Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Bismarck, ND

000 
WWUS83 KBIS 121541
RFWBIS

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1041 AM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR LAKE WINNIPEG WILL BRING
ANOTHER WINDY DAY TO NORTH DAKOTA. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF
25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF AROUND
20 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED IN SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. THE DRIEST
FUEL CONDITIONS ARE IN FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA SOUTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER. EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH WILL LIKELY OCCUR SHOULD A
FIRE IGNITE.

NDZ017-018-031>033-040-043-122345-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0025.080712T1700Z-080713T0000Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-BOWMAN-
1041 AM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008 /941 AM MDT SAT JUL 12 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING. 

EXPECT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 20 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
ABELING

000 
WWUS83 KBIS 122124
RFWBIS

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
424 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR LAKE WINNIPEG WILL BRING
ANOTHER WINDY DAY TO NORTH DAKOTA. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF
25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF AROUND
20 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED IN SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. THE DRIEST
FUEL CONDITIONS ARE IN FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA SOUTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER. EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH WILL LIKELY OCCUR SHOULD A
FIRE IGNITE.

NDZ017-018-031>033-040-043-130000-
/O.CON.KBIS.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-080713T0000Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-BOWMAN-
424 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008 /324 PM MDT SAT JUL 12 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING. 

EXPECT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 20 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

ABELING

000 
WWUS83 KBIS 130013
RFWBIS

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
713 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

.RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE EVENING. THUS...CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER IS NO LONGER PRESENT.

NDZ017-018-031>033-040-043-130115-
/O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-080713T0000Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-BOWMAN-
713 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008 /613 PM MDT SAT JUL 12 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

.RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE EVENING. THUS...CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER IS NO LONGER PRESENT.

$$

SCHECK

000 
WWUS83 KBIS 130023
RFWBIS

RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
715 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

.RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE EVENING. THUS...CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER IS NO LONGER PRESENT.

NDZ017-018-031>033-040-043-130115-
/O.EXP.KBIS.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-080713T0000Z/
MCKENZIE-DUNN-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-SLOPE-BOWMAN-
715 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008 /613 PM MDT SAT JUL 12 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE INCREASED AND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE EVENING. THUS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER 
IS NO LONGER PRESENT.

$$

SCHECK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
339 AM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
WINDS AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE THE MAIN FOCUS OF TODAYS
FORECAST.

STRONG SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NORTHEAST OF LAKE
WINNIPEG IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST INTO WESTERN ONTARIO BY
EVENING. THIS STRONG SYSTEM IS STACKED VERTICALLY WITH THE H500 LOW
DIRECTLY OVER THE SURFACE LOW CENTER. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING GUSTY
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO NORTH DAKOTA AGAIN TODAY...ALBEIT NOT AS
STRONG AS YESTERDAY IN MOST AREAS. H850 WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
AROUND 40-45 KNOTS WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING ADIABATIC
LAPSE RATES THROUGH H850-H700. EXPECTING 25 TO 35 MPH SUSTAINED
WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.
TIGHTEST SURFACE GRADIENT WILL BE OVER NORTHEASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...BUT STRONGEST UPPER LEVEL JET WINDS WILL BE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST PART OF THE STATE. WILL KEEP WIND ADVISORY IN SAME TIME
FRAME AS PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE FROM 12Z-00Z.

EXPECTING SOME CLOUD COVER AND SOME INSTABILITY WITH THE CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE LOW NEAR LAKE WINNIPEG. WILL
KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TODAY.

ON SUNDAY THE UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE STATE AS
THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW MOVES EAST TOWARDS HUDSON BAY. DRY AND
LIGHTER WINDS ON SUNDAY. THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL (WEST TO
EAST FLOW) AND WILL ALLOW SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO MOVE INTO THE
STATE. AT THE SURFACE THE MODELS ARE INDICATING A WEAK LOW
DEVELOPING IN THE DAKOTAS AND EASTERN MONTANA/WYOMING...WITH A LOW
LEVEL JET MOVING UP THE THE EAST SIDE OF THE PLAINS. WILL INTRODUCE
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS PER PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
THE SAME ACTIVE PATTERN OF THE PAST FEW WEEKS CONTINUES. WITH THE
UPPER JET OVER NORTH DAKOTA MANY WAVES AND IMPULSES WILL TRAVEL
THROUGH THE REGION SETTING OFF THUNDERSTORMS ON MANY DAYS IN THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOOK FOR ANOTHER WINDY DAY AS THE UPPER LOW RESPONSIBLE REMAINS
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION OVER WESTERN ONTARIO.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE MET AGAIN IN SOUTHWESTERN
COUNTIES TODAY WHERE PERCENT GREEN VALUES ARE 20-30 PERCENT. WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TODAY. DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY IN THE 30S IN THE SOUTHWEST
THIS MORNING...AND ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE 30S TODAY. THESE
LOW DEWPOINTS COMBINED WITH FORECAST MAX TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
70S WILL BRING AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20 TO 23 PERCENT
RANGE. WILL ISSUE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY
EVENING HOURS.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
/6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-
031>037-040>048-050-051.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 7 PM CDT /6
PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR NDZ017-018-031>033-040-043.

&&

JV/RSL