Winter Storm Warning 14, NWS Gaylord, MI

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 182119
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
419 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

...ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS FRIDAY...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES FRIDAY...PRODUCING A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF LOWER MICHIGAN. GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...
HEAVIER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN WITH
ENHANCEMENT OFF LAKE HURON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

MIZ029>036-041-042-190500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0014.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...
GLADWIN...STANDISH
419 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE
TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO THE
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL BRING HEAVIER LAKE
ENHANCED SNOWFALL TO AREAS NEAR LAKE HURON AS WELL AS PRODUCE
BLOWING SNOW AND FURTHER REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE REGION.
BY FRIDAY EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OCCURRING EAST OF A LINE FROM ALPENA TO HOUGHTON
LAKE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ022>028-190500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
419 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM
EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO MOST OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE
TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...
GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL BRING HEAVIER LAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL TO
AREAS CLOSE TO LAKE HURON AS WELL AS PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE REGION. BY FRIDAY EVENING...SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ADVISORY AREA...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

ADAM

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 190319
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1019 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

...ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS FRIDAY...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES FRIDAY...PRODUCING A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF LOWER MICHIGAN. THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...
HEAVIER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN WITH
ENHANCEMENT OFF LAKE HURON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

MIZ029>036-041-042-191100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0014.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...
GLADWIN...STANDISH
1019 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE
TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO THE
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL BRING HEAVIER LAKE
ENHANCED SNOWFALL TO AREAS NEAR LAKE HURON AS WELL AS PRODUCE
BLOWING SNOW AND FURTHER REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE REGION.
BY FRIDAY EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OCCURRING ROUGHLY EAST OF A LINE FROM ALPENA TO
HOUGHTON LAKE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ022>028-191100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
1019 PM EST THU DEC 18 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM
EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO MOST OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE
TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...
GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL BRING HEAVIER LAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL TO
AREAS CLOSE TO LAKE HURON AS WELL AS PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE REGION. BY FRIDAY EVENING...SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ADVISORY AREA...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

LAWRENCE

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 190923
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
423 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES TODAY...PRODUCING A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS PORTIONS
OF LOWER MICHIGAN. THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...HEAVIER
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN WITH ENHANCEMENT
OFF LAKE HURON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

MIZ024-192200-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0014.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
ALPENA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPENA
423 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE ALPENA AREA BETWEEN 7 AND 9
AM...AND WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AFTER
WHICH SNOW INTENSITY WILL TAPER OFF. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH
LATE AFTERNOON OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCING VISIBILITIES SHARPLY AT TIMES AND MAKING
TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE
EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ029>036-041-042-192200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0014.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...
GLADWIN...STANDISH
423 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN BY MID
MORNING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL BRING HEAVIER LAKE ENHANCED
SNOWFALL TO AREAS NEAR LAKE HURON AS WELL AS PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW
AND FURTHER REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE REGION. BY LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES
ALONG THE M-55 CORRIDOR FROM MANISTEE TO HOUGHTON LAKE...AND FROM
6 TO 10 INCHES EAST OF A LINE FROM ALPENA TO HOUGHTON LAKE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ020-021-192200-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA
423 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO LEELANAU AND ANTRIM COUNTIES
BETWEEN 7 AND 9 AM...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE
TAPERING OFF. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY MID AFTERNOON OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
CAN BE EXPECTED.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

MIZ022-023-025>028-192200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.081219T1000Z-081219T2200Z/
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...
TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
423 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO THE ADVISORY AREA BETWEEN 7 AND 9 AM...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ADVISORY AREA. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WHICH WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES SIGNIFICANTLY AT TIMES AND MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

JPB

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 191620
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1120 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY
WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW TRACKING ACROSS CENTRAL OHIO.
HEAVY SNOW WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL IMPACT A GOOD PORTION OF LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH MIDDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO LIGHTER SNOW AS WE
GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS
STORM ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY.
HOWEVER...A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ALSO BE FOUND
ACROSS A PORTION OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...MAINLY SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM ALPENA TO MANISTEE. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST WINDS WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

MIZ024-029>036-041-042-192200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081219T2200Z/
ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...
GLADWIN...STANDISH
1120 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL TAPER OFF IN INTENSITY AFTER 1 PM...WITH
LIGHTER SNOW THEN CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. 
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OCCURRING
EAST OF I-75. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH MOST OF
THE AFTERNOON...REDUCING VISIBILITIES SHARPLY AT TIMES AND MAKING
TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE
EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ020>023-025>028-192200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-081219T2200Z/
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
1120 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL TAPER OFF IN INTENSITY AFTER 1 PM...
WITH LIGHTER SNOW THEN CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 3 TO 7 INCHES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OCCURRING ALONG AND SOUTH OF M-72. IN ADDITION...GUSTY EAST TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS...REDUCING VISIBILITIES AT
TIMES AND MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

ADAM

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 192147
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
447 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...AS ONE STORM ENDS ANOTHER IS ON THE HORIZON...

.THE STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT HEAVY SNOW TO THE REGION TODAY HAS
DEPARTED...THUS ALLOWING THE CANCELLATION OF THE WARNINGS AND
ADVISORIES. 

HOWEVER...THE NEXT SYSTEM...WHICH IS DEVELOPING IN THE NORTHERN
ROCKY MOUNTAINS...WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND
HAS THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW AMOUNTS OVER A 24 HOUR
PERIOD. ONCE THE LOW MOVES THROUGH STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

MIZ024-029>036-041-042-200500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0014.000000T0000Z-081219T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081220T2100Z-081222T1200Z/
ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...
GLADWIN...STANDISH
447 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY
EVENING. 24 HOUR SNOW FALL AMOUNTS COULD TOTAL 8 TO 10
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THERE WILL BE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ020>023-025>028-200500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-081219T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081220T2100Z-081222T1200Z/
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
447 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LAST INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
24 HOUR SNOW FALL AMOUNTS COULD TOTAL 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THERE WILL BE CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ016>019-200500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081220T2100Z-081222T1200Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX
447 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LAST INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
24 HOUR SNOW FALL AMOUNTS COULD TOTAL 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THERE WILL BE CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

MIZ008-015-200500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.A.0018.081220T2100Z-081222T1200Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
447 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LAST INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
24 HOUR SNOW FALL AMOUNTS COULD TOTAL 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THERE WILL BE CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

JL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1144 AM EST THU DEC 18 2008

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 402 AM/

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREDOMINATE ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
TODAY...THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN IL BY
FRIDAY MORNING...THEN MOVES QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
AND TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY NIGHT.  THIS SYSTEM WILL
SPREAD SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN MI LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THE DAY
FRIDAY.  HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS LOWER MI...WITH
TRAVEL PROBLEMS EXACERBATED BY BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW WITH GUSTY
EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS.

JPB

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 1143 AM/...THIS AFTERNOON

PERSISTENT WEST FLOW AND SUFFICIENT LAKE INSTABILITY (LAKE-H8
DELTA T/S IN THE MID TEENS) CONTINUES TO PRODUCE LAKE CLOUDS AND
LIGHT SNOW OVER NRN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. CONVECTION JUST
SLIGHTLY BEEFIER ACROSS THE TIP OF THE MITT /BETWEEN M-32 AND M-68/
THANKS TO A LONGER FETCH OUT OF GREEN BAY...LIKELY PRODUCING SOME
VSBY RESTRICTION AND MINOR FLUFFY ACCUMULATION. DONT SEE MUCH
CHANGING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THIS CONFIGURATION OTHER THAN
PERHAPS A SUBTLE WARMING IN THE LOW LAYERS. SO...HAVE PENCILED IN
A RELATIVELY SMALL AREA OF CATEGORICAL LIGHT SNOW THIS AFTERNOON
FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREA...ACCUMULATIONS HALF AN INCH OR LESS.

IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...CLEAR SKIES DOMINATE AT THE MOMENT.
BUT BETTER LAKE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY RESIDES JUST OFFSHORE WITHIN
A DECENT WESTERLY FETCH AND BETTER INSTABILITY/MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT.
SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY LOOKING TO DRIFT INTO THE WHITEFISH
POINT/PARADISE AREA LATER TODAY AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING AS
LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TO NORTH. MAY SEE A FEW INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IN THAT AREA AS THIS OCCURS AND PLAN TO UPDATE THE
FORECAST ACCORDINGLY.

FINALLY...THOUGHTS ON THE GOING WINTER STORM WATCH. HARD TO ARGUE
WITH CONSISTENCY AS 12Z NAM/GFS MODEL SUITE COMING IN WITH GOOD
INITIALIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM AND VERY LITTLE WAVERING IN THE
FORECAST STORM TRACK/QPF FORECASTS. SFC LOW STILL QUICKLY TRACKING
FROM CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH CENTRAL OHIO FRIDAY ON THE NOSE OF A
140+ KNOT JET CORE PUNCHING ACROSS THE COUNTRY. RESULTING HEAVIEST
QPF/SNOWFALL STILL TARGETS SRN LOWER MICHIGAN. BUT STILL APPEARS
HEAVIER WARNING CRITERIA SNOWFALL WILL CLIP THE S/SE PORTION OF
THE CWA...BEST ACCUMULATIONS CLOSER TO THE LAKE HURON SIDE DUE TO
LAKE ENHANCEMENT/TERRAIN INFLUENCES AND A TIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION
GRADIENT AS YOU GO NORTH. WILL PLAY AROUND WITH ACCUMULATIONS A
LITTLE MORE BUT MAY GO AHEAD AND TRANSITION PORTIONS OF THE WATCH
INTO A WARNING IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO BUT WITH SOME OF THE WATCH
COUNTIES GOING INTO AN ADVISORY.

ADAM

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 402 AM/...TONIGHT AND BEYOND

TONIGHT...CONSENSUS SYSTEM TRACK IS JUST A BIT FARTHER SOUTH THAN
17/00Z RUNS SUGGESTED...RUNNING FROM NEAR THE OK PANHANDLE THIS
EVENING...TO BETWEEN BRL-STL BY FRIDAY MORNING...THEN ZIPPING
QUICKLY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.  SYSTEM IS NOT
PARTICULARLY STRONG WITH AN OPEN WAVE AT 500MB AND SURFACE LOW NOT
FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 1000MB (THOUGH THAT COULD CHANGE)...BUT WILL
HAVE A NICE SURGE OF MOIST INFLOW WITH 10C 850MB DEW POINTS GETTING
PULLED INTO THE LOW LEVEL WARM FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SOUTHERN
LOWER/NORTHERN IL/IN/OH...AND PW VALUES GETTING UP TOWARD AN INCH.
SOME HINTS OF A COUPLED JET STRUCTURE AS WELL...AND IT LOOKS LIKE
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER AND POINTS
SOUTH.  THE PROBLEM IS WHERE DOES THAT LEAVE NORTHERN MI...AS THE
QPF GRADIENT IS GETTING A BIT TIGHT ACROSS THE AREA AND ANY
ADDITIONAL JOG SOUTHWARD WILL IMPACT SNOW AMOUNTS IN A NEGATIVE
WAY.  INITIAL CONCERN IS TIMING AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF SNOWFALL
TONIGHT.  WILL HOLD THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOWFALL OFF UNTIL AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AND WILL TRY TO WRING OUT A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE GFS
AND NAM...KEEPING SNOW OUT OF EASTERN UPPER AND HOLDING HIGHEST POPS
SOUTH OF M-32...ALONG WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES.

FRIDAY...STILL APPEARS BEST SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL OCCUR SOUTH OF
M-32 ON FRIDAY...WITH A PRETTY GOOD GRADIENT OF SNOWFALL ANTICIPATED
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH WITH COMPARATIVELY LITTLE ACROSS EASTERN UPPER.
BEST COUPLING OF UPPER AND LOWER LEVEL FORCING FORECAST TO OCCUR
OVER SOUTHERN LOWER...BUT BASED ON CURRENT EVOLUTION OF BEST FORCING
AND AIDED BY EASTERLY FLOW LAKE ENHANCEMENT EXPECT HIGHEST AMOUNTS
WILL PROBABLY FALL ALONG-EAST OF A PZQ-HTL LINE.  ALWAYS UNSURE
EXACTLY HOW LAKE ENHANCEMENT WILL EVOLVE...OFTEN IT IS MUCH MORE
LOCALIZED THAN EXPECTED AND USUALLY FOCUSED IN THE VICINITY OF
THUNDER BAY.  WHICH SO HAPPENS TO BE FOCUS OF BEST LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ON FRIDAY.  SO WILL HIT LAKESHORE AREAS FROM THUNDER BAY
SOUTH TO AROUND TAWAS CITY FOR A COUPLE EXTRA INCHES OF SNOW.  AS
FAR AS STORM TOTAL SNOWFALLS GO...RUNNING THROUGH THE GRIDS (24HR
TOTALS) GIVES A GENERAL 5-10 INCH RANGE FOR THESE COUNTIES: ALCONA/
ALPENA/MANISTEE/WEXFORD/MISSAUKEE/ROSCOMMON/OGEMAW/IOSCO/GLADWIN/
ARENAC.  AMOUNTS OF 3-6 INCHES FOR: OTSEGO/MONTMORENCY/BENZIE/GRAND
TRAVERSE/KALKASKA/CRAWFORD/OSCODA.  STRONG SUBSIDENCE FORECAST TO
SPREAD QUICKLY INTO THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHICH SHOULD
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER SYNOPTIC SNOWFALL TO AN END.  WORST
BLOWING/DRIFTING ISSUES SHOULD BE CLOSER TO LAKE HURON.

AS FAR AS HEADLINES ARE CONCERNED...AFTER COORDINATING WITH GRR/DTX
WILL BE KEEPING THE CURRENT WATCH INTACT...BUT WILL BE REMOVING
PRESQUE ISLE COUNTY.  ALTHOUGH THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE WATCH
(FKS/TVC/GLR) MAY END UP FALLING SHORT OF WARNING CRITERIA
SNOWFALL...NOTHING WRONG WITH GOING FROM A WATCH TO AN ADVISORY.
ALSO KEEPING THE WATCH GOING ALLOWS US TO KEEP OUR OPTIONS OPEN IN
CASE THE STORM TRACK WOBBLES A BIT (EITHER WAY) FROM WHAT IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED.  CURRENT 24HR ACCUMULATIONS FOR PRESQUE ISLE
COUNTY (UP TO 3 INCHES) DONT JUSTIFY KEEPING THE WATCH GOING
THERE...PARTICULARLY IF BEST ENHANCEMENT IF FARTHER SOUTH AS
ANTICIPATED.

EARLY EXTENDED RANGE (SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...WILL ADD IN SOME
SHALLOW LAKE HURON SNOW SHOWERS FOR SATURDAY AS LONG FETCH EASTERLY
FLOW PERSISTS (WHICH ALWAYS CAUSES MORE PROBLEMS THAN THERE WOULD
APPEAR TO BE ON PAPER).  STILL WATCHING POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER
WIDESPREAD SNOW EVENT FOR SUNDAY...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO
FOLLOW UP FOR MONDAY.

JPB

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 402 AM/

MAIN ISSUE FOR THE MARINE SIDE OF THE HOUSE WILL BE INCREASING
EASTERLY GRADIENT LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.  GALE WATCH ALREADY UP
FOR THE LAKE HURON NEARSHORE ZONES FOR FRIDAY...AND THAT WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THIS MORNING.  AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE
NEEDED ELSEWHERE FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

JPB

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 649 AM/...VALID FOR 12Z TAFS

MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST MUCH OF THE DAY AT TVC/PLN...
IMPROVING TONIGHT PRIOR TO SNOW MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...
WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO IFR CONDITIONS AT TVC AND APN AT
LEAST FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR MIZ022>036-041-042.
LM...NONE.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     LHZ347>349.
LS...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
502 AM EST THU DEC 18 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
191100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
502 AM EST THU DEC 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF M-32 OVERNIGHT...THOUGH SNOW WILL START TO
BECOME HEAVIER BY DAYBREAK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY...WITH
THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL EXPECTED SOUTH OF M-32. HEAVIEST SNOW WILL
FALL DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE TAPERING
OFF. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CAUSE SHARPLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES NEAR LAKE HURON. SEE ONGOING WATCH FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS AND EXPECTED SNOW AMOUNTS.

ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
SUNDAY/EARLY MONDAY TIME FRAME...WITH MORE ACCUMULATING SNOW AND
WIND ON THE FRONT END...FOLLOWED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL FOR MONDAY.

STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS FOR THE MOST UP-TO-DATE INFORMATION
ON THE WINTER STORM POTENTIAL.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE LAKE HURON NEARSHORE
WATERS FRIDAY. SEE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...BE SURE TO FORWARD SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

JPB