Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2008
Small Craft Advisory 83, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this small craft advisory at Sep 13, 2008, 3:41 PM EDT. It took effect at Sep 14, 2008, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 38 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 13, 2008, 3:41 PM EDT (19:41 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 14, 2008, 2:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 15, 2008, 3:40 PM EDT
- In force
- 38 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
141 WHUS73 KAPX 131941 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 341 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008 LSZ321-140400- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.080914T0600Z-080914T1400Z/ WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 341 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY. BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL SLACKEN FOR A PERIOD ON SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JZ
9 follow-up statements
110 WHUS73 KAPX 140145 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 945 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008 LSZ321-140945- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.080914T0600Z-080914T1400Z/ WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 945 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY. BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. WINDS WILL SLACKEN FOR A PERIOD ON SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JK
046 WHUS73 KAPX 140848 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 448 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 LHZ346-348-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-141700- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.080914T1900Z-080915T1500Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 448 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT MONDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST TODAY...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING TONIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET...OR LOCALLY HIGHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ345-347-LMZ323-342-344>346-141700- /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 448 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST TODAY...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET...OR LOCALLY HIGHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LSZ321-141700- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 448 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 KNOTS THROUGH TONIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
481 WHUS73 KAPX 141453 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1053 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 LHZ345-347-LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-142100- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 1053 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH HIGHER WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET EXPECTED SOUTH OF GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ346-348-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-142100- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.080914T1900Z-080915T1500Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1053 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT MONDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN NORTH TONIGHT...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 6 FEET...LOCALLY HIGHER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
623 WHUS73 KAPX 141945 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 345 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 LHZ345-347-LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-150300- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 345 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH HIGHER WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET EXPECTED SOUTH OF GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ346-348-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-150300- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 345 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN NORTH TONIGHT...WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
658 WHUS73 KAPX 150219 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1019 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 LHZ345-347-LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-151030- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 1019 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH HIGHER WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET EXPECTED SOUTH OF GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ346-348-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-151030- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1019 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET THROUGH THE NIGHT... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
315 WHUS73 KAPX 150331 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1131 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 LHZ347-151145- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0018.080915T0331Z-080915T1500Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- 1131 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ348-151145- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0018.080915T0331Z-080915T1500Z/ PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1131 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ345-LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-151145- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 1131 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH HIGHER WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET EXPECTED SOUTH OF GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ346-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-151145- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1131 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
552 WHUS73 KAPX 150852 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 452 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 LHZ347-348-151700- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T2100Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 452 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY EVENING. AT THE SAME TIME...CHOPPY WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ345-LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-151500- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 452 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY MIDDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...CHOPPY WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ346-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-151500- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 452 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY EVENING. AT THE SAME TIME...CHOPPY WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMD
171 WHUS73 KAPX 151445 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1045 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 LHZ346-LMZ341-LSZ322-151545- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY- 1045 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ LHZ345-LMZ323-342-344>346-LSZ321-151545- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T1500Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI- 1045 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ LHZ349-152100- /O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T2100Z/ STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 1045 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY EVENING. AT THE SAME TIME...CHOPPY WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ347-348-152100- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T2100Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1045 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. NORTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY EVENING. AT THE SAME TIME...CHOPPY WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
512 WHUS73 KAPX 151940 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 340 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 LHZ349-152045- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-080915T2100Z/ STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 340 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. $$ LHZ347-348-152045- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-080915T2100Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 340 PM EDT MON SEP 15 2008 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. $$ JZ
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 13, 3:30 PM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 13, 3:30 PM EDT, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 330 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008 .SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 330 PM/ AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...AND IT/S ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A GOOD DEAL OF RAINFALL TO THE AREA. PART OF REMNANTS OF IKE WILL CLIP NORTHERN MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY...WITH MORE RAIN AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. JZ/MPC && .SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 330 PM/...TONIGHT SURFACE LOW PASSING A LITTLE SOUTH OF LA CROSSE WI THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE NE-WARD...PASSING OVER GRB ON IT/S WAY TO EASTERN UPPER MI BY MIDNIGHT...AND NORTH OF GEORGIAN BAY BY MORNING. MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MI WILL BRIEFLY ENTER THE WARM SECTOR OF THE CYCLONE...BEFORE THE COLD FRONT GOES THRU OVERNIGHT. INITIAL AREA OF RAIN WORKING THRU NORTHERN MI NOW...ACTIVITY MUCH LESS WIDESPREAD BACK IN WI. BAND OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXTENDS FROM CHICAGOLAND INTO SOUTHERN LOWER. PRECIP TRENDS ARE THE OBVIOUS MAIN CONCERN FOR TONIGHT. FOR TONIGHT...RADAR AND MODEL TRENDS AGREE THAT MUCH OF THE WIDESPREAD/HEAVIER RAIN WILL BE OUT OF THE PICTURE BY 00Z/8PM THIS EVENING. FORCING FOR ASCENT WANES AS THE LOW LEVEL JET EASES SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA...AND WITH A TENDENCY FOR DRYING ABOVE 700MB. PLENTY OF MOISTURE BELOW THAT LEVEL...WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH GENERAL LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FROM THE PASSING LOW WILL LEAD TO CLOUDY SKIES...AND WIDESPREAD DRIZZLE OR VERY LIGHT RAIN...ALONG WITH FOG. THERE ARE TWO POSSIBLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS. WEAKENING SHORTWAVE EJECTING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS CONTRIBUTING TO SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS IN MN/WESTERN WI. EASTERN UPPER MI IS PROGGED TO GET GRAZED BY THE BETTER MID-LEVEL DYNAMICS LIFTING ACROSS SUPERIOR THIS EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MOISTURE AVAILABLE...IT WILL TAKE LITTLE FORCING TO SQUEEZE OUT PRECIP. THUS...BEST RAINS OF THIS EVENT FOR EASTERN UPPER WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING...MAINLY EARLY. THE OTHER POTENTIAL TROUBLE SPOT IS NEAR SAGINAW BAY. NAM PROGS THE ONGOING BAND OF HEAVY RAIN DOWNSTATE TO DUMP 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SAGINAW VALLEY. RADAR TRENDS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE NAM SOLUTION...SUGGESTING HEAVIER PRECIP WILL GET CLOSE TO THE FAR SE ZONES DURING THE EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT NOT QUITE MAKE IT TO GLADWIN/STANDISH/TAWAS. THIS WILL OBVIOUSLY BE CLOSELY WATCHED. FOR NOW...WILL HANG ONTO A CHANCE OF THUNDER ONLY IN THOSE FAR SE ZONES...AND WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST POPS DOWN THERE AS WELL. COLD ADVECTION WILL GET GOING LATE TONIGHT...BUT NOT SOON OR STRONG ENOUGH TO SHARPLY LOWER TEMPS AT THE END OF AN OTHERWISE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MUGGY NIGHT. MIN TEMPS MAINLY MID 50S TO AROUND 60. JZ && .LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 330 PM/...SUNDAY ONWARD SUN THRU TUE...MAIN FCST CONCERN OBVIOUSLY CENTERED ON IKES REMNANTS SUN AFTN/NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY TEMPS/POSSIBLE FROST CONCERNS HEADING INTO MON NIGHT. AFTER COMING ONSHORE VERY EARLY THIS MORNING...IKE NOW RAPIDLY ON THE MOVE NORTHWARD...BEING STEERED AROUND EXPANSIVE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS DRAPED OVER THE SOUTHEAST...AND ACCELERATED BY SHORTWAVE RAPIDLY DIGGING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ON THE HEELS OF 70+ KNOT JETLET. 12Z GUIDANCE REMAINS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH REGARD TO IKE BECOMING RAPIDLY EXTRATROPICAL/ABSORBED INTO ELONGATED FRONTAL ZONE LATE TONIGHT...ALL THE WHILE FURTHER ACCELERATING NORTH/NORTHEAST TOWARD LAKE ERIE BY 00Z MONDAY AS REMNANT ENERGY PHASES WITH INCOMING UPR MIDWEST SHORTWAVE. THIS TRACK PLACES IMPRESSIVE 700-500MB DEFORMATION AXIS/DEEP LAYER FGEN BANDING ACRS MAINLY THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF THE CWA...LIKELY ENHANCED GIVEN STRONG 850MB CONVERGENCE IN A DOWNRIGHT TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT (PWATS PUSHING 2+ INCHES JUST SOUTH OF THE CWA)...AND ALSO AIDED BY STRONGLY DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT PER PLACEMENT OF 120+ KNOT JET ENTRANCE REGION OVERHEAD. END RESULT SHOULD BE A SUBSTANTIAL RAIN ACRS THE SOUTHEAST CWA...TAPERING RAPIDLY TO THE NORTH AND WEST PER LOCATION ON THE DOWNWARD BRANCH OF FGEN CIRCULATION. IN FACT...WOULD NOT ENTIRELY BE SURPRISED TO SEE FAR NORTHWEST LOWER AND MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER AVOID ANY MEASURABLE PRECIP GIVEN STRONGLY SUBSIDENT REGIME JUST OUTSIDE BEST FORCING...THOUGH GIVEN PUSH OF QG SUPPORT BY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING (AS THE UPR TROUGH SWINGS THRU THE REGION)...CERTAINLY CANNOT CALL IT DRY AT THIS POINT. RAPID IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED INTO MONDAY WITH ONSET OF ISENTROPIC DOWNGLIDE/LOW-MID LEVEL DRYING. FAIRLY STRONG COLD ADVECTION INTO THE AFTN OF INTEREST FOR POSSIBLE LAKE PROCESSES (H85 TEMPS TAKE A DIP TOWARD 2C/925MB TEMPS ABOUT 4C)...THOUGH INCREASINGLY ANTICYCLONIC FLOW REGIME INTO THE LATE AFTN AND CONTINUATION OF STRONG DRY AIR ADVECTION MAY JUST PRECLUDE MUCH IN WAY OF ANYTHING...THOUGH WILL PROBABLY BE AT LEAST SOME DIURNALLY DRIVEN STRATOCU FOR INLAND AREAS WITH STRONG THERMAL TROUGHING OVERHEAD. COLD ADVECTION SHOULD AID IN HOLDING AFTN TEMPS INTO THE 50S-MID 60S...WHICH THEN SETS UP POTENTIAL COLD TEMPS HEADING INTO MON NIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE REGION. CURIOUS TO NOTE GUIDANCE NUMBERS ALREADY DIPPING INTO THE 20S FOR THE USUAL COLD SPOTS...SO CERTAINLY SOME POTENTIAL FOR VERY COLD READINGS INLAND LOCATIONS...BUT LESS THAN IDEAL PLACEMENT OF SFC RIDGE ACRS THE MIDWEST AND POTENTIAL FOR TIGHTENING GRADIENT THRU THE NIGHT PRECLUDE SIGNIFICANTLY LOWERING NUMBERS AT THIS POINT. LATER PERIODS (TUE NIGHT THRU SAT)...MAINLY DRY PERIOD OF WX STILL APPEARS ON TRACK THRU THE EXTENDED...AS LOW/MID LEVEL RIDGING SLOWLY BUILD EAST OUT OF THE PLAINS/MIDWEST WITH A RETURN TO TROUGHING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...GUIDANCE STILL STRUGGLING QUITE A BIT WITH A FEW SPECIFICS...NAMELY THE DEGREE OF TROUGHING ACROSS THE PAC NORTHWEST...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A LINGERING WEAKNESS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS THRU MIDWEEK. THE ECMWF IS BY FAR THE MOST AMPLIFIED SOLUTION ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS...BREAKING CONTINUITY AND CLOSING OFF A RATHER DEEP CYCLONE OVER THE GREAT BASIN...WHILE THE UKMET/GFS/GEFS MEAN HOLD ONTO A MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT WEAKNESS ACRS THE EAST...EFFECTIVELY FLATTENING AND SLOWING THE APPROACH OF THE WESTERN RIDGE AND ALLOWING FOR A MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED MID/UPR LEVEL HEIGHT FIELD OVER EASTERN CANADA/NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THANKFULLY...FROM A SENSIBLE WEATHER PERSPECTIVE...LITTLE WOULD CHANGE WITH EITHER SOLUTION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TEMPS...AS OVERALL LOW LEVEL RIDGING/DRYING HOLDS FIRM THROUGHOUT THE REGION. THAT SAID...SHOULD THE MORE AMPLIFIED SOLUTION OVER THE EAST COME TO PASS...ENTIRELY POSSIBLE A FEW SHOWERS COULD SNEAK INTO THE PICTURE THU/FRI TIMEFRAME AS SOUTHWARD DISPLACED POLAR VORTEX SHUNTS A SFC BOUNDARY THRU THE REGION. GIVEN PLENTY OF DISCREPANCIES...AND AN OVERALL LACK OF MOISTURE...WILL SIMPLY KEEP THINGS DRY AT THIS JUNCTURE. LAWRENCE && .MARINE.../ISSUED AT 330 PM/ BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONGER N TO NW WINDS WILL FOLLOW A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR WHITEFISH BAY ONLY. LAKE MI COAST OF NW LOWER WILL BE CLOSE...BUT PROBABLY COME UP A LITTLE SHORT. THE REMNANTS OF IKE WILL MOVE INTO THE SE LAKES LATE SUNDAY. WINDS SHOULD VEER NORTH/NORTHEAST SUNDAY...AND INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE ESPECIALLY ON LAKE HURON. JZ/DL && .AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 131 PM/...VALID FOR 18Z TAFS LESS THAN IDEAL FLYING CONDITIONS THRU THE FORECAST. SURFACE LOW IN NE IOWA WILL MOVE TO NEAR GREEN BAY WI THIS EVENING...AND ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MI TONIGHT. PREVAILING IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT TRIES TO WORK INTO THE REGION...WITH ATTENDANT RAIN/FOG/LOW CIGS. THE WIDESPREAD RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL EVENTUALLY GIVE WAY TO DRIZZLE TONIGHT. SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING...AS NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW GRADUALLY LIFT CIGS AND VSBYS. JZ && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...NONE. LM...NONE. LH...NONE. LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR LSZ321. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 13, 3:27 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 327 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042- 141100- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 327 PM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING NEAR SAGINAW BAY. THESE STORMS WILL NOT BE SEVERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ON NORTHERN MICHIGAN NEARSHORE WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. JZ
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2008Every small craft advisory in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.