Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

000 
WWUS84 KBMX 281954
RFWBMX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
254 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...HIGH FIRE DANGER TODAY...

ALZ011>015-017>050-282300-
/O.CON.KBMX.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-081028T2300Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-
COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-
MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
254 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR INTO
ALABAMA TODAY. BRISK NORTH WINDS OF 10-15 MPH AND LOW AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE A HIGH FIRE DANGER.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE FIRE CONDITIONS...PLEASE
CONTACT THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION AT
WWW.FORESTRY.ALABAMA.GOV.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
335 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.DISCUSSION...
MOST AREAS ARE IN THE 30S THIS MORNING WITH A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS
NORTHERN COUNTIES LIKELY TO REACH FREEZING BEFORE SUNRISE. SURFACE
WINDS HAVE HELD IN THE 3-5 MPH RANGE AND WINDS WILL INCREASE AFTER
SUNRISE AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN. IT WILL NOT BE AS WINDY
AS MONDAY...BUT WINDS TODAY STILL IN THE 10-15 MPH RANGE. MAJORITY
OF MOS GUIDANCE HAS COME IN A LITTLE COOLER FOR TODAY AND LOWERED
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES 1 TO 2 DEGREES MOST AREAS. THIS IS A
SIGNIFICANT COLD SURGE AS HIGHS TODAY WILL BE 15-20 DEGREES BELOW
AVERAGE. A WIDESPREAD FREEZE LOOKS LIKELY TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH
BUILDS EASTWARD AND WINDS BECOME NEAR CALM. THE FREEZE WATCH WILL
BE UPGRADED TO A FREEZE WARNING FOR ENTIRE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE SOME ON WEDNESDAY AS CENTER OF SURFACE
RIDGE SHIFTS TO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND WINDS BECOME MORE WESTERLY.
ANOTHER COLD NIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE
SITUATED RIGHT OVER AREA. A FREEZE WATCH/WARNING MAY BE ISSUED
LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
AS SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
BECOME SOUTHEAST AND A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK TO SEASONAL VALUES BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

A SHORT WAVE TROF WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY BUT WITH
GULF MOISTURE CUT-OFF NO RAIN EXPECTED. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
TO AFFECT ALABAMA THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK AS BROAD ZONAL FLOW KEEPS
SYSTEMS TO OUR NORTH. A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROF WILL MOVE INTO THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT CONFIDENCE LOW AT THIS TIME
THAT IT WILL BRING ANY RAINFALL OUR DIRECTION.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 5 TO 7 KTS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE
NIGHT. MAY SEE SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS WORK INTO ANB BY 9 TO 12Z...BUT
DECKS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 5000 FEET AND BE OF LITTLE IMPACT TO THE
TERMINAL. THESE WILL DISSIPATE BY 15Z. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN
AFTER 15Z WITH 10 TO 12 KTS EXPECTED AND GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS. WINDS
CALM BACK DOWN AROUND SUNSET. OTHERWISE NO OTHER AVIATION IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...BORDERLINE RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY.
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT MOST AREAS
WHILE 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10 MPH. A RED FLAG WARNING
WILL BE ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR ENTIRE AREA.

ROSE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     51  29  59  31  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    51  30  60  34  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  53  32  60  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  55  32  62  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      55  32  60  37  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      56  32  61  35  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  57  32  62  36  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        57  31  63  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON ALL ZONES.
FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT ALL ZONES.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
500 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-291000-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
500 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND IN THE
EASTERN VALLEYS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA HAS PROMPTED A FREEZE WARNING
UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING.

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AND LOW
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RESULT IN A HIGH FIRE DANGER FROM NOON UNTIL 6
PM THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY MORNING WILL APPROACH
OR FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. WEDNESDAY
MORNING...CALM WINDS WILL RESULT IN PATCHY TO WIDESPREAD FROST
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING AS LOW AS THE
UPPER 20S IN NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS. THURSDAY
MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN APPROACH THE FREEZING MARK
ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED AND VALLEY AREAS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. PATCHY
FROST IS ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

17/KLAWS