Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Amarillo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
315 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT LYING ACROSS TX PNHDL WITH TCU READILY SEEN ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE.  HAVE INCREASED POPS TNGT OVER SERN HALF OF FCST AREA DUE
TO EXPECTED POSITION OF COLD FRONT AND STRONG MSTR FLUX CONVERGENCE
ANTICIPATED WITH SECONDARY SURGE.  HAVE RETAINED MENTION OF SVR TSTMS
TNGT...AND HAVE CALLED FOR HEAVY RAIN IN ERN ZONES...WHERE HAVE ALSO
HIGHLIGHTED HAIL AND WIND THREAT.

ON MON...HAVE INCREASED POPS OVER ERN ZONES...AND HAVE SPREAD FARTHER
W DUE TO SLOWER MOVEMENT OF MID-LEVEL TROF.  MON EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
COOLER IN POST FRONTAL AMS.

SELY WINDS RESUME LATE MON AFTN...THEN SWLY AND SLY WINDS INCREASE ON
TUE AND WED AS SFC TROF/DRYLINE DEVELOP.  HAVE RETAINED LOW POPS WED
AFTN AND WED EVE ACROSS ERN ZONES...WHERE DRYLINE MAY BECOME ACTIVE.

NEW GFS DEPICTS FROPA WED NGT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WEAK FROPA THU
NGT.  NO POPS WITH THESE FEATURES.  ELY AND SELY WINDS RESUME FRI AND
SAT.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EXPECTING GOOD COVERAGE OF WETTING RAINS THRU TNGT...BUT LIGHTNING
MAY POSE PROBLEMS.  WINDS ON MON EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT TO MODERATE...
INCREASING SLIGHTLY DURING AFTN AND EVE.  TUE AND WED EXPECTED TO BE
WINDY.  RH VALUES EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 15 PCT ON TUE...BUT MAY
FALL INTO CRITICAL VALUES ON WED.  VARYING WINDS WITH FROPA WED NGT
AND THU NGT EXPECTED TO NOT BE OF EXCESSIVE SPEEDS.  INCREASING SELY
WINDS ON SAT WILL BE MOIST.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                59  78  59  91  66 /  70  20   5   5   5
BEAVER OK                  55  79  54  91  67 /  80  30   5   5  10
BOISE CITY OK              55  78  54  91  62 /  40  10   5   5   5
BORGER TX                  57  78  60  92  68 /  80  20   5   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              60  78  57  92  66 /  50  10   5   5   5
CANYON TX                  61  79  58  90  66 /  60  20   5   5   0
CLARENDON TX               59  77  58  91  69 /  80  30   5   5   5
DALHART TX                 56  77  52  92  62 /  40  10   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  58  78  57  94  68 /  70  20   5   5  10
HEREFORD TX                60  78  57  89  65 /  50  10   5  10   5
LIPSCOMB TX                58  77  55  91  70 /  90  30   5   5   5
PAMPA TX                   57  77  59  90  68 /  80  20   5   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                62  77  58  90  71 /  90  30   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              63  78  58  91  71 /  90  30   5   5   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

05/03

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
254 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-091100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
254 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE UNTIL 10 PM CDT. A COLD FRONT OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE IS
EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK NORTH THIS EVENING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT WHERE ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL HELP FUEL THE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS HOWEVER WIND SHEAR BOTH
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED
TORNADOES AS WELL. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

ALSO CAUTION IS ADVISED ON AREA LAKES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS ALL OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE READY FOR
ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

KRAUSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
354 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

TXZ005-010-082130-
HEMPHILL TX-LIPSCOMB TX-
354 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEASTERN HEMPHILL AND SOUTHERN
LIPSCOMB COUNTIES...

AT 354 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4 MILES SOUTH OF HIGGINS TO GLAZIER
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN HEMPHILL AND SOUTHERN LIPSCOMB COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY...LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND
REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CLK

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