0  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
453 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-090000-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
453 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM 9 AM THROUGH 4 PM
TODAY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WHITE HALL...TO TALLASSEE...TO
AUBURN. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. AN UPPER LEVEL
IMPULSE WILL MOVE INTO WEST ALABAMA THIS MORNING AND TRIGGER
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS AREAS MAINLY EAST OF I-65 LATER THIS MORNING.
THE AIRMASS WILL BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA FOR A
FEW STRONG STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.