Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2008
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Jan 21, 2008, 5:05 AM EST for 4 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jan 21, 2008, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 16 hr. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 21, 2008, 5:05 AM EST (10:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 21, 2008, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 22, 2008, 4:56 AM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Benzie County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 8:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.6 | 4 Nnw Pellston, MI | 5 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 8 PM. SNOWDEPTH 16 INCHES. |
| Jan 21, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 1.4 | 1 E Cross Village, MI | SNOWFALL IN ONE HALF HOUR. |
| Jan 21, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 2.6 | Wellston, MI | 9 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 9 PM. SNOWDEPTH 14 INCHES. |
| Jan 21, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Cross Village, MI | 5 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 9 PM. 4.5 INCHES IN 2 HOURS BETWEEN 7 AND 9 PM. |
| Jan 21, 9:00 PM EST | SNOW 6.3 | Cross Village, MI | SNOWFALL THROUGH 10 PM. |
| Jan 22, 4:20 AM EST | SNOW 10.5 | Cross Village, MI | 9 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1443 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 101 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 70 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 211005 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 505 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...MORE SNOW ON THE WAY... .A BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...WHERE SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE ENHANCED BY SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE WATER. WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL WILL GIVE WAY TO WEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY MORNING. MIZ008-211115- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080121T1000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 505 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. $$ MIZ015-220015- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.080121T1600Z-080122T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.080121T1800Z-080122T1000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 505 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. SNOWFALL INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE CURRENT FORECAST TO BE FOCUSED AROUND THE STRAITS AREA...AND MAY ALSO EXTEND EAST ALONG THE M-134 CORRIDOR TOWARD HESSEL AND CEDARVILLE. LOCAL SNOWFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-020-025-031-220015- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.080121T1600Z-080122T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.080121T1800Z-080123T0000Z/ EMMET-LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT... MANISTEE 505 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AS WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. SNOWFALL INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT FROM CROSS VILLAGE NORTH TOWARD MACKINAW CITY. IN ADDITION...A SECONDARY AREA OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL IS ANTICIPATED NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE FROM MANISTEE UP TO NORTHPORT. SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY NEAR THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC. WESTERLY FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF SNOWFALL TO THE WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ019-021-026-032-220015- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.080121T1600Z-080122T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.080121T1800Z-080122T1000Z/ CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA... TRAVERSE CITY...CADILLAC 505 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY. SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO STEADIER SNOWFALL DEVELOPING LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ017-022-027-028-033-220015- /O.NEW.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.080121T1800Z-080122T1000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...KALKASKA... GRAYLING...LAKE CITY 505 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY. SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO STEADIER SNOWFALL DEVELOPING LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CHEBOYGAN COUNTY NORTH OF M-68 DUE TO ENHANCEMENT OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...MOST LIKELY BETWEEN MACKINAW CITY AND CHEBOYGAN. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JPB
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 211655 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1155 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...MORE SNOW ON THE WAY... .SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOWFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...WHERE SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE ENHANCED BY SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE WATER. WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL WILL GIVE WAY TO WEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY MORNING. MIZ022-027-028-033-211800- /O.CAN.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.080121T1800Z-080122T1000Z/ OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING... LAKE CITY 1155 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW ADVISORY. LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 INCHES OR LESS ARE EXPECTED BY TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ015-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.080121T1800Z-080122T1000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 1155 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. SNOWFALL INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE CURRENT FORECAST TO BE FOCUSED AROUND THE STRAITS AREA...AND MAY ALSO EXTEND EAST ALONG THE M-134 CORRIDOR TOWARD HESSEL AND CEDARVILLE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCAL SNOWFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-020-025-031-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.080121T1800Z-080123T0000Z/ EMMET-LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT... MANISTEE 1155 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. SNOWFALL INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS EVENING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT FROM CROSS VILLAGE NORTH TOWARD MACKINAW CITY. IN ADDITION...A SECONDARY AREA OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL IS ANTICIPATED NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE FROM MANISTEE UP TO NORTHPORT. SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY NEAR THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC. WESTERLY FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF SNOWFALL TO THE WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ017-019-021-026-032-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.080121T1800Z-080122T1000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA... TRAVERSE CITY...CADILLAC 1155 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE HIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS MAY REACH INLAND AREAS ALONG THE U.S. 131 CORRIDOR AS WELL AS THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN THE TIP OF THE MITT...ADDING TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CHEBOYGAN COUNTY NORTH OF M-68. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MOST LIKELY BETWEEN MACKINAW CITY AND CHEBOYGAN. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ ADAM
000 WWUS43 KAPX 212127 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 427 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW INCREASING ACROSS THE REGION... .SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS EVENING AND PERSIST INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL BE HEAVIEST NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...WHERE SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE ENHANCED BY SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE WATER. ADDITIONAL HEAVIER SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED FOR AREAS SOUTH OF M-72...ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL GIVE WAY TO WEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MIZ015-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 427 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OFF LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT AS WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE. HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED AROUND THE STRAITS AREA...AND MAY ALSO EXTEND EAST ALONG THE M-134 CORRIDOR TOWARD HESSEL AND CEDARVILLE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCAL SNOWFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-020-025-031-221100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080123T0000Z/ EMMET-LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT... MANISTEE 427 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OFF LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT AS WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT FROM CROSS VILLAGE NORTH TOWARD MACKINAW CITY. IN ADDITION...A SECONDARY AREA OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL IS ANTICIPATED NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE FROM MANISTEE UP TO NORTHPORT. SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY NEAR THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC. WESTERLY FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF SNOWFALL TO THE WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ027>030-033>036-041-042-221100- /O.EXB.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1700Z/ KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH... TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 427 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST TUESDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO HALF A MILE OR LESS. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MIDDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ026-032-221100- /O.EXT.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1700Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TRAVERSE CITY...CADILLAC 427 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST TUESDAY... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST TUESDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO HALF A MILE OR LESS. IN ADDITION...LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS MAY REACH INLAND AREAS ALONG THE U.S. 131 CORRIDOR ADDING TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MIDDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ017-019-021-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA 427 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IN ADDITION...LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS MAY REACH INLAND AREAS ALONG THE U.S. 131 CORRIDOR AS WELL AS THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN THE TIP OF THE MITT...ADDING TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND ACROSS CHEBOYGAN COUNTY NORTH OF M-68. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MOST LIKELY BETWEEN MACKINAW CITY AND CHEBOYGAN. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ ADAM
000 WWUS43 KAPX 220413 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1113 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW INCREASING ACROSS THE REGION... .SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT AND PERSIST INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL BE HEAVIEST NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...WHERE SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE ENHANCED BY SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE WATER. ADDITIONAL HEAVIER SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED FOR AREAS NEAR THE STRAITS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL GIVE WAY TO WEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MIZ015-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 1113 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF LAKE MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT AS WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE. HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED EAST OF THE STRAITS AREA...AND WILL EXTEND EAST ALONG THE M-134 CORRIDOR TOWARD HESSEL AND CEDARVILLE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCAL SNOWFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-020-025-031-221815- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080123T0000Z/ EMMET-LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT... MANISTEE 1113 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OFF LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT AS WINDS TURN SOUTHWEST...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT FROM CROSS VILLAGE NORTH TOWARD MACKINAW CITY. IN ADDITION...A SECONDARY AREA OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL IS ANTICIPATED NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE FROM MANISTEE UP TO NORTHPORT. SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY NEAR THE STRAITS OF MACKINAC. WESTERLY FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF SNOWFALL TO THE WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-221000- /O.EXA.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 1113 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF LAKE MICHIGAN...CROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT AND DROP SNOW EAST OF CEDARVILLE...AFFECTING DETOUR VILLAGE AND DRUMMOND ISLAND OVERNIGHT. AS WINDS TURN WEST...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE. HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED ALONG THE M-134 CORRIDOR EAST OF CEDARVILLE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCAL SNOWFALL TOTALS EXCEEDING 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY NEAR DRUMMOND ISLAND. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ026>030-032>036-041-042-221700- /O.CON.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1700Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING... MIO...HARRISVILLE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 1113 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST TUESDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST TUESDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO HALF A MILE OR LESS. IN ADDITION...LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS MAY REACH INLAND AREAS ALONG THE U.S. 131 CORRIDOR ADDING TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MIDDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ017-019-021-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA 1113 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IN ADDITION...LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS MAY REACH INLAND AREAS ALONG THE U.S. 131 CORRIDOR AS WELL AS THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN THE TIP OF THE MITT...ADDING TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY TUESDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND ACROSS CHEBOYGAN COUNTY NORTH OF M-68. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...MOST LIKELY BETWEEN MACKINAW CITY AND CHEBOYGAN. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JL
000 WWUS43 KAPX 220956 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON... .WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY... PARTICULARLY IN SNOW BELTS FAVORED BY WESTERLY WIND FLOW. MIZ016-230000- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0003.080122T1700Z-080124T0000Z/ EMMET- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PETOSKEY 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON MAY EXCEED ONE FOOT IN SOME LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ020-025-031-230000- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0002.080122T1700Z-080124T0000Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 9 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ015-221100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. $$ MIZ017-019-230000- /O.CAN.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0003.080122T1700Z-080124T0000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON MAY EXCEED ONE FOOT IN SOME LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ021-230000- /O.CAN.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0002.080122T1700Z-080124T0000Z/ ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MANCELONA 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ026-032-230000- /O.CAN.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0002.080122T1700Z-080124T0000Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TRAVERSE CITY...CADILLAC 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 9 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ008-221100- /O.CAN.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW ADVISORY. $$ MIZ022-230000- /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0002.080122T1700Z-080124T0000Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GAYLORD 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ027>030-033>036-041-042-221700- /O.CON.KAPX.SN.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-080122T1700Z/ KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH... TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 456 AM EST TUE JAN 22 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SNOW COMES TO AN END BY MIDDAY. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JPB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 21, 4:10 AM EST, 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 21, 4:10 AM EST, 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
410 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008
.DISCUSSION...HEMISPHERIC PATTERN DOMINATED BY TWO MAIN LONG WAVE
TROUGHS OVER THE WESTERN PACIFIC AND NORTH AMERICA...WITH A MORE
MUDDLED PATTERN ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HEMISPHERE (MEAN TROUGH
POSITIONS NOT AS OBVIOUS). A RATHER UNBALANCED LOOK FROM A
WAVELENGTH STANDPOINT...THOUGH INTERESTINGLY LONGER RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING THAT THIS IMBALANCE WILL BE ALLEVIATED BY NORTH AMERICAN
TROUGH PROGRESSING INTO THE ATLANTIC...WITH NEW MEAN TROUGHS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE WEST COAST AND OVER EASTERN EUROPE/ASIA BY THE
END OF THIS WEEK. IN THE INTERIM THE GENERAL COLDER THAN AVERAGE
PATTERN THAT HAS DESCENDED ON THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL CONTINUE
FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE COMING WORKWEEK...THOUGH WITH SOME
MODERATION FROM THE BITTER COLD ANTICIPATED.
EXTENSIVE RIDGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES...SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC...WILL GET SPLIT INTO TWO PIECES. NORTHERLY FLOW
INTO MEAN NORTH AMERICAN TROUGH SPLITS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. A
WEAKER PIECE OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE FLOW
EMERGING FROM NV/UT THIS MORNING...WILL INDUCE A WEAK SURFACE
RESPONSE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TODAY. THIS SHORT WAVE WILL
MERGE WITH A MORE SUBSTANTIAL TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH OVER THE
UPPER MIDWEST LATER TONIGHT...WHICH WILL DRAG THIS SURFACE LOW UP
ACROSS LOWER MI. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...A REINFORCING SHOT OF
COLD AIR COMES BACK INTO THE STATE FOR THE MIDWEEK PERIOD. SO
FORECAST CONCERNS WILL DEAL WITH EVOLUTION OF SNOWFALL WITH
LINGERING LAKE EFFECT TODAY AND SYSTEM SNOWFALL AND PRESUMABLY SOME
SORT OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT/TRANSITION BACK TO LAKE EFFECT TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY (INCLUDING HEADLINE CONCERNS GIVEN CURRENT WINTER STORM
WATCH ALONG LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE COUNTIES).
TODAY/TONIGHT...COMBINATION OF WARM ADVECTION...MID LEVEL
DEFORMATION/FRONTOGENESIS...AND UPPER DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH RRQ
JET DYNAMICS HAS RESULTED IN A BAND OF SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS NE/IA/
SOUTHERN MN EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FORCING AND DEEPER MOISTURE
FORECAST TO ADVANCE NORTHEAST TODAY...GRADUALLY OVERSPREADING THE
FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. BEST FORCING
LOOKS TO OCCUR ALONG/SOUTH OF M-32...SO PLAN TO FOCUS BEST
SYNOPTIC QPF ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW/LIQUID RATIOS
SHOULD BE PRETTY LIGHT GIVEN TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE COLUMN
BELOW -10C (COULD BE SOMETHING ON THE ORDER OF 20:1)...AND THINKING
THAT WE COULD END UP WITH SOME TWO PERIOD ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW
AMOUNTS FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT (AVERAGING AROUND 4
INCHES OR SO) IN THE HIGHER QPF AREAS. POTENTIAL LAKE ENHANCEMENT
WILL BE THE OTHER PLAYER IN THIS EVENT...AS FLOW BECOMES SOUTHWEST
LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUES THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WHICH
BRINGS LAKE MICHIGAN INTO PLAY. OBVIOUSLY 850MB TEMPERATURES
PLENTY COLD FOR ENHANCEMENT (BELOW -15C)...WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS
HANGING AROUND THE 800-850MB LEVEL THROUGH TONIGHT. FIGURING OUT
THE EVOLUTION WILL BE THE TRICKY PART...SINCE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW APPROACHES. THIS MAY END
UP KEEPING MUCH OF THE ENHANCEMENT CLOSER TO SHORE. SOME FOCUSED
CONVERGENCE ALSO FORECAST TO DEVELOP...NOTABLY ACROSS NORTHERN
LAKE MICHIGAN POINTED RIGHT INTO THE STRAITS AREA...WITH A
SECONDARY AREA PERHAPS ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE SOUTH OF THE
LEELANAU PENINSULA. THE FORMER CONVERGENCE MAX MAY FOCUS HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL INTO NORTHERN EMMET/CHEBOYGAN/SOUTHERN MACKINAC
COUNTIES...PERHAPS STRETCHING INTO SOUTHEAST CHIPPEWA COUNTY AS
WELL...WHILE THE LATTER MAY BRING SOME HEAVIER SNOWFALL TO
MANISTEE/BENZIE/ LEELANAU COUNTIES (PERHAPS NOT TOO FAR INLAND).
SO WITH ALL THAT SAID...PLAN TO UPGRADE THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO A
WARNING FOR MACKINAC/EMMET/LEELANAU/BENZIE/MANISTEE COUNTIES.
WARNING WILL RUN FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON PER
COORDINATION WITH GRR (EXCEPT FOR MACKINAC COUNTY...WHICH WILL JUST
RUN THROUGH TONIGHT). NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT LAKE ENHANCED
SNOWFALL WILL PUSH FAR ENOUGH INLAND TO IMPACT GRAND TRAVERSE/
WEXFORD/ANTRIM COUNTIES...AND CONCERNED THAT FOCUS FOR BEST
CONVERGENCE OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WOULD ALSO KEEP BETTER
ENHANCEMENT NORTH OF CHARLEVOIX COUNTY. INSTEAD...WILL GROUP THESE
COUNTIES IN WITH REMAINING I-75 AND WEST COUNTIES IN A SNOW
ADVISORY THAT WILL RUN FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. IF
THINGS PAN OUT AS EXPECTED...MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST
LOWER COULD USE AN ADVISORY AS WELL. BUT COORDINATION ISSUES AND
THE FACT THAT MUCH OF SNOW EAST OF I-75 WILL BE A SECOND AND EARLY
THIRD PERIOD PROBLEM... WILL HOLD OFF ON ADDITIONAL HEADLINES.
COULD ALSO ENVISION NEEDING AN ADVISORY OVER CHIPPEWA COUNTY AS
WELL IF HEAVIER ENHANCEMENT CAN GET INTO GOETZVILLE...DETOUR
VILLAGE AREAS. SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE WARNING AREA WILL BE HEAVIEST
AROUND THE STRAITS (2-4 INCHES TODAY...4-7 INCHES TONIGHT)...WITH
1-3 INCHES TODAY/4-5 INCHES TONIGHT FOR THE MANISTEE TO LEELANAU
PORTION OF THE WARNING. REMAINDER OF NORTHERN LOWER WILL GENERALLY
RUN AN INCH OR LESS TODAY (EXCEPT 1-2 INCHES IN TVC-CAD
VICINITY)...AND 2-4 INCHES OR SO TONIGHT.
TUESDAY...LOOKING AT SYNOPTIC SNOW WINDING DOWN DURING THE MORNING
HOURS AS SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FORCING MOVE EAST. LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL SETTLE INTO A GENERAL WESTERLY DIRECTION DURING THE
MORNING...SETTING UP MORE PURE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKE
MICHIGAN. ANOTHER PIECE OF ENERGY DIVING INTO THE WESTERN LAKES MAY
BRING ANOTHER BIT OF SNOW TO THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR AT THE
VERY LEAST PROVIDE SOME ENHANCEMENT TO THE LAKE CONVECTION. SO MAY
BE LOOKING AT ANOTHER BURST OF HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS IN WEST FLOW
FAVORED AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WINDS VEER
MORE NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT AS LAKE AGGREGATE TROUGHING SETTLES
INTO THE STRAITS...BUT OVERALL LAKE EFFECT PATTER REMAINS THE SAME...
WHICH MEANS SNOW SHOWERS AD NAUSEAM.
MARINE ISSUES...WILL RUN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR VARYING TIMES
DURING THE DAY TODAY...SOME AREAS FOR WAVES (SOUTH OF GRAND TRAVERSE
LIGHT THIS MORNING)...OTHERS FOR WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON (SEUL
CHOIX POINT AROUND TO NORWOOD ON THE LAKE MICHIGAN SIDE...THROUGH
THE STRAITS...AND FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT AROUND TO FALSE DETOUR
CHANNEL ON THE LAKE HURON SIDE).
EARLY EXTENDED PERIODS (WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...COLD AIR REMAINS
IN PLACE WEDNESDAY WITH THE HEART OF THE MEAN UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING
STILL OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA. SUB -20C 850MB TEMPERATURES AND
LIKELY SOME LAKE AGGREGATE TROUGHING IN PLACE WILL ASSURE A CONTINUE
THREAT FOR SNOW SHOWERS DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES. SOME
INDICATIONS OF ANOTHER CLIPPER TYPE WAVE IN THE LATE WEDNESDAY/
THURSDAY TIME FRAME COULD ADD SOME SYNOPTIC COMPONENT TO THE SNOW
POTENTIAL. LARGER SCALE PATTERN SHIFT MENTIONED IN THE FIRST
PARAGRAPH OF THIS DISCUSSION WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE GREAT
LAKES...WITH A STRONG PUSH OF WARM ADVECTION BY THE END OF THE
WEEK. FORECAST LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WOULD SUGGEST AN END TO THE
LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL...WHICH CURRENT FORECAST PORTRAYS. ALWAYS A
CONCERN THAT COLD AIR MAY HANG ON A BIT LONGER...OR THAT SUCH A
STRONG PUSH OF WARM ADVECTION MAY RESULT IN SOME SYNOPTIC
PRECIPITATION. BUT CURRENT GUIDANCE NOT YET SUPPORTING EITHER OF
THOSE TWO IDEAS...SO SEE NO NEED TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO GOING
DRY FORECAST AT THIS POINT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY (SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS)...WILL LOWER FORECAST
HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES FOR FRIDAY...MORE REFLECTIVE OF HIGHS IN THE
LOWER-MID 20S.
JPB
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...SNOW ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
MIZ017-019-021-022-026>028-032-033.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST
TUESDAY FOR MIZ016-020-025-031.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
TUESDAY FOR MIZ015.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LMZ323-
344>346.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LMZ341-
342.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LHZ347.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LHZ345-
346.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 20, 4:15 PM EST, 12 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 415 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042- 211100- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 415 PM EST SUN JAN 20 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY TONIGHT. ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL ALSO PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. PLEASE SEE ONGOING WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 25 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WIND CHILLS READINGS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO MONDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS LIKELY MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SNOW BELTS OF NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS...PLEASE RELAY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT YOUR CONVENIENCE. ADAM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 5:05 AM EST | Snow Advisory | APX | Alcona, Antrim, Arenac, Cheboygan, Crawford, Gladwin and 9 more | 31 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2008Every winter storm warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.