Wind Advisory 1, NWS Binghamton, NY

Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Madison County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 090215
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
915 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-091015-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.080109T0900Z-080110T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
915 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG WINDS.
EXPECT SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS TO 55 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
091015-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.080109T0900Z-080110T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
915 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN
MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG WINDS. EXPECT SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS
TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 45 MPH FROM
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN CENTRAL NEW YORK AND OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE POCONOS.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 090818
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
318 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-091630-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.080109T0900Z-080110T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
318 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG
WINDS. EXPECT SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 25 TO
35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
091630-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.080109T0900Z-080110T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
318 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN
MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG WINDS. EXPECT SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS
TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 45 MPH THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN CENTRAL NEW YORK AND OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE POCONOS.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

PADAVONA

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 091534
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1034 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-100000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
1034 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION EARLIER THIS MORNING. BEHIND
THIS FRONT...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL USHER MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE
REGION. SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS
MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
100000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1034 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION EARLIER THIS MORNING. BEHIND
THIS FRONT...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL USHER MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE
REGION. SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS
MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN CENTRAL NEW YORK AND OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE POCONOS.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

ARNOTT

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 091925
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
225 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

NYZ009-015>018-022-036-037-100000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
225 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

STRONG WINDS BEHIND A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO
BRING COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THIS THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS
WE HEAD INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

NYZ023>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
100000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0000Z/
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-
DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-
LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
225 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

STRONG WINDS BEHIND A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO
BRING COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THIS THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS WE
HEAD INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN CENTRAL NEW YORK AND OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE POCONOS.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

ARNOTT

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 092337
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
637 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008


NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-100045-
/O.CAN.KBGM.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-
CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-
SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
637 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED THIS EVENING THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
106 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
RECORD WARMTH WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS EXPECTED IN
THE 60S. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BEGIN TO
SPREAD RAIN INTO THE FINGER LAKES LATE THIS EVENING AND QUICKLY
MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT. A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE FRONT BLASTS
THROUGH THE AREA...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN WITH GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT, CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN IN ON THESE STRONG WINDS
WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP OFF DURING THE COURSE OF THE
DAY WEDNESDAY. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
BEFORE A POSSIBLE WINTERY MIX MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1000 AM...
SCT-BKN CLDS LEFT ACRS C NY/NRN PA IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS PICKING UP. LOW WILL TRACK INTO LOWER MICHIGAN AND
BEGIN DEEPENING. THIS WILL INCREASE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND
CONTINUED RECORD SETTING WARMTH FOR THE AFTERNOON. REMOVED PRECIP
FROM GRIDS AND ZONES FOR AFTERNOON. I EXPECT PRECIP TO ARRIVE WITH
FRONT LATER TONIGHT.

ZONES OUT/GRIDS UPLOADED TO NDFD AND FFA FOR ONEIDA COUNTY OUT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
GFS/NAM/SREF GUIDANCE HAS ALL DELAYED TIMING OF PCPN AND FRCG BY
ABOUT 6 HRS AND HAVE SCALED BACK ON POPS THRU 06Z TONIGHT. H5 TROF
OF CNTRL U.S. MVS EASTWARD OVRNGT WITH H3 SPEED MAX APPCHG THE
REGION. IN RESPONSE...STRONG LLJ DEVELOPS WITH WINDS ON THE ORDER
OF 50-60KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SUBSTANTIAL FRCG WILL BE IN PLACE FOR
A GOOD SWATH OF PCPN ALONG THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT SO HV CONTD WITH
CATEGORICAL POPS BASICALLY FOR AREAS WEST OF I-81 TONIGHT. CUD SEE
SOME REAL LIGHT SHOWERS BTWN 00Z-06Z AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY BUT
MAIN PCPN SHIELD WILL NOT COME INTO WRN ZONES UNTIL 06Z OR SO.

00Z SNDGS FROM KALY/KBUF ALREADY SHOWING FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN PLACE OVR THE NORTHEAST. WITH GOOD SHEAR
EXPECTED, LI/S DROPPING TO NR ZERO OR SLIGHTLY BLO AND STRONG
FRCG...CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLD THUNDER LATE TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY
INTO EARLY WED MORNING. STRONG-SVR STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER
WITH MIXING ALONG THE FRONT CANNOT RULE OUT A STRONG WIND GUST AS
THE BOUNDARY MVS THRU EVEN IF TSTRMS ARE ABSENT. WIND GUSTS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THRU WED AFTN AS STRONG RISE/FALL COUPLET TRACKS
THRU THE GREAT LAKES. GIVEN PROJECTED PATH OF DEEPENING SFC
LOW...MOST LIKELY AREAS TO SEE STRONG WINDS WILL BE OVR THE LK
PLAIN INTO THE TUG HILL AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
CATSKILLS. WINDS ABV 1500FT PER NAM/GFS BUFKIT PROFILES INDICATE
40-45 KTS EXPECTED FROM 06Z ONWARD. HAVE OPTED NOT TO ISSUE WIND
ADVISORY RIGHT NOW BUT THINK ONE WILL LIKELY BE WARRANTED FROM
LATER SHIFTS AS LOCATION BCMS A LITTLE BETTER DETERMINED. CURRENT
INDICATION ARE SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-30MPH WITH GUSTS APPCHG 45
MPH...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS IS JUST ON THE CUSP OF ADVISORY
CRITERIA SO WILL PLAY THE MORE CONSERVATIVE ROUTE OF NOT ISSUING
ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.

QUICK SHOT OF PCPN MVS THRU BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH APPROX 1/2
INCHES EXPECTED. RIVERS EXPECTED TO RESPOND TO SOME DEGREE AS
OUTLINED IN THE HYDROLOGY SECTION. CUD SEE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS
CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS BY WED NIGHT. VRY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
LES EXPECTED AFTER THE SYSTEM DEPARTS. BRIEF BREAK IN THE WX IS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH THE NEXT BRINGING PCPN IN THUR NIGHT.
PROFILES INDICATE A MIX OF PCPN CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE ONSET WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW/SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AS MOISTURE
OVERSPREADS THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES THIS PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING
TOWARD NORMAL...BUT THINK GFS AND CORRESPONDING MAV MOS IS SHOWING
COLD CLIMO BIAS. MARGINAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY BEHIND DEPARTING FRIDAY STORM SYSTEM. HIGH PRESSURE
THEN BUILDS IN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. MED RANGE NWP GUIDANCE
LOOKS INTERESTING GOING INTO MONDAY WITH OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW GREAT DIVERSITY ON THE DETAILS HOWEVER. 00Z
EC/GFS AND 06Z GFS WERE FAIRLY CONSISTENT AND IN AGREEMENT WITH ENSEMBLE
SUITES. THE GUIDANCE ACTUALLY SHOWED A WESTWARD TREND TO THE LOW TRACK...BUT
DEEP DEVELOPMENT LOOKS TOO FAR NORTH ALONG THE COAST FOR US TO CATCH
A DECENT SNOW HERE IN CNY. 12Z GFS REALLY HICCUPED THE LOW TRACK EASTWARD
AND WEAKER...BUT THIS IS PROBABLY JUST ONE OF THE MANY SOLUTIONS IN
THE ENVELOPE THIS FAR OUT. IF THE LOW DOES COME CLOSER TO THE COAST...AND
DEEPENS SOONER...THEN NEPA AND SE NY COULD SEE SOME SIG ACCUMS BY MON
AFTN. COLDER WITH NWLY LAKE SNOW SHOWERS BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH
NEW GFS HAS SFC LOW AND SHARPER TROF OVER LK ONTARIO. CHC POPS FOR
SHSN EITHER WAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VISUAL FLIGHT RULES WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO TONIGHT. S-SW WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 10-20 KTS TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO SLICE ACROSS OUR FLIGHT FCST AREA DURING APPROXIMATELY
THE 10Z-14Z WED TIME FRAME. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A PERIOD
OF RAIN AND MVFR RESTRICTIONS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WITH BRIEF IFR
CONDS WILL BE PSBL AT TIME OF FROPA. STRONG FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS FRONTAL FEATURE COULD TRIGGER SCT TSRA BUT CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH RIGHT NOW FOR OCCURRANCE AT ANY SPECIFIC TERMINAL.
THE POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME VFR WITH BKN CIGS IN DRY
SLOT. DECREASING STABILITY AND A STRONG WIND FIELD ALOFT WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE SW WINDS 20-30 KTS WITH GUSTS 30-40 KT ON WEDS.

FOR WEDS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY PERIOD...
STRONG WINDS CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR
FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS IS EXPECTED THURS NITE-FRIDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE
MOVING THROUGH GTLKS. IFR PROBABLE. STORM SYSTEM MOVES TO NEW
ENGLAND FOLLOWED BY MVFR CONDITIONS WITH SCT LAKE SNOW SHOWERS FOR
SYR-RME...AND VFR ELSEWHERE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
PUT UP A FLOOD WATCH FOR ONEIDA COUNTY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS PER
COORD WITH WFO ALY. SNOWMELT AND EXPECTED RAINFALL COULD BRING THE
MOHAWK RIVER AT UTICA TO MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. NOT CONCERNED
ABOUT FLOODING ELSEWHERE. NOHRS WEBSITE SUGGESTS MOST OF THE SNOW
IS GONE IN THE NORTH BRANCH OF THE SUSQUEHANNA...ONLY THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS HAVE SOME SNOW COVER. THIS SNOW IS RAPIDLY MELTING AND
THERE ARE RISES ON TIOUGHNOG AND CHENANGO RIVERS...BUT BASED ON
LATEST RFC GUIDC RIVERS WILL REMAIN BLO FS. THERE IS MORE SNOWPACK
IN THE CATSKILLS...BUT RFC SUGGESTS RISES BUT NO FLOODING. FRONT
COMES THRU VERY FAST TONIGHT/ERLY WEDNESDAY SO NO EXTENDED PD OF
HVY RAIN...PROBABLY A QUICK 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ALL TIME JANUARY RECORDS WILL BE APPROACHED TODAY AT OUR CLIMATE
STATIONS...KBGM AND KSYR.

KSYR...JAN RECORD = 70 IN 1950 (BACK TO 1902)... FORECAST MAX = 69
KBGM...JAN RECORD = 63 IN 1998... FORECAST MAX = 63
KAVP...JAN RECORD = 67 IN 1967... FORECAST MAX = 64

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NYZ009-037.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJN
NEAR TERM...DJN
SHORT TERM...PVB
LONG TERM...JAB
AVIATION...JAB
HYDROLOGY...DJN
CLIMATE...DJN/TAC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1041 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

NYZ015>018-022>025-036-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-091545-
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-
TOMPKINS-MADISON-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-
SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-
1041 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...

AN INTENSE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS UPSTATE NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING PUTTING AN END TO
THE RECORD WARMTH. THIS FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BRIEF
PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS...AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY STRONG
WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR MORE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
MORNING...STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES AND LEAD TO SPORADIC
POWER OUTAGES. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
NORTHERN FINGER LAKES...TO THE GREATER SYRACUSE...UTICA...AND ROME
AREAS AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE REGION.

...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

PAZ043-044-047-048-072-091545-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1041 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...

AN INTENSE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA LATE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING PUTTING AN END TO THE UNSEASONABLE
WARMTH. THIS FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAIN SHOWERS...AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS
TO 50 MPH OR MORE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
MORNING...STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD
CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES AND LEAD TO SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER THE POCONOS.

...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

NYZ009-037-091545-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
1041 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...

AN INTENSE COLD FRONT WILL CROSS UPSTATE NEW YORK LATE TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY MORNING PUTTING AN END TO THE RECORD WARMTH. THIS
FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN
SHOWERS...AND EVEN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS
TO 50 MPH OR MORE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
...STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
MORNING...STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES AND LEAD TO SPORADIC
POWER OUTAGES. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE
NORTHERN FINGER LAKES...TO THE GREATER SYRACUSE...UTICA...AND ROME
AREAS AND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE REGION.

...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

NICOSIA