Wind Advisory 16, NWS Albany, NY

000 
WWUS71 KALY 250247
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
947 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

NYZ032-033-042-251030-
/O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0004.081225T0500Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
947 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THURSDAY FOR
THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS QUEBEC
CANADA OVERNIGHT. THE SYSTEMS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH
WILL BECOME WESTERLY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT AND WILL INCREASE
TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN
VERY STRONG THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY MORNING. WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH
LATE THURSDAY MORNING.

MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...TREE LIMBS...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY
ARE POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-082>084-VTZ013>015-
251030-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0016.081225T0500Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
947 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THURSDAY FOR THE 
LAKE GEORGE NORTHERN SARATOGA REGION...THE MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER
CAPITAL REGION...NORTHERN CATSKILLS...NORTHERN TACONICS...THE
BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS QUEBEC
CANADA OVERNIGHT. THE SYSTEMS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH
WILL BECOME WESTERLY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT AND WILL INCREASE
TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN
STRONG THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY MORNING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE
THURSDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KALY 250343
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1043 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

NYZ032-033-042-251030-
/O.EXT.KALY.HW.W.0004.081225T0343Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
1043 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THURSDAY FOR
THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS QUEBEC
CANADA OVERNIGHT. WESTERLY OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60
MPH WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE THURSDAY MORNING.

MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...TREE LIMBS...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY
ARE POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-082>084-VTZ013>015-
251030-
/O.EXT.KALY.WI.Y.0016.081225T0343Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1043 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THURSDAY FOR THE 
LAKE GEORGE NORTHERN SARATOGA REGION...THE MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER
CAPITAL REGION...NORTHERN CATSKILLS...NORTHERN TACONICS...THE
BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS QUEBEC
CANADA OVERNIGHT. THE SYSTEMS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
40 MPH WILL BECOME WESTERLY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT AND
WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. THE WINDS
WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY MORNING. WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH LATE THURSDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KALY 250946
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
446 AM EST THU DEC 25 2008

NYZ032-033-042-251500-
/O.CON.KALY.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
446 AM EST THU DEC 25 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING.

INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF QUEBEC CANADA
THIS MORNING. WESTERLY OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. THE
HIGHEST WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND VALLEYS
WHERE THE WIND CAN BE CHANNELED. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE THIS
MORNING.

MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...TREE LIMBS...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY
ARE POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-082>084-VTZ013>015-
251500-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
446 AM EST THU DEC 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LAKE GEORGE NORTHERN
SARATOGA REGION...THE MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL
REGION...NORTHERN CATSKILLS...NORTHERN TACONICS...THE BERKSHIRES
AND SOUTHERN VERMONT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING.

INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF QUEBEC CANADA
THIS MORNING. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. THE HIGHEST WIND GUSTS WILL BE CONFINED
TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND VALLEYS WHERE THE WIND CAN BE
CHANNELED. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE THIS MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KALY 251507
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1007 AM EST THU DEC 25 2008

NYZ032-033-042-251615-
/O.EXP.KALY.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
1007 AM EST THU DEC 25 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STRONG WINDS WAS
STARTING TO WEAKEN...AND AS A RESULT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH DURING THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-082>084-VTZ013>015-
251615-
/O.EXP.KALY.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-081225T1500Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-NORTHERN FULTON-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...
LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...
JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...
COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...
CHATHAM...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1007 AM EST THU DEC 25 2008

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL CATSKILLS...TACONICS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...AND THE
BERKSHIRES IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STRONG WINDS WAS
STARTING TO WEAKEN...AND AS A RESULT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH DURING THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
302 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS THROUGH CHANGING THE
PRECIPITATION TO RAIN. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH WINDY CONDITIONS...AND RAIN SHOWERS TRANSITIONING TO SNOW
SHOWERS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR CHRISTMAS...WITH SEASONABLY COLD AND DRY
WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A THIRD UPDATE TODAY...TO EXTEND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
POSSIBLE -FZDZ/-FZRA OVER THE LAKE GEORGE NORTHERN SARATOGA REGION
PRIOR TO 6 PM. KGFL IS STILL 27 DEGREES. MANY COOPERATIVE
SITES/MADIS OBSERVATIONS ARE STILL IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S
/BELOW FREEZING/ OVER NRN SARATOGA...NRN WASHINGTON...AND WARREN COUNTIES.
THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME BLACK ICE ON UNTREATED SURFACES. THE RADAR
HAS BEEN QUIET...BUT ANOTHER BATCH OF PCPN IS FORMING OVER WRN NY.
HOPEFULLY...TEMPS WILL SCOOT ABOVE FREEZING BY THE EARLY EVENING

THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED IN THE OTHER LOCATIONS...WHERE SFC
TEMPS HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE CNTRL
MOHAWK VALLEY ARE STILL IN THE 30-32 DEGREE RANGE...BUT SHOULD
WARM INTO THE MID 30S.  WE MENTIONED POCKETS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE/RAIN.

PREVIOUS UPDATE...
ANOTHER UPDATE TO ALLOW THE MID HUDSON VALLEY/SRN
TACONICS/LITCHFIELD HILLS ADVISORY TO EXPIRE...AND TO CANCEL IT
FOR THE ERN CATSKILLS...ERN PORTIONS OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...NRN
TACONICS...AND BERKSHIRES. TEMPS HAVE PREDOMINANTLY RISEN ABOVE
FREEZING IN THESE AREAS AFTER EXAMINING METARS/COOP OBS/MADIS
REPORTS. A FEW POCKETS OF -FZRA MAY PERSIST.

ELSEWHERE...TEMPS ARE SLOWLY RISING ABOVE FREEZING OVER THE
SCHOHARIE/MOHAWK VALLEYS...AND WRN PORTIONS OF THE CAPITAL
REGION...AND NORTH OF KDDH IN SRN VT. WE FELT IT WAS PRUDENT TO
KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING UNTIL 3 PM. THE KENX AND REGIONAL RADARS
SHOW LIGHTER PCPN HAS FALLEN OVER THE LAKE GEORGE/SRN ADIRONDACK
REGION. THE ECHOES ARE STARTING TO INCREASE UPSTREAM...SO PERHAPS
ANY REMAINING SNOW/-FZRA WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO RAIN BY THE MID
AFTERNOON.

VAD WIND PROFILES/RUC40 AT 17Z DOES SHOW A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
FROM THE SW BRINGING IN MILDER AIR IN ADVANCE OF THE MAIN WARM
FRONT OVER THE OH VALLEY/UPPER MID ATLANTIC REGION. WE ARE
EXPECTING MAX TEMPS TO STILL OCCUR BTWN 00Z-06Z...WITH 40S FROM
THE CAPITAL REGION....MOHAWK VALLEY...SRN VT SOUTH...AND MID TO
UPPER 30 NORTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT TRACKS
THROUGH OVERNIGHT...AT THIS TIME DECENT CONSENSUS FROM GUIDANCE
FOR PASSAGE BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE. BAND OF SHOWERS SHOULD
ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT WITH RESPECTABLE FRONTOGENESIS ALONG THE
ADVANCING TIGHT THERMAL GRADIENT. VERY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WEST AND NORTHWEST. SO...WITH
COLD ADVECTION...AND LAPSE RATES TRENDING TOWARD DRY
ADIABATIC...SOME BIG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND PART OF
CHRISTMAS MORNING. NO WIND HEADLINES...BUT INDICATING POSSIBLE
GUSTS 40-45 MPH...AS EVEN RAIN-SOAKED SNOWPACK SHOULD SUPPORT SOME
LOW-LEVEL INVERSIONS...PREVENTING ALL THE WIND FROM MIXING DOWN.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD HOLD STEADY OR FALL DURING CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON
AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM CANADA. HIGHS IN
THE 30S...SOME 20S ADIRONDACKS...AND LOWER/MID 40S NEAR POU. SOME
LAKE EFFECT MOISTURE WITH THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST WIND WILL
AFFECT THE ADIRONDACKS. THURSDAY NIGHT...THE SURFACE HIGH DRIFTS
EAST AND CENTERS ITSELF JUST NORTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SO...LIGHT
WINDS AND RELATIVELY FEW CLOUDS SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL
RAPIDLY TO THE TEENS...WITH SINGLE NUMBERS IN THE ADIRONDACKS...
AND LAKE GEORGE/SARATOGA REGIONS.

ON FRIDAY...SURFACE HIGH EXITS EAST...AND WARM ADVECTION
BEGINS...BUT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS LOOK TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE DAY AS ANOTHER SYSTEM JUST BEGINS TO APPROACH. HIGHS
FRIDAY...BASED ON LIGHT WINDS...AND LIMITED MIXING...GENERALLY 20S
TO LOWER/MID 30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE...OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...CONTINUES TO SLIDE EAST
TO THE MARITIMES...AS A 500 HPA RIDGE CRESTS ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD
OF A TROF JUST EAST OF THE ROCKIES. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES
FROM THE SOUTHWEST...BRINGING IN WARMTH AND MOISTURE FROM THE GULF
STATES...WITH OVERRUNNING AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT.  A SURFACE LOW
MOVES FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO CANADA JUST WEST OF LAKE
SUPERIOR...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH INTO EASTERN TEXAS. THE
OVERRUNNING WILL LIKELY START AS SNOW...BUT QUICKLY CHANGE TO SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT RISE TO OVER 10 DEGREES(C)
BY MIDDAY SATURDAY.  BY MID TO LATE MORNING RISING SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE FREEZING PRECIP TO PLAIN RAIN. THE
CIRCULATION AROUND THE NORTH SIDE OF THE MAIN LOW IN CANADA DRIVES A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH RAIN TURNING BACK
TO SNOW BEFORE QUITTING LATER SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS
SOUTH OF THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH A CIRCULATION THAT WILL
RESULT IN SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WE POPULATED MOST OF THE GRIDS
FROM GMOS. TEMPERATURES OVER THIS PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE
SOMEWHAT ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTN WITH RAIN/MIST AT ALL
TAF SITES. THE RAIN MAY BE FZRA FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AT KGFL...AS
SURFACE TEMPS THERE ARE STILL HUNG UP IN THE MID 20S...BUT TEMPS
SHOULD RISE TO ABOVE FREEZING EVEN UP THERE BY LATER THIS AFTN.
THERE MAY BE SOMEWHAT OF A BREAK IN THE RAIN BY LATE THIS AFTN/THIS
EVENING BRINGING VSBYS UP A BIT...ALTHOUGH CIGS WILL LIKELY STAY
DOWN DUE TO THE LOW CLOUDS BECAUSE OF THE MOIST FLOW...KEEPING THE
IFR CONDITIONS IN PLACE. ANOTHER BATCH OF RAIN...LOCALLY MODERATE IN
INTENSITY...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE MIDNIGHT AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY JUST AHEAD AND
ESPECIALLY BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY. THE GUSTS MAY BE ESP STRONG AT KGFL
AND KALB BEHIND THE BOUNDARY FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT WITH
GUSTS POSSIBLY OVER 30 KTS...AS THE WINDS SWITCH AROUND TO THE WEST.
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE BOUNDARY...THE PRECIP WILL END FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT. THE EXCEPTION MAY BE AROUND KGFL...AS SOME
LAKE EFFECT MAY SNEAK INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST...SO HAVE
INCLUDED A VCSH TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. CIGS/VSBYS WILL BECOME VFR ONCE
AGAIN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AND INTO
THE CHRISTMAS DAY...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUITE GUSTY.

.OUTLOOK...
THU PM-FRI...VFR. NO SIG WX.
FRI NIGHT. MVFR/IFR. CHC -SN/-PL/-FZRA.
SAT-SUN. VFR/MVFR/IFR. CHC -RA

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR GREENE...ULSTER...COLUMBIA...
DUTCHESS...BERKSHIRE AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT MELT OF THE SNOW PACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF
OUR FORECAST AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS MELT
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS ON
CHRISTMAS DAY.

THERE WILL BE A WARM UP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A LOW-
LEVEL SOUTHWEST JET BRINGS A FLOW OF MUCH WARMER AIR INTO THE
REGION. WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES
ARE FORECAST TO RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE UPPER
MOHAWK VALLEY AND THE ADIRONDACKS...SO NOT A LOT OF MELT IS
EXPECTED THERE. THE REST OF THE AREA WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES
RISE INTO THE 40S...EXCEPT THE FAR SOUTH WHERE TEMPERATURES MAY
RISE TO NEAR 50F FOR A 6 TO 12 HOUR PERIOD.

LOCAL SNOW MELT MODELS INDICATE THAT ALL THE SNOW PACK MAY MELT
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. MELT WILL ADD AN
ADDITIONAL INCH TO INCH AND A HALF OF LIQUID TO SOUTHERN BASINS.
ADDITIONALLY...LATEST FORECASTS INDICATE THAT A HALF INCH TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN MAY FALL ACROSS THIS SAME AREA.
THEREFORE...TONIGHT THROUGH CHRISTMAS...THERE IS A CHANCE OF
FLOODING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA AS
COMBINED MELT AND RAIN WILL BE AROUND TWO INCHES. FLOODING WOULD
BE MOST LIKELY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS OR WHERE STORM DRAINS ARE
CLOGGED WITH SNOW AND ICE...BUT RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
SOME BASEMENT FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR WHERE SNOW BLOCKS WATER FROM
DRAINING AWAY FROM HOUSES. MANY RIVERS ARE ICE COVERED BUT ICE IS
NOT THICK ENOUGH FOR SERIOUS BREAK UP ICE JAM PROBLEMS. SOME SHORT
LIVED ICE JAMS COULD OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS SOUTH OF I-90.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT WARMING ALONG WITH RAIN
ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS EVENT COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD MELTING
INTO THE UPPER MOHAWK VALLEY AND ADIRONDACKS WITH SIGNIFICANT RIVER
RISES EXTENDING TO NORTHERN BASINS.

FOR DETAILS ON THE RIVERS...PLEASE VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC
PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR NYZ058>061-063>066.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ041>043-083.
MA...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR MAZ025.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WASULA
NEAR TERM...WASULA
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...RCK
AVIATION...RCK
HYDROLOGY...RCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
102 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

NYZ032-033-038>043-047>051-082>084-VTZ013>015-251200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
102 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN CAPITAL
DISTRICT...WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE
VALLEYS...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-251200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
102 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...MID
HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHERN TACONICS...AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT...

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ001-NYZ052>054-251200-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-
102 PM EST WED DEC 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR RENSSELAER AND EASTERN
ALBANY COUNTIES...AND THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WASULA