Gale Warning 25, NWS Gaylord, MI

000
WHUS73 KAPX 251017
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
617 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

LHZ346>349-251600-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0001.081026T1200Z-081027T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1500Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
617 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL REACH GALE FORCE OF 35
KNOTS SUNDAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL TURN
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-251600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
617 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT
GALES SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS
WILL VEER NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-251600-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0001.081026T1200Z-081027T1800Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
617 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT MAY REACH GALE FORCE OF
35 KNOTS SUNDAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL TURN
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS73 KAPX 251454
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1054 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-252300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1054 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT
GALES SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS
WILL VEER NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346>349-252300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1500Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1054 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL REACH GALE FORCE OF
35 KNOTS SUNDAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL TURN
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LSZ321-322-252300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0001.081026T1200Z-081027T1800Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1054 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT MAY REACH GALE FORCE OF
35 KNOTS SUNDAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL TURN
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS73 KAPX 252002
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
402 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

LSZ321-322-260415-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0001.081026T1200Z-081027T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1500Z-081027T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
402 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT MAY REACH GALE FORCE OF 35
KNOTS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS
WILL TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-260415-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
402 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT
GALES SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS
WILL VEER NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346>349-260415-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1500Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
402 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL REACH GALE FORCE OF
35 KNOTS SUNDAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL TURN
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS73 KAPX 260232
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1032 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-261045-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1032 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT
GALES SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS
WILL VEER NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346>349-LSZ321-322-261045-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1500Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1032 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL REACH GALE FORCE OF
35 KNOTS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY
DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS73 KAPX 260826
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
426 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-261500-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
426 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TO 35 KNOT
GALES TODAY. GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS WILL
VEER NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE
DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346>349-LSZ321-322-261500-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.081026T1500Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
426 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL REACH GALE FORCE OF
35 KNOTS LATE TODAY...WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. WINDS WILL TURN
NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS73 KAPX 261552
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1152 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-270000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1152 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TODAY...AND
WILL REACH 35 KNOT GALES THIS EVENING. GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE
POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL VEER NORTHWEST 
TONIGHT...AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346>349-LSZ321-322-270000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1152 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY AND WILL NEAR GALE FORCE OF 35 KNOTS TONIGHT WHILE VEERING
NORTHWEST. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

000
WHUS73 KAPX 261951
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
351 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-270400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
351 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
TONIGHT...REACHING 35 KNOT GALES AS THEY VEER NORTHWEST. GUSTS TO
40 KNOT GALES ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF NORWOOD. THESE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346>349-LSZ321-322-270400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
351 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL VEER NORTHWEST TONIGHT
AND INCREASE TO NEAR 35 KNOTS. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SMD

000
WHUS73 KAPX 270253
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1053 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

LHZ345-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-271000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1053 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
OVERNIGHT...REACHING 35 KNOT GALES AS THEY VEER NORTHWEST. GUSTS TO
40 KNOT GALES ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF NORWOOD. THESE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346>349-LSZ321-322-271000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1053 PM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

WEST WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL VEER NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT
AND INCREASE WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 35 KNOT GALES. THESE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ADAM

000
WHUS73 KAPX 270838
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
438 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2008

LSZ321-322-271645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0100.081027T0838Z-081027T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
438 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING BY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345-LMZ341-271645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0100.081027T0838Z-081027T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
438 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ346-271645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0100.081027T0838Z-081027T2100Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
438 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ323-342-344>346-271645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0100.081027T0838Z-081028T0900Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
438 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY
LATE AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...WAVES WILL REMAIN CHOPPY THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ347>349-271645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081027T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0100.081027T0838Z-081028T0900Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
438 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT...ALONG WITH CHOPPY SEAS ESPECIALLY BETWEEN THE STRAITS OF
MACKINAC AND THUNDER BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JPB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
123 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2008

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 349 PM/

LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE
GREAT LAKES. RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION OUT AHEAD OF THIS LOW
TONIGHT...WITH RAIN CHANCES LINGERING INTO SATURDAY. STRONG WEST
WINDS WILL THEN BRING SHARPLY COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION ON
SUNDAY...WITH LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY.

SMITH

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 913 PM/...TONIGHT

WAA LIGHT RAINS CONTINUE TO SWEEP NORTHWARD AND A FASTER CLIP THAN
EXPECTED. HENCE...MADE SOME TIMING ADJUSTMENTS TO GRAPHICAL
FORECAST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CHANNEL SLIPS FROM SC/SE LOWER...UP
THROUGH HTL TO APN THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND THINK BEST SHOTS OF
LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE WILL RESIDE THERE. COULD STILL BE SOME MINOR WX
GRID ADJUSTMENTS COMING THIS EVENING...AS A GENERIC CHANCE LIGHT
RAIN/DRIZZLE IS IN FOR EVERYONE BEHIND INITIAL BATCH OF WAA RAIN.

LATE TONIGHT...SECONDARY BATCH OF MOISTURE/RAIN FROM MAIN UPPER
CIRCULATION LIFTS INTO SRN LK MICHIGAN 08-12Z. STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES OF 7-7.5 C/KM COULD RESULT IN A LITTLE THUNDER FOR GTV
BAY REGION BY SUNUP. (THUNDER IS CURRENTLY OCCURRING OVER NRN IL).

SKIES WILL MAINLY BE CLOUDY FOR THE NIGHT...WITH JUST A FEW BRIEF
HOLES EXPECTED. TEMPS TO CHANGE LITTLE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS MAINLY
IN THE LOWER 40S. SMD

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 349 PM/...SATURDAY AND BEYOND

SATURDAY...UPPER WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF IA CLOSED LOW WILL
PUSH NE OF REGION BY MIDDAY. HOWEVER...AN ORGANIZED POCKET OF UPWARD
OMEGA AND CONFLUENT/FRONTOGENETIC MID LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH
WAVE WILL IMPACT REGION EARLY. SO...IN ADDITION TO SOME
PATCHY/SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS AREAWIDE DURING THE DAY...WILL
INCLUDE A HIGHER CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH MIDDAY FOR AREAS
ALONG/SOUTH OF M-32 CORRIDOR.

IN ADDITION...WITH 850 MB TEMPS HOVERING NEAR 0C...LAKE TEMPS OF
AROUND +12C...AND SW LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS NRN LAKE MICHIGAN...
WILL BUMP UP CHANCES FOR LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS OF
EXTREME NW LOWER AND CHIPPEWA COUNTY. MODEL SOUNDINGS IN THIS AREA
REVEAL PLENTY OF MOISTURE...STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND
NO INVERSION. WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER...HIGHS WILL HOLD IN THE
LOWER 50S.

SMITH

SATURDAY NIGHT...STRONG PACIFIC ENERGY...NOW MOVING INTO B.C. AND
ALBERTA...WILL DIG SE INTO THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH EXITING
THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND CROSS THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE NIGHT.
FORCING IN THE FORM OF UPPER DIVERGENCE WITHIN THE LEFT EXIT REGION
OF A 150KT JET STREAK...STRONG MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND
-DIVQ...AND A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT.  LIKE THE PREVIOUS FORECASTER
MENTIONED...NOT A SUBSTANTIAL TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WITH THE
FRONT...BUT PLENTY OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT COMBINED WITH LAKE
ENHANCEMENT AS WINDS SHIFT AROUND TO THE WEST POST-FRONTAL WILL MEAN
AN INCREASE IN PRECIP THROUGH THE NIGHT.  TEMPERATURES NOT COLD
ENOUGH FOR ANY SNOW MENTION (YET ANYWAY) WITH 850MB TEMPS ONLY
FALLING TO BETWEEN -1 AND -2C. WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING IN PLACE TO
START THE EVENING...TRIED TO GET A LITTLE CUTE WITH PRECIP TIMING BY
BRINGING ONLY THE NW HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA IN THE LIKELYS PRIOR
TO 06Z BEFORE GOING LIKELY EVERYWHERE AFTERWORDS.

SUNDAY...COLD FRONT CLEARS THE AREA EARLY IN THE MORNING AND COLD
ADVECTION THEN ENSUES THE ENTIRE DAY DROPPING 850MB TEMPS TO THE -6
TO -7C RANGE.  WITH INSTABILITY INCREASING (DELTA T/S INCREASING TO
15C OVER LAKE SUPERIOR AND 20C OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN)...LOOKS
LIKE A GOOD DAY FOR LAKE EFFECT PRECIP WITH 850-700MB RH GREATER
THAN 80 PCT. PRECIP TYPE WILL BECOME A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON WITH LOCAL RESEARCH SUGGESTING MIXING WITH AND
POSSIBLY CHANGING TO ALL SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  SOME MIXED
PRECIP WILL ALSO BECOME POSSIBLE NEAR THE LAKE SHORES BY LATE
AFTERNOON.  WITH SURFACE TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING...GETTING ANY
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE TOUGH THOUGH.

FURTHERMORE...WEST WINDS WILL BECOME BEEFY BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD
FRONT.  WITH AN UNSTABLE SITUATION...MAX WINDS WITHIN THE MIXED
LAYER WILL REACH IN THE 35 TO 45 KT RANGE SUGGESTING SURFACE WINDS
COULD GUST BETWEEN 30 AND 40 KTS (HIGHER NEAR THE LAKE SHORES).

SUNDAY NIGHT...LOBE OF RELATIVELY WARMER AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE
SURFACE LOW TO THE NORTH WILL PASS ACROSS THE NE FORECAST AREA.
WITH THE SLIGHT WARM AIR ADVECTION (OR NEUTRAL AT THE VERY
LEAST)...BELIEVE A RAIN SNOW MIX STILL LOOKS TO BE THE PREDOMINATE
PRECIP TYPE FOR MOST AREAS.  THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL PROBABLY SEE
MORE SNOW THAN RAIN BUT DETAILS (TEMP) STILL NEED TO BE WORKED OUT
SINCE IT WILL BE ON THE RAIN-SNOW/SNOW BORDERLINE.  SECONDARY
SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE TROUGH THEN PASS OVER THE AREA DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT...SWITCHING WINDS TO A NW DIRECTION.  LAKE
BANDS WILL REALIGN AS A RESULT...FOCUSING MORE ON NW LOWER AFTER
MIDNIGHT.  AGAIN...DO NOT EXPECT MUCH SNOW ACCUMULATION SINCE
SURFACE TEMPS/SOIL TEMPS WILL STILL BE A LITTLE WARM.  BUT WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE BEEFY WITH 25-35 KT GUSTS (HIGHER AGAIN NEAR THE
LAKE SHORES) STILL POSSIBLE IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.

MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WILL BE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A STABLE 4-WAVE CONFIGURATION WITH ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL
HEIGHT ANOMALIES SLOWLY PROGRESSING DOWNSTREAM.  MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
ARE NOT IN TOO BAD AGREEMENT ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF
NORTHERN AMERICA THROUGH MID-WEEK BEFORE UNCERTAINTY INCREASES
SUBSTANTIALLY WITH THE HANDLING OF THE NEXT PACIFIC ENERGY AND
SUBSEQUENT DOWNSTREAM RIDGING.  A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS
ENSEMBLE WAS USED IN THIS FORECAST.

CORE OF THE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT NEGATIVE ANOMALY...OVERHEAD INITIALLY
...WILL SHIFT EAST ON MONDAY.  HOWEVER...COLD ADVECTION AND CYCLONIC
FLOW IN THE LOWER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ALWAYS
TOUGH TO GAUGE WIND DIRECTION THIS FAR OUT...BUT WITH TEMPERATURES
COOLING FROM ABOUT -5C AT 12Z MON TO ABOUT -8C BY 12Z TUE...LOCAL
RESEARCH SUGGEST THESE TEMPS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN (A MIX NEAR THE GREAT LAKES SHORELINES) WITHIN THE
SNOW BELTS. SOME SMALL ACCUMULATIONS LOOK POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME FOR
THE HIGHER TERRAIN LATE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

UPPER TROUGH PULLS OUT ON TUESDAY WITH DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR MOVING
IN...SO WE SHOULD SEE A DIMINISHING TREND IN ANY LAKE EFFECT
PRECIP.  BUT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE PLENTY COLD (850MB
TEMPS -10C) FOR PRECIP TO CONTINUE WITHIN THE SNOW BELTS.  HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS THEN SHIFTS ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH
RAPID WARM ADVECTION OCCURRING. ANY LINGERING PRECIP SHOULD END BY
THIS TIME AS INSTABILITY RAPIDLY DECREASES.  THIS QUICK WARM UP THEN
CONTINUES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK...AS TEMPS POSSIBLY
REACH NEAR 60F BY NEXT FRIDAY.

MPC

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 913 PM/

WINDS CONTINUE TO HOWL...WELL...BLOW DECENTLY ACROSS THE LAKES.
STILL GUSTING 27 KTS AT WHITEFISH POINT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS IN
THE 15-22 KT RANGE IN THE ADVISORY NEARSHORE WATERS. DUE TO THE
CONTINUED BRISK WINDS...WAVE ACTION WILL REMAIN ROUGH INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...SO EXTENDED THE ADVISORY THROUGH 09Z.

STILL LOOKING AT MUCH LARGER IMPACTS BEGINNING LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...WHEN SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 25-30KTS AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ONCE THE COLD FRONT PASSES HOWEVER BY LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...WEST WINDS WILL REALLY GET CRANKING TO AT LEAST
GALES WITH AN ISOLATED STORM FORCE OVER ALL OPEN WATER AND
NEARSHORE AREAS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MPC/SMD

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 123 AM/...VALID FOR 06Z TAFS

SOME DRIER AIR HAS FILLED INTO TVC/PLN AND ALLOWED FOR A PERIOD OF
VFR CONDITIONS. THIS SHOULD NOT LAST LONG...AS IFR/MVFR CIGS RETURN
BTWN 07-16Z AS MAIN UPPER CIRCULATION SWINGS NORTHWARD. THIS WAVE
WILL ALLOW ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AROUND ALL TAF
SITES. APN IS SEEMINGLY ON NRN PERIPHERY OF DEEPER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...AND FEEL THAT IFR/MVFR CIGS COULD LINGER FOR MUCH OF THE
NIGHT... ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND
COMING OFF LAKE HURON...WHICH IS POSSIBLE. DRIER AIR SWINGS INTO THE
REGION FOR THE AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY NEXT WAVE/UNSTABLE
AIR MASS AND CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT. SMD

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR LMZ341.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     LHZ345>349.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR LHZ346>349.
LS...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     LSZ321-322.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR LSZ321.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
355 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2008

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
251100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
355 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...AS
MUCH COLDER AIR INVADES NORTHERN MICHIGAN. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THE GREAT LAKES...AND
ON EXPOSED HILLTOPS.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT...AND MONDAY.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...
MAINLY IN THE SNOWBELTS OF EASTERN UPPER...NORTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
BE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SMITH/JZ