Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 15, 20084 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2008, 8:27 PM EDT for 4 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 15, 2008, 8:27 PM EDT (00:27 UTC)
Expired: Jul 15, 2008, 9:15 PM EDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Gaylord, MI
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Crawford County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1160 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1159 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.9
Supercell composite: 5.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 7:30 PM EDT, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 7:30 PM EDT, 57 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 4:07 PM EDT, 4 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
407 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
161200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
407 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH
THIS EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60
MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

THERE IS AN ADDITIONAL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THERE IS AN ADDITIONAL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...PLEASE RELAY ANY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN GAYLORD.

KAS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
611 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HILLMAN                 45.07N 83.90W
07/15/2008                   MONTMORENCY        MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE LARGE TREE AND A NUMBER OF LARGE BRANCHES DOWNED.

&&

JZ

Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:34 PM EDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
634 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             5 N HALE                44.46N 83.81W
07/15/2008  M0.75 INCH       IOSCO              MI   PUBLIC

            HAIL COVERED GROUND AT WICKER HILLS GOLF COURSE.

&&

JZ

Local storm report, Jul 15, 7:09 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
709 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 PM     HAIL             TAWAS CITY              44.27N 83.52W
07/15/2008  E1.00 INCH       IOSCO              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KAS

Local storm report, Jul 15, 7:30 PM EDT, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
730 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     HAIL             3 SE ELMIRA             45.04N 84.81W
07/15/2008  M0.25 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. MANY SMALL BRANCHES DOWNED.

0355 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 W GAYLORD             45.03N 84.82W
07/15/2008  E60.00 MPH       OTSEGO             MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 SW GAYLORD            44.95N 84.79W
07/15/2008                   OTSEGO             MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREES DOWNED ALONG HAYES TOWER ROAD...2 MILES NORTH OF
            MANCELONA ROAD.

0401 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N GAYLORD             45.05N 84.67W
07/15/2008                   OTSEGO             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWNED NEAR OTSEGO MEMORIAL HOSPITAL.

0402 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 WNW GAYLORD           45.07N 84.79W
07/15/2008                   OTSEGO             MI   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWNED...ONE ACROSS M-32.

0404 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SSW GAYLORD           44.97N 84.71W
07/15/2008                   OTSEGO             MI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MANY 10 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER INCH TREE LIMBS DOWNED ALONG
            WEST SHORE OF OTSEGO LAKE...ONE ONTO A HOME NEAR BEAVER
            CREEK RESORT.

0405 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 SSW GAYLORD           44.91N 84.74W
07/15/2008  E50.00 MPH       OTSEGO             MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            AT NWS OFFICE.

0417 PM     HAIL             ROGERS CITY             45.42N 83.81W
07/15/2008  M0.50 INCH       PRESQUE ISLE       MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0427 PM     TSTM WND GST     ATLANTA                 45.00N 84.15W
07/15/2008  E60.00 MPH       MONTMORENCY        MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL.

0427 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ATLANTA                 45.00N 84.15W
07/15/2008                   MONTMORENCY        MI   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWNED.

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E ATLANTA             45.00N 84.13W
07/15/2008                   MONTMORENCY        MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWNED.

0433 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S ATLANTA             44.97N 84.15W
07/15/2008  E50.00 MPH       MONTMORENCY        MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0436 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S ATLANTA             44.97N 84.15W
07/15/2008                   MONTMORENCY        MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE DOWNED ONTO SPOTTERS HOME.

0440 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 S LOVELLS             44.77N 84.47W
07/15/2008  E45.00 MPH       CRAWFORD           MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TABLE BLOWN OFF PATIO.

0448 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HILLMAN                 45.07N 83.90W
07/15/2008                   MONTMORENCY        MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE LARGE TREE AND A NUMBER OF LARGE BRANCHES DOWNED.

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COMINS                  44.80N 84.05W
07/15/2008                   OSCODA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWNED. PEA SIZED HAIL.

0516 PM     HAIL             2 E LUZERNE             44.62N 84.23W
07/15/2008  M0.50 INCH       OSCODA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0520 PM     HAIL             2 E LUZERNE             44.62N 84.23W
07/15/2008  M0.88 INCH       OSCODA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0520 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND OSSINEKE                44.91N 83.43W
07/15/2008  M38.00 MPH       ALPENA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0537 PM     HAIL             LUZERNE                 44.62N 84.27W
07/15/2008  M1.00 INCH       OSCODA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0540 PM     HAIL             2 E LUZERNE             44.62N 84.23W
07/15/2008  M1.00 INCH       OSCODA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0542 PM     HAIL             3 E LUZERNE             44.62N 84.21W
07/15/2008  M0.88 INCH       OSCODA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0618 PM     HAIL             5 N HALE                44.46N 83.81W
07/15/2008  M0.75 INCH       IOSCO              MI   PUBLIC

            HAIL COVERED GROUND AT WICKER HILLS GOLF COURSE.

0633 PM     HAIL             HALE                    44.38N 83.81W
07/15/2008  M0.75 INCH       IOSCO              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0654 PM     HAIL             TAWAS CITY              44.27N 83.52W
07/15/2008  E1.00 INCH       IOSCO              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JZ

Local storm report, Jul 15, 8:04 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
804 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0749 PM     HAIL             2 NNE LINCOLN           44.71N 83.40W
07/15/2008  M0.75 INCH       ALCONA             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JZ

Local storm report, Jul 15, 8:14 PM EDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
814 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0811 PM     HAIL             9 SSW GAYLORD           44.91N 84.74W
07/15/2008  M0.50 INCH       OTSEGO             MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LASTED FOR ABOUT A MINUTE. ALSO REPORTED BY GAYLORD NWS
            EMPLOYEE 8 S GAYLORD.

&&

JZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 15, 9:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Crawford, Ogemaw, Oscoda	42 min
Jul 15, 9:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda	45 min
Jul 16, 5:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Missaukee, Roscommon	40 min
Jul 16, 5:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Alcona, Iosco, Ogemaw, Oscoda	65 min
Jul 16, 5:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Gladwin, Ogemaw, Roscommon	35 min
Jul 16, 6:22 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	APX	Ogemaw	3 hr
Jul 16, 6:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	APX	Gladwin	53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.