Alert archive / New York / Wind Advisories in 2008

Wind Advisory 1, NWS Albany, NY

January 8, 20084 states

NWS Albany, NY issued this wind advisory at Jan 8, 2008, 4:12 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Jan 9, 2008, 3:36 AM EST. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 8, 2008, 4:12 PM EST (21:12 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 9, 2008, 3:36 AM EST
Expired
Jan 9, 2008, 9:45 PM EST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-01-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-01-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 174 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-243 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1001 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS71 KALY 082112
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
412 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008


NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058-063-082>084-VTZ013>015-091030-
/O.NEW.KALY.WI.Y.0001.080109T1000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...
DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...
MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
412 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS STORM WILL SWEEP A STRONG COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONT...GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REGION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS71 KALY 090836
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
336 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ059>061-064>066-092200-
/O.EXB.KALY.WI.Y.0001.080109T1100Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...
POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...
MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
336 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES TODAY...SWEEPING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.
ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REGION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058-063-082>084-VTZ013>015-092200-
/O.EXT.KALY.WI.Y.0001.080109T1100Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...
DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...
MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
336 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES TODAY...SWEEPING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.
ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REGION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS71 KALY 091412
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
912 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

NYZ032-033-038>040-042-082-092200-
/O.UPG.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.HW.W.0001.080109T1412Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...
DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
912 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACK REGION...AND THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT.

LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AND INTENSIFY OVER SOUTHERN
QUEBEC IN THE LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA IN THE LATE MORNING. THE WINDS AHEAD
AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL BE FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 30
TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-092200-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-
EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
912 AM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR
THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...SOUTHERN VERMONT...THE GREATER
CAPITAL REGION...EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS...MID HUDSON
VALLEY...BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD HILLS... 

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES TODAY...SWEEPING A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.
ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE REGION.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

TAW/KL
000 
WWUS71 KALY 092049
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
349 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

NYZ032-033-038>040-042-082-100500-
/O.CAN.KALY.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...
DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD
349 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

THE STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS SHIFTED TO THE EAST THE
REGION. THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH
THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD CAUSE RESULT IN A FEW ADDITIONAL MINOR
POWER OUTAGES AND SOME SMALL LIMBS DOWN. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-100500-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-
EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-
EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
349 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR
THE MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL
DISTRICT...CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...BERKSHIRES AND NORTHWEST
CONNECTICUT. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING. A STEEP PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH AT
TIMES THIS EVENING. 

A ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE
DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS71 KALY 092311
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
611 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-
084-VTZ015-100015-
/O.CAN.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
611 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN NEW YORK..EXCEPT THE
ADIRONDACKS...AS WELL AS ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. 

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A DEPARTING STORM IN EASTERN
CANADA...AND HIGH PRESSURE...BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...HAS
DIMINISHED AND THEREFORE ANY WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN BELOW THE WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA...WHICH IS BETWEEN 46 AND 59 MPH. IN FACT...THE
WIND WILL LIKELY DIMINISH TO A LIGHT BREEZE WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

NYZ032-033-042-082-VTZ013-014-100500-
/O.CON.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE
611 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

THE STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS SHIFTED TO THE EAST THE
REGION. THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH
THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD CAUSE RESULT IN A FEW ADDITIONAL MINOR
POWER OUTAGES AND SOME SMALL LIMBS DOWN.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS71 KALY 092347 CCA
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
639 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-
084-VTZ015-100045-
/O.COR.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
639 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE BERKSHIRES...LITCHFIELD COUNTY AND FOR EASTERN
NEW YORK...EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
GUSTY THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS ONLY TO 30 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES.

$$

NYZ032-033-042-082-VTZ013-014-100500-
/O.COR.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE
639 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.

THE STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS SHIFTED TO THE EAST THE
REGION. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS
UP TO AROUND 50 MPH AT TIMES THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR
WIND GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE
EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS71 KALY 100245
NPWALY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
945 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008


NYZ032-033-042-082-VTZ013-014-100345-
/O.CAN.KALY.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T0500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE
945 PM EST WED JAN 9 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH
GUSTS UP TO AROUND 25 MPH AT TIMES. THE WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 8, 1:08 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 8, 1:08 PM EST, 3 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
108 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UNSEASONABLY MILD AIR MASS WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
CONTINUES TO FUNNEL WARM AND HUMID AIR FOR EARLY JANUARY INTO THE
REGION. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT TO THIS INTENSIFYING LOW...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY WITH SHOWERS AND WINDY CONDITIONS. SEASONABLY COLD AND
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
WILL BRING MAINLY RAIN TO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WEAK SHORT WAVE OVER NORTHERN OHIO WILL TRACK NE THIS MORNING INTO
THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. LATEST RADARS DEPICT INCREASING AREAL
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS ACROSS SW NY STATE INTO NW PA. WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS SHORTWAVE...EXPECT THESE SHOWERS TO MOVE ACROSS NW PORTIONS
OF FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 12Z-16Z THIS MORNING. AS SUCH...WILL
INTRODUCE CHC POPS FOR NW AREAS FOR THIS MORNING...WITH SLIGHT CHC
EXTENDING S/E INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE CAPITAL REGION...AND
SOUTHERN VT. AFTER THIS SHORTWAVE PASSES...EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY
ADDITIONAL FORCING TO PRODUCE SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT
PERHAPS EXTREME NW AREAS. THEREFORE...WILL SHIFT ANY POPS FURTHER
N/W FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND TAPER TO SLIGHT CHC RANGE.

OTHER THAN THESE SHOWERS...THE BIGGEST FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR TODAY
WILL BE SKY COVER...AND RESULTANT MAX TEMPERATURES. CURRENT
EXPECTATION IS FOR MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS/MOISTURE TO SHIFT
FURTHER N/W THIS AFTERNOON. THE BIG QUESTION THEREFORE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL EXTENT OF LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE/CLOUDS. ALTHOUGH AS OF
08Z/TUE...THERE IS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF LOW CLOUDS/FOG ACROSS THE
REGION...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP
ONCE MIXING INCREASES AROUND...OR JUST AFTER SUNRISE. SE
AREAS...ACROSS THE MID HUDSON VALLEY INTO NW CT...HAVE
COOLED/RADIATED BEST THROUGH THE PRE DAWN HOURS...AND THUS MAY BE
MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO AT LEAST A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW CLOUDS/FOG THIS
MORNING...AS WELL AS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WHERE SHOWERS MAY
OCCUR. ANY LOWER CLOUDS ACROSS SE AREAS SHOULD GRADUALLY LIFT BY
EARLY AFTERNOON...ALLOWING FOR A QUICK RISE IN TEMPS...WHILE LOW
CLOUDS MAY PERSIST ACROSS FAR NORTHERN AREAS. THUS...FOR MAX
TEMPS...WILL TAKE A BLEND OF THE WARMER MAV MOS...AND FWC MOS. THIS
SHOULD YIELD MAXES BETWEEN 55-60 ACROSS MOST VALLEY LOCALES...EXCEPT
50-55 ACROSS THE UPPER HUDSON VALLEY INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY AND
SOUTHERN VT. THE CURRENT FORECAST MAX OF 60 FOR ALBANY DOES EXCEED
TODAY/S RECORD MAX OF 57 SET IN 1930. SEE CLIMO DISCUSSION BELOW FOR
MORE DETAILS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
...TONIGHT...MOST 21Z/07 SREF MEMBERS...AS WELL AS  DETERMINISTIC
00Z MODELS KEEP PRECIP WEST OF THE HUDSON RIVER THROUGH 12Z/WED.
THUS...WILL KEEP OUT POPS THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY
INCREASE POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM W TO E...WITH LIKELIES FOR THE FAR
W...AND ONLY SLIGHT CHC FOR THE FAR SE. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE
TRICKY YET AGAIN...AS SOME DECOUPLING MAY OCCUR EARLY...WITH SOME
CLEARING AND LIGHTER WINDS WITHIN SHELTERED LOCALES...BEFORE CLOUDS
AND WIND INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST MINS GENERALLY
ARE A BLEND OF THE MAV/MET MOS...ALTHOUGH HAVE INDICATED HIGHER MINS
FOR KALB...WHERE WINDS MAY FUNNEL UP THE HUDSON VALLEY...THWARTING
MUCH OF A FALL IN TEMPERATURE  OVERNIGHT...AND POSSIBLY KEEPING THE
MIN AT OR ABOVE 50.

WED...STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FROM W TO E FROM MID
MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY. 00Z/NAM AND GFS BUFKIT PROFILES INDICATE
SOME LOW CAPES...GENERALLY BETWEEN 100-200 J/KG WED AM. ALTHOUGH
SEEMINGLY MEAGER...GIVEN THE EXTREME SPEED SHEAR EXPECTED...ANY
SHALLOW CONVECTION WILL BE CAPABLE OF MIXING SOME OF THESE WINDS
DOWN WITH FROPA. THEREFORE...IN ADDITION TO THE EXPECTATION OF
SHOWERS...WILL ALSO MENTION ISOLATED THUNDER...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY
WINDS. MEANWHILE...BEHIND THE FRONT...DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER
SHOULD SUPPORT WIND GUSTS INTO THE 35-45 MPH RANGE...WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS...PERHAPS INTO THE 45-50 MPH
RANGE...WHICH WOULD EXCEED THE WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLD. WILL
HIGHLIGHT WIND POTENTIAL...BOTH CONVECTIVE AND GRADIENT...WITHIN THE
HWOALY PRODUCT...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY WIND ADVISORY ISSUANCE AT
THIS TIME. ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...INCREASING OROGRAPHIC
LIFT BEHIND FRONT WILL PROMOTE SHOWERS...INITIALLY OF RAIN...THEN
CHANGING TO SNOW FOR WED AFTERNOON...WITH MINOR ACCUMS POSSIBLE BY
EVENING...AND THUS WILL INDICATE HIGH CHC TO LOW LIKELY POPS
ACCORDINGLY. AS FOR MAX TEMPS ON WED...THINK A QUICK SPIKE IN TEMPS
IS POSSIBLE JUST AHEAD OF FROPA...WITH 55-60 POSSIBLE YET AGAIN
WITHIN THE VALLEYS. TEMPS WILL THEN FALL RATHER QUICKLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

WED NT...BRISK W/NW WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER AT NIGHT.
HOWEVER...GIVEN FLOW OFF LAKES PROVIDING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...AND
LOWERING INVERSION HEIGHTS...THINK LOW CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP AND/OR
PERSIST FROM THE CAPITAL REGION N AND NW...AS WELL AS NE INTO
SOUTHERN VT. THUS...WILL INDICATE MINS WARMER THAN MOST MOS GUIDANCE
FOR THESE AREAS...WITH SLIGHTLY COLDER MINS ACROSS SOUTHERN
AREAS...WHERE DECOUPLING IS MORE PROBABLE.

THU-THU NT...INCREASING CLOUDS ON THU...WITH MAXES GENERALLY RANGING
FROM THE LOWER 40S WITHIN THE VALLEYS...TO THE LOWER/MID 30S ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. PRECIP SHOULD ARRIVE THU EVENING...AND WITH
TEMPERATURES AT LEAST MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH EARLY...EXPECT SNOW OR
SLEET...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS AT PRECIP
INITIATION. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY JET SHOULD WARM TEMPERATURES
WITHIN THE VALLEYS TO CHANGE PRECIP QUICKLY TO RAIN BY DAYBREAK
FRI...ALTHOUGH SOME MIXED PRECIP MAY LINGER ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTH COUNTRY AND INTO SOUTHERN VT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER IMPULSE WILL TRACK THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN CANADA FRIDAY.  STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
SEGMENT TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION WITH LOW-LEVEL AND BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMING...ALONG WITH ENHANCED ISENTROPIC LIFT AND SPEED
CONVERGENCE.  STRONG FRONTOGENESIS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS
THERMAL PACKING OCCURS ALONG THE FRONT AND CONSIDERABLY COLDER AIR
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM.

PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS SNOW OR A MIX OF SNOW...RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE QUICKLY CHANGING TO ALL RAIN
EVERYWHERE.  COLDER AIR BUILDS IN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT
CHANGING PRECIPITATION TO SNOW SHOWERS.  COOLER AIR WILL BRING
TEMPERATURES FAIRLY CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGY...PERHAPS A LITTLE ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  STILL...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
AND 30S MANY AREAS BOTH DAYS...WITH MID TO UPPER 30S EASTERN AND
SOUTHERN AREAS ON SATURDAY.

STRONG WEST WINDS SET UP FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...SO LAKE
MOISTURE/CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN AND
NORTHWESTERN AREAS.  CLOUDS LIKELY TO REMAIN TO A LARGE DEGREE OVER
NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH PERIODS OF BREAKS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...CLOUDS
COULD VERY WELL LINGER IN THE ADIRONDACKS...WESTERN CATSKILLS AND
WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...NEAREST TO LAKE ONTARIO...BUT CENTRAL AND
EASTERN AREAS SHOULD SEE SOME SUNSHINE.  HIGHS 20S IN MOUNTAINS TO
LOWER/MID 30S MANY CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN/EASTERN AREAS SUNDAY.

BY MONDAY...INCREASING CONSENSUS IN DETERMINISTIC OPERATIONAL
GUIDANCE AND MREFS WITH SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY ORGANIZING AROUND THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...AND TRACKING NORTHEAST...SUGGESTING POSSIBLE
MILLER A STORM. BOUNDARY LAYER BAROCLINIC ZONE ORIENTED FROM
NORTHERN GULF TO GULF STREAM TO EAST OF CAROLINAS WHICH IS FAVORABLE
FOR STRONGER THAN USUAL STORM...WITH POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED UPRIGHT
CONVECTION IN WARM SECTOR.  CERTAINLY NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON TRENDS
IN GUIDANCE FROM RUN TO RUN.  MILLER A STORMS USUALLY TRACK A LITTLE
NORTHWEST OF LONG RANGE MODEL FORECASTED TRACKS DUE TO CONVECTION
AND DOWNSTREAM RIDGING...SO THIS BEING 6+ DAYS OUT...JUST WORTH
WATCHING.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...A MILD AIR MASS WILL
REMAIN OVER NY AND NEW ENGLAND THRU THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ERN NY AND WRN NEW ENGLAND AFTER 12Z WED.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING STRONG WINDS AND A BURST OF RAIN PRIOR TO 15Z
WED.

PRIOR TO 00Z...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS LESS
THAN 10 KTS AT KGFL AND KPOU.  THE WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER AT
KALB WITH 10-15 KTS AND A FEW GUSTS CLOSE TO 25 KTS.  ONLY SCT-BKN
MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS EXPECTED.

00Z-06Z...CONDITIONS MAY WANE TO IFR/MVFR LEVELS DUE TO MELTING SNOW
AND MIST GENERATED BY THE MOIST AIR MASS /ESPECIALLY AT KGFL/.  KALB
MAY HOLD AT VFR LEVELS WITH THE WINDS HOLDING AROUND 10 KTS.
HOWEVER...SOME LOW STRATUS MAY FORM AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

AFTER 06Z...SOME PREFRONTAL LOW CLOUDS AND SCT LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
MAY DEVELOP.  THE OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUE TO DEAL WITH AT THE
TERMINALS IS THE POTENTIAL OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR.  THE 925 MB
WINDS AT AROUND 2 KFT WILL BE STRENGTHENING TO 35-40 KTS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.  WE PLACED SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT KGFL AND KPOU
AFTER MIDNIGHT OF 30-35 KTS BLW 2 KFT.  WE OPTED NOT TO PLACE IT IN
AT KALB AT THIS POINT...SINCE GRADIENT SOUTHERLY FLOW UP THE HUDSON
VALLEY MAY CONTINUE AT 10-15 KTS PRIOR TO 11Z. CIGS AND VSBYS WILL
BE WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR WITH THE MILD AND MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE.

12Z-15Z...THE FRONT WILL BE IMPACTING ERN NY WITH A LINE OF SHOWERS
AND PERHAPS A RUMBLE OF THUNDER.  THE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-22
KTS JUST AHEAD AND WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.  SOME GUSTS MAY
APPROACH 35 KTS PRIOR TO NOONTIME.  THE POST FRONTAL WIND GUSTS WILL
LIKELY BE EVEN STRONGER AFTER 18Z.  CIGS AND VSBYS WILL RISE TO VFR
LEVELS AFTER 17Z.

WED NIGHT...VFR...NO SIG WX.
THU...VFR...NO SIG WX.
FRI...MVFR/IFR...CHANCE RAIN/SNOW.
SAT...VFR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING FROM ICE
JAMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK
VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST VERMONT. IN THESE AREA THE ICE THICKNESS FOR
THE ICE THAT REMAINS IS ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN 9 AND 12 INCHES AND
WITH THE SIGNIFICANT WARMUP CONTINUING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
SNOWMELT WILL BE ACCELERATED WHICH WILL INCREASE RUNOFF AND RESULT
IN ICE BREAKUP ON STREAMS AND RIVERS IN THESE AREAS. THE STREAMS AND
RIVERS OF MOST CONCERN ARE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE FLOOD WATCH.

WARMING TREND WITH SNOWMELT AND RUNOFF AFFECTING RIVERS AND
STREAMS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY WITH
TEMPERATURES PEAKING ON TUESDAY WITH NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES...IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NIGHTTIME LOWS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL BACK
BELOW THE FREEZING MARK OR BELOW UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THUS...SNOWMELT AND RIPENING OF THE SNOWPACK WILL OCCUR. QPF FROM
FIRST SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BE AROUND A HALF INCH ON WEDNESDAY WHICH
WILL INCREASE FLOWS...BUT AT THIS POINT MORE CONCERNED WITH SYSTEM
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. TREND FROM MODEL RUN TO MODEL RUN HAS
BEEN COLDER...THUS IF PCPN FALLS IN FROZEN OR FREEZING FORM NOT A
BIG HYDRO CONCERN...BUT AS MENTIONED IN LONG TERM DISCUSSION IF PCPN
TYPE RAIN WITH QPF AMOUNTS IN HALF INCH TO INCH RANGE THEN THIS MAY
PRODUCE SOME HYDRO PROBLEMS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS FOR ALBANY NY...
JAN 8TH...57 SET BACK IN 1930
JAN 9TH...59 SET BACK IN 1978

NORMALS FOR ALBANY...
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LOWS IN THE LOWER TEENS.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ032-033-038-
     039-042-082.
MA...NONE.
VT...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR VTZ014-015.

&&

AVIATION...TAW
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 8, 4:49 AM EST, 11 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
449 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

NYZ032-033-038-039-042-082-VTZ014-015-091200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
449 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND
WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND WINDHAM
COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING.
STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 45 MPH MAY OCCUR
WEDNESDAY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...ALONG AND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT.  SHOULD CONFIDENCE LEVELS INCREASE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF THESE STRONG WINDS...THEN A WIND ADVISORY WOULD BE ISSUED FOR
WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS
FRONT...WHICH COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 MPH.

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SNOW MELT...COMBINED WITH THE RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE SOME WITHIN
BANK FULL RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND MAIN STEM RIVERS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND ANY REPORTS OF ICE JAMS AS WELL AS
BANKFULL OR NEAR BANKFULL STREAMS OR RIVERS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040-041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013-091200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
449 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
REGION...EXTREME EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL
DISTRICT...EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS AND MID HUDSON VALLEY OF EAST
CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND BENNINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

AN UNSEASONABLY MILD AIR MASS WILL PRODUCE EXTENSIVE SNOW MELT
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE SNOW MELT MAY PRODUCE SOME WITHIN BANK
FULL RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND MAIN STEM RIVERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING.
STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 45 MPH MAY OCCUR
WEDNESDAY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...ALONG AND BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT.  SHOULD CONFIDENCE LEVELS INCREASE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF THESE STRONG WINDS...THEN A WIND ADVISORY WOULD BE ISSUED FOR
WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS
FRONT...WHICH COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 MPH.

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SNOW MELT...COMBINED WITH THE RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE SOME WITHIN
BANK FULL RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND MAIN STEM RIVERS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Nearby

Wind Advisories in New York, 2008Wind Advisories in Vermont, 2008Wind Advisories in Connecticut, 2008Every wind advisory in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.