Flash Flood Warning 8, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1242 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

RAIN IS NOW FALLING ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING
AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. NO LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING AT THE MOMENT. SO
WENT AHEAD AND REMOVED THUNDERSTORM WORDING FROM THE
FORECAST...EXCEPT IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST ZONES WHEN A FEW
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE ACROSS. EVEN THEN...LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY MINIMAL.

ALL THIS RAINFALL WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING THIS
AFTERNOONS FORECAST HIGH. WENT AHEAD AND DECREASE TEMPS DOWN
SIGNIFICANTLY. WE SHOULD NOT SEE ANY 80S THIS AFTERNOON.

UPDATED GRIDS ARE OUT. NEW ZONES WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

10/ARM

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

WENT AHEAD AND UPDATED THE DISCUSSION TO SPECIFY THAT THE STRONGER
WINDS WILL BE AROUND THE MGM AND TOI AREA. WINDS WILL GUST NEAR 40
KNOTS THERE. THE REST OF THE SITES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 25 AND 35.
STILL EXPECTING A LOT OF RAIN AND FLUCTUATING CEILINGS. WELL START
OUT WITH MOSTLY MVFR...THEN SWITCH TO IFR WELL AFTER 06Z.

10/ARM

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
130 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-241130-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
130 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WIND GUSTS MAY POTENTIALLY REACH 25 TO 35 MPH FOR AREAS GENERALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 59 THROUGH TONIGHT. FOR AREAS NEAR
AND SOUTH OF THE U.S. 80 AND INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR...WIND GUSTS
OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. AREA MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION WHEN VENTURING OUT INTO THE OPEN WATERWAYS. HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY TRAVELING NORTH TO SOUTH...SHOULD BE
ESPECIALLY ALERT TO THESE CROSS WINDS. DUE TO THE STRESS ON TREES
FROM THE RECENT DROUGHT...TREE LIMBS MAY BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO
BREAKING UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

RAIN WILL BE VERY HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT FOR AREAS GENERALLY
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM EUTAW...TO CENTREVILLE...TO LAFAYETTE.
CONVECTIVE BANDS FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL CONTINUE ROTATING
ACROSS THE AREA. BUT PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE WILL REMAIN SOUTH ALONG
AND NEAR THE U.S. 80 AND INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR. STAY TUNED FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION DURING THIS PERIOD AS WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY
BECOME NECESSARY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

IN REGARDS TO THE RAINFALL...EXPECT TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BY SUNDAY NIGHT TO BE ANYWHERE FROM 3 TO 11 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED
HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM LIVINGSTON...TO MONTGOMERY...TO HURTSBORO.

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXIST MONDAY AND TUESDAY UNTIL THE
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH FAY EXITS THE AREA. SOME UNCERTAINTY
DOES EXIST WITH PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS...BUT AN
ADDITIONAL 5 TO 10 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR. THIS RAIN FALL WILL TRANSLATE INTO POTENTIAL RIVER
FLOODING BY THE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY TIME FRAME.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS A LARGE
PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...ON THE EAST SIDE OF FAYS PATH.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...CONSULT THE LATEST GUIDANCE AND INFORMATION
FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CONCERNING THE POSSIBLE EFFECTS
FROM FAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY THROUGH SUNDAY.

75/LINHARES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
252 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CLIO                    31.71N 85.61W
08/23/2008                   BARBOUR            AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN NEAR CLIO AND A FEW TREES
            WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY. THESE DOWNED TREES
            PRODUCED SOME POWER OUTAGES. TREES DOWNED DUE TO HEAVY
            RAIN AND ESTIMATED WINDS AROUND 40 MPH.

&&

LINHARES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
254 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0251 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG AUBURN                  32.59N 85.48W
08/23/2008                   LEE                AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN AUBURN. TREES DOWNED DUE
            TO HEAVY RAIN AND ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH.

&&

LINHARES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
311 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG TROY                    31.81N 85.97W
08/23/2008                   PIKE               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW SMALL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND SOME LIMBS SNAPPED
            OFF NEAR TROY.

&&

LINHARES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
314 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HEAVY RAIN       TROY                    31.81N 85.97W
08/23/2008  U0.00 INCH       PIKE               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEAVY RAIN BEGINNING TO COLLECT ON ROADWAYS NEAR TROY.
            THESE ROADS WERE STILL PASSABLE BUT CONDITIONS ARE
            DETERIORATING.

&&

LINHARES