Alert archive / North Dakota / Winter Storm Warnings in 2008
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this winter storm warning at Oct 11, 2008, 3:53 AM MDT for 7 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Oct 11, 2008, 6:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 30 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2008, 3:53 AM MDT (09:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 11, 2008, 6:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Oct 13, 2008, 12:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
Counties Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Divide County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Slope County, ND, Williams County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 218 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:00 AM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 6 | Trotters, ND | SNOW STARTED 830 PM MDT OCT 11TH. |
| Oct 12, 10:00 AM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 7 | 2 Ene Grassy Butte, ND | STILL SNOWING. STARTED SATURDAY EVENING. |
| Oct 12, 11:25 AM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 11 | Beach, ND | FELL OVERNIGHT. |
| Oct 12, 9:28 PM MDT | HEAVY SNOW 8 | Trotters, ND |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 671 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 71 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -5 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 400 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KBIS 110953 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 453 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 ...A STRONG AUTUMN STORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .A WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING 6 TO 12 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW OVER FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND INTO EASTERN MONTANA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND LAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING...POSSIBLY CREATING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. FURTHER TO THE EAST A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THIS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF NORTH DAKOTA...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE TRAVELING ON INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 85...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY WET SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION...OR BE PREPARED TO DELAY TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043-111800- /O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0008.081011T2100Z-081013T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.WS.W.0003.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY... BEACH...MEDORA...MARMARTH...BOWMAN 453 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /353 AM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS UPGRADED THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY...WITH A RAIN AND SNOW MIX CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW BY TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OF WET SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NDZ018-033-041-044-111800- /O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0008.081011T2100Z-081013T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DUNN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KILLDEER...DICKINSON...MOTT...HETTINGER 453 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /353 AM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NDZ002-010-111800- /O.NEW.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-MOUNTRAIL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...NEW TOWN 453 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NH
7 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KBIS 111738 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1238 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 ...A STRONG AUTUMN STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CAUSE 6 TO 12 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW OVER FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND LAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING...POSSIBLY CREATING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. FURTHER TO THE EAST A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH VERY BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT TO ACCOUNT FOR WINTRY WEATHER JUST TO THE EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF NORTH DAKOTA...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE TRAVELING ON INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 85...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY WET SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION...OR BE PREPARED TO DELAY TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043-120145- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0003.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY... BEACH...MEDORA...MARMARTH...BOWMAN 1238 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /1138 AM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY...WITH A RAIN AND SNOW MIX CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW BY TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OF WET SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NDZ002-010-018-033-041-044-120145- /O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-MOUNTRAIL-DUNN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...NEW TOWN...KILLDEER... DICKINSON...MOTT...HETTINGER 1238 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /1138 AM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS FORECAST TO OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ SCHECK
000 WWUS43 KBIS 112121 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 421 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 ...A STRONG AUTUMN STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CAUSE 6 TO 14 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW OVER FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND LAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING...POSSIBLY CREATING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. FURTHER TO THE EAST A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH VERY BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT TO ACCOUNT FOR WINTRY WEATHER JUST TO THE EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO ACCOUNT FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF RENVILLE...WARD...AND MCLEAN COUNTIES. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF NORTH DAKOTA...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE TRAVELING ON INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 85...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SLIPPERY ROADWAYS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY WET SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION...OR BE PREPARED TO DELAY TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043-120530- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0003.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY... BEACH...MEDORA...MARMARTH...BOWMAN 421 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /321 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY...WITH A RAIN AND SNOW MIX CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW BY TONIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 14 INCHES OF WET SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NDZ003-011-021-120530- /O.EXA.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ RENVILLE-WARD-MCLEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOHALL...MINOT...GARRISON 421 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS FORECAST TO OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME WESTERN RENVILLE...WARD...AND MCLEAN COUNTIES...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NDZ002-010-018-033-041-044-120530- /O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.081012T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-MOUNTRAIL-DUNN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...NEW TOWN...KILLDEER... DICKINSON...MOTT...HETTINGER 421 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /321 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER TODAY. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS FORECAST TO OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ SCHECK
000 WWUS43 KBIS 120231 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 931 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 ...A STRONG AUTUMN STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CAUSE 6 TO 14 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW OVER FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND LAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING...POSSIBLY CREATING AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. FURTHER TO THE EAST A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH VERY BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES TO THE EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING. THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO ACCOUNT FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF RENVILLE...WARD...AND MCLEAN COUNTIES. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF NORTH DAKOTA...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE TRAVELING ON INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 85...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SLIPPERY ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY WET SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION...OR BE PREPARED TO DELAY TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043-121045- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY... BEACH...MEDORA...MARMARTH...BOWMAN 931 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /831 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 14 INCHES OF WET SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NDZ002-003-010-011-018-021-033-041-044-121045- /O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-DUNN-MCLEAN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT... KILLDEER...GARRISON...DICKINSON...MOTT...HETTINGER 931 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 /831 PM MDT SAT OCT 11 2008/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER OVERNIGHT. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME WESTERN RENVILLE...WARD...AND MCLEAN COUNTIES. BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KBIS 120922 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 422 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 ...A STRONG AUTUMN STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... .A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TODAY...AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BRING UP TO 10 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW TO PORTIONS OF FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY THIS EVENING. FURTHER TO THE EAST A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH VERY BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES TO THE EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF NORTH DAKOTA TODAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE TRAVELING ON INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 85. SLIPPERY ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FALLING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THE HEAVY WET SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION...OR BE PREPARED TO DELAY TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043-121730- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY... BEACH...MEDORA...MARMARTH...BOWMAN 422 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 /322 AM MDT SUN OCT 12 2008/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING UP TO 10 INCHES OF WET SNOW TO THE WARNED AREA BY LATER TODAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NDZ002-003-010-011-018-021-033-041-044-121730- /O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-DUNN-MCLEAN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT... KILLDEER...GARRISON...DICKINSON...MOTT...HETTINGER 422 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 /322 AM MDT SUN OCT 12 2008/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A RAIN AND SNOW MIX TODAY...ALONG WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NH
000 WWUS43 KBIS 121756 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 1256 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 ...A STRONG AUTUMN STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... .A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TODAY...AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CAUSE UP TO 12 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW TO PORTIONS OF FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY THIS EVENING. FURTHER TO THE EAST A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH VERY BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...OR LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES TO THE EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF NORTH DAKOTA TODAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE TRAVELING ON INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 85. SLIPPERY ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FALLING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THE HEAVY WET SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION...OR BE PREPARED TO DELAY TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043-130200- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY... BEACH...MEDORA...MARMARTH...BOWMAN 1256 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 /1156 AM MDT SUN OCT 12 2008/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING UP TO 12 INCHES OF WET SNOW TO THE WARNED AREA BY LATER TODAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NDZ002-003-010-011-018-021-033-041-044-130200- /O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-RENVILLE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-DUNN-MCLEAN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...MOHALL...NEW TOWN...MINOT... KILLDEER...GARRISON...DICKINSON...MOTT...HETTINGER 1256 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 /1156 AM MDT SUN OCT 12 2008/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A RAIN AND SNOW MIX TODAY...ALONG WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ SCHECK
000 WWUS43 KBIS 122102 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 402 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 ...A STRONG AUTUMN STORM CONTINUES TO IMPACT WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... .A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TODAY...AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CAUSE UP TO 12 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW TO PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA BY THIS EVENING. FURTHER TO THE EAST A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH VERY LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES JUST TO THE EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF NORTH DAKOTA TODAY...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE TRAVELING ON INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 85. SLIPPERY ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FALLING SNOW SHOULD BE EXPECTED. THE HEAVY WET SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE. THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION...OR BE PREPARED TO DELAY TRAVEL. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES. NDZ031-032-040-043-122215- /O.CAN.KBIS.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-SLOPE-BOWMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEACH...MEDORA...MARMARTH...BOWMAN 302 PM MDT SUN OCT 12 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. DRY AIR HAS WRAPPED INTO THE BACK OF THE STORM...RESULTING IN DECREASED SNOW INTENSITY. WHILE 3 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER THE AREA...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN ONE INCH. $$ NDZ003-011-021-033-041-044-122215- /O.CAN.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ RENVILLE-WARD-MCLEAN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOHALL...MINOT...GARRISON...DICKINSON... MOTT...HETTINGER 402 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 /302 PM MDT SUN OCT 12 2008/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. DRY AIR HAS WRAPPED INTO THE BACK OF THE STORM...RESULTING IN DECREASED SNOW INTENSITY. WHILE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER THE AREA...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN ONE INCH. $$ NDZ001-009-017-130515- /O.CON.KBIS.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY 402 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING UP TO 12 INCHES OF WET SNOW TO THE WARNED AREA BY LATER TODAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ NDZ002-010-018-130515- /O.CON.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-MOUNTRAIL-DUNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...NEW TOWN...KILLDEER 402 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY. A STRONG AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A RAIN AND SNOW MIX TODAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ SCHECK
000 WWUS43 KBIS 130624 WSWBIS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 124 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...STRONG STORM EXITING THE REGION... .A STORM SYSTEM THAT PRODUCED 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW OVER FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST MANITOBA AND THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. NDZ001-009-017-130730- /O.EXP.KBIS.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSBY...WILLISTON...WATFORD CITY 124 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES CAN STILL BE EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING. $$ NDZ002-010-018-130730- /O.EXP.KBIS.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-081013T0600Z/ BURKE-MOUNTRAIL-DUNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWBELLS...NEW TOWN...KILLDEER 124 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES CAN STILL BE EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING. $$ TWH
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Oct 11, 3:13 AM MDT, 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 3:13 AM MDT, 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 413 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008 .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... FORECAST CONCERNS/HIGHLIGHTS IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL FOCUS ON THE LARGE FALL STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE LOCAL REGION OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS. SPECIFIC CHALLENGES REMAIN PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN DECENT OVERALL AGREEMENT OVER THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO...WITH SOLUTIONS THEN UNFORTUNATELY DIVERGING RATHER DRASTICALLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE GOOD NEWS IS THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE BRUNT OF THE IMPENDING STORM SYSTEM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. HAVE USED AN OVERALL BLEND HERE. LATER SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY THE 12Z EC IS AN OUTLIER AND MUCH FASTER THAN OTHER GUIDANCE. FOR THIS PERIOD (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT) WILL SIDE CLOSER TO A BLEND OF THE SLOWER 00Z GFS AND LATEST SREF GUIDANCE. CURRENTLY...THE LARGE CLOSED UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. CLOSER TO HOME AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS PUSHING INTO EASTERN ND/WESTERN MN ATTM...WHERE STRONG ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE IS MIGRATING AHEAD OF A STATIONARY BOUNDARY STRETCHED FROM CENTRAL NB NORTHEAST THROUGH CENTRAL MN. ENHANCEMENT IN PRECIPITATION IS ALSO UNDERWAY JUST TO OUR SOUTH- SOUTHWEST ACROSS EASTERN WY/WESTERN SD AS ANOTHER AREA OF LOW CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS AND 15-25KTS OF ISENTROPIC LIFT AT THE 300K SURFACE ADVECTS NORTH. THIS SHOWS UP BEST WITH THE LATEST GFS...WHICH IF HOLDS TRUE WILL BRING LIGHT PRECIP ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN ND THIS MORNING MOST LIKELY AS A RAIN AND SNOW MIX GIVEN SFC TEMPS ARE IN THE MID/UPPER 30S AND 850MB TEMPS ARE -2C. WILL TAKE ONE LAST LOOK AT SHORT TERM GUIDANCE AND LATEST RADAR BEFORE FINALIZING. THE UPPER LOW STARTS TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTHEAST TODAY INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST REGION OF SOUTHEASTERN ID/NORTHERN UT. AS THIS OCCURS WEAK WAA GRADUALLY SHIFTS NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH DECENT THETA-E ADVECTION PUSHING NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS 18-00Z. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE LOOKS TO THUS INCREASE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND SHOULD SEE SHOWERS INCREASING IN AERIAL COVERAGE FROM DICKINSON EAST THROUGH BISMARCK TO AROUND THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN AREA AND POINTS SOUTH. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL LIKELY BE IN LIQUID FORM WITH A POSSIBLE MIX WEST UNDERNEATH SUBFREEZING TEMPS ALOFT. THE MAIN EVENT IS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ROTATING AROUND THE CLOSED LOW DEVELOPS SFC CYCLOGENESIS OVER EASTERN CO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE JET STREAK CONTINUES TO ROTATE COUNTER-CLOCKWISE AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND LIFTS NORTHEAST...DIVERGENCE ALOFT INCREASES DRAMATICALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS...WHICH IN TURN FURTHER DEVELOPS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND RESULTS IN AN INCREASE IN THE STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT/THETA-E ADVECTION ALREADY UNDERWAY OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. NEARLY 50KTS OF ISENTROPIC FLOW ON THE 300K THETA SURFACE IN THE 850-700MB LAYER WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT OF THE COLORADO LOW WILL BE PRESENT THROUGHOUT TONIGHT. THIS IS SIMILAR TO WHAT MODELS HAD ADVERTISED THE PAST FEW DAYS. SOUTHERLY FLOW AT 850MB WILL TRANSITION TO THE EAST AT 700MB WITHIN THE TROWAL FEATURE OF THIS SYSTEM OVER WESTERN ND. THUS AN ENHANCED PRECIPITATION AREA WILL EXIST OVER MY WESTERN COUNTIES WITH HIGH QPF AMOUNTS EXPECTED (1-2 INCHES OF WATER). IN ADDITION...STRONG SUPPORT BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT ACROSS WESTERN ND AS COUPLED CIRCULATION OF THE LOWER JET AND UPPER JET WILL ENHANCE THE UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION. BIGGEST CHALLENGE THOUGH IS PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH BOTH THERMAL AND DYNAMIC VARIABLES IN PLAY. LOOKS AS THOUGH PRECIP WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW ALONG THE ND/MT BORDER EARLY TONIGHT...WITH A SHARP CUTOFF ANOTHER COUNTY OR TWO TO THE EAST OF THIS LINE WHERE PRECIP REMAINS ALL RAIN. THUS IT STILL LOOKS AS THOUGH A HEAVY WET SNOW EVENT (6 TO POSSIBLY 14 INCHES) IS IN THE OFFING FOR FAR WESTERN ND SO HAVE GONE AHEAD AND UPGRADED THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WARNING. HAVE ALSO PLACED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ONE COUNTY TO THE EAST OF THE WARNED AREA TO ACCOUNT FOR MIXED PRECIP AND CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IF DYNAMIC COOLING PRODUCES ALL SNOW. SPEAKING OF WHICH...THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED IN CASE AN UPGRADE TO A WARNING IS NEEDED A BIT FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE REGION SUNDAY AND IS SLOW TO MOVE OUT AS PER THE GFS AND SREF SOLUTIONS. THUS HAVE WINTER HEADLINES VALID FROM 00Z THIS EVENING THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY EVENING TO ACCOUNT FOR TIMING UNCERTAINTY. THE UPPER LOW FINALLY PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...WHERE WE MAY STILL SEE ISOLD-SCT RAIN OR SNOW DEPENDING ON SFC TEMPS AS TEMPS ALOFT SUPPORT ALL LIGHT SNOW. && .LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... SYSTEM INFLUENCING THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD FINALLY MOVES OUT OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY. A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE PRAIRIE PROVINCES OF CANADA WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING. LITTLE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER OUR LOCAL AREA SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY. SOME COLDER AIR WILL DROP SOUTH BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. ADJUSTED TEMPERATURES A BIT TO MAKE WEDNESDAY A BIT COOLER THAN TUESDAY. SURFACE HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GFS AND ECMWF BRING ANOTHER SYSTEM INTO THE REGION IN THE LATTER PERIODS OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. ECMWF IS MORE VIGOROUS WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND THE RESULTANT SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN...BUT BOTH BRING SOME LIGHT QPF INTO THE WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS IS HANDLED WELL BY THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SO LITTLE CHANGES EXPECTED TO POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS WETTER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF...SO DAY SHIFT MAY NEED TO RAISE POPS ON THURSDAY IF MODELS CONTINUE THIS TREND. CURRENT GLOBAL GEM IS WEAKER WITH THIS SYSTEM AND DRY ACROSS OUR CWA ON THURSDAY SO STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY. MODELS INDICATE A WARMING TREND TOWARD THE WEEKEND. && .AVIATION... WIDESPREAD MVFR-IFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. COULD SEE A FEW PERIODS OF VFR CIGS TODAY...BUT WILL LEAN TOWARD THE PESSIMISTIC SIDE. TONIGHT...EXPECT IFR-LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS ACROSS THE CWA. MAIN PROBLEM WILL BE PRECIP TYPE. WILL CONFINE SNOW TO DIK AND ISN TAF SITES...WITH RAIN AT BIS MOT AND JMS. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY FOR NDZ001-009-017-031-032-040-043. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY FOR NDZ002-010-018-033-041-044. && NH/TWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 10, 4:40 AM MDT, 23 hours 13 minutes before
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
The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 3:53 AM MDT | Winter Weather Advisory | BIS | Adams, Burke, Dunn, Hettinger, Mountrail, Renville and 1 more | 44 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in North Dakota, 2008Every winter storm warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.