Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2008

Gale Warning 37, NWS Gaylord, MI

December 21, 2008

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this gale warning at Dec 21, 2008, 4:40 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 21, 2008, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 25 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 21, 2008, 4:40 AM EST (09:40 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 21, 2008, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 22, 2008, 10:45 AM EST
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

588 
WHUS73 KAPX 210940
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

LMZ346-211700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.UP.W.0002.081221T1800Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0008.081222T0000Z-081222T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0037.081221T1500Z-081222T1600Z/
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 AM EST
MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 AM EST
MONDAY. A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

LMZ342-344-345-211700-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0008.081222T0000Z-081222T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0037.081222T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST
MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ323-211700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0037.081222T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST
MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ341-211700-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.081222T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ322-211700-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ347>349-211700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0008.081222T0000Z-081222T2200Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ321-211700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
440 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
044 
WHUS73 KAPX 211601
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1101 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

LMZ346-220015-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.UP.W.0002.081221T1800Z-081222T1600Z/
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1101 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY. A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

LMZ323-342-344-345-220015-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.081222T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
1101 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-220015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1101 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ341-220015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.081222T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1101 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
145 
WHUS73 KAPX 212102
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
402 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

LMZ342-344-345-220400-
/O.EXA.KAPX.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.081222T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
402 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ347-348-220400-
/O.EXA.KAPX.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
402 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ346-220400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
402 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

LMZ323-220400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.081222T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
402 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LSZ321-322-220400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
402 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ341-220400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.081222T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
402 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
666 
WHUS73 KAPX 220332
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1032 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

LHZ347-348-221145-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1032 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY. A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ342-344>346-221145-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1032 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
MONDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ323-221145-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1032 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LSZ321-322-221145-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1032 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ341-221145-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1032 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
592 
WHUS73 KAPX 220927
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
427 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

LHZ347-348-LMZ342-344>346-221600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
427 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THIS MORNING...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THIS MORNING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
THIS MORNING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ323-221600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
427 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LSZ321-322-221600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
427 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ341-221600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
427 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
233 
WHUS73 KAPX 221545
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

LHZ347-348-LMZ342-344>346-222200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.CAN.KAPX.UP.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081223T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1045 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WARNING
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...WITH WAVES OF 3 TO 6 FEET EXPECTED.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ323-222200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081223T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1045 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...WITH WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ322-221645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1045 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ341-221645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0127.000000T0000Z-081222T1600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1045 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ349-LSZ321-222200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0126.000000T0000Z-081223T0400Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1045 AM EST MON DEC 22 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...WITH WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET EXPECTED.

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 21, 4:05 AM EST, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 21, 4:05 AM EST, 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
405 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 405 AM/

LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER LAKE HURON TODAY...AND HEAD EAST
OF THE REGION TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW THRU TONIGHT...
WITH WINDY CONDITIONS AND BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW BY TONIGHT. ANOTHER
PERIOD OF SNOW IS EXPECTED MID-WEEK...WITH WARMER THAN NORMAL WX
EXPECTED AFTER THAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 405 AM/...TODAY

WINTER TECHNICALLY BEGINS AT 704 AM...THOUGH IN NORTHERN MI IT/S
JUST A CASE OF THE CALENDAR FINALLY CATCHING UP TO REALITY. 1002MB
LOW ALONG WV/PA BORDER...WITH AN INVERTED TROF EXTENDING NW TO FAR
WESTERN SUPERIOR. A 1003MB LOW IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROF NEAR
LUDINGTON. SNOW HAS DEVELOPED NORTHWARD ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA (PARTS OF EASTERN UPPER EXCEPTED)...THOUGH WITH A BIT OF A
DIMINISHING TREND ENTERING CENTRAL LOWER MI FROM THE SOUTH. ONE
PROMINENT LAKE-ENHANCED BAND STRETCHED FROM THE STRAITS TO JUST OFF
OF ROGERS CITY.

EARLIER FORECAST THINKING IS STILL ON TARGET. LOW PRESSURE WILL
CONSOLIDATE OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON BY MIDDAY...WITH PRESSURES
LOWERING TO 995MB OR SO OVER GEORGIAN BAY TOWARD SUNSET. BEST
FORCING FOR ASCENT...AS PORTRAYED BY 700-500MB Q-VECTOR
CONVERGENCE...WILL BE THRU 12Z THRU MORNING. FORCING CONTINUES BUT
STEADILY WEAKENS FOR THE THE REST OF THE DAY.

ONGOING EAST FLOW LAKE ENHANCEMENT (MAINLY APN NORTHWARD) WILL BE
DISRUPTED BY 15Z AS WINDS GO LIGHT OVER HURON. BY 18Z...ENHANCEMENT
SHOULD BE UNDERWAY IN NW LOWER MI (MAINLY LEELANAU SOUTHWARD) AS THE
FLOW GOES NW OVER THERE. EASTERN UPPER MI SEES A NORTH/NNE FLOW
ESTABLISHED...SO NO REAL ENHANCEMENT UP THERE ONCE THE ESE FLOW ENDS
THIS MORNING. THERE IS A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF CYCLONIC CURVATURE AND
1000-850MB CONVERGENCE TODAY...THOUGH THAT DOES START TO RELAX NORTH
OF THE BRIDGE THIS AFTERNOON.

BEST SNOWFALL TODAY SHOULD IN THE LEELANAU/BENZIE/TVC AREA...WHERE
LAKE ENHANCEMENT AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL BE MAXIMIZED FOR THE
LONGEST PERIOD OF TIME. 4 TO 6 INCH ACCUMS EXPECTED THERE...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IF WELL-DEVELOPED BANDING OCCURS
THIS AFTERNOON. 3 TO 5 INCH ACCUMS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MOST OF THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR SE (HTL TO OSCODA AND
SOUTHWARD)...WHERE 1 TO 3 EXPECTED.

THIS MATCHES UP PRETTY WELL WITH ONGOING HEADLINES. MISSAUKEE CO IS
THE ONE THAT MOST CONCERNS ME...COULD SEE A DOMINANT BAND
POTENTIALLY PUNCH INTO THERE...ESPECIALLY BY THIS EVENING. BUT
CURRENT SNOWFALL FORECASTS THERE ARE JUST A BIT SHORT OF CRITERIA
THERE...AND WILL KEEP THEM IN AN ADVISORY.

SURFACE WINDS ARE GENERALLY PRETTY LIGHT THIS MORNING...EXCEPT ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE HURON COASTLINE...WHERE 20-30MPH GUSTS ARE OCCURRING.
WINDS WILL GET GOING ON THE LAKE MI COAST SOUTH OF SLEEPING BEAR AS
SOON AS MIDDAY...BUT WON/T REALLY EXPAND OUT OF THAT AREA UNTIL
DUSK. WILL ADJUST MENTION OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE GRIDS/TEXT PRODUCTS.

JZ

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 405 AM/...TONIGHT AND BEYOND

COLD NW FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY
MONDAY. LARGE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE THRU THE OHIO VALLEY
MONDAY...WITH CORRESPONDING RIDGING ALOFT OVERHEAD ON MONDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL GIVE US A RELATIVE QUIET PERIOD. BUT AMPLIFYING TROFFING
OUT WEST WILL OPEN UP THE GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE ARCTIC HIGH...AND
ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL START SURGING NORTH INTO OUR REGION AS SOON
AS TUESDAY. SNOW/WINDS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY ARE ONE CONCERN. THE
BEGINNING OF THE NEXT EVENT ON TUESDAY IS ANOTHER.

MODELS...VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS THRU MONDAY
NIGHT. DIFFERENCES ARE STARTING TO EMERGE UPSTREAM...ON PRECISELY
HOW PIECES OF ENERGY WILL START TO EJECT FROM THE MEAN TROF IN THE
WEST. WILL NOT GET TOO HUNG UP ON THOSE DIFFERENCES AT THIS
TIME...AS ALL SOLUTIONS STILL SUPPORT PRECIP HERE BY MIDWEEK.

TONIGHT...700-500MB Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE WILL FINALLY SLIDE OFF TO
THE EAST BY MIDNIGHT. WE WILL SEE A CORRESPONDING DECREASE IN DEEP
MOISTURE. HOWEVER...A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT...WITH A
NARROW BAND OF ENHANCED 850-700MB MOISTURE...700-500 Q-VECTOR
CONVERGENCE AND TOTAL DEFORMATION...BY 12Z. THUS WE WILL HAVE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY (850MB TEMPS -16/-17C) AND FORCING TO SUPPORT LAKE
EFFECT/ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS. EASTERN UPPER MI IS LARGELY OUT OF
THIS INITIALLY...BUT CYCLONIC CURVATURE FINALLY RELAXES AND BACKS
WINDS NW VERY LATE. THAT WILL PUSH SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE WEST HALF
OF CHIPPEWA COUNTY...THOUGH ONLY WITH 1-2 INCH LOCAL ACCUMS (UNLESS
INTERACTION WITH SOME SORT OF DRAINAGE FLOW BOUNDARY OCCURS...THOUGH
IT LOOKS AWFULLY WINDY FOR THAT).

THE MAIN ACTION SHOULD BE IN NORTHERN LOWER MI. THE PREVAILING WINDS
WILL BE FROM THE NNW...THOUGH BACKING NW VERY LATE. THUS PLACES WEST
OF M-66 WILL GET THE WORST OF IT...PARTICULARLY HIGHER TERRAIN
LOCALES. LOCAL 3-5 INCH ACCUMS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. EASTERN PRESQUE
ISLE AND NE ALPENA CO COULD SEE LOCALIZED 2 INCH ACCUMS ON THE
SHORTER NNW FETCH OVER THERE. IN BETWEEN...LESS THAN AN INCH
FORECAST.

GUSTS TO 30-40MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTLINES
TONIGHT...RELAXING A BIT TOWARD DAWN. A FEW GUSTS TO 30MPH POSSIBLE
INLAND. SO BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW WILL REMAIN AN ISSUE.

MIN TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR ZERO IN THE ST MARYS VALLEY...TO THE
MID TEENS ALONG THE NW LOWER MI COAST.

MONDAY...THAT LAST BAND OF FORCING/MOISTURE WILL WORK ITS WAY OUT OF
THE REGION IN THE MORNING. BY AFTERNOON...850-700MB RH LEVELS WILL
DROP OFF TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT. 1000-850MB WINDS WILL BACK WESTERLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE PASSES TO OUR SOUTH. WARM
ADVECTION WILL BOOST 850MB TEMPS TO -11C ON LAKE MI BY 00Z. LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE STILL BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD IN THE
MORNING IN THE USUAL NW FLOW SNOWBELTS...BUT WILL DIMINISH TO SCT IN
THE AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED 1-2 INCH ACCUMS NOT OUT OF THE REALM OF
POSSIBILITY IN THE SNOWBELTS (ESPECIALLY UP AROUND PARADISE)...BUT
MOST PLACES WILL SEE MUCH LESS. OUTSIDE OF SNOWBELTS...SOME PARTIAL
SUNSHINE SHOULD BE SEEN BY AFTERNOON. WILL BE A TOUCH ON THE BRISK
SIDE...ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING ALONG THE COASTS. MAX TEMPS TEENS
TO AROUND 20F.

MONDAY NIGHT...1000-850MB FLOW REMAINS ANTICYCLONIC AND BACKS SSW
WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SE. 850MB TEMPS RISE TO -10C ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY PRECIP TO LINGER INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. STRONGER ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO
WI OVERNIGHT...AS WARM/MOIST ADVECTION INCREASES. THERE IS A SMALL
CHANCE FOR SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW TO GET GOING NEAR LAKE MI BY
DAWN...THOUGH FOR THE MOST PART THIS SHOULD HOLD OFF TIL AFTER
12Z/7AM. WILL KEEP A SMALL CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE FAR WESTERN AREAS.
INCREASING CLOUDS AND SOUTH WINDS WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM FALLING TOO
FAR IN THE WEST. MINS WILL BE IN SINGLE DIGITS CENTRAL AND EAST...TO
MID TEENS WEST.

TUESDAY...SNOW REMAINS LIKELY AS THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT DEVELOPS
EASTWARD INTO MI. MAIN SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL ALIGN ALONG THE
NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY TO THE EASTERN LAKES. HIGHEST QPF WILL BE NORTH
OF THAT BOUNDARY...BUT PROBABLY SOUTH OF US. FOR NOW...A GENERAL 2
TO 4 INCH SNOWFALL LOOKS MOST LIKELY...BUT THAT COULD DEFINITELY
CHANGE. MAX TEMPS MAINLY AROUND 20 TO THE LOWER 20S.

LATER PERIODS...GENERAL CONSENSUS IS THAT SOME SORT OF LOW WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE TO OUR WEST...AND LIFT UP INTO THE
LAKES REGION WEDNESDAY. EXACTLY WHERE AND HOW STRONG IS MUCH TOO
EARLY TO TELL...WITH THE ECMWF STILL OFFERING A QUIET VIGOROUS
SOLUTION (AND MAYBE WORKING MIXED PRECIP INTO THE SE ZONES)...WITH
THE GFS AND ESPECIALLY THE NAM MUCH WEAKER. SO THE XMAS EVE FORECAST
STILL LOOKS LESS THAN GREAT...BUT HOW POOR IS STILL UP IN THE AIR. I
WOULD LEAN TOWARD THE ECMWF AT THIS TIME...WHICH WOULD MAKE FOR AN
INTERESTING DAY.

WEAK LAKE EFFECT COULD LINGER INTO EARLY XMAS MORNING...BUT AFTER
THAT PACIFIC AIR FINALLY FLOODS INTO THE REGION. MUCH MILDER WX IS
STORE BY FRIDAY...AND OUR NEXT PRECIP EVENT FRIDAY AND BEYOND WILL
BE A WINTRY MIX OR JUST OUTRIGHT RAIN.

JZ

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 405 AM/

GALE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE NW LOWER MI COASTLINE...AS LOW PRESSURE
WILL STRENGTHEN TODAY OVER LAKE HURON AND GEORGIAN BAY. CORE OF BEST
WINDS WILL SLIDE OFF TO THE SE...SO AT THIS TIME DO NOT EXPECT GALE
FORCE WINDS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN MI NEARSHORE WATERS. HOWEVER...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUED AND/OR HOISTED FOR THE REST OF
THE WATERS.

JZ

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1210 AM/...VALID FOR 06Z TAFS

LIGHT LAKE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IMPACTING FAR NE LWR MICHIGAN UNDER
THE DIRECTION OF E/SE FLOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS WIDESPREAD
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW DEVELOPS ACROSS NRN LWR MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT.
EXPECT CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO SOLID IFR OVERNIGHT AND
PERSIST THRU THROUGH SUNDAY. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY
WILL BE FOUND AT APN WHERE LAKE ENHANCEMENT IS MAXIMIZED UNDER E/SE
FLOW. CONCENTRATION OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL THEN SHIFT TO TVC
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE N/NW ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE SYSTEM.

RUNYAN

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     MIZ008-033>036-041-042.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR MIZ015>032.
LM...GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     LMZ323-342-344-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST MONDAY
     FOR LMZ341.
     GALE WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     LMZ346.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR LHZ345>349.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR LSZ321-322.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 20, 4:56 PM EST, 11 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
456 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
211100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
456 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. IN
ADDITION...A BAND OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL WILL SWING UP THROUGH NORTHERN
MICHIGAN TONIGHT BRINGING A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW TO MOST AREAS. SEE
ONGOING WINTER WEATHER WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY PRODUCING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW BY
SUNDAY NIGHT. SEE ONGOING WINTER WEATHER WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS...PLEASE PASS ON SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

ADAM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 21, 12:33 AM EST, 4 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1233 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1232 AM     SNOW             1 N WELLSTON            44.23N 85.95W
12/21/2008  M1.3 INCH        MANISTEE           MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            3 HR TOTAL THRU 1230 AM. SNOWDEPTH 16 INCHES.

&&

JZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 21, 4:40 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryAPX30 hr
Dec 21, 4:40 AM ESTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAPX30 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2008Every gale warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.