Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 103, NWS Binghamton, NY

June 16, 2008Cayuga County, Onondaga County, Seneca County, New York

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2008, 2:56 PM EDT for Cayuga County, Onondaga County, Seneca County, New York. It was in force for 49 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 16, 2008, 2:56 PM EDT (18:56 UTC)
Expired: Jun 16, 2008, 3:45 PM EDT
In force: 49 min
Issued by: NWS Binghamton, NY
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Cayuga County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Seneca County, NY

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 16, 3:35 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	Auburn, NY	TREES BLOWN DOWN IN THE CITY OF AUBURN AND THE VILLAGE OF OWASCO.
Jun 16, 3:47 PM EDT	HAIL 1.25	Skaneateles, NY
Jun 16, 3:52 PM EDT	HAIL 1	Marcellus, NY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 39 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 16, 11:28 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 571 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 732 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS51 KBGM 161856
SVRBGM
NYC011-067-099-161945-
/O.NEW.KBGM.SV.W.0103.080616T1856Z-080616T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
256 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  SOUTHWESTERN ONONDAGA COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  NORTHERN SENECA COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 252 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10
  MILES NORTHWEST OF WATERLOO...MOVING EAST AT 43 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WATERLOO BY 305 PM EDT...
  LEHIGH VLY JCT AND SENECA FALLS BY 310 PM EDT...
  CAYUGA AND UNION SPRINGS BY 315 PM EDT...
  THROOPSVILLE BY 320 PM EDT...
  MELROSE PARK AND AUBURN BY 325 PM EDT...
  CASOWASCO AND SCIPIO CENTER BY 330 PM EDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MEANS THAT SEVERE WEATHER IS OCCURRING
OR IS IMMINENT. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...HAIL THREE-QUARTERS
OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE ALL LIKELY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE STORM
MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

LAT...LON 4303 7671 4303 7661 4296 7620 4270 7632
      4290 7697 4301 7697 4302 7696 4302 7684
      4303 7684 4303 7672
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 284DEG 38KT 4299 7695

$$


MSE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 16, 2:51 PM EDT, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 2:51 PM EDT, 5 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
251 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT WILL RACE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. SHOWERY AND UNSETTLED WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
PLAGUES THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ONGOING SVR WX ACRS CWA WITH DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL/ISOLD
TORNADOES AS SEEING MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS AHD OF THE CDFNT. FRONT
STILL EXTENDS BACK ACRS THE LKS WITH EXTREMELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...H3 SPEED MAX PUNCHING IN FROM THE WEST AND COLD POOL
ALOFT. STORMS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE EVNG AS CDFNT RACES THRU. YET
ANOTHR S/WV UP OVR NRN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL KEEP THE THREAT FOR
SHOWERS IN ACRS MOST OF CWA OVRNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPPER LOW WILL AFFECT THE REGION THRU THE SHORT-TERM. COLDER AIR
FILTERING IN WILL KEEP TEMPS BLOW NORMAL THRU THE PD. CAN ALSO
EXPECT LOCHC POPS MOST OF THIS PD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS WITH A STACKED CYCLONIC SYSTEM PARKED OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN US AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. THIS SYSTEM IS
UNSEASONABLY COOL. WE WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST TEMPS MUCH BELOW
NORMAL, WITH UNSETTLED SHOWERY WEATHER.

UL TROF SLOWLY LIFTS NE DURING THE EXTENDED. ANOTHER MUCH WEAKER
TROF COMES IN DURING SUNDAY WITH A COLD FRONT. MODELS HAVE TIMING
AND STRENGTH DIFFERENCES. UL FLOW GOES MORE TOWARDS ZONAL.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS INTO TUESDAY. TS AND SHOWERS QUICKLY
DEVELOPING THIS AFTN. THESE COULD HAVE MVFR RESTRICTIONS AND HEAVY
RAIN AND LARGE HAIL. ONLY A VERY FEW REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS. THIS
WILL GO UNTIL 22Z IN THE NORTH AND TO 01Z AT AVP. SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...ENDING BY MIDNIGHT.

WEST WINDS AT 10 KTS THIS AFTN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT
THEN W TO NW AT 10 KTS STARTING 14Z TUESDAY.

OUTLOOK...

TUE/WED...GENERALLY VFR. CHC MVFR -SHRA. SLIGHT CHANCE OF IFR
VALLEY FOG AT ELM EACH MORNING.

THU/FRI/SAT...VFR. MAYBE MVFR IN AFTN SHOWERS.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PB
NEAR TERM...PB
SHORT TERM...PB
LONG TERM...TAC
AVIATION...TAC

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 11:38 AM EDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1138 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-171545-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-
OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1138 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 550 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 16, 2:43 PM EDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
243 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     HAIL             SCHENEVUS               42.55N 74.82W
06/16/2008  E0.75 INCH       OTSEGO             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MJN

Local storm report, Jun 16, 2:45 PM EDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
245 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0226 PM     HAIL             JORDAN                  43.07N 76.47W
06/16/2008  E0.75 INCH       ONONDAGA           NY   PUBLIC

&&

MJN

Local storm report, Jun 16, 2:47 PM EDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
247 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     HAIL             PITTSFIELD              42.63N 75.27W
06/16/2008  E0.75 INCH       OTSEGO             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MJN

Local storm report, Jun 16, 2:48 PM EDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
248 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0239 PM     HAIL             BALDWINSVILLE           43.16N 76.33W
06/16/2008  E0.75 INCH       ONONDAGA           NY   PUBLIC

&&

MJN

Local storm report, Jun 16, 2:51 PM EDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
251 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0226 PM     HAIL             5 W BATH                42.34N 77.42W
06/16/2008  E0.75 INCH       STEUBEN            NY   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

MJN

Local storm report, Jun 16, 2:53 PM EDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
253 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0247 PM     HAIL             LIVERPOOL               43.11N 76.21W
06/16/2008  E0.75 INCH       ONONDAGA           NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MJN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 16, 12:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chenango, Cortland, Otsego	52 min
Jun 16, 12:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chenango, Madison, Otsego	46 min
Jun 16, 12:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chenango, Madison, Oneida, Otsego	62 min
Jun 16, 1:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Broome	60 min
Jun 16, 1:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cayuga, Cortland, Seneca, Tompkins	67 min
Jun 16, 1:37 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BGM	Chenango, Otsego	3 hr
Jun 16, 1:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Oneida	33 min
Jun 16, 2:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chenango, Otsego	44 min
Jun 16, 2:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cayuga, Madison, Onondaga	65 min
Jun 16, 2:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chemung, Schuyler, Steuben, Yates	57 min
Jun 16, 2:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Otsego	56 min
Jun 16, 2:23 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	BGM	Onondaga	37 min
Jun 16, 2:47 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Delaware, Sullivan	58 min
Jun 16, 3:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Madison, Oneida, Onondaga	60 min
Jun 16, 3:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cortland, Tompkins	48 min
Jun 16, 3:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chemung, Schuyler, Tioga, Tompkins	62 min
Jun 16, 3:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Delaware, Otsego	66 min
Jun 16, 3:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Chemung, Steuben	35 min
Jun 16, 3:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Delaware, Sullivan	40 min
Jun 16, 3:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cayuga, Madison, Onondaga	46 min
Jun 16, 3:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Tioga, Tompkins	61 min
Jun 16, 3:44 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	BGM	Sullivan	31 min
Jun 16, 3:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Oneida	34 min
Jun 16, 4:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Broome, Tioga	31 min
Jun 16, 4:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Sullivan	27 min
Jun 16, 4:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Madison, Oneida, Otsego	54 min
Jun 16, 4:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Sullivan	53 min
Jun 16, 4:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Sullivan	75 min
Jun 16, 7:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cayuga, Onondaga, Seneca	38 min
Jun 16, 7:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Cayuga, Cortland, Tompkins	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New York, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.