Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Amarillo, TX

000 
WWUS84 KAMA 011916
RFWAMA

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
116 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE...

.SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS WILL
DEEPEN THIS AFTERNOON...LEADING TO STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE OF 20 TO 30 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH DRY
AIR AT THE SURFACE...AND WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

TXZ001>003-006>009-011>014-016>019-020000-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080202T0000Z/
DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-OLDHAM-
POTTER-CARSON-GRAY-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-
116 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND A FIRE DANGER RATING OF HIGH OR
GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON.

YOU ARE ADVISED TO POSTPONE ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. BE EXTREMELY CAREFUL TO AVOID STARTING OUTDOOR FIRES...
AND BE SURE TO PROPERLY EXTINGUISH ALL SMOKING MATERIALS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

NUNEZ

000 
WWUS84 KAMA 012212
RFWAMA

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
412 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...

.SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WAS STARTING TO RELAX OVER THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE WHILE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD STAY STRONG FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON. AS THE AREA EXPERIENCES PEAK TEMPERATURES SHORTLY...MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY THE EVENING HOURS.
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL 6 PM.

TXZ001>003-006>009-011>014-016>019-020000-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080202T0000Z/
DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-OLDHAM-
POTTER-CARSON-GRAY-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-
412 PM CST FRI FEB 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND A FIRE DANGER RATING OF HIGH OR
GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON.

YOU ARE ADVISED TO POSTPONE ALL OUTDOOR BURNING UNTIL CONDITIONS
IMPROVE. BE EXTREMELY CAREFUL TO AVOID STARTING OUTDOOR FIRES...
AND BE SURE TO PROPERLY EXTINGUISH ALL SMOKING MATERIALS.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

NUNEZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
351 AM CST FRI FEB 1 2008

.DISCUSSION...
STILL SOME LINGERING SNOW ON THE GROUND...BUT FEEL THAT MOST IF NOT
ALL WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. DOWNSLOPING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO INCREASE
TODAY IN RESPONSE TO FALLING SURFACE PRESSURES ALONG THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES. SURFACE LOW BY LATE TODAY FORECASTED TO DROP SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST OUT OF WESTERN KS/EASTERN CO INTO THE NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST BEHIND
THE SURFACE LOW INTO THE OK AND EXTREME NORTHERN TX PANHANDLE BY THIS
EVENING...AND THEN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA BY 09Z
SATURDAY. MID AND UPPER TROUGH FORECASTED TO TRACK EAST AND NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TONIGHT BUT...EXCEPT FOR SOME INCREASE IN HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDINESS...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. COOL SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN BRIEFLY ACROSS THE PANHANDLES SATURDAY AND THEN
SLIDES EAST AWAY FROM THE FORECAST AREA. SURFACE PRESSURE WILL FALL
ONCE AGAIN ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES ON SUNDAY RESULTING IN
INCREASED DOWNSLOPING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER
KS MONDAY WILL DROP SOUTHEAST AND ALLOW FOR STRONG COLD FRONT TO PUSH
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES BY MONDAY EVENING/MONDAY NIGHT.

UPPER TROUGH TRACKING EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND
SOUTHWESTERN STATES WILL APPROACH AND THEN AFFECT THE PANHANDLES BY
MONDAY NIGHT. EUROPEAN MODEL AND GFS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN
BRINGING THIS SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM INTO THE PANHANDLES. DEPENDING
ON THE TIMING OF THE COLDER AIR AND THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS FROM THE
UPPER TROUGH...PRECIP CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA MAINLY
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. PRECIP TYPE WILL DEPEND ON HOW QUICKLY THE
COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE AND WILL CALL FOR RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW FOR NOW.
WILL ALSO INTRODUCE SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS EXTREME NORTHWEST
SECTIONS LATE MONDAY AND CHANCE POPS MONDAY NIGHT. INTRODUCED SOME
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TUESDAY MAINLY EASTERN SECTIONS AS THE UPPER
SYSTEM TRACKS SLOWLY EAST AWAY FROM THE PANHANDLES BY LATE TUESDAY.
LATER SHIFTS CAN FINE TUNE THE POPS AND PRECIP TYPE AS NECESSARY.
FAIRLY CONFIDENT THAT THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE PRECIP MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY. DRY WITH NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPS BY THE MID OF NEXT WEEK
AND THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WATER CONTENT OF LAST NIGHT/S SNOW GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH MOST LOCATIONS. STILL SOME SNOW LINGERING ON THE GROUND ACROSS
THE FAR EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING.
DOWNSLOPING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS FORECASTED TO INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO
30 KNOT RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF
THE TX PANHANDLE WITH LOWEST RH VALUES 15 PERCENT OR LESS. COULD NOT
GET RH VALUES DOWN TO 15 PERCENT OVER THE EASTERN OK AND TX
PANHANDLES HOWEVER. DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM
YESTERDAY TO A RED FLAG WARNING OVER THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE TX
PANHANDLE AND LEFT OUT THE EASTERN OK...AND THE EASTERN ROW/NORTHEAST
TWO COUNTIES OF THE TX PANHANDLE.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY AS WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
FROM THE SOUTHWEST...HOWEVER RH VALUES NOT FORECAST TO FALL BELOW 20
PERCENT AT LEAST RIGHT NOW. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS
CLOSELY. PROBABLY ONLY A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT MAY BE NEEDED ON SUNDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                56  24  51  25  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  55  21  45  23  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              54  19  46  22  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  57  27  52  29  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              60  22  51  24  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  57  23  51  26  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               57  28  54  29  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 59  19  48  20  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  58  23  46  23  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                58  22  54  25  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                52  24  49  23  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   54  26  52  28  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                54  30  54  27  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              56  30  56  28  62 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...DALLAM...DEAF
     SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HUTCHINSON...
     MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...SHERMAN.

OK...NONE.

&&

11/17

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
610 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-011200-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
610 PM CST THU JAN 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE. BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
COMBINE TO RESULT IN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

CLK