Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2008
Winter Storm Warning 15, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Dec 20, 2008, 4:33 PM EST for 17 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Dec 21, 2008, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 30 hr. 40 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 20, 2008, 4:33 PM EST (21:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 21, 2008, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 22, 2008, 6:02 AM EST
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 12 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 12:32 AM EST | SNOW 1.3 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 3 HR TOTAL THRU 1230 AM. SNOWDEPTH 16 INCHES. |
| Dec 21, 6:21 AM EST | SNOW 2.8 | 1 W Interlochen, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. SNOWDEPTH 19 INCHES. |
| Dec 21, 7:40 AM EST | SNOW 2.6 | 4 Se Honor, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 17 INCHES. |
| Dec 21, 7:49 AM EST | SNOW 2.5 | 4 E Lake Ann, MI | 9 HR TOTAL THRU 730 PM. SNOWDEPTH 21 INCHES. |
| Dec 21, 7:49 AM EST | SNOW 2.7 | 11 N Lake City, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 730 PM. SNOWDEPTH 20 INCHES. |
| Dec 21, 8:04 AM EST | SNOW 4 | Luzerne, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 18 INCHES. |
| Dec 21, 8:56 AM EST | SNOW 3.6 | 3 W Suttons Bay, MI | 10 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. |
| Dec 21, 9:38 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Rogers City, MI | 5 TO 6 INCHES IN ROGERS CITY. ACCUMULATIONS INCREASE NORTHWEST OF TOWN. REPORTS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES AROUND HURON BEACH. |
| Dec 21, 9:55 AM EST | SNOW 4 | Atlanta, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 930 AM. SNOWDEPTH 16 INCHES. |
| Dec 21, 9:55 AM EST | SNOW 8 | Rogers City, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 930 AM. |
| Dec 21, 12:38 PM EST | SNOW 7 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 12 PM. SNOWDEPTH 20 INCHES. 24 HOUR TOTAL IS 8.2 INCHES. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. |
| Dec 21, 2:54 PM EST | HEAVY SNOW 12 | Wellston, MI | NUMEROUS REPORTS EAST HALF OF MANISTEE COUNTY OF ZERO VISIBILITY AND SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR. COOP OBSERVER WELLSTON 1N REPORTS 8.0 INCHES SINCE NOON. PUBLIC REPORTS FROM COPEMISH TO WELLSTON OF 12 TO 16 INCHES STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. |
| Dec 21, 3:48 PM EST | SNOW 6 | 2 Nne Benzonia, MI | 8 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM. |
| Dec 21, 4:03 PM EST | SNOW 12 | Meauwataka, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM. |
| Dec 21, 4:03 PM EST | SNOW 14.5 | Wellston, MI | 16 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM. |
| Dec 21, 4:03 PM EST | SNOW 16 | Meauwataka, MI | 15 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM. |
| Dec 21, 5:11 PM EST | SNOW 4.9 | 4 E Lake Ann, MI | 9 HR TOTAL THRU 5 PM. SNOWDEPTH 26 IN. |
| Dec 21, 5:11 PM EST | SNOW 7.4 | 4 E Lake Ann, MI | 20 HR TOTAL THRU 5 PM. SNOWDEPTH 26 IN. |
| Dec 21, 5:48 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 2 W Interlochen, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 23 IN. |
| Dec 21, 5:48 PM EST | SNOW 5.2 | Traverse City, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. |
| Dec 21, 5:50 PM EST | SNOW 2.5 | Luzerne, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 18 IN. |
| Dec 21, 5:50 PM EST | SNOW 6.5 | Luzerne, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 18 IN. |
| Dec 21, 6:25 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 11 N Lake City, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 24 IN. |
| Dec 21, 6:25 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Meauwataka, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM. |
| Dec 21, 6:25 PM EST | SNOW 9 | 2 Ne Beulah, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN. |
| Dec 21, 6:25 PM EST | SNOW 12 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 29 IN. |
| Dec 21, 6:35 PM EST | SNOW 2.5 | 3 Se Gaylord, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. |
| Dec 21, 6:53 PM EST | SNOW 4.9 | 4 N Onaway, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 15 IN. |
| Dec 21, 6:53 PM EST | SNOW 5.1 | 3 Wsw Fife Lake, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 22 IN. |
| Dec 21, 6:53 PM EST | SNOW 6 | 2 Wsw Kingsley, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 17 IN. |
| Dec 21, 6:56 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 9 Ssw Gaylord, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 16 IN. |
| Dec 21, 7:01 PM EST | SNOW 4 | 6 Se Mancelona, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 23 IN. |
| Dec 21, 7:01 PM EST | SNOW 5 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 1 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. |
| Dec 21, 7:16 PM EST | SNOW 7.2 | Lake City, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 20. ROADS HAVE 6 INCHES OF SNOW ON THEM AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS CONTINUING. |
| Dec 21, 7:35 PM EST | SNOW 3.6 | 4 E Honor, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. |
| Dec 21, 7:40 PM EST | SNOW 2 | Onaway, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN. |
| Dec 21, 7:56 PM EST | SNOW 4 | Atlanta, MI | 11 HR TOTAL THRU 8 PM. SNOWDEPTH 18 IN. |
| Dec 21, 9:12 PM EST | SNOW 23 | 1 N Wellston, MI | 23 HOUR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. SNOWDEPTH 30 IN. |
| Dec 21, 10:22 PM EST | SNOW 8 | Lake Ann, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM. SNOWDEPTH 27 IN. |
| Dec 22, 5:19 AM EST | SNOW 7 | 4 E Lake Ann, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 5 AM. 12 HR TOTAL 2.1 INCHES THRU 5 AM. SNOWDEPTH 27 INCHES. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1009 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -53 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -49 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 202133 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 433 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...MORE SNOW AND WIND ON THE WAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY EVENING...PRODUCING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. MIZ019>022-025>028-031-032-210500- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081221T0300Z-081222T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0015.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 433 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING...AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL THEN TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD BEGINNING AT MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...PROVIDING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ015>018-023-024-029-030-210500- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081221T0300Z-081222T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0015.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA- ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN... ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE 433 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT...AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL WILL BECOME LOCALLY ENHANCED NEAR THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD BEGINNING AT MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY AND BECOME GUSTY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PROVIDING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ033>036-041-042-210500- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081221T0300Z-081222T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 433 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY AND BECOME GUSTY SUNDAY EVENING...PROVIDING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ008-210500- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081221T0300Z-081222T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 433 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT...PERSISTING INTO THE DAY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL THEN TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...PRIMARILY WEST OF M-123. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ LAWRENCE
7 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 210322 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1022 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...MORE SNOW AND WIND ON THE WAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...PROVIDING ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY EVENING...PRODUCING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. MIZ019>022-025>028-031-032-211730- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 1022 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL THEN TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD BEGINNING AT MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...PROVIDING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ015>018-023-024-029-030-211730- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA- ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN... ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE 1022 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL WILL BECOME LOCALLY ENHANCED NEAR THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD BEGINNING AT MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY AND BECOME GUSTY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PROVIDING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ033>036-041-042-211730- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 1022 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY AND BECOME GUSTY SUNDAY EVENING...PROVIDING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ008-211730- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.081221T0500Z-081222T1000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 1022 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...PERSISTING INTO THE DAY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL THEN TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...PRIMARILY WEST OF M-123. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 210920 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 420 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...SNOW TO TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT AS WINDS PICK UP LATE TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER LAKE HURON TODAY...AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY...TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW BY TONIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...RESULTING IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. MIZ019>022-025>028-031-032-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 420 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR TONIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND A FOOT ARE EXPECTED BY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE. CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL RESULT. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE...NEAR AND SOUTH OF SLEEPING BEAR DUNES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ015>018-023-024-029-030-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA- ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN... ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE 420 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY THIS MORNING NEAR THE LAKE HURON COASTLINE. MANY AREAS WILL SEE TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...WITH SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ033>036-041-042-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 420 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. LESS THAN AN INCH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...BUT INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ008-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 420 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND TRANSITION INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...HIGHEST NEAR LAKE HURON. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. INCREASING WINDS BY TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 211659 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1159 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...SNOW TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT AS WINDS PICK UP THROUGH THE DAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER LAKE HURON THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GENERALLY LIGHTER SNOWFALL ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL HAVE LOCALLY ENHANCED SNOWFALL WITH WINDS COMING OFF LAKES MICHIGAN AND HURON. IN ADDITION...INCREASING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ016-019-021>023-028>030-212300- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...ATLANTA...GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE 1159 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 1 TO PERHAPS 3 INCHES. ANOTHER COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. BUT DESPITE LIGHTER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ015-211800- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 1159 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. $$ MIZ008-211800- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 1159 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. $$ MIZ020-025>027-031-032-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 1159 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS STORM RANGING FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE. CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL RESULT. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE...NEAR AND SOUTH OF SLEEPING BEAR DUNES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ017-018-024-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA 1159 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. LIGHTER SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MAY BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES NEAR THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE BEFORE TAPERING OFF TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS STORM WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...PRODUCING SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ033>036-041-042-212300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 1159 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH TOTAL DAYTIME ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. AN INCH OR LESS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...BUT INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ ADAM
000 WWUS43 KAPX 212158 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 458 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...SNOW TRANSITIONING TO LAKE EFFECT AS WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE OVER LAKE HURON WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL DIMINISHING ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. HOWEVER... PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO SEE LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL WITH WINDS COMING OFF LAKES MICHIGAN AND HURON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND AREAS OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE FROM GRAND TRAVERSE BAY TO MANISTEE. MIZ033-220500- /O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE CITY 458 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS EXCEEDING 8 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT...WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ017-018-024-220400- /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T0400Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA 458 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL PERSIST ALONG THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE THIS EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS STORM WILL EXCEED 10 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. LOWER ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE FOUND INLAND. BUT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ020-025>027-031-032-220500- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 458 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN INTENSITY. HOWEVER...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA TONIGHT...BRINGING THE STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WELL IN EXCESS OF A FOOT FOR MANY ARES. IN ADDITION...WEST AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT... WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE MICHIGAN COASTLINE...NEAR AND SOUTH OF SLEEPING BEAR DUNES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ023-029-030-035-036-041-042-220400- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T0400Z/ MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...MIO...HARRISVILLE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 458 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EVENING HOURS WITH STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ016-019-021-022-028-034-220500- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...GRAYLING...HOUGHTON LAKE 458 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EVENING HOURS WITH STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3 AND 7 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ ADAM
000 WWUS43 KAPX 220327 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1027 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW CONTINUE... .LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EASTWARD AWAY FROM MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT. PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO SEE LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND AREAS OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE FROM GRAND TRAVERSE BAY TO MANISTEE. MIZ017-018-024-220430- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T0400Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA 1027 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. $$ MIZ023-029-030-035-036-041-042-220430- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T0400Z/ MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...MIO...HARRISVILLE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 1027 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. $$ MIZ016-220430- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ EMMET- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PETOSKEY 1027 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. $$ MIZ020-025>027-031>033-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 1027 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS EXCEEDING 8 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ019-021-022-028-034-221000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... GRAYLING...HOUGHTON LAKE 1027 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. MODERATE TO AT TIMES HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3 AND 7 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 220917 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 417 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MOVING INTO NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN... ...ANOTHER STORM ON THE WAY... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN FAIRLY POTENT IN PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...AS WINDS TURN WITH THE PASSING HIGH AND DRIER AIR MOVES...THE INTENSITY OF THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY EVENING. FOR MOST AREAS...LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF ST IGNACE IN MACKINAC COUNTY...THANKS TO SOUTH WINDS BRINGING ADDITIONAL SNOW OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN. THOSE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US-2 CORRIDOR. MIZ025-031-032-221030- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1000Z/ BENZIE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 417 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. $$ MIZ020-026-027-033-221700- /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1700Z/ LEELANAU-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... LAKE CITY 417 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ019-021-022-028-034-221700- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1700Z/ CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... GRAYLING...HOUGHTON LAKE 417 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL WEAKEN BY MIDDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ015-222200- /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0019.081223T1500Z-081224T0500Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 417 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING...AND COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN WESTERN MACKINAC COUNTY. ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE...PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US-2 CORRIDOR. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 221102 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 602 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MOVING INTO NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN... ...ANOTHER STORM ON THE WAY... .HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REMAIN FAIRLY POTENT IN PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...AS WINDS TURN WITH THE PASSING HIGH AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN...THE INTENSITY OF THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY EVENING. FOR MOST AREAS...LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF ST IGNACE IN MACKINAC COUNTY...THANKS TO SOUTH WINDS BRINGING ADDITIONAL SNOW OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN. THOSE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US-2 CORRIDOR. MIZ020-027-221700- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1700Z/ LEELANAU-KALKASKA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...KALKASKA 602 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL WEAKEN BY MIDDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING SNOW... ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ026-033-221215- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-081222T1700Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TRAVERSE CITY...LAKE CITY 602 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. $$ MIZ019-021-022-028-034-221700- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-081222T1700Z/ CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... GRAYLING...HOUGHTON LAKE 602 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL WEAKEN BY MIDDAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING SNOW... ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ015-222300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.A.0019.081223T1500Z-081224T0500Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 602 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING...AND COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN WESTERN MACKINAC COUNTY. ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE... PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US- 2 CORRIDOR. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ JZ
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 20, 4:09 PM EST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 4:09 PM EST, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
409 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008
.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 409 PM/
A STORM SYSTEM IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING...THEN INTENSIFY OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND
OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TO THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
ADAM
&&
.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 409 PM/...TONIGHT
LAKE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS LAKE HURON FINALLY MAKING AN INLAND PUSH
THIS AFTERNOON INTO NE LOWER AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN
AS LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS SE. SOME HEALTHIER SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY JUST
OFFSHORE BETWEEN THE STRAITS AND PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT AS KAPX RADAR
PICKING UP RETURNS IN THAT AREA AND MCD KEEPS DIPPING TO AROUND 1SM
IN SNOW FROM TIME TO TIME. AS LOW LEVEL FLOW FURTHER STRENGTHENS
THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE UPSTREAM SYSTEM...AREAS AROUND THE STRAITS
AND A PORTION OF NE LOWER MICHIGAN WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR LAKE
SNOWFALL THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE CURRENT DRY AIRMASS AND LOW
INVERSION HEIGHTS...DON/T THINK ACCUMULATIONS WILL GET TOO OUT OF
HAND. BUT THEN AGAIN WITH THE VERY COLD AIRMASS/HIGH SNOW-WATER
RATIOS...MAY NOT TAKE MUCH TO GET A FEW INCHES OF FLUFF EITHER.
ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE UPSTREAM WAVE CHUGGING ALONG THROUGH THE
NRN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. NOT MUCH OF A SFC RESPONSE AT THIS POINT
APPARENTLY THE RESULT OF A FAIR AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL STABILITY ACROSS
THE NRN PLAINS. BUT AS THIS WAVE PUSHES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS
EVENING AND FURTHER DEEPENS/CLOSES OFF...LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
EXPECTED TO SPIN UP OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES THEN SLIDE UP AND
PIVOT THROUGH NRN MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.
BUT DESPITE THE GREAT DYNAMIC SETUP...SYSTEM DOESN/T HAVE A
TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND ON IT/S OWN MIGHT
BRING ONLY ADVISORY TYPE ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE REGION. BUT...
HAVE TO ADD THE LAKE ENHANCEMENT POTENTIAL ON BOTH THE FRONT END
TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY (SE FLOW) AS WELL AS THE BACK END (NNW
FLOW) LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT (SEE DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE
DETAILS). ADD TO THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR A CONVERGENCE DRIVEN BAND OF
HEAVIER SNOW PIVOTING ACROSS NRN LOWER MICHIGAN SUNDAY WITH THE
CIRCULATION...MAY END UP WITH 24 HOUR WARNING CRITERIA SNOW FOR A
GOOD PORTION OF THE CWA JUST BY VIRTUE OF A STEADY SNOW OVER A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF TIME. SO...BASED ON SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WILL UPGRADE A GOOD PORTION OF THE GOING WATCH
TO A WARNING FOR COUNTIES PRIMARILY NORTH OF M-72 BUT WITH MOST OF
NW LOWER MICHIGAN THROWN IN TO COVER LAKE EFFECT ON THE BACK END. SE
COUNTIES AS WELL AS CHIPPEWA COUNTY LOOKING TO GET THE LEAST
SNOWFALL AND WILL PUT THEM INTO AN ADVISORY.
ADAM
&&
.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 409 PM/...SUNDAY AND BEYOND
SUN THRU TUE...MAIN FOCUS ON CLOSED LOW TRACKING OVERHEAD INTO SUN
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT CONCERNS INTO MON.
SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD SNOW ONGOING MAINLY ALONG/NORTH OF M-72 AT 12Z
IN PRONOUNCED 850-700MB TROWAL AXIS/DEEP LAYER -DIVQ...LIKELY
ENHANCED TO SOME DEGREE ACRS NORTHEAST LOWER/HIGHER TERRAIN OF
CENTRAL COUNTIES UNDER LOW LEVEL EAST/NORTHEAST FLOW REGIME. FARTHER
SOUTH...APPEARS PRECIP MAY BECOME MORE SHOWERY FOR A TIME AS MODEST
800-600MB LAPSE RATE PLUME TRACKS THRU THE REGION IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE UPR LOW...WITH TIME HEIGHTS SUGGESTING THETA-E LAPSE RATES
BUMPING TOWARD NEGATIVE TERRITORY (INDICATIVE OF MID LEVEL
INSTABILITY). ALL THE WHILE...LAKE ENHANCEMENT ON THE LAKE MICHIGAN
SIDE WILL INCREASINGLY COME INTO PLAY FOR THE AFTN AS SFC-800MB FLOW
KICKS MORE NORTH THEN NORTHWESTERLY...ALL WHILE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE REMAINS STRONG INTO THE CENTRAL COUNTIES AS TROUGH AXIS
PIVOTS SOUTH THRU EARLY EVENING. STILL SOME DISCREPANCIES WITH
REGARD TO BEST LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...WITH 12Z NAM DISPLACING THE
BOUNDARY A BIT FARTHER NORTH...OWING TO BOTH ITS STRONGER (AND
PREFERRED) SFC REFLECTION...AS WELL AS LIKELY SOME LAKE INFLUENCE.
THIS ALL PLAYS INTO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS THRU THE AFTN AS ANY
SMALL CHANGE IN PLACEMENT LIKELY TO HAVE BIG RAMIFICATIONS ON LOW
LEVEL FLOW REGIME FROM M-32 ON SOUTH. OVERALL APPEARS AN ADDITIONAL
1 TO 3 INCHES A GOOD BET THRU THE DAY...LOCALLY ENHANCED OVR
NORTHEAST LOWER (VICINITY ALPENA/ROGERS CITY) AS WELL AS WEST OF
M-37 INTO NORTHWEST LOWER.
SUN NIGHT INTO MON...EVENT TRANSITIONS TOWARD A MORE PURE LAKE
EFFECT SCENARIO AS SYNOPTIC MOISTURE WANES AND INVERSION HEIGHTS
CRASH BACK DOWN BELOW 800MB. HOWEVER...GIVEN PROPENSITY FOR LAKE
EFFECT TO BE HARD TO BREAK DOWN ONCE INITIATED...FULLY EXPECT SOME
ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS TO MAKE THEIR WAY INTO PRIMARILY
NORTHWEST LOWER AS LOW LEVEL BACKS MORE NORTHWEST THEN WEST AS RIDGE
AXIS SLIPS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. INTO TUESDAY...ATTENTION TURNS TO
NEXT WAVE EMERGING ONTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH ELONGATED WARM
ADVECTION AXIS OF SNOW EXPECTED TO TAKE SHAPE ACRS NORTHERN MICHIGAN
(MORE ON THIS SYSTEM BELOW).
LATER PERIODS (TUE NIGHT INTO SAT)...ACTIVE WX PATTERN TO PERSIST
THRU THE EXTENDED AS FAIRLY STABLE 3-WAVE HEMISPHERIC PATTERN
CONTINUES...WITH PLACEMENT OF UPR TROUGHING FOCUSED ON THE WESTERN
CONUS AND VARIOUS PIECES OF ENERGY EJECTING TOWARD THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES THRU THE PERIOD. INITIAL WAVE OF CONCERN JUST NOW
ENTERING THE GULF OF ALASKA...BUT PROGGED BY GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN TO
DRIVE A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE REGION WED-ISH TIMEFRAME. BIGGEST
POINT OF CONTENTION BETWEEN MODELS REMAINS DEGREE OF SFC WAVE
DEVELOPMENT ALONG SAID FRONT...WITH GUIDANCE CONTINUING TO STRUGGLE
WITH PLACEMENT (OR EVEN EXISTENCE) OF SUCH A FEATURE. ECMWF REMAINS
ADAMANT ABOUT WAVE DEVELOPMENT SLOWING DOWN THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...AND GIVEN EXPECTED HEALTHY BAROCLINIC ZONE
UPSTREAM...DIFFICULT TO ARGUE WITH ITS SOLUTION. GREAT GULF TAP
EXPECTED AS SOUTHEAST RIDGE RETREATS OVER THE ATLANTIC...HOWEVER
COULD BE SOME SMALL PTYPE CONCERNS OVR THE SOUTH GIVEN STRONG SURGE
OF WARM ADVECTION. HOWEVER...AT THIS JUNCTURE PREFER TO KEEP THINGS
SIMPLE WITH JUST PLAIN SNOW AS TRACK OF THE MID LEVEL WAVE WOULD
SUGGEST ANY MIXING WOULD LIKELY BE BRIEF. CERTAINLY A SYSTEM TO
WATCH...AND WILL LIKELY BE ANOTHER HEADLINE MESS BEFORE ITS OVER.
MOVING ON...PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT LAKE EFFECT INTO
CHRISTMAS DAY...THOUGH NOTHING MAJOR MOISTURE DEPLETING AND FLOW
RAPIDLY BECOMING ANTICYCLONIC. THEREAFTER...ALL EYES FOCUSED ON THE
FRI/SAT TIMEFRAME AS MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
ADDITIONAL ENERGY EJECTING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES. REALIGNMENT OF WESTERN CONUS TROUGH PER 2 AND 5 DAY
MEAN HEIGHT FIELDS/GFS ENSEMBLES SUGGESTS SFC LOW MAY WELL CUT UP
WEST OF MICHIGAN THIS GO AROUND...THUS PTYPE CONCERNS EMERGE.
HOWEVER...WILL KEEP THINGS SIMPLE WITH RAIN/SNOW MENTION AT THIS
POINT...THOUGH LINGERING LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW OFF DEPARTING RIDGE
SUGGESTS SOME COMPONENT OF ARCTIC AIR MAY LINGER ACRS PORTIONS OF
THE CWA...SUGGESTING A FREEZING RAIN THREAT AT SOME POINT.
LAWRENCE
&&
.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 409 PM/
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES OVERHEAD
AND THEN OFF TO THE EAST LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PLACES WHERE EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF
THE SYSTEM WILL BE STRONGEST TONIGHT...NAMELY THE LAKE HURON WATERS
AND WHITEFISH BAY. ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES AND/OR GALE WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY AS STRONG NW WINDS DEVELOP
BEHIND THE SYSTEM.
JZ
&&
.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 409 PM/...VALID FOR 18Z TAFS
LAKE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE APN TERMINAL SITE THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AT TVC/PLN. THEN...A STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED
TO DEEPEN OVER THE STATE ON SUNDAY WILL BRING A BAND OF SNOWFALL AND
CONDITIONS DETERIOTING TO IFR AT THE TERMINAL SITES...LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY WILL BE
FOUND AT APN.
ADAM
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY
FOR MIZ008-033>036-041-042.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 AM EST MONDAY
FOR MIZ015>032.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
LMZ342-344>346.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
FOR LHZ345>349.
GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
LHZ347>349.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
FOR LSZ321.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 20, 11:09 AM EST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1109 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042- 211100- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 1109 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PATCHY FREEZING FOG WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING...BUT MAY LEAD TO HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...AND COULD BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. SEE ONGOING WATCHES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT. SEE ONGOING WATCHES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS...PLEASE PASS ON SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ADAM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 4:16 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | APX | 3 days | |
| Dec 20, 4:17 PM EST | Gale Watch | APX | 12 hr | |
| Dec 20, 4:33 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | Alcona, Antrim, Arenac, Crawford, Emmet, Gladwin and 9 more | 42 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2008Every winter storm warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.