River Flood Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI

000 
WGUS43 KAPX 010251 CCA
FLWAPX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1050 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.RAINFALL OF ONE TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES DURING THE DAY MONDAY...COMBINED
WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVERNIGHT...IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THE RIFLE RIVER
OUT OF ITS BANKS AROUND TUESDAY MIDDAY.  FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE RIVER LEVELS BEGIN TO RECEDE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREAS SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT PROPERTY 
FROM RISING WATER LEVELS. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...MOVE QUICKLY TO 
HIGHER GROUND.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION TUESDAY MORNING...OR AS NEW 
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-011450-
/O.COR.KAPX.FL.W.0002.080401T1600Z-080404T0051Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T1600Z.080402T1800Z.080403T1851Z.NO/
1050 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:39 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 7.9 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.

&&
                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       TUE     WED     THU

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    5.2  MON 11 PM       7.2     7.3     5.0

$$

JPB

000
WGUS83 KAPX 011028
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
628 AM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING
DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT RAINFALL.  THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY
JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE
UNTIL CRESTING DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION LATER THIS MORNING AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-012228-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.080401T1024Z-080404T0051Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T1800Z.080403T1851Z.NO/
628 AM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:22 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.9 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.

&&                 
		   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.2  TUE 06 AM       7.2     7.3     5.0

$$

JPB

000
WGUS83 KAPX 011419
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1019 AM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING
DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT RAINFALL.  THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY
JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE
UNTIL CRESTING DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

MIC011-020219-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2100Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T1200Z.080403T1500Z.NO/
1019 AM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:22 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.2  TUE 06 AM       7.7     7.2     4.6


$$
JK

000
WGUS83 KAPX 011951
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
351 PM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING
DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT RAINFALL.  THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY
JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE
UNTIL CRESTING DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AS NEW NFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-020751-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2100Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T1200Z.080403T1500Z.NO/
351 PM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.1 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.0  TUE 12 PM       7.7     7.2     4.6


$$
JK

000
WGUS83 KAPX 020244
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1044 PM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING
DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT RAINFALL.  THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY
JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE
UNTIL CRESTING DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...INSERT TIME HERE...AS NEW 
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-021444-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2230Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T1200Z.080403T1630Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.4 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.

$$



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.1  TUE 04 PM       7.4     4.6     4.4


$$

000
WGUS83 KAPX 020247 CCA
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1044 PM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.WATER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING
DUE TO RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT RAINFALL.  THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY
JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE
UNTIL CRESTING DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-021444-
/O.COR.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2230Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T1200Z.080403T1630Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT TUE APR 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.4 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.




&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       WED     THU     FRI

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    7.1  TUE 04 PM       7.4     4.6     4.4


$$

MPC

000
WGUS83 KAPX 021943
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
342 PM EDT WED APR 02 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.THE RIFLE RIVER AT STERLING CRESTED ON WEDNESDAY AND IS NOW SLOWLY RECEDING.  IT IS STILL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...BUT SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON THURSDAY. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-030742-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2034Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T0815Z.080403T1434Z.NO/
342 PM EDT WED APR 02 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.8  WED 12 PM       6.9     4.8     5.0


$$
JK

000
WGUS83 KAPX 021945
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
345 PM EDT WED APR 02 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.THE RIFLE RIVER AT STERLING CRESTED ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
IS NOW RECEDING.  IT IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON
THURSDAY.  

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS SITUATION...AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-030745-
/O.CON.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2034Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T0815Z.080403T1434Z.NO/
345 PM EDT WED APR 02 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF CAMPGROUND AT WHITES 
  CANOE LIVERY.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.8  WED 12 PM       6.9     4.8     5.0

$$

000
WGUS83 KAPX 030231
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1031 PM EDT WED APR 02 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.THE RIFLE RIVER AT STERLING CRESTED ON WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
IS NOW RECEDING.  IT IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON
THURSDAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION...AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.


MIC011-031016-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T1016Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T0815Z.080403T0416Z.NO/
1031 PM EDT WED APR 02 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOW INTO CAMPGROUNDS AT WHITES CANOE LIVERY
  BEGINS.



&&


                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       THU     FRI     SAT

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.4  WED 10 PM       5.0     5.0     5.0



$$

000
WGUS83 KAPX 030816
FLSAPX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
416 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING CONTINUES A SLOW FALL THIS MORNING
THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER TODAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AROUND MIDDAY...OR AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

MIC011-032016-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080404T0051Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T0815Z.080403T0948Z.NO/
416 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR

  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 3:08 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATER TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOW INTO CAMPGROUNDS AT WHITES CANOE LIVERY
  BEGINS.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.5  THU 03 AM       5.0     5.0     5.0

$$

JPB

000
WGUS83 KAPX 031418
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1018 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING CONTINUES TO FALL THIS MORNING
THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

SAFETY MESSAGE...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE 
LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOODING SITUATION.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD WILL ISSUE ANOTHER STATEMENT 
ON THIS SITUATION BY LATE AFTERNOON...OR AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.


MIC011-032145-
/O.EXT.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2145Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T0815Z.080403T1545Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:12 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.15 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOW INTO CAMPGROUNDS AT WHITES CANOE LIVERY
  BEGINS.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    6.2  THU 10 AM       4.9     4.7     4.7

$$

000
WGUS83 KAPX 031708
FLSAPX


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
108 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MICHIGAN...

  RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING AFFECTING ARENAC COUNTY

.RIVER LEVELS ON THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING HAVE FALLEN BELOW
FLOOD STAGE. NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

MIC011-031738-
/O.CAN.KAPX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080403T2145Z/
/STRM4.1.ER.080401T0805Z.080402T0815Z.080403T1551Z.NO/
108 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING.
* AT  1:05 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:50 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.8 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOW INTO CAMPGROUNDS AT WHITES CANOE LIVERY
  BEGINS.

&&

                   FLD      OBSERVED               FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION           STG    STG  DAY  TIME       FRI     SAT     SUN

RIFLE RIVER
  STERLING           6    5.9  THU 01 PM       4.9     4.7     4.7

$$

JZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
938 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2008

.UPDATE...AM IN THE PROCESS OF TAKING SOME OF THE THUNDER OUT OF
THE FORECAST, AS THE MIDLEVEL DRY SLOT LOOKS TO BE MOVING INTO THE
REGION PUTTING A CAP ON THE THUNDER AND MOST OF THE RAIN. NORTH OF
THE WARM FRONT THE F-GEN LOOKS TO BE GENERATING MORE RAIN, SNOW
AND SLEET IN C AND E UPPER. THERE IS EVEN SOME THUNDER NORTH OF
THE FRONT. SO HAVE UPDATED THE ZONES TO TAKE SOME OF THE THUNDER
OUT, BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THAT THE THUNDER NEEDS TO BE TAKEN OUT OF
THE FORECAST FOR AN AREA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM TVC TO APN AT THE
LEAST. WILL PROBABLY HAVE ANOTHER UPDATE OUT SOON.

LUTZ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 436 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2008/

SYNOPSIS...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL LOWER
MICHIGAN TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION RESULTING IN POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW. THIS STORM
SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION TUESDAY WHILE COLD AIR AND STRONG
WINDS PLOW INTO ALL OF MICHIGAN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SETTLE
IN WEDNESDAY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.

DISCUSSION...SFC/RUC/SATELLITE/RADAR AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS
SHOWING SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING OUT OF THE ROCKIES WHILE SFC LOW
PRESSURE IS DEEPENING OVER NRN MO/SRN IOWA AS IT CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTHEAST. STORMS HAVE FIRED ALONG THE COLD FRONT WHICH WAS DRAPED
FROM THE LOW...TO MO/AR/OK. THIS IS SEEMINGLY ROBBING US OF SOME OF
THE DEEPEST MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN VERY
SLOW TO CLIMB...AS WARM FRONT REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF US...AND AN
EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE LAKE HAS KEPT READINGS IN THE 30S. INITIAL
SHORTWAVE WORKING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND WAS RESULTING
IN EXPANDING RAIN SHIELD SPREADING INTO NRN MICHIGAN.

TONIGHT...SFC OW WILL WORK INTO CENTRAL LOWER TONIGHT AND
STRONGEST H7-H5 -DIVQ SPREADS IN ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN WITH A
SECOND AREA ACROSS SRN LOWER THIS EVENING. THIS FORCING COMBINED
WITH H3-H2 UPPER DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG UPPER JET OF
120KTS AND STRONG AND DEEP FGEN RESPONSE SUGGESTIVE OF ENHANCED
BANDED PRECIPITATION. MODEL CROSS SECTIONS SHOW THE STRONG SLOPED
FRONTAL SURFACE WITH -EPV AND BULLSEYE OF LIFT CENTERED OVER PLN.
AREA TAMDAR SOUNDINGS ARE SUPPORTING NAM/GFS SOUNDINGS OF MAINLY A
SNOW EVENT ACROSS CHIPPEWA COUNTY...MIXED SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS
MAINLY MACKINAC COUNTY...AND ALL RAIN FOR PRETTY MUCH ALL OF NRN
LOWER MICHIGAN. THERE IS A +1.5C SWATCH OF AIR THROUGH 3KFT ACROSS
CIU...BUT WITH A BIT OF DRY AIR BELOW THIS (CIGS 6KFT)...EVAP
COOLING SHOULD ALLOW ANY ONSET OF RAIN...TO SWITCH OVER TO SNOW
RATHER QUICKLY. THIS ESPECIALLY TRUE IN THE PRESENCE OF SUCH
STRONG VERTICAL MOTIONS THAT ARE EXPECTED. OVERALL...STILL SEE
POTENTIALLY 10 INCHES OF SNOW NEAR PARADISE TAPERING OFF RATHER
QUICKLY TO MAYBE A COUPLE OF INCHES NEARER TO DRUMMOND ISLAND.
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY COULD ALLOW FOR SNOW TO MIX IN WITH RAIN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR NRN LOWER...BUT AGAIN...MAINLY RAIN
EXPECTED. FINALLY...LOOK FOR STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS WHITEFISH BAY AS LOW PASSES EAST AND COLD AIR STARTS TO
WORK INTO FAR WESTERN CHIP/MACK. COULD SEE GUSTS TO 35 MPH DEVELOP
LATE...AND QUITE POSSIBLY ACROSS WHITEFISH BAY THIS EVENING TOO. THE
STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER ALL OF NRN MICHIGAN TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY RISE OVERNIGHT IN AREAS SOUTH OF M-32
AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THIS AREA. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT
GUSTY WINDS COULD DEVELOP NEAR THE BAY...BUT GOING INTO NIGHT
TIME...DO NOT SEE WHERE DEEP ENOUGH MIXING COULD MAKE THIS A
FACTOR. WILL HAVE READINGS RISING INTO THE MIDDLE 40S FOR THESE
AREAS...WHILE TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEARLY STEADY IN THE 30S OR
SLOWLY FALL (EASTERN UPPER). SMD

TUESDAY...THE STORM SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED BETWEEN SAGINAW BAY AND
ALPENA ALONG THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE AT 12Z...EXITING QUICKLY TO
THE NORTHEAST OF LAKE HURON DURING THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL LIFT
TUESDAY...WILL BE FROM A 500MB TROUGH SWEEPING OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION DURING THE DAY. THIS TROUGH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF
LAKE HURON BY THE AFTERNOON. 850-700MB FRONTOGENESIS SHOWS THE BEST
LIFT WITH THE EXITING SFC LOW...TO REMAIN OVER THE STRAITS AND EAST
UPPER MICHIGAN...MAINLY INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING BY EVENING.
MODEL SOUNDINGS FROM THE STRAITS NORTH...SHOW ABUNDANT MSTR FROM THE
SFC THROUGH 500MB...WITH AN ENTIRE SOUNDING BELOW FREEZING. QPF
FORECAST WOULD SUGGEST ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE REGION
INTO THE AFTERNOON...THEREFORE WILL LEAVE WINTER STORM WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR EAST UPPER. FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LOCATIONS WEST OF
I-75...SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME MIX POSSIBLE FIRST THING IN THE MORNING
QUICKLY BECOMING SNOW...THEN POSSIBLE DRIZZLE IN THE AFTERNOON AS
MID AND UPPER LVL MSTR STRIPS OUT. FOR THE REST OF NRN LOWER
MICHIGAN...850MB WET BULBS WILL BE ABOVE ZERO IN THE MORNING
DROPPING BELOW ZERO IN THE AFTERNOON. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE A
CHANCE OF RAIN/DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING...BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT SNOW
IN THE AFTERNOON. WILL HAVE GALE WARNINGS OVER NRN MICHIGAN
NEARSHORES IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AS WIND GUSTS
BEHIND THE EXITING FRONT INCREASE TO BTW 35 AND 40KTS. WILL
CONTINUE GALE WARNINGS INTO THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE WINDS
DIMINISH WITH INCREASE HIGH PRESSURE. THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO
RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS EASTERN UPPER THAT
COULD POTENTIALLY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

TUESDAY NIGHT...A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO
THE WRN LAKES FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST EARLY TUESDAY EVENING...
ACCOMPANIED BY 500MB ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. MODEL SOUNDINGS AND MSTR
PROGS SHOWING DRYING CONDS MOVING OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
QUICKLY DURING THE EVENING...DROPPING TO AROUND 30 PCT BETWEEN
850-500 AROUND 00Z WED. OVERALL WILL MAINTAIN THE DRY CONDITIONS
OVER THE FORECAST. HOWEVER WILL MENTION SOME EARLY EVENING LAKE
INDUCED SNOW SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EAST UPPER
MICHIGAN. 850 MB TEMPS ARE PROGGED AROUND -12C...WITH NRN LAKE MI
WATER TEMPS NEAR +1C. 925-850 MB WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST
WITH 900-700 MB RH ARND 80 PCT...QUICKLY DRYING TO UNDER 30 PCT BY
06Z. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW AN INVERSION HEIGHT AROUND 5K FT AROUND
00Z...QUICKLY DIMINISHING TO UNDER 3500FT BY 06Z. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE UNDER ONE INCH...AS LW LVL MSTR DOES NOT EXTEND UP MUCH PASS
-11C DURING THIS PERIOD AND MODELS SHOW DRY AIR QUICKLY MOVING BACK
IN.

WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS PROGGED
TO MOVE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WEDNESDAY MORNING...BECOMING CENTERED
OVER THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON. THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST
ONTO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY 12Z THURSDAY...HOWEVER SFC RIDGING IS
FORECAST TO LINGER OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THURSDAY. AT
UPPER LEVELS 500 MB...APPEARS TO BE ZONAL THRU THE PERIOD WITH A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH SLIDING INTO THE WRN LAKES REGION THURSDAY
MORNING. OVERALL WILL CONTINUE WITH DRY CONDS WED AND WED NIGHT.
HIGH TEMPERATURES...WITH AT LEAST PARTIAL SUNSHINE AND 850 MB TEMPS
RUNNING AROUND -4C...WOULD SUGGEST HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM AROUND 40
OVER EAST UPPER MICHIGAN TO THE MID 40S OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. WILL MENTION OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING BACK TO
NEARLY NORMAL IN THE MID 20S...AS SKIES SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY CLEAR
OVERNIGHT.

THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING STILL THE DOMINATE FEATURE OVER THE
GREAT LAKES THRU MUCH OF THE PERIOD...WHILE THE UPPER LEVELS REMAIN
FAIRLY ZONAL THRU THE AFTN. OVERALL WILL MENTION PARTLY SUNNY SKIES
AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS SHOULD ONCE
AGAIN BE IN THE MID 40S WITH 850 MB TEMPS AROUND -3C AND SOME
SUN...AND POSSIBLY LESS SNOW COVER. WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF A
CHANCE OF PCPN OVER THE SOUTHEAST CWA THURSDAY NIGHT AS A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVES OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND WRN LAKES REGION. THIS WILL
COMBINE WITH A STORM SYSTEM PROGGED TO MOVE ONCE AGAIN INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY. WILL MENTION THIS PCPN AS MAINLY SNOW AS OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL
INTO THE MID 20S...ALONG WITH BEING WELL NORTH OF THE OHIO VALLEY
STORM SYSTEM.

FRIDAY THRU MONDAY...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN SHOWING NEARLY ZONAL FLOW
ACRS THE UPPER LAKES FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. PATTERN AT THE SFC A
LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED AND NON-DISTINCT...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE REGION THRU SATURDAY WHILE A STORM SYSTEM REMAINS OVER
HUDSON BAY. 850MB TEMP PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME...GENERALLY HANGING
AROUND -3C TO -4C WHICH SHOULD GENERATE TEMPS IN THE MID 40S ACROSS
MUCH OF NRN LOWER WITH LOWER 40S OVER EAST UPPER. THE SRN PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD BEGIN WARMING QUITE EFFICIENTLY THIS
WEEKEND AS SNOW LINE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH. WILL MENTION A
CHANCE OF PCPN SUNDAY...AS UPPER TROUGH STRENGTHENS OVER THE UPPER
LAKES...FROM A LOW CENTERED OVER HUDSON BAY. THE SFC RESPONSE IS A
WEAK BOUNDARY PROGGED TO MOVE OVER THE STATE SUNDAY...WITH HIGH
PRESSURE PROGGED TO MOVE BACK OVER THE STATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST AREA DRY MONDAY WITH THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER THE WRN LAKES...WILL MENTION WARMER HIGHS
FOR THE SRN CWA DUE TO LACK OF SNOW BY THAT TIME AND POTENTIAL FOR
SUN.

SWR

AVIATION...

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR MIZ008-015.

LM...GALE WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR LMZ323-341-342-
     344>346.

LH...GALE WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR LHZ345>349.

LS...GALE WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR LSZ322.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR LSZ321.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
345 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
011000-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
345 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...HEAVY AT TIMES...AND STRONG WINDS...WILL
OCCUR IN MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. SEE ONGOING WARNING FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
TONIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH SNOW MELT MAY RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER
ON AREA ROADWAYS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN...MAINLY SOUTH OF M-32. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

AREAS OF FOG WILL PERSIST ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH
TONIGHT. FOG MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT ON WHITEFISH BAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN TUESDAY. SEE ONGOING WARNING FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN TUESDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON WHITEFISH BAY..AS WELL AS ON
LAKES MICHIGAN AND HURON.

RUNOFF FROM EXPECTED RAINFALL AND SNOW MELT COULD PUSH SOME RIVERS
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OUT OF THEIR BANKS LATER THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...PLEASE RELAY RAIN...SNOW AND WIND REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SMD